[QUOTE="sSubZerOo"]
[QUOTE="QuistisTrepe_"]
Here's another showing him holding steady after the fact.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/cain-rises-in-post-abc-poll-despite-scandal-most-republicans-dismiss-allegations/2011/11/04/gIQApcgSlM_story.html?hpid=z1
QuistisTrepe_
If he wins the Republican primary I am going to be rolling around laughing.. He will get destroyed come the general election come a 1 on 1 debate with Obama..
He won't. He's riding the Washington outsider train, but that will only take a candidate so far. Especially with his amateur night comments like "China becoming an emerging nuclear power." That was not good, that was really, really not good.
But Obama is so weak at this point, it may not matter who wins the GOP nomination. Obama cannot run on his record, the more he'll try, the more he'll get buried come election time. In the end, I think it really is all Romney's for the taking.
It certainly matters. People think its all about the economy, but you have to remember that elections have everything to do with constrasts. If Obama runs against candidate who makes him look acceptable, he can easily be re-elected.
One has to keep in mind that as far as modern Presidents are concerned, all the candidates, besides Jimmy Carter, who have outsted a sitting President, were charismatic and had strong political skills, and Jimmy Carter still had much better political skills and charisma than his opponent.
The Presidential election in many ways is a popularity contest. Yes, the economy will matter hugely, but it's not the only thing that matters.
If Obama goes against Paul (tho we know that Paul won't win the nomination), Obama could and most likely would succeed in making himself seem like the only reasonable choice due to being much more centrist than radical Ron Paul who thinks entitlement programs are against the Constitution and who thinks we should have worked with Pakistan to get Bin Laden. If Obama goes against Perry, he could make Perry seem too dumb for the Presidency. If Obama goes against Cain, not only can he make Cain seem to do lacking in essential knowledge and experience, but he can also show the clip of Cain mocking the unemployed, etc. If Obama goes against Bachmann, all he has to is not make a fatal gaffe ( :P ).
Just kidding about that last statement, but I'm just saying that she'll come across as too crazy for mainstream voters. If Obama goes against against Gingrich, he can use the fact that people think he has good character and contrast it against Gingrich. He can also point out that Gingrich presided over a Republican House that behaved, at times, like our current Republican House. If Obama goes against Santorum, he could allow Santorum to take the focus off the weak economy.
As for Romney, I don't think it's his for the taking whatsoever. First of all, the economy is likely to improve atleast a little bit and Obama's campaign strategy has seemed to stop his slide in the polls and even bump him a few points (his numbers are still bad tho). What I'm getting at with that is that Obama is still a very effective campaigner, a much more effective campaigner than Romney who is counting on the economy to win. Secondly, tho Romney has a good chance of winning, Obama still wins the contrast battles. At this point Romney absolutely looks less principled and less authentic than Obama. Thirdly, by taking the anti-union position in Ohio, Romney might have compromised his ability to win Ohio, which is essential to Republicans.
Honestly, the only candidate that's enough of a blank slate that Obama wouldn't be able to craft a strong contrast is Hunstman. But of course he's not getting anywhere near that nomination.
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