I recalled this puzzle I was presented with once at a show, and thought it was interesting enough to share.
You and two other men have a crossbow. You are standing equal distances apart to form a triangle. No-one is allowed to move, and each of you will take it in turns to fire.
You have never held a crossbow before. Your chance to hit one of the other people is 30%.
The second person has briefly used a crossbow, and has a 60% chance of hitting whoever he aims at.
The third person has mastered the crossbow. At this range and his target not allowed to move, he will hit 100%. If he aims at you, you are dead.
The order of firing is you, the person with 60% accuracy, then the person with 100% accuracy, until one person is standing.
You get to go first; WHAT DO YOU DO?
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