The economy is going to hell

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Dark-Sithious

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#1 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

Have you ever been to hell? It's not nice

Just so you are prepared, more and more people will lose their jobs along with increased inflation, possibly hyper inflation. By the end of 2009 or thestart of 2010 it will be really bad, a lot worse than it is now. If you have a substantial amount of money, buy either gold bars or gold coins to counter the inflation. That will secure your assets.

Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. We don't have a gold standard to rely on this time, so expect terrible inflation.

You can quote me on this 6-7 months from now

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KG86

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#2 KG86
Member since 2007 • 6021 Posts

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

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Dark-Sithious

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#3 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

KG86

Every man for him self :p

You can't just wait for your stocks to decrease in value. China is interesting though as they still have a rather substantial yearly growth

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paul939

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#4 paul939
Member since 2007 • 4022 Posts
It's the end of the world!!!
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Dr_Brocoli

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#5 Dr_Brocoli
Member since 2007 • 3724 Posts

[QUOTE="KG86"]

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

Dark-Sithious

Every man for him self :p

You can't just wait for your stocks to decrease in value. China is interesting though as they still have a rather substantial yearly growth

And that is a reason why it crashed...
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TheFragcat

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#6 TheFragcat
Member since 2008 • 2466 Posts

The monetary system is killing us all!

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Dark-Sithious

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#7 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

[QUOTE="KG86"]

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

Dr_Brocoli

Every man for him self :p

You can't just wait for your stocks to decrease in value. China is interesting though as they still have a rather substantial yearly growth

And that is a reason why it crashed...

Umm, no. You do know why the economy fell to it knees?

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manicfoot

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#8 manicfoot
Member since 2006 • 2670 Posts

The time for discussing this on forums has ended. *grabs shotgun*Time forsome good ol' fashioned lootin'.

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Naruto

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#9 Naruto
Member since 2002 • 8673 Posts
Todays economy is built upon faith in the market. Nothing is worth more than what we belive it is therefore not believing in the economy is making it worse.
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authorityissues

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#10 authorityissues
Member since 2009 • 387 Posts

The economy's not good, but it'll rebound sometime.

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-Sun_Tzu-

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#11 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts
How will unemployment and inflation both increase? There will not been an increase in inflation without an increase in employment unless there is a supply shock of some kind.
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joelgargan

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#12 joelgargan
Member since 2008 • 1009 Posts

S'all cool G's...

I'm 15 8)

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NSR34GTR

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#14 NSR34GTR
Member since 2007 • 13179 Posts
pretty sure most ppl know this
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warbmxjohn

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#15 warbmxjohn
Member since 2007 • 6014 Posts

[QUOTE="Dr_Brocoli"][QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

Every man for him self :p

You can't just wait for your stocks to decrease in value. China is interesting though as they still have a rather substantial yearly growth

Dark-Sithious

And that is a reason why it crashed...

Umm, no. You do know why the economy fell to it knees?

Please, enlighten us.
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Bourbons3

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#16 Bourbons3
Member since 2003 • 24238 Posts

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

KG86
Yes it is. Its the small-minded people who queued outside Northern Rock to draw out their money that killed the bank. But people don't seem to realise that. Its like people who buy extra petrol during a petrol strike. Or those who go on strike by blocking petrol supply to try and lower petrol prices. All that happens is the opposite - prices sky-rocket. But people, as a group, are stupid, and panic at anything. Any of those protesters at the G20 who think that the economy could be better handled by a different form of government were disillusional You can't trust the public to do anything right.
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Dark-Sithious

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#17 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

How will unemployment and inflation both increase? There will not been an increase in inflation without an increase in employment unless there is a supply shock of some kind. -Sun_Tzu-

The gov. is spitting money into the market, thus increasing inflation.

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Legendaryscmt

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#18 Legendaryscmt
Member since 2005 • 12532 Posts

In times like this, selling all your stocks would be a stupid idea. If anything, because of the low prices, you should be buying stocks. That way, when the economy gets better, your stocks increase, and then you can sell them for a profit.

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Dark-Sithious

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#19 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="KG86"]

I don't know much about economics but isn't everybody selling their stock going to make the economy worse?

Bourbons3

Yes it is. Its the small-minded people who queued outside Northern Rock to draw out their money that killed the bank. But people don't seem to realise that. Its like people who buy extra petrol during a petrol strike. Or those who go on strike by blocking petrol supply to try and lower petrol prices. All that happens is the opposite - prices sky-rocket. But people, as a group, are stupid, and panic at anything. Any of those protesters at the G20 who think that the economy could be better handled by a different form of government were disillusional You can't trust the public to do anything right.

Taking your money out of the bank if you're not going to spend it on anything is stupid yes. But selling your stocks now is the wise for you as an individual to do.

The market is going to rebound, but the stimulus bills aren't really helping the economy, even short term it's not that great, and in long term, it is going to increase inflation and devalue your assets.

Let's say there's 10.000X in circulation and you have 1000 X, so you have 10% of all the money, then the Gov decides to spit in another 10000X to stimulate the economy, then you still have your 1000X, but you only have 5% of the total money.

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Dark-Sithious

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#20 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

In times like this, selling all your stocks would be a stupid idea. If anything, because of the low prices, you should be buying stocks. That way, when the economy gets better, your stocks increase, and then you can sell them for a profit.

Legendaryscmt

The thing is, the economy isn't going to get better anytime soon. And the stocks can go lower, they can go all the way down to 0, and then you're ******

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DaBrainz

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#21 DaBrainz
Member since 2007 • 7959 Posts

I have faith that the market will self correct despite the irresponsible government spending. It won't stop them from taking credit though.

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Dark-Sithious

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#22 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

pretty sure most ppl know thisNSR34GTR

Apparently not.

A lot of people think all the stimulus bills will suddenly kick start the economy, which simply won't happen. The economy will rebound, but not artificially

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Dark-Sithious

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#23 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

I have faith that the market will self correct despite the irresponsible government spending. It won't stop them from taking credit though.

DaBrainz

Yes it will, but it will take some time, maybe a decade or more. But as long as gov are spending inflation will skyrocket. USA has spent more than their 2008GDP in stimulus bills. If you don't think this will result in inflation, well then have fun in your bubble

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MetallicaKings

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#24 MetallicaKings
Member since 2004 • 4781 Posts

Have you ever been to hell? It's not nice

Just so you are prepared, more and more people will lose their jobs along with increased inflation, possibly hyper inflation. By the end of 2009 or thestart of 2010 it will be really bad, a lot worse than it is now. If you have a substantial amount of money, buy either gold bars or gold coins to counter the inflation. That will secure your assets.

Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. We don't have a gold standard to rely on this time, so expect terrible inflation.

You can quote me on this 6-7 months from now

Dark-Sithious
lol this guy is hilarious. have you been living in a cave for the past few months?
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MetallicaKings

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#25 MetallicaKings
Member since 2004 • 4781 Posts

[QUOTE="DaBrainz"]

I have faith that the market will self correct despite the irresponsible government spending. It won't stop them from taking credit though.

Dark-Sithious

Yes it will, but itwill take some time, maybe a decade or more. But as long as gov are spending inflation will skyrocket

ive never heard any respectable financial adviser thinking it would take a decade to bounce back. Most think by 2010 we would've hit rock bottom. If you are referring to getting back to where we were before the recession, then maybe.
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horgen

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#26 horgen  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 127731 Posts
The economy might go to hell.. But for those with a stable job, wouldn't times become better?
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Dark-Sithious

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#27 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

Have you ever been to hell? It's not nice

Just so you are prepared, more and more people will lose their jobs along with increased inflation, possibly hyper inflation. By the end of 2009 or thestart of 2010 it will be really bad, a lot worse than it is now. If you have a substantial amount of money, buy either gold bars or gold coins to counter the inflation. That will secure your assets.

Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. We don't have a gold standard to rely on this time, so expect terrible inflation.

You can quote me on this 6-7 months from now

MetallicaKings

lol this guy is hilarious. have you been living in a cave for the past few months?

You mean I haven't seen the upturn? But wait, more and more people are losing their jobs, so a slight temproarlyupturn on the Dow Jones is insignificant

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Lance_C

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#28 Lance_C
Member since 2004 • 34544 Posts
It's temporary and it will surely go up again. No doubt about it. All countries are investing in their own economy, like China, who has invested about 12% of their GDP into their economy to stimulate consumption within their country, since the export has decreased, because the US is their most important customer, when it comes to exports and we know the US story so we won't be expecting a lot, if the US aren't healing their economy. But they will rise again, along with the help of Obama.
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-Misanthropic-

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#29 -Misanthropic-
Member since 2009 • 3603 Posts

Is AIG's shares still cheap as chips?

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Dark-Sithious

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#30 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

The economy might go to hell.. But for those with a stable job, wouldn't times become better?horgen123

Well, if we assume that you can keep your job regardless of the economic situation, then times would still get worse due to inflation, at least in the beginning.

Poor economic growth will eventually lead to deflation, unless the Gov does something stupid again.

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Dark-Sithious

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#31 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

It's temporary and it will surely go up again. No doubt about it. All countries are investing in their own economy, like China, who has invested about 12% of their GDP into their economy to stimulate consumption within their country, since the export has decreased, because the US is their most important customer, when it comes to exports and we know the US story so we won't be expecting a lot, if the US aren't healing their economy. But they will rise again, along with the help of Obama.Lance_C

Yes it is temporary, but it will still take some time

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Stesilaus

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#32 Stesilaus
Member since 2007 • 4999 Posts

Don't worry. World War III will jumpstart the economy and everything will be fine again (aside from the radioactive fallout). :|

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Dark-Sithious

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#33 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

Don't worry. World War IIIwill jumpstart the economy and everything will be fine again (aside from the radioactive fallout). :|

Stesilaus

Could be, I actually believe WW3 is near, very near, but that's just my opinion which is not based on facts or observable informationso I'm not going to argue for it.

Either way imagine this, more and more people lose their jobs, those who lose their jobs will get reduced or zero income, and at the same time, prices increase due to insane gov. spending.

You earn less, and your buying power is reduced.

I predicted in an earlier thread that the Dow Jones would rise in all of April, and it is still on the rise. And as before, by the end of April, or mid May it will start to fall rapidly again, I predict.

Amateur predictions btw

But here is the thread which I made the April "prediction"at least I've guessed right so far.

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Euroshinobi

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#34 Euroshinobi
Member since 2009 • 3299 Posts

The economy always end up fixing itself.

If the Great Depression when nobody knew what economy is ends up fixing itself, I'm pretty we'll be alright

999realthings

Yep, everyone will, Britain is currently in a recession aswell, and im pretty sure its not the end of britain, everything is not gonna be roses all the time, but we always pull ourselves out........everyone keeps blabbing about how bad things are, and that people arent spending enough........But Console/Game/Film/Music/tech sales are still sky rocketing :/, i feel that people who go "Omfg were all gonna die its hopeless" are the people who make each and every country weak and should gtfo lol

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Stesilaus

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#35 Stesilaus
Member since 2007 • 4999 Posts

[QUOTE="Stesilaus"]

Don't worry. World War III will jumpstart the economy and everything will be fine again (aside from the radioactive fallout). :|

Dark-Sithious

Could be, I actually believe WW3 is near, very near, but that's just my opinion which is not based on facts or observable informationso I'm not going to argue for it.

Either way imagine this, more and more people lose their jobs, those who lose their jobs will get reduced or zero income, and at the same time, prices increase due to insane gov. spending.

You earn less, and your buying power is reduced.

I predicted in an earlier thread that the Dow Jones would rise in all of April, and it is still on the rise. And as before, by the end of April, or mid May it will start to fall rapidly again, I predict.

Amateur predictions btw

Speaking of troubling predictions ...

Didn't a Russian commentator recently predict that the United States would collapse within a year or two? Everybody scoffed at him, of course, but now Texas is talking of seceding! :shock:

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duxup

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#36 duxup
Member since 2002 • 43443 Posts
Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. Dark-Sithious
So did you just catch on to this whole economic crisis now? That is the worst stock advice I've heard yet. You don't make money selling after you already took losses.
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Dark-Sithious

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#37 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

[QUOTE="Stesilaus"]

Don't worry. World War III will jumpstart the economy and everything will be fine again (aside from the radioactive fallout). :|

Stesilaus

Could be, I actually believe WW3 is near, very near, but that's just my opinion which is not based on facts or observable informationso I'm not going to argue for it.

Either way imagine this, more and more people lose their jobs, those who lose their jobs will get reduced or zero income, and at the same time, prices increase due to insane gov. spending.

You earn less, and your buying power is reduced.

I predicted in an earlier thread that the Dow Jones would rise in all of April, and it is still on the rise. And as before, by the end of April, or mid May it will start to fall rapidly again, I predict.

Amateur predictions btw

Speaking of troubling predictions ...

Didn't a Russian commentator recently predict that the United States would collapse within a year or two? Everybody scoffed at him, of course, but now Texas is talking of seceding! :shock:

Well, he has been saying this for almost a decade I think, I find it highly unlikely, as USA has vast amount of natural resources and a highly integrated gov.

A bad economic state isn't necessarily going to cause a nation wide revolt, and People believe the gov. is doing their best to save the economy. And if he thinks the gov will simply collapse I wonder on what grounds.

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Euroshinobi

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#38 Euroshinobi
Member since 2009 • 3299 Posts

Lol, Russia will collaspe far before Britain or the USA will, thats for sure

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Mind_Mover

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#39 Mind_Mover
Member since 2005 • 1489 Posts

Kill the fed, kill the old bastards in congress, old fools have been in there long enough, we need fresh blood with fresh ideas, not all this old people crap with their old primitive ways.

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Dark-Sithious

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#40 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. duxup
So did you just catch on to this whole economic crisis now? That is the worst stock advice I've heard yet. You don't make money selling after you already took losses.

Who said anything about making money? You could wait out the month at least as the dow is on the rise, but after that I'd reccomendselling to prevent LOSS.

This is an advice to prevent loss.

You should have sold your (not sayng you have stocks)stocks a long time ago, but we can't really go back in time can we?

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duxup

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#41 duxup
Member since 2002 • 43443 Posts

[QUOTE="duxup"][QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]Oh and if you still have stocks, sell them fast. Dark-Sithious

So did you just catch on to this whole economic crisis now? That is the worst stock advice I've heard yet. You don't make money selling after you already took losses.

Who said anything about making money? You could wait out the month at least as the dow is on the rise, but after that I'd reccomendselling to prevent LOSS.

This is an advice to prevent loss.

No it is advice to prevent any chance of a profit. If you gave that advice 14 months ago it would have been worth while. Now? You don't save money by selling after you take a loss. I don't know if you noticed but the market has been down for a bit now.

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Dark-Sithious

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#42 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

[QUOTE="duxup"] So did you just catch on to this whole economic crisis now? That is the worst stock advice I've heard yet. You don't make money selling after you already took losses. duxup

Who said anything about making money? You could wait out the month at least as the dow is on the rise, but after that I'd reccomendselling to prevent LOSS.

This is an advice to prevent loss.

No it is advice to prevent any chance of a profit. If you gave that advice 14 months ago it would have been worth while. Now? You don't save money by selling after you take a loss. I don't know if you noticed but the market has been down for a bit now.

You sell to prevent further loss, the market will still go even further down. If youare convincedthe economy will suddenlyrebound, then sure keep your stocks, but if you believe this is a slight spike before the rollercoaster really starts to pick up pace, sell.

Companies can go bankrupt :|

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duxup

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#43 duxup
Member since 2002 • 43443 Posts

[QUOTE="duxup"]

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

Who said anything about making money? You could wait out the month at least as the dow is on the rise, but after that I'd reccomendselling to prevent LOSS.

This is an advice to prevent loss.

Dark-Sithious

No it is advice to prevent any chance of a profit. If you gave that advice 14 months ago it would have been worth while. Now? You don't save money by selling after you take a loss. I don't know if you noticed but the market has been down for a bit now.

You sell to prevent further loss, the market will still go even further down. If youare convincedthe economy will suddenlyrebound, then sure keep your stocks, but if you believe this is a slight spike before the rollercoaster really starts to pick up pace, sell.

Companies can go bankrupt :|

Companies can go bankrupt? Did you just recently run across economic news for the first time or something? You're timing and arguments make it seem so. You're talking about timing the market. Most any sane investor will tell you that plan will only result in disaster. If you're investing for the long haul (like most investors) there is no reason to sell at this point.
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shyskillz

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#44 shyskillz
Member since 2006 • 4197 Posts

well i'm not worry at all. i received a $300,000 bonus recently , soon to see returns on 2 more events this quater. i gain another brownstone town house, buying tax debts for ppl who can't pay their own taxes pays off extremely well . i either get the 18% interest or the house, win win every time but i usually sell it for a bigger profit and buy more. and i still have my first litte biz of teaching preschoolers ( in daycare centers ) to use computers...... but i basically retired it to a family member....i dont need to lug around 20 old laptops any more. theres money out there....but you wont find it here.

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Dark-Sithious

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#45 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

[QUOTE="duxup"] No it is advice to prevent any chance of a profit. If you gave that advice 14 months ago it would have been worth while. Now? You don't save money by selling after you take a loss. I don't know if you noticed but the market has been down for a bit now.

duxup

You sell to prevent further loss, the market will still go even further down. If youare convincedthe economy will suddenlyrebound, then sure keep your stocks, but if you believe this is a slight spike before the rollercoaster really starts to pick up pace, sell.

Companies can go bankrupt :|

Companies can go bankrupt? Did you just recently run across economic news for the first time or something? You're timing and arguments make it seem so. You're talking about timing the market. Most any sane investor will tell you that plan will only result in disaster. If you're investing for the long haul (like most investors) there is no reason to sell at this point.

Lulz, I told people to sell their stocks7 months ago. And if you still haven't sold them, sell them. If you're planning to keep your stocks for 5-10 years, then yes it would seem logical to keep them, but I would still recommend selling. And ofc I always knew companies can go bankrupt, I don't think you got the point. The point is, your stocks value can decrease to zero and then it doesn't matter if you plan to sit on those for 100 years, that money is gone.

Your insults won't change anything.

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nitsud_19

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#46 nitsud_19
Member since 2004 • 2519 Posts

Don't worry, there will be another massive world war to boost the economy again. Trust me.

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duxup

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#47 duxup
Member since 2002 • 43443 Posts

[QUOTE="duxup"][QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

You sell to prevent further loss, the market will still go even further down. If youare convincedthe economy will suddenlyrebound, then sure keep your stocks, but if you believe this is a slight spike before the rollercoaster really starts to pick up pace, sell.

Companies can go bankrupt :|

Dark-Sithious

Companies can go bankrupt? Did you just recently run across economic news for the first time or something? You're timing and arguments make it seem so. You're talking about timing the market. Most any sane investor will tell you that plan will only result in disaster. If you're investing for the long haul (like most investors) there is no reason to sell at this point.

Lulz, I told people to sell their stocks7 months ago. And if you still haven't sold them, sell them. If you're planning to keep your stocks for 5-10 years, then yes it would seem logical to keep them, but I would still recommend selling. And ofc I always knew companies can go bankrupt, I don't think you got the point. The point is, your stocks value can decrease to zero and then it doesn't matter if you plan to sit on those for 100 years, that money is gone.

Your insults won't change anything.

It makes sense to keep them, but you'd still recommend selling? Great advice. Let me know how waiting to buy back into the market when stocks are clearly on their way up works out.
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kemar7856

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#48 kemar7856
Member since 2004 • 11789 Posts

Most people running the US goverment are idiots anyways

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Dark-Sithious

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#49 Dark-Sithious
Member since 2008 • 3914 Posts

[QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

[QUOTE="duxup"] Companies can go bankrupt? Did you just recently run across economic news for the first time or something? You're timing and arguments make it seem so. You're talking about timing the market. Most any sane investor will tell you that plan will only result in disaster. If you're investing for the long haul (like most investors) there is no reason to sell at this point.duxup

Lulz, I told people to sell their stocks7 months ago. And if you still haven't sold them, sell them. If you're planning to keep your stocks for 5-10 years, then yes it would seem logical to keep them, but I would still recommend selling. And ofc I always knew companies can go bankrupt, I don't think you got the point. The point is, your stocks value can decrease to zero and then it doesn't matter if you plan to sit on those for 100 years, that money is gone.

Your insults won't change anything.

It makes sense to keep them, but you'd still recommend selling? Great advice. Let me know how waiting to buy back into the market when stocks are clearly on their way up works out.

Strawman arguementas you guys always scream on this forum. I didn't say it makes sense to keep them, I wrote it would SEEM logical to keep them which strongly implies it isn't.

Rather than attacking my sell your stocks advice which is logical considering the premise of my claims, you should rathertry to attack my claims that the economy is going to hell as that is highly debatable. As my stock advice makes perfect sense in a scenario where the economy really takes a beating, and the Jow Dones goes drastically down compared to now.

So let's say you have some stocks now, then the market experience a sudden "crash" and a lot of companies goes bankrupt, so a certain amount of your stocks is(likely to be)rendered useless if you have invested in various stocks, if you have invested in just one company you can risk losing it all. A lot of people will also lose their jobs and be forced to sell their stocks, and if their stocks is at an all time bottom they'd be really ***** and wish they had sold their stocks before.

I hope you're not thinking, if you invested X millions in lets say 1933 your investments would have followed the Dow Jones rather precisely and you would have made a huge profit. That's not the case, as many companies went bankrupt and new ones emerged during 1933-2008, and to have made money you would have to be an active specculant.

Which brings me back to my stock point, specculating when the stock market is on the fall is not a good idea (assuming we haven't hit rock bottom)

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duxup

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#50 duxup
Member since 2002 • 43443 Posts

[QUOTE="duxup"][QUOTE="Dark-Sithious"]

Lulz, I told people to sell their stocks7 months ago. And if you still haven't sold them, sell them. If you're planning to keep your stocks for 5-10 years, then yes it would seem logical to keep them, but I would still recommend selling. And ofc I always knew companies can go bankrupt, I don't think you got the point. The point is, your stocks value can decrease to zero and then it doesn't matter if you plan to sit on those for 100 years, that money is gone.

Your insults won't change anything.

Dark-Sithious

It makes sense to keep them, but you'd still recommend selling? Great advice. Let me know how waiting to buy back into the market when stocks are clearly on their way up works out.

Strawman arguementas you guys always scream on this forum. I didn't say it makes sense to keep them, I wrote it would SEEM logical to keep them which strongly implies it isn't.

Rather than attacking my sell your stocks advice which is logical considering the premise of my claims, you should rathertry to attack my claims that the economy is going to hell as that is highly debatable. As my stock advice makes perfect sense in a scenario where the economy really takes a beating, and the Jow Dones goes drastically down compared to now.

So let's say you have some stocks now, then the market experience a sudden "crash" and a lot of companies goes bankrupt, so a certain amount of your stocks is(likely to be)rendered useless if you have invested in various stocks, if you have invested in just one company you can risk losing it all. A lot of people will also lose their jobs and be forced to sell their stocks, and if their stocks is at an all time bottom they'd be really ***** and wish they had sold their stocks before.

I hope you're not thinking, if you invested X millions in lets say 1933 your investments would have followed the Dow Jones rather precisely and you would have made a huge profit. That's not the case, as many companies went bankrupt and new ones emerged during 1933-2008, and to have made money you would have to be an active specculant.

Which brings me back to my stock point, specculating when the stock market is on the fall is not a good idea (assuming we haven't hit rock bottom)

What strawman? That was your exact advice. Your scenario assumes you can predict the future. If you're investing for the long term your advice now is horrible unless you know exactly when the stocks will rebound and when to get in. There is no getting around that. Buying when the market is low (even on the way down) is in fact the time to buy. It is simple math.