[QUOTE="coolbeans90"]
[QUOTE="sSubZerOo"]
When it comes down to it I will believe it when I see it if the Republican base would ever vote for a Mormon in office any time soon..
sSubZerOo
Romney's poll numbers are a rather compelling case.
Based on scientific polling where they take a cross section.. They can be accurate but we have NO idea how the voter turn otu will be with evangelicals if they fear that a Mormon could get into office.. Like I said I will believe it when I see it, I seriously think when it comes down to voting a huge base are going to vote against Romney specifically because he is a Mormon..
The problem for our evangelical friends is that they need a candidate can coalesce around. They seem to suffer from a lack of a good, traditional folksy politician in Huckabee's absence. Unless Cain can manage to prevent a serious popularity bleed in between now and the primary, there will be a serious competition for their votes. Intrade has Romney at ~70% likelihood of nailing the primary. In the general election, Obama is going to have serious voter turnout problems of his own; he doesn't have the same enthusiasm he did in '08. Independents are key and tend to flip during troubling economic times. They are swing state voters. The evangelicals are most heavily concentrated in deep red states. I'm putting Romney slightly over Obama in terms of likelihood of winning the election shall he take the nomination.
Log in to comment