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Next-Gen PlayStation System Will Launch In 2018, Analyst Predicts

New PlayStation hardware could arrive as soon as next year.

910 Comments

The wait for the next iteration of PlayStation may not be as far away as you expect, at least according to one analyst.

The Wall Street Journal reports that Macquarie Capital Securities analyst Damian Thong "said he expected Sony to release its next-generation PlayStation by the second half of 2018."

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Now Playing: GS News Update: Next-Gen PlayStation Will Launch In 2018, Analyst Predicts

PS4 Pro
PS4 Pro

Analyst predictions don't always pan out, and this isn't necessarily based on some inside scoop. But the WSJ's reporter notes on Twitter that this is the same "analyst who correctly predicted PS4 Pro and Slim" ahead of their respective launches.

That certainly lends credence to the prediction, though in all likelihood, we won't receive any official word from Sony for quite some time. The PS4 was announced nine months prior to its release, while the PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro revisions were revealed just one week and two months, respectively, before they hit store shelves.

Announcing a new system in the near future would undercut some of the hype for Microsoft's upcoming Project Scorpio, which stands to be more powerful than the PS4 Pro. But doing so would also likely have an impact on sales of the PS4 and PS4 Pro. With Sony's console routinely outselling the competition, it may be too soon to tease new hardware.

The WSJ report doesn't elaborate on what Thong believes this system will look like--"next-generation PlayStation" could mean the PlayStation 5. Scorpio launches toward the end of 2017, and if a new PlayStation comes less than a year later, the two will inevitably be compared. Scorpio, which is essentially a souped-up Xbox One, will be capable of playing all Xbox One games (and hundreds of Xbox 360 games). If Sony launches a brand-new system soon after it, will it be able to play PS4 games, or will its library be limited to new releases? That's a key question we don't yet have an answer to.

We've reached out to Sony regarding Thong's prediction and will report back with anything--likely a "no comment"--that it has to share.

Got a news tip or want to contact us directly? Email news@gamespot.com

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streamline

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I'm not a big fan of thong, though I did like the song...or was it just the music video that was good?

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deactivated-5b0457a4d6084

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@streamline: That Thong, Thong ,Thong, Thong. i love it when the best goes ? PS5 is for sure launching Fall 2018.

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corrus

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I am tired from idiots Sony will release PS5 2022 some idiot think that Sony will released it next year and whole internet is full with articles of that Sony thinks to released PS4 pro slim idiots

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deactivated-5b0457a4d6084

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@corrus: U are by far the biggest idiot, if u really think Fall 2022 LMFAO. Without a doubt PS5 is launching Fall 2018, PS4 launched weak Fall 2013. Tekken 7 is only launching 900p next month. PS4 Pro is a stop gap system meant for PSVR. http://wccftech.com/itagaki-ps4-pro-just-rhetoric-vr/ The last of us 2 and Death Stranding will be the last 2 Exclusives in 2018 for PS4. Ill stick with my PS4 Pro running on my LGB6 until Fall 2018 for PS5.

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Shantmaster_K

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I suppose they will want something to compete with Scorpio, depending on how that will do. I feel that people are going to get sick of trying to upgrade every other year.

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emptycow718

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Edited By emptycow718

This is flat out bs. Sony is trying to kill some of the buzz around Scorpio so they are letting stupid stories like this fly they did the same thing when the Xbox360 came out. The PS4 pro hasn't been out even a year Sony also has the new PS4 slim ,Sony VR ...and now PS5 is coming out ...LMFAO that would highly retarded when games like last of us 2 ,god of war and many other Sony PS4 games won't be out till late 2018 if not late 2019 maybe even 2020

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Furwings

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@emptycow718: Sigh... You assume this leak or speculation was started by Sony themselves? Truth is most console gamers are smart enough to speculate that given the average console generation life-cycle of 4 to 6 years (last gen was an anomaly), the PS5 would likely launch in Fall/Holiday 2018 (5 years after PS4) or 2019 (6 years after PS4). So really ANYONE could make this up and throw it out there, it's not mind-blowing or unfathomable lol!

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LiveDreamPlay

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@emptycow718: Don't know why this story was "renewed" by the wall street journal. Thong said this like a year ago, and suddenly they're reporting on it again.

Anyway, The Last of Us 2 is in early development, but as far as the game designer for God of War said last year, the game is fully playable from start to finish, so there's most likely a 2018 release for it.

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Slypher9

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ps5 push by Sony will probably start in the fall of 2018 and a reveal @ E3 2019 with a fall 2019 launch

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LiveDreamPlay

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@slypher9: Probably not, we'll most likely see some sort of announcement either this E3 or PSX...

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Edited By emptycow718

@slypher9: yes and the xboxone Scorpio 2 will be out in 2020 to put a fork in the PS5

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ninja2481

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Another half assed rushed Sony "upgrade". Sounds about right....

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Shinobi120

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There's absolutely no way I'm going to immediately buy a PS5 when I had just bought myself the PS4 Pro not too long ago, & that was because I haven't owned a PS4 at all.

If there's another system that I'm going to buy in the near future, it's gonna be the Nintendo Switch. I'm already planning to go full PC gaming after PS4 Pro, anyway & not having to deal with anymore Xbox or PlayStation consoles.

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Edited By Furwings

Sony will likely reveal the PS5 in 2018, but I think a Fall/Holiday 2019 launch is more likely. I don't think they're too worried about Scorpio as it's basically going to be a more powerful version of the same system they've been beating in sales since 2013. Even IF Scorpio is wildly successful, it's still an Xbox One and as of right now Xbox One is about 30 million behind PS4/PS4 Pro in system sales. The Xbox brand has suffered irreparable damage this generation and just bringing out another, more powerful box (that'll likely cost $500 US) won't be enough for most gamers. They need to seriously step up their exclusive game library for a lot of gamers to take the plunge. I think Sony are aware of this also and aren't going to cut their potential PS4 sales a year short out of any fear of the Scorpio.

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emptycow718

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Edited By emptycow718

@Furwings: "They need to seriously step up their exclusive game library" Sony fanboys are funny acting like Sony's exclusive lineup hasn't been garbage for years knack ,drive club,no man's turd ,the oder 1886 ,the very broken street fight 5 etc etc best exclusive on PS4 in 3 years was uncharted 4 that's it and most PS4 games were PS3 ports. Or games that were delayed for years .Most people don't buy consoles for exclusives they buy them for features and 3rd party games like gta ,call of duty etc .the Scorpio will be advertised as the true 4K gaming console the best place to play all 3rd party games and by the time the PS5 comes out Microsoft would have a very affordable console that will have many awesome looking games that are in 4K it will be the $200 scorpion vs the $400 PS5 with Scorpio 2 a year away .keep in mind the Scorpio will help ms catch up to the PS4 in sales and for Sony to show any difference in graphics they would need to put money into building PS5 games from the ground up now like today To put out games that look next gen by 2018 or 2019 Sony would need to be making games for PS5 now.

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Furwings

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@emptycow718: So firstly, I'm not a Sony fanboy. I've owned all consoles the last 3 generations. And I never claimed that ALL of Sony's exclusives are masterpieces. I was referring more to the sheer amount and variety of genres Sony's exclusives cover. This is primarily what has made PlayStation the best selling console brand in the history of the gaming industry - there's literally something for everyone.

I definitely don't buy my consoles for 3rd party games. Sure I'll pickup a few of them here and there, but one quick look at my gaming shelf shows that the games I tend to keep are mainly exclusives (for all systems) and the games I trade in to EB Games are 3rd party/multiplatform.

As far as how MS advertises Scorpio, they can claim it'll shine your shoes or cook your supper, heck they can claim all they want. Point is it's not going to be as easy to sell a $500 console that most people will have to also buy a new TV as well in order to take advantage of it's power. If Switch sales are any indication, the masses generally don't care too much about specs and power so like I said unless MS brings the games (and by games I mean more than the standard Halo, Forza, Gears trio), the power won't matter much. Also like I mentioned, the Xbox brand name has been tarnished this generation, and a lot of former Xbox gamers have defected to Sony and more recently Nintendo. Even if the Scorpio sells decently, you honestly think they're going to close a 30-million system gap that Sony has on them?! That's just delusional.

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Edited By LiveDreamPlay

@emptycow718: None of what you're saying make sense. You're just pretending that everything Sony does they do poorly, all the while you have everything around you to contradict you. Sorry for replying on the other comments, I thought you're actually a regular gamer with an opinion, but I see you're a pure Xbox fanboy, I shouldn't have bothered to answer. Have a great day.

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timmy101999

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Edited By timmy101999

At first I thought this was insane but, then I realize that releasing the ps5 in 2018 wouldn't be that crazy, It actually makes sense. Think about it, the Scorpio is coming out later this year and will be the most powerful console on the market. PlayStation could release a counterpart ps4 to the Scorpio but, by then a lot of people would have bought the Scorpio. If they release a beast ps5 (completely ahead of this gen) in 2018 they know it will throw xbox off and impact their sales drastically. It will force xbox to come out with their next gen console themselves and that will take at least 2 years to make. It would put sony ahead in the console wars and be a massive blow to an xbox team that is geared to fix their past mistakes, have a legit chance to be number 1 and go big and next gen(they will take the lessons learned from the early xbox one mistakes and will know that this is their chance to make it right). This would also make sense because they can make a more powerful system to help their VR out and give it a better platform for developers and players. Sony knows players want a new console and see the success Nintendo is having shows how much players want a new console, not all of the players want new consoles but, a good amount do. I personally hope they don't release a ps5 or xbox next until 2020. But considering all of this, It would be in Sony's best interest to go this route, It would guarantee them great sales. All in all 2019 would probably be the best year to release it because it would be 6 years after the ps4 came out and most gamers would want a new console and people who bought the ps4 pro would have it by that time for 3 years and would have got their worth out of it.

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emptycow718

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Edited By emptycow718

@timmy101999: Sony would become the new Sega. Sony has PS4 ,PS4 slim ,PS VR ,PS4 pro and now PS5 all within 5 years ummmmmm this sounds like one big cluster **** of confusion but it would not shock me. Sony isn't a smart company they just got lucky with the PS4

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Furwings

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@emptycow718: Right. And they just got lucky with the 155 million-selling PS2 as well then I suppose hey?

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2018.... not a chance

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Edited By NeonicTrash

If Sony does this next year, I want all Pro buyers to switch over to Scorpio for their main gaming console! Pro being given basically 2 year lifespan as top PS is rip off to ALL Pro buyers! Unreasonable for Sony to expect people to pay 400 for Pro then another 400-500 just 2 years later for another system. That;s dropping a grand just on hardware, nevermind if you've bought into PSVR! And Sony can't be trusted for their PS5 to support PS4 games...

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@NeonicTrash: All Pro buyers will switch to Scorpio when all Sony exclusives will move to MS, so, never...

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emptycow718

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@NeonicTrash: it's called PS now. Get ready to stream them PS4 games to the PS5. Sony is all about that drm

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PCPS4XB

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@NeonicTrash: if it's true they are both guilty of it. Xbox one S is just as much of a hardware revision as the ps4 pro. I know a bunch of people including myself who upgraded from og xb1 to the new one. I guess that would mean Microsoft wants everyone to upgrade to the S now right?

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Stedmister

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@pcps4xb: they announced scorpio at the same time as the S, thus saying "we have this 4k bluray, or wait till next year and get 4k gaming and have stressed they want to give people choice. Hence why I didn't get an S but waiting on scorpio

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PCPS4XB

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@Stedmister: I get that but they already did it with the S which made people repurchase. And I doubt ps5 will be releasing so soon, they have no reason to. Scorpio won't sell more than the S (Phil Spencer says so also) so It won't be effecting ps4 sales

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KhanWasHere

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Hence forth, this rumored console shall be code named "trinity"...

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emptycow718

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Edited By emptycow718

@khanwashere: PS5 will be all 4K ports of PS4 games for RE first 2 years lmfao just like PS4 ....you will all be asked to buy them again lol the PS4 exclusive lineup was mostly PS3 ports when you really look at it

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XAF1

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Hopefully Sony sticks with the PS4 Pro. I can't really see the need for another system as there really aren't any exclusive built just for the Pro. We haven't really seen what the system is capable of yet. I think the Scorpio will be in the same boat when it comes out. I own PS4 Pro and intend on owning whatever MS calls the Xbox Scorpio when it's released. I can't see either of the two having a short life span when their true potential won't be reached as long as the orginal PS4 and X1 have to be supported aswell. It would be stupid for either to drop their original install base they already have just to promote new hardware. Programmers are finally getting their graphic engines optimized properly for this gen of consoles. It will be awhile before they are ready to leap even farther. It will be interesting to see what developers can really do with both consoles once they get a chance but I think the PS4 and X1 will both be around for awhile.

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emptycow718

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@XAF1: I would put money Microsoft will be the company to push graphics to the next level watch halo 6 blow everything on the market out the water it wil look dated on the vanilla xboxone but on Scorpio it will be mind blowing

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i hardly touch the ps4 for the game i wanted to play on to be played on pc.

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5tu88sy

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'Analyst', ie, someone on a computer with an internet connection.

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Sphensen

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meh. I've barely enjoyed my PS4

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Edited By LiveDreamPlay

@Sphensen: If with this amount of amazing exclusives you've barely enjoyed your PS4, then it's as clear as it gets that it's just not the right console for you...

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@Sphensen: Amen, give me better exclusive games.

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Edited By Sphensen

@Keitha313: right? no sense is talking/bragging about a powerful console if I don't have any sweet sweet games to play on it

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Keitha313

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@Sphensen: I'm not even fully convinced it's a powerful console, my 980 will be more powerful than whatever Microsoft or Sony release.

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Edited By emptycow718

@Keitha313: ryse on PC looks like a xboxone game even if you play it on the world's most expensive gaming PC the reason for that is the game wasn't built for your rig most games on PC are just 4K versions of games that are built for 2tf graphics cards but when a system like Scorpio comes out and it's being pushed as mass market the standards get higher so now 6tf is the new standard and everything on PC can take that and make it look sharper with the right rig

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Edited By Keitha313

@emptycow718: You take a poor performing Xbox One game like Battlefield 1 and play it on PC and Xbox One and then come back and tell me If you noticed a difference.

Your crappy consoles are always downsampling because they're weak and inferior and can't play games natively at 1080p, yet here we have a bunch of Xbot Tards who think the Scorpio will do anything at 4K gaming when they can't even maintain a FULL NATIVE 1080p experience without all the massive frame drops, lmfao!

Console fanboys really are utterly clueless and oh yeah delusional.

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NeonicTrash

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@Keitha313: What? You sure as shit ain't gaming in 4k...I've read it'd take two 980s for 4k...which means you are hunched over probably a small 1080p monitor....which also means no HDR for you..so, no, your 980 is old hat and Scorpio title for title will have better performance and cost less than you paid for all your parts.

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Edited By Keitha313

@NeonicTrash: Where did I say that I was playing 4K games with my 980?

Delusional If you think the Scorpio will outperform any major GPU, but what more to expect from an Xbox fanboy.

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Rushaoz

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Seems legit. Sony has to respond to Scorpio. Whether it's with a new console with updated hardware or a serious price drop on the PS4 Pro. Whatever it is, count me in.

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