How much time until Physical Media is gone?

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Ricardomz

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#1 Ricardomz
Member since 2012 • 2715 Posts

So guys, how much time do you think that will take for games/movies/albums to stop being released with a cover and CD/DVD/Blu-Ray and just being available for download?

How long until Blu-rays and HD-DVDs stop being produced?

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#2 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

When everyone has fiber optic internet connections that can stream 1080p videos without bandwith caps.

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killyou060606

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#3 killyou060606
Member since 2005 • 27091 Posts
45 years
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Pirate700

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#4 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

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kingkong0124

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#5 kingkong0124
Member since 2012 • 8329 Posts

2030

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MrPraline

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#6 MrPraline
Member since 2008 • 21351 Posts
Yeah I think movies will last for a while. Especially with the collector's edition thingies and the (addictive) boxsets.
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Pirate700

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#7 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

Yeah I think movies will last for a while. Especially with the collector's edition thingies and the (addictive) boxsets.MrPraline
Pretty much. Having a hard copy of a movie doesn't mean anything to me anymore, but they definitely lend themselves the most to people owning them.

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BossPerson

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#8 BossPerson
Member since 2011 • 9177 Posts

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

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deactivated-5b1e62582e305

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#9 deactivated-5b1e62582e305
Member since 2004 • 30778 Posts

CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores.

Pirate700

Seriously? In every big business store I go to like Wal-Mart, Best Buy, Target, HMV, etc. the CD section is always the biggest.

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DroidPhysX

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#10 DroidPhysX
Member since 2010 • 17098 Posts

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

BossPerson
Read somewhere that it's cheaper and faster sending a HDD with some movies to the other side of canada and receiving it than actually downloading it.
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Pirate700

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#11 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

[QUOTE="Pirate700"]

CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores.

Aljosa23

Seriously? In every big business store I go to like Wal-Mart, Best Buy, Target, HMV, etc. the CD section is always the biggest.

The CD section at the Wallyworld here is just a few little sections of racks. Haven't seen anyone actually looking at a CD there either in ages. Likewise for movies there or at Best Buy or Fys. The sections don't have anyone looking at anything. Obviously part of that is online sales but the sections are getting smaller and smaller.

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zenogandia

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#12 zenogandia
Member since 2012 • 861 Posts

Does anyone know if blurays are doing well? I have a pretty beefy collection, but my isp is horrific and I can't stream bluray quality movies.

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BossPerson

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#13 BossPerson
Member since 2011 • 9177 Posts
[QUOTE="BossPerson"]

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

DroidPhysX
Read somewhere that it's cheaper and faster sending a HDD with some movies to the other side of canada and receiving it than actually downloading it.

wouldnt doubt that i cant imagine using steam here in canada
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Pirate700

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#14 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

Does anyone know if blurays are doing well? I have a pretty beefy collection, but my isp is horrific and I can't stream bluray quality movies.

zenogandia

I think they're doing pretty well. The prices are down to earth and the selections are larger. Bluray is kind of a victim of the times though. I wouldn't ever count on the format to do as well as DVD did in its prime.

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chronos2013

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#15 chronos2013
Member since 2013 • 25 Posts
When the current children become the elderly.
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deactivated-5f9e3c6a83e51

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#16 deactivated-5f9e3c6a83e51
Member since 2004 • 57548 Posts

3 days.

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Wolfetan

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#17 Wolfetan
Member since 2010 • 7522 Posts

3 days.

sonicare
+1
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michael_1234576

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#18 michael_1234576
Member since 2004 • 8621 Posts
But, but I like to get physical
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dave123321

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#19 dave123321
Member since 2003 • 35554 Posts
45 yearskillyou060606
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Legend002

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#20 Legend002
Member since 2007 • 13405 Posts

COUNTDOWN

^We have plenty of time.

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Nibroc420

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#21 Nibroc420
Member since 2007 • 13571 Posts
[QUOTE="DroidPhysX"][QUOTE="BossPerson"]

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

BossPerson
Read somewhere that it's cheaper and faster sending a HDD with some movies to the other side of canada and receiving it than actually downloading it.

wouldnt doubt that i cant imagine using steam here in canada

I get 5mb/s on average, here, in canada, while using steam.
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The__Kraken

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#22 The__Kraken
Member since 2012 • 858 Posts

A long time.

So long that everybody on OT at this moment will be either old or dead.

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Ace6301

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#23 Ace6301
Member since 2005 • 21389 Posts
[QUOTE="BossPerson"]

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

DroidPhysX
Read somewhere that it's cheaper and faster sending a HDD with some movies to the other side of canada and receiving it than actually downloading it.

Possibly. The East coast of Canada has really atrocious ISPs and the West isn't much better off. It's an industry that takes far too much money to start a business in and as such monopolies are rampant and so long as the telecommunications board is largely made up of former Bell employees the government won't be giving any funding to upgrade anything or help start new competition. Sort of the same issue as in the US except we don't have Googles money bags to potentially save us from mediocrity.
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#25 fueled-system
Member since 2008 • 6529 Posts
[QUOTE="DroidPhysX"][QUOTE="BossPerson"]

Until Canada can get 1st world internet speeds (or actually 2nd world speeds the way eastern europe gets insane speeds), I need physcial media.

Ace6301
Read somewhere that it's cheaper and faster sending a HDD with some movies to the other side of canada and receiving it than actually downloading it.

Possibly. The East coast of Canada has really atrocious ISPs and the West isn't much better off. It's an industry that takes far too much money to start a business in and as such monopolies are rampant and so long as the telecommunications board is largely made up of former Bell employees the government won't be giving any funding to upgrade anything or help start new competition. Sort of the same issue as in the US except we don't have Googles money bags to potentially save us from mediocrity.

Much of the United States is stuck with Satellite internet. I'm stuck with Satellite right now but it isn't too bad aside from a pathetic 20gb data limit. I don't think many people on this site get just how much of places in Canada and the United States are stuck with 2005 type internet
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AvengedSixfold

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#26 AvengedSixfold
Member since 2011 • 80 Posts

I hope this never happens, I would miss it all just like I miss having hard copies of books to read.

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soulless4now

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#27 soulless4now
Member since 2003 • 41388 Posts

Another 15 years at least.

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Serraph105

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#28 Serraph105
Member since 2007 • 36092 Posts

To be honest I've sort of jumped off the digital bandwagon. That's not to say I don't listen to MP3s, and watch movies that are sitting on my hard drive. However until people can buy digital copies of music/movies/books, and are legally allowed to do whatever you want with your copy then it's not worth it to me. I don't like the idea that people are buying things that they don't get to own.

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dave123321

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#29 dave123321
Member since 2003 • 35554 Posts
I watch a lot of stuff on Netflix. Mostly tv shows
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layton2012

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#30 layton2012
Member since 2011 • 3489 Posts
Not until digital becomes standard and that could be 10 even 20 years, Blu-ray is not even standard yet.
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Yusuke420

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#31 Yusuke420
Member since 2012 • 2770 Posts

If google is succesful in it's fiber optic internet venture, we could see a very rapid move toward digital distribution as the main source of entertainment.

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#32 Crunchy_Nuts
Member since 2010 • 2749 Posts
Until you can get a better version of the product online. E.g. a movie would have to be better or equivalent to the blu-ray version in terms of quality.
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#33 Celldrax
Member since 2005 • 15053 Posts

When everyone has fiber optic internet connections that can stream 1080p videos without bandwith caps.

Aljosa23

That would be glorious indeed. Even I'd be willing to eventually give up physical media for that.

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#34 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38934 Posts
not sure.. until all-digital availability becomes 100% people are still going to want physical copies... also for backup purposes people will need physical media to store their personal data on.. probably longer than we think.
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worlock77

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#35 worlock77
Member since 2009 • 22552 Posts

Gone completely? Never.

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Pirate700

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#36 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

If google is succesful in it's fiber optic internet venture, we could see a very rapid move toward digital distribution as the main source of entertainment.

Yusuke420

We're already long on the rapid shift towards digital distribution. Heck, I buy everything digitally now if I can.

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#37 LJS9502_basic
Member since 2003 • 180110 Posts

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

Pirate700
I still see CDs....and that is how I buy my music.
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Pirate700

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#38 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

[QUOTE="Pirate700"]

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

LJS9502_basic

I still see CDs....and that is how I buy my music.

I still see them, but their selection/sections are diminishing rapidly. At least by me.

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#39 LJS9502_basic
Member since 2003 • 180110 Posts

[QUOTE="LJS9502_basic"][QUOTE="Pirate700"]

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

Pirate700

I still see CDs....and that is how I buy my music.

I still see them, but their selection/sections are diminishing rapidly. At least by me.

Movie and game selections are small in non specialized stores as well. Doesn't mean the product doesn't sell. Amazon.....
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#40 worlock77
Member since 2009 • 22552 Posts

[QUOTE="LJS9502_basic"][QUOTE="Pirate700"]

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

Pirate700

I still see CDs....and that is how I buy my music.

I still see them, but their selection/sections are diminishing rapidly. At least by me.

Most brick-and-mortars, however, overprice their CDs. CDs can usually be found cheaper online (even with shipping) and that's how most people tend to buy them these days.

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Pirate700

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#41 Pirate700
Member since 2008 • 46465 Posts

[QUOTE="Pirate700"]

[QUOTE="LJS9502_basic"] I still see CDs....and that is how I buy my music.LJS9502_basic

I still see them, but their selection/sections are diminishing rapidly. At least by me.

Movie and game selections are small in non specialized stores as well. Doesn't mean the product doesn't sell. Amazon.....

Fair enough.

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horgen

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#42 horgen  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 127731 Posts

I'd imagine by the end of this decade, for your average consumer. CDs have already almost disappeared at a lot of stores. Movies will probably be the last hold out. To completely be unavailable though, who knows.

Pirate700
Streaming music...many in the industrialised world can do that. Streaming 1080P blu-ray quality movies requires much more bandwidth plus many has a cap on how much they can dl per month which also is a hinder. DL movies helps a bit if you got a slow connection, but the cap is still there if you have one.
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unrealtron

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#43 unrealtron
Member since 2010 • 3148 Posts
I hope it doesn't happen. In my country the fastest download speed is like 10 mb/sec. And it's really expensive.
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#44 osirisx3
Member since 2012 • 2113 Posts

never

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#45 LoG-Sacrament
Member since 2006 • 20397 Posts

i still think it's going to be a really long time for some media.

i mean, i could see CD's disappearing in a decade or so because mostly everybody can easily download relatively high quality audio already and hardware is trending towards that ease with low barriers on computers and more support in cars. maybe vinyl or something similar will stick around as a niche for audiophiles, but i can see CD's as an early demise for the vast majority of people.

however, i don't see physical media in movies going anytime soon. a lot of people already have issues downloading blu-ray type file sizes and who knows what file sizes will be needed for movies if sony's 4K TV idea picks up. it seems like hardware is advancing faster than our ability to get the software.

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sukraj

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#46 sukraj
Member since 2008 • 27859 Posts

50 years

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whipassmt

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#47 whipassmt
Member since 2007 • 15375 Posts

I hope physical media doesn't go away, I prefer physical media. I don't use any of that digital download crap. I prefer CDs and DVDs and videos.

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lonewolfman10

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#48 lonewolfman10
Member since 2012 • 528 Posts

Maybe in 2020? Does people even buy CD's nowadays?

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megagene

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#49 megagene
Member since 2005 • 23162 Posts
Hopefully not within my lifetime. I like holding stuff and putting it on a shelf.