Jobless Claims Rise 'Unexpectedly'

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Planet_Pluto

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#1 Planet_Pluto
Member since 2011 • 2235 Posts

Title says it all.

From the Article:

Applications for unemployment benefits continued to rise in the past week, while inflation pushed higher and a key manufacturing index weakened.

The weekly jobless claims number, which is closely watched as an indicator for employment trends, unexpectedly rose 11,000 to 428,000, well ahead of estimates of 411,000.

Link: http://www.cnbc.com/id/44532025

-

Anyone seeing a light at the end of the tunnel?

-

EDIT: I put unexpectedly in quotes because I find it funny that just about EVERY time there is movement in jobless claims in either direction, the articles open with "blah, blah, blah unexpectedly." If they are always so wrong, why keep making predictions?

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th3warr1or

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#2 th3warr1or
Member since 2007 • 20637 Posts

Duhn duhn duhn..

BREAKING NEWS: THIS JUST IN, OBAMA IS NOT THE MESSIAH! :o

Yeah.. not surprised at all.

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deactivated-590595a6292ce

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#3 deactivated-590595a6292ce
Member since 2008 • 5080 Posts

He did promise change :P

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TheHighWind

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#4 TheHighWind
Member since 2003 • 5724 Posts

Get a haircut and get a real job.


Clean your act up and don't be a slob.


Get it together like your big brother Bob.

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kulmiye

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#5 kulmiye
Member since 2004 • 12094 Posts

Get a haircut and get a real job.


Clean your act up and don't be a slob.


Get it together like your big brother Bob.

TheHighWind

Kick all doors down instead of using a knob.

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th3warr1or

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#6 th3warr1or
Member since 2007 • 20637 Posts

[QUOTE="TheHighWind"]

Get a haircut and get a real job.


Clean your act up and don't be a slob.


Get it together like your big brother Bob.

kulmiye

Kick all doors down instead of using a knob.

Oh for god's sake, get a key fob.

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surrealnumber5

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#7 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts

"Anyone seeing a light at the end of the tunnel?"

the pendulum swings both ways, our problems are political and the worse things get the more pressure is put on politicians to stop their destructive policies.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_BHLguFEN3M&feature=feedua vid i think you might like knobi

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Planet_Pluto

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#8 Planet_Pluto
Member since 2011 • 2235 Posts

"Anyone seeing a light at the end of the tunnel?"

the pendulum swings both ways, our problems are political and the worse things get the more pressure is put on politicians to stop their destructive policies.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_BHLguFEN3M&feature=feedua vid i think you might like knobi

surrealnumber5

Thanks. At the office now so I e-mailed the link to myself to check out later.

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deactivated-590595a6292ce

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#9 deactivated-590595a6292ce
Member since 2008 • 5080 Posts

[QUOTE="kulmiye"]

[QUOTE="TheHighWind"]

Get a haircut and get a real job.


Clean your act up and don't be a slob.


Get it together like your big brother Bob.

th3warr1or

Kick all doors down instead of using a knob.

Oh for god's sake, get a key fob.

Or just join a mob.

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Planet_Pluto

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#10 Planet_Pluto
Member since 2011 • 2235 Posts

[QUOTE="th3warr1or"]

[QUOTE="kulmiye"] Kick all doors down instead of using a knob.

Conno08

Oh for god's sake, get a key fob.

Or just join a mob.

Then use Twitter to start a Flash Rob.

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surrealnumber5

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#11 surrealnumber5
Member since 2008 • 23044 Posts

[QUOTE="th3warr1or"]

[QUOTE="kulmiye"] Kick all doors down instead of using a knob.

Conno08

Oh for god's sake, get a key fob.

Or just join a mob.

its what the unemployed youth are doing

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deactivated-59d151f079814

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#12 deactivated-59d151f079814
Member since 2003 • 47239 Posts
How was this unexpected? There has been little form of any real government help outside of a stimulus which economic experts said was too small to do any good.
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Johnny_Rock

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#13 Johnny_Rock
Member since 2002 • 40314 Posts

He did promise change :P

Conno08

Indeed. When he was elected President, I had a job. Now I am unemployed. That's change for ya!

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ristactionjakso

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#14 ristactionjakso
Member since 2011 • 6118 Posts

haha unexpectedly................ no it was expected lol.

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The-Apostle

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#15 The-Apostle
Member since 2004 • 12197 Posts

He did promise change :P

Conno08
Yeah, and if this is the change he had in mind someone needs to tell him to take it back. :x
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Ultimas_Blade

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#16 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

Republicans have the House

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AndyAlfredo

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#17 AndyAlfredo
Member since 2009 • 1402 Posts

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

Ultimas_Blade

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

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Mafiree

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#18 Mafiree
Member since 2008 • 3704 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

AndyAlfredo

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......
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Ultimas_Blade

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#19 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

AndyAlfredo

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

I hate when people say 'especially if it was from xyz'. Can you disprove ANYTHING from that chart?

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Ultimas_Blade

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#20 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="AndyAlfredo"]

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

Mafiree

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

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Nibroc420

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#21 Nibroc420
Member since 2007 • 13571 Posts

[QUOTE="Mafiree"][QUOTE="AndyAlfredo"]

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Ultimas_Blade

Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

1.)Who said they were conservative? 2.)What does it have to do with them not being able to understand your charts? Seems you're just bashing people left and right because they don't agree with you....l
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ionusX

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#22 ionusX
Member since 2009 • 25778 Posts

[QUOTE="AndyAlfredo"]

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

Ultimas_Blade

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

I hate when people say 'especially if it was from xyz'. Can you disprove ANYTHING from that chart? You can't, but it probably won't make a difference in your mind as the cognitive dissonance clouds your ability to reason.

indeed.

its like people calling game reviewers at destyructoid or joystiq uncredible.. they reviewed a game and gave an honest and as unbiased as they could assessment of the game. if it stunk it stunk when they played it. if it didnt it got praise. nothing wrong with any review u jsut mad it got a high/low score.

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Mafiree

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#23 Mafiree
Member since 2008 • 3704 Posts

[QUOTE="Mafiree"][QUOTE="AndyAlfredo"]

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Ultimas_Blade

Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

And that is different how? If x amount of jobs will change the unemployment rate by y%, showing graphs of either job creation or the unemployment rate are the same thing.
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Ultimas_Blade

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#24 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

[QUOTE="Mafiree"] Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......Nibroc420

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

1.)Who said they were conservative? 2.)What does it have to do with them not being able to understand your charts? Seems you're just bashing people left and right because they don't agree with you....l

Are you familiar with these posters? That answers your first question. The fact that Mafiree said "Unemployment is a lagged indicator" when no data on unemployment was given.

You're just talking out the side of your neck on that Nibroc. If they had valid arguments they would have A) Showed that the data was misrepresented or B) Not made statements that weren't even based on the information shown.

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Ultimas_Blade

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#25 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

[QUOTE="Mafiree"] Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......Nibroc420

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

1.)Who said they were conservative? 2.)What does it have to do with them not being able to understand your charts? Seems you're just bashing people left and right because they don't agree with you....l

Are you familiar with these posters? That answers your first question. The fact that Mafiree said "Unemployment is a lagged indicator" when no data on unemployment was given.

You're just talking out the side of your neck on that Nibroc. If they had valid arguments they would have A) Showed that the data was misrepresented or B) Not made statements that weren't even based on the information shown.

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Nibroc420

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#26 Nibroc420
Member since 2007 • 13571 Posts

[QUOTE="Nibroc420"][QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

Ultimas_Blade

1.)Who said they were conservative? 2.)What does it have to do with them not being able to understand your charts? Seems you're just bashing people left and right because they don't agree with you....l

Are you familiar with these posters? That answers your first question. The fact that Mafiree said "Unemployment is a lagged indicator" when no data on unemployment was given.

You're just talking out the side of your neck on that Nibroc. If they had valid arguments they would have A) Showed that the data was misrepresented or B) Not made statements that weren't even based on the information shown.

1.) You've chosen to call people names, and attempt to discredit people instead of supporting your initial claim. 2.) You're saying that Job creation numbers, and unemployment numbers are completely unrelated. Simply posting a graph, and insulting people who question the validity of the statistics isn't the best way to create discussion.
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Ultimas_Blade

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#27 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

[QUOTE="Mafiree"] Plus Unemployment is a lagged indicator......Mafiree

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

And that is different how? If x amount of jobs will change the unemployment rate by y%, showing graphs of either job creation or the unemployment rate are the same thing.

That's expressly wrong because umemployment is gauged by the # of applications for unemployment benefits. Jobs created is based on employer hiring (tracked by things like the I-9 Form). Again, you're just wrong on that logic.

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ScottMescudi

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#28 ScottMescudi
Member since 2011 • 1550 Posts

[QUOTE="Conno08"]

[QUOTE="th3warr1or"] Oh for god's sake, get a key fob.

Planet_Pluto

Or just join a mob.

Then use Twitter to start a Flash Rob.

Then eat corn on the cob

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Ace6301

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#29 Ace6301
Member since 2005 • 21389 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

AndyAlfredo

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Acting as if the conservatives in this thread didn't already jump off the logic train into correlation street. People lost jobs, we're in a recession it's no surprise. The government hasn't really done anything for the last I don't even know how long. At this point shouldn't you be blaming the companies that according to you guys makes all the jobs?
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Nibroc420

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#30 Nibroc420
Member since 2007 • 13571 Posts

[QUOTE="Planet_Pluto"]

[QUOTE="Conno08"]

Or just join a mob.

ScottMescudi

Then use Twitter to start a Flash Rob.

Then eat corn on the cob

But they cant without a job :(
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ScottMescudi

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#31 ScottMescudi
Member since 2011 • 1550 Posts

[QUOTE="ScottMescudi"]

[QUOTE="Planet_Pluto"]Then use Twitter to start a Flash Rob.

Nibroc420

Then eat corn on the cob

But they cant without a job :(

Then steal some money from a fob

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Ultimas_Blade

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#32 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

[QUOTE="Nibroc420"] 1.)Who said they were conservative? 2.)What does it have to do with them not being able to understand your charts? Seems you're just bashing people left and right because they don't agree with you....lNibroc420

Are you familiar with these posters? That answers your first question. The fact that Mafiree said "Unemployment is a lagged indicator" when no data on unemployment was given.

You're just talking out the side of your neck on that Nibroc. If they had valid arguments they would have A) Showed that the data was misrepresented or B) Not made statements that weren't even based on the information shown.

1.) You've chosen to call people names, and attempt to discredit people instead of supporting your initial claim. 2.) You're saying that Job creation numbers, and unemployment numbers are completely unrelated. Simply posting a graph, and insulting people who question the validity of the statistics isn't the best way to create discussion.

Whatever Nibroc. I called them names? Whoop-de-do. If it was egregious I'm sure the mods would be bearing down on me (they are usually swift about it).

Anyways, they were making Ad Hominem arguments. They didn't say "Data A was untrue because of Data B", they said that "Data A was untrue because of its source". No real examination of the evidence.

Of course the two aren't completely unrelated, but when talking about the statistics that are given on a daily basis, the raw number of Jobs created does not affect the Unemployment Rate directly because the persons getting hired weren't necessarily applying for benefits or had exhausted benefits.

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Mafiree

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#33 Mafiree
Member since 2008 • 3704 Posts

[QUOTE="Mafiree"][QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Unemployment? Are you conservatives even reading the chart? These are jobs created! Can't you just for amoment digest the information put in front of you?

Ultimas_Blade

And that is different how? If x amount of jobs will change the unemployment rate by y%, showing graphs of either job creation or the unemployment rate are the same thing.

That's expressly wrong because umemployment is gauged by the # of applications for unemployment benefits. Jobs created is based on employer hiring (tracked by things like the I-9 Form). Again, you're just wrong on that logic.

Job Creation and fluctuations in the size of the labor source are the determinants of the unemployment rate.......
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Ultimas_Blade

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#34 Ultimas_Blade
Member since 2004 • 3671 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

[QUOTE="Mafiree"] And that is different how? If x amount of jobs will change the unemployment rate by y%, showing graphs of either job creation or the unemployment rate are the same thing.Mafiree

That's expressly wrong because umemployment is gauged by the # of applications for unemployment benefits. Jobs created is based on employer hiring (tracked by things like the I-9 Form). Again, you're just wrong on that logic.

Job Creation and fluctuations in the size of the labor source are the determinants of the unemployment rate.......

Wrong. It is taken from those who are actively seeking work. That number does not include ALL unemployed individuals (and I'm not talking about the youth, disabled, elderly, etc. Talking able-bodied adults)

http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_htgm.htm

Persons are classified as unemployed if they do not have a job, have actively looked for work in the prior 4 weeks, and are currently available for work.Bureau-of-Labor-Statistics

EDIT: And just to cover my bases for those who are trying to thread my posts, to receive unemployment benefits in most if not all states you must show that you are either engaged in seeking new employment or that you are currently training or studying for a certification or degree.

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hartsickdiscipl

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#35 hartsickdiscipl
Member since 2003 • 14787 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultimas_Blade"]

Job creation was slow but positive until the Republicans took the House. No direct correlation you say?

AndyAlfredo

IIRC there is a quote "Correlation does not imply causation." Especially if taken from the Daily Kos.

Whoever said that was wrong. Correlation canimply causation depending on the situation, but it doesn't prove it per se. In this case I think we can be fairly confident that the stunt pulled by the GOP seriously hurt the economy.

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VaguelyTagged

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#36 VaguelyTagged
Member since 2009 • 10702 Posts

i read the title as topless claims..:?

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tenaka2

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#37 tenaka2
Member since 2004 • 17958 Posts

i read the title as topless claims..:?

VaguelyTagged

Afraid not, its just the daily blame Obama thread.

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Tangmashi

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#38 Tangmashi
Member since 2007 • 1093 Posts

Obama has been a disaster. The american people gave the libs a shot atrunning this country only for them to run it into the ground.