Nintendo Could Be In Real Trouble

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Jaysonguy

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#1 Jaysonguy
Member since 2006 • 39454 Posts

After Nintendo showed off the Wii U for the first time it's shares started sinking and have not showed signs of evening out or picking up.

Add to that the fact that this was the only chance that they had to get the jump on other companies because next year we'll see new hardware from "others"

Nintendo holding back and setting up next year is a huge mistake because while the Wii U compares to current generation hardware it wont hold a candle to what else is out there soon.

That means we see lower quality multiplats with the hook being "use a screen" just like this generation it was "use some motions"

Between now and it's November launch Nintendo needs to up it's game because as it stands now they're in a very difficult place with a poor showing at E3 and a reluctance to get into details about their hardware and software currently and into the future.

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johan1986

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#2 johan1986
Member since 2003 • 4764 Posts

Hmm maybe, they have some good games to make a decent launch, but so many details are still unclear at the moment. Price is going to be a very important one for me.

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roboccs

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#3 roboccs
Member since 2006 • 7851 Posts

That's been my main worry from the start. When rumblings came out that the hardware will be comparable or just a little bit better than current gen consoles, my concern was that other console makers were already close to this level this gen, so they'll likely make another big jump next gen and jump right over the Wii U and we'll have the same problem that the Wii had with 3rd party support.

We'll see though. We have no idea what the specs really are. If they find a way to make it worth 3rd party companies' while, then hopefully they'll get some good support. The second screen is something that could be turned into some great gameplay and it is more flexible than straight up motion controls.

I think the E3 conference was a missed opportunity. They didn't really blow people away but there is still time by release to get the hype up for people.

I also fear that the price may be more than we think it's going to be. Everyone agrees with around $299. I think it'll be more for some reason.

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Tri-Enforcer

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#4 Tri-Enforcer
Member since 2007 • 1899 Posts

It may be helpful to Nintendo if the Wii U came packaged with a copy of Nintendoland, Wii U Gamepad, Wii remote, nunchuck, and a Wii U Pro controller at no more than $300.

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haziqonfire

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#5 haziqonfire
Member since 2005 • 36392 Posts

The next generation console jump will definitely not be as significant as the last one.

It'll probably still be an issue, but not as big of an issue as this generation.I think a lot of people right now also don't have a problem with the current HD platforms and if they want HD Nintendo with some solid third party, now is their chance.

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bonesawisready5

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#6 bonesawisready5
Member since 2011 • 4971 Posts

Why JaysonGuy? This sounds like SW matieral. It doesn't even look like Sony/MS will have new consoles in 2013.

I'm happy with everything I've seen of Wii U so far so they have my money

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Sepewrath

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#7 Sepewrath
Member since 2005 • 30712 Posts

The next generation console jump will definitely not be as significant as the last one.

It'll probably still be an issue, but not as big of an issue as this generation.I think a lot of people right now also don't have a problem with the current HD platforms and if they want HD Nintendo with some solid third party, now is their chance.

Haziqonfire
Nintendo had a very well rounded showing at E3, I am very impressed with what they showed, they have shown enough for a good launch. I agree with you, the next wave of consoles will not see a huge jump again, its too expensive, it will be a small jump. By next year, Nintendo will be going into the second wave of games, which will really take advantage of the consoles power and input methods. While MS and Sony will be going through the "launch blues" on top of that, Halo and Gears are coming for the 360, MS doesn't have anything else, so they couldn't launch with a big first party franchise on their new system.
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goblaa

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#8 goblaa
Member since 2006 • 19304 Posts

I always assumed it was at par with the 360/PS3.

I thought everyone did.

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Tri-Enforcer

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#9 Tri-Enforcer
Member since 2007 • 1899 Posts

[QUOTE="Haziqonfire"]

The next generation console jump will definitely not be as significant as the last one.

It'll probably still be an issue, but not as big of an issue as this generation.I think a lot of people right now also don't have a problem with the current HD platforms and if they want HD Nintendo with some solid third party, now is their chance.

Sepewrath

Nintendo had a very well rounded showing at E3, I am very impressed with what they showed, they have shown enough for a good launch. I agree with you, the next wave of consoles will not see a huge jump again, its too expensive, it will be a small jump. By next year, Nintendo will be going into the second wave of games, which will really take advantage of the consoles power and input methods. While MS and Sony will be going through the "launch blues" on top of that, Halo and Gears are coming for the 360, MS doesn't have anything else, so they couldn't launch with a big first party franchise on their new system.

Wii U will probably go through the growing pains that the 360 and PS3 initially had, but then eventually come out dominating by the time holiday 2013 gets here. I don't see doom and gloom for the Wii U, even if it isn't outselling the PS3/360. It will still enjoy decent sales.

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OreoMilkshake

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#10 OreoMilkshake
Member since 2009 • 12833 Posts
But it has Wii Fit. Isn't that like your favorite game or something Jayson?
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VendettaRed07

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#11 VendettaRed07
Member since 2007 • 14012 Posts

That's been my main worry from the start. When rumblings came out that the hardware will be comparable or just a little bit better than current gen consoles, my concern was that other console makers were already close to this level this gen, so they'll likely make another big jump next gen and jump right over the Wii U and we'll have the same problem that the Wii had with 3rd party support.

roboccs

Thats what happened with the wii but it wont be as bad with the Wii U... because its all about resolution. Its 1080p, and the new consoles aren't going to be any higher than that, because there aren't any televsions really on the market that support any higher, or even planned in the near future.. The biggest difference as to why the wii looked so ancient compared to the new systems was all because of that.. So with the Wii U I don't think it will be as big of a problem.

Especially because we are looking at 2014 for the next xbox and ps3 at the earliest. Its 2012 and still no news whatso ever from either of them. You need like, a year to announce it and then a year to unveil the details. Neither company is going to annonuce and release a console in the same year, so I wouldn't worry about it Nintendo still has a while

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one_of_panda

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#12 one_of_panda
Member since 2006 • 487 Posts

It may be helpful to Nintendo if the Wii U came packaged with a copy of Nintendoland, Wii U Gamepad, Wii remote, nunchuck, and a Wii U Pro controller at no more than $300.

Tri-Enforcer
While this would be nice, I doubt it will happen. That's asking for too much while spending too little for that kind of package. At the most I see the system coming with 1 gamepad, 1 wii remote & nun chuck (maybe - which could be due to Nintendo suspecting that everyone already has a Wiimote and nun chuck from their previous Wii's, or it would be a good way to get some extra money from the customer) and a copy of nintendoland in either digital or physical based media.
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Jaysonguy

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#13 Jaysonguy
Member since 2006 • 39454 Posts

But it has Wii Fit. Isn't that like your favorite game or something Jayson?OreoMilkshake

Yes, it fits the core perfectly

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ZamboniGamer

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#14 ZamboniGamer
Member since 2011 • 530 Posts

It's going to get ugly for Nintendo when Sony and Microsoft release their next system. I mean would it be so bad having Mario on Xbox? LOL

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ZamboniGamer

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#15 ZamboniGamer
Member since 2011 • 530 Posts

[QUOTE="roboccs"]

That's been my main worry from the start. When rumblings came out that the hardware will be comparable or just a little bit better than current gen consoles, my concern was that other console makers were already close to this level this gen, so they'll likely make another big jump next gen and jump right over the Wii U and we'll have the same problem that the Wii had with 3rd party support.

VendettaRed07

Thats what happened with the wii but it wont be as bad with the Wii U... because its all about resolution. Its 1080p, and the new consoles aren't going to be any higher than that, because there aren't any televsions really on the market that support any higher, or even planned in the near future.. The biggest difference as to why the wii looked so ancient compared to the new systems was all because of that.. So with the Wii U I don't think it will be as big of a problem.

Especially because we are looking at 2014 for the next xbox and ps3 at the earliest. Its 2012 and still no news whatso ever from either of them. You need like, a year to announce it and then a year to unveil the details. Neither company is going to annonuce and release a console in the same year, so I wouldn't worry about it Nintendo still has a while

Microsoft announced the Xbox 360 on May 12, 2005 and released it on November 22, 2005. That there shows they don't need a year or so to build hype for their system. Plus rumors are still pointing to a 2013 release of their next system. Though not sure with the new gears coming out in Q2 of 2013.

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Legolas_Katarn

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#16 Legolas_Katarn
Member since 2003 • 15556 Posts

I always assumed it was at par with the 360/PS3.

I thought everyone did.

goblaa
That would be terrible for Nintendo if it was only as good as the current seven year old systems.
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Tri-Enforcer

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#17 Tri-Enforcer
Member since 2007 • 1899 Posts

[QUOTE="Tri-Enforcer"]

It may be helpful to Nintendo if the Wii U came packaged with a copy of Nintendoland, Wii U Gamepad, Wii remote, nunchuck, and a Wii U Pro controller at no more than $300.

one_of_panda

While this would be nice, I doubt it will happen. That's asking for too much while spending too little for that kind of package. At the most I see the system coming with 1 gamepad, 1 wii remote & nun chuck (maybe - which could be due to Nintendo suspecting that everyone already has a Wiimote and nun chuck from their previous Wii's, or it would be a good way to get some extra money from the customer) and a copy of nintendoland in either digital or physical based media.

It would probably be more realistic to think that it will only come packed with the Wii U Gamepad at $300. Anything else, that comes with it, at that price, would be a surprise. Regardless, for some strange reason--despite the lackluster E3, the Wii U is still going to get sold out...mark my word.

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osan0

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#18 osan0
Member since 2004 • 18263 Posts
and history once again repeats itself. nintendo will once again be destroyed by horsepower from the competition just like the wii, DS and 3DS. apparently power sells consoles...who knew? yes thats sarcasm just for the record. i do agree with the title though. ninty needed to produce a wii sports for the wiiu. nintendo land is supposed to be it but it has completly failed to make the case for the touch screen. i love the idea of having the screen in the controller but ninty themselves have not made one single strong argument for its existence. the best argument they have made is for moving the game from the telly to the controller. that wont sell systems....its not enough. zombiu so far seems to be the best use. yes its just inventory but its inventory used in the worst possible circumstances. looking away from the screen to get something will be torture for the player and that is exactly the point. a very good use of the screen....like rusteling in a rucksack. the wiiu is likely going to be the most expensive of the consoles when it comes out. if nintendo can not persuade people that the wiius added abilities are of a real benefit then people will just flock to the cheaper alternatives. the other next gen consoles are the least of nintys worries at the mo. they havent provided a good reason to choose it over the current crop or to choose the wiiu version of multiplats over the other platforms.
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Sepewrath

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#19 Sepewrath
Member since 2005 • 30712 Posts
the wiiu is likely going to be the most expensive of the consoles when it comes out. if nintendo can not persuade people that the wiius added abilities are of a real benefit then people will just flock to the cheaper alternatives. the other next gen consoles are the least of nintys worries at the mo. they havent provided a good reason to choose it over the current crop or to choose the wiiu version of multiplats over the other platforms.osan0
By that logic, you should in the Pachter boat, and proclaiming all next gen consoles are doomed. Because the same would apply to MS and Sony's consoles, when they come out and are expensive, with nothing more than graphics and things you can do on your TV without the system as the selling point. Also, one of the main points of the system is the ability to play away from the screen as much as the controller as an input device.
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haziqonfire

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#20 haziqonfire
Member since 2005 • 36392 Posts
No way is Nintendo launching the Wii U above $299. Hell, no way anyone is going to launch above $349 max - people don't want to spend that much money on consoles.
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meetroid8

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#21 meetroid8
Member since 2005 • 21152 Posts
They've set the WiiU up for a successful launch, assuming it's priced below $350 and Nintendo Land will be a pack in. WiiU doesn't need to match the next systems, just as Wii didn't need to match PS3/360. By the time they launch, WiiU will already have an established audience, and hopefully, 3rd party support.
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#22 gatsbythepig
Member since 2003 • 12059 Posts

After Nintendo showed off the Wii U for the first time it's shares started sinking and have not showed signs of evening out or picking up.

Add to that the fact that this was the only chance that they had to get the jump on other companies because next year we'll see new hardware from "others"

Nintendo holding back and setting up next year is a huge mistake because while the Wii U compares to current generation hardware it wont hold a candle to what else is out there soon.

That means we see lower quality multiplats with the hook being "use a screen" just like this generation it was "use some motions"

Between now and it's November launch Nintendo needs to up it's game because as it stands now they're in a very difficult place with a poor showing at E3 and a reluctance to get into details about their hardware and software currently and into the future.

Jaysonguy
It had been sinking before showing the wii u. Since the showing of the wii u months ago it has fallen approximately 10 points. Before the showing of the wii u ntdoy dropped from 80 to 24. The stock drop really has nothing to do with the wii u. In fact, right now is the time to buy. The 52 week low is just above 13. Analysts have a bad outlook, which is actually a good thing for investors. I just bought 500 shares, and I have no doubt ntdoy will get back up to at least 40.
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osan0

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#23 osan0
Member since 2004 • 18263 Posts
[QUOTE="osan0"]the wiiu is likely going to be the most expensive of the consoles when it comes out. if nintendo can not persuade people that the wiius added abilities are of a real benefit then people will just flock to the cheaper alternatives. the other next gen consoles are the least of nintys worries at the mo. they havent provided a good reason to choose it over the current crop or to choose the wiiu version of multiplats over the other platforms.Sepewrath
By that logic, you should in the Pachter boat, and proclaiming all next gen consoles are doomed. Because the same would apply to MS and Sony's consoles, when they come out and are expensive, with nothing more than graphics and things you can do on your TV without the system as the selling point. Also, one of the main points of the system is the ability to play away from the screen as much as the controller as an input device.

i dont know enough about MS and sonys next consoles to make a call either way. if they are just more of an incremental upgrade or a copy of the wiiu then patcher may be right (holy crap did i just say that? :P). people may just stick to what they have. console gaming wont die....it just wont budge. with smart TVs its also going to become harder for console manufacturers like MS and sony to persuade people to upgrade for new features. if its a massive hardware upgrade then itll certainly wow the E3 crowd but it wont shift hardware over a long period or on a massive scale. the price of games and the extra ways publishers will nickle and dime people to cover costs could also make it much more off putting. however sony and MS (and the PC) do have 1 trump card ninty do not....gaming services. gaming services, especially subscription based ones, are gold dust. it gets people invested in a companies platform. once people are invested in something its really friggin hard to make them budge. facebook and WOW for example...the users are not going anywhere in any significant numbers despite competing products and services. basically the situation ninty find themselves in is this (sorry i dont mean to bring SW into this..bare with me.). 1) im a PC gamer with many games on steam, origin etc and prefer to play my multiplats on the PC. i should get multiplats on the wiiu because.....? 2) im a 360 gamer. my friends and i love to play games on xbox live and i have lots of achievements. my friends and i should switch to the wiiu because.....? (applicable to the PS3 also) 3) i have wii fit and wii sports but dont play games very much. i should get a wiiu because.....? 4) i have a wii and play it a lot but i also have other platforms. i should buy more games for the wiiu and less for the others because.....? ninty only made one strong-ish argument: if you dont own a PS3, 360 and/or gaming PC but have an interest in the likes of creed and batman then a wiiu will be of interest (though then even failed to persuade or make an argument that the wiiu version of those games will be the best). how big is that market? ninty is back in the red ocean. the wiiu is not trying to appeal to a new demographic....its trying to appeal to the wii demographic, tablet users and take a lump out of everyone else. in this regard (especially in the latter) ninty completly screwed up. they need a big hit for different demographics. its a shame ninty didnt get watch dogs as an exclusive. a new IP with a lot of potential on a new system with bucket loads and the game would seem really well suited to the platform. it has everything the wiiu needs...its very perty, the idea and the wiiu controller would be a fantastic match and it would make 1 demographic that buys games fairly frequently go "aha...very cool". yet its the one 3rd party game the wiiu does not have. i hope im wrong in this but i think nintendo will be in for a very hard lesson. games sell systems...a rule nintendo know very very well. its why the wii won the sales race...wii sports, mario bros, kart, brawl, resort...all massive system sellers. its also why wii sales have collapsed over the last 18 months or so....no new compelling content outside the niche. however the one thing that probably hasnt dawned on nintendo is that services dictate where the 3rd party multiplat sales go. at the moment there is some exclusive 3rd party support for the wiiu but that will quickly dry up (hell if zombiu is a big hit i wouldnt be surprised to see it appear on other platforms). the PS3 and 360 get barely anything in terms of exclsuive third party....the wiiu will be no different. the fact the game can be played on the controller is not going to sell systems in any massive numbers in and of itself. its a nice feature but (best case scenario) a feature worth a 250 quid investment? its also just a feature....features dont sell hardware in any significant numbers. the fact you list it as a main point should have nintendo very worried. it shouldnt be treated as a main point but a footnote in the book of awesome called "wiiu and why its awesome!". its the 3D of the wiiu. 3D doesnt make the 3DS awesome. awesome games and awesome upcoming games make the 3ds awesome. eventually ninty themselves will fire the big guns and when they do it will be brilliant. i will probably buy 6 wiius and five more 3DSs just out of sheer excitement. nintys first party will do well as usual. perhaps not as well as it has on the wii as i dont see a wii sports type game (i.e. a massive system seller). but ninty aint going out of business any time soon and will deliver top quality. but ninty need to provide a very compelling argument as to why people should choose the wiiu version of multiplats over the competition. if they dont then the wiiu will be left in the same situation as the gamecube. 3rd parties wont be too fussed to exclusively promote the wiiu version so its up to nintendo to make that case. the exclusives the wii and 3DS got/will get is not a luxury the wiiu will have.
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GunSmith1_basic

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#24 GunSmith1_basic
Member since 2002 • 10548 Posts
if it's a profitable machine at $300 (which rumors say is the case) then nintendo has nothing to worry about for the short term at least. We'll see how it stacks up against the next gen MS an Sony consoles. I'm guessing those consoles won't have the huge mistakes of the current gen consoles (RROD for MS and $599 console for Sony)
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#25 Madmangamer364
Member since 2006 • 3716 Posts

No way is Nintendo launching the Wii U above $299. Hell, no way anyone is going to launch above $349 max - people don't want to spend that much money on consoles.Haziqonfire

Y'know, from time to time, I really wonder how much control Nintendo really has on this matter at this point. It's not unreasonable to think that the Wii U could launch for $300 at this point, I suppose, but it's also not unreasonable to think that it will be significantly higher, if you look at what the system itself is dealing with. At the moment, we already have two HD consoles that have been out for years now at such a price, so to mass produce a brand new system is probably going to ask for a healthy price tag. Those systems also launched at almost unprecedent prices and AT A LOSS. Then, there's the Gamepad, which I sure wasn't the cheapest thing to put together. Last, but definitely not least, you have Iwata's comments on the Wii U not being cheap, Nintendo's absolute silence since that point, and the fact that the gaming only company has already seen its last system reach the level of costing more to make than to sell, and there are things in place legitimate enough for Nintendo to ask for a higher price, although I'm almost certain that would do significant damage to the Wii U's commercial potential.

As for the main topic, I actually agree. It's one of the concerns I've had with the Wii U since Nintendo unveiled it. Right now, Nintendo's is going with the assumption that the other systems won't be that much more powerful than the Wii U and the system will have been able to obtain enough momentum to keep it going. Far from a foolproof plan, though. The Dreamcast had one of the best first years a console could dream to have, and it STILL got crushed the moment the PS2 was released. It was such a risky move to work on and release the Wii U at this point in time, especially when the Wii was still a potent system from a popularity standpoint when Nintendo unofficially pulled the plug on it.

It wouldn't surprise me whatever direction the Wii U went in at this point, and that's pretty much what I've been saying for a year now.

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Benficafan_101

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#26 Benficafan_101
Member since 2004 • 404 Posts
Apparently Nintendo doesn't have to worry about anything for a few years now and thats only before they crack anything.Besides, wii made way too much money than they should have.They will be fine, and depending on the price I think they'll sell well again
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Bad-School-Girl

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#27 Bad-School-Girl
Member since 2010 • 880 Posts
Great, I can already see the Third Party being lackluster on the Wii U. With specs that are only slightly better than what we have this gen, next gens leap on other consoles will just destroy Wii Us third party
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#28 superbuuman
Member since 2010 • 6400 Posts

Depends how they price it & launch games now..it just a wait & see now. Price it high & not having enough games at launch could be a repeat of 3DS again. Im sure the sudden 3DS price drop is still on everyone's mind.

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Audacitron

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#29 Audacitron
Member since 2012 • 991 Posts

That's been my main worry from the start. When rumblings came out that the hardware will be comparable or just a little bit better than current gen consoles, my concern was that other console makers were already close to this level this gen, so they'll likely make another big jump next gen and jump right over the Wii U and we'll have the same problem that the Wii had with 3rd party support.

We'll see though. We have no idea what the specs really are. If they find a way to make it worth 3rd party companies' while, then hopefully they'll get some good support. The second screen is something that could be turned into some great gameplay and it is more flexible than straight up motion controls.

I think the E3 conference was a missed opportunity. They didn't really blow people away but there is still time by release to get the hype up for people.

roboccs

If they'd had a game, just one game that showed something visibly beyond current gen, they'd at least stand some chance of cutting into the PS/360 market. If anything, what they showed at this year's E3 conference falls behind the initial tech demos from last year. None of the launch games look as attractive and compelling as Zelda did.

As is, I think they can forget about that market. Realistically, they'd probably be better off to take a look at the market share of the Wii and seeing how much of that they can carry over.

if it's a profitable machine at $300 (which rumors say is the case) then nintendo has nothing to worry about for the short term at least. We'll see how it stacks up against the next gen MS an Sony consoles. I'm guessing those consoles won't have the huge mistakes of the current gen consoles (RROD for MS and $599 console for Sony)GunSmith1_basic

It's only profitable if you can sell it. It could be profitable at $160, but if nobody wants to buy it, you're still going to lose a lot of money.