Will the amount of RAM in personal computers continue to double?

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RuutuTootoo

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#1 RuutuTootoo
Member since 2004 • 1100 Posts
Just had a little discussion with a friend of mine, and we were talking about RAM in computers. Will the amount of RAM continue to double every couple of years like it has been for a while now? 1-2 GB is the standard right now, and 512mb was the standard like two years ago. By standard, I mean for the average home user, and not hardcore gamers (the amount of ram preinstalled in computers from the manufacturer).

At this rate, will we see 4GB of ram in 2008, 8GB in 2010, 16GB in 2012, etc.? Seems like a huge overkill to me, that we might have 16GB of ram installed in standard computers sold in 2012.

I mean, 512 to 1GB is only a 512 increase. 1GB to 2GB is a 1GB increase, 2GB to 4GB is a 2GB increase, etc. We're exponentially increasing here, and it was in my opinion that we just won't be seeing this trend continue. At this rate, we'll have 64GB ram computers in 2016, a mere 10 years from now. If you compare computers from 1996 to 2006, you're probably looking at 128mb vs. 1gb ram. That's only 10 times as much. While if we compare 2006 to 2016, that's nearly 32x as much.

Insight please?


*edit*

I think my point is: will we start to see smaller increments, like 2GB to 3GB?  Something that has never happened before (pre-installed in computers). 
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bluealien2

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#2 bluealien2
Member since 2006 • 930 Posts
Just had a little discussion with a friend of mine, and we were talking about RAM in computers. Will the amount of RAM continue to double every couple of years like it has been for a while now? 1-2 GB is the standard right now, and 512mb was the standard like two years ago. By standard, I mean for the average home user, and not hardcore gamers (the amount of ram preinstalled in computers from the manufacturer).

At this rate, will we see 4GB of ram in 2008, 8GB in 2010, 16GB in 2012, etc.? Seems like a huge overkill to me, that we might have 16GB of ram installed in standard computers sold in 2012.

I mean, 512 to 1GB is only a 512 increase. 1GB to 2GB is a 1GB increase, 2GB to 4GB is a 2GB increase, etc. We're exponentially increasing here, and it was in my opinion that we just won't be seeing this trend continue. At this rate, we'll have 64GB ram computers in 2016, a mere 10 years from now. If you compare computers from 1996 to 2006, you're probably looking at 128mb vs. 1gb ram. That's only 10 times as much. While if we compare 2006 to 2016, that's nearly 32x as much.

Insight please?
RuutuTootoo


Well, there are going to be more demanding things released every year, PC games, Operating systems, programs, etc. As you can see, Vista really just pushed the amount of RAM for gaming's standard to 2GB, instead of 1GB. If you look at a few years ago, 256MB of RAM was a good amount, now you'll be laughed at for using that for any other game but DOOM 1. I know that my Windows XP uses about 290MB of RAM without anyhting else running. So things will always be pushed forward, like dual core processors are going Quad-Core, 256MB in a videocard is no longer alot, ETC, I think the standard for memory in 2012 will be no higher then 8GB, I can't imagine it being much higher then that, in that time period, but, you never know...
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353535355353535

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#3 353535355353535
Member since 2005 • 4424 Posts
At this rate, will we see 4GB of ram in 2008, 8GB in 2010, 16GB in 2012, etc.?  
RuutuTootoo
umm, I think it will go a lot faster than that!
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frost_mourne13

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#4 frost_mourne13
Member since 2006 • 1615 Posts
i say stuff will exponentially grow from here out. like 2x2 = 4, then 16 core will be high end...
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aft_lizard01

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#5 aft_lizard01
Member since 2005 • 2132 Posts
For 32 bit computing nope, we are stuck at 4gb for awhile. Once the migration to 64bit is complete, which I am guessing the next OS from Microsoft will be solely 64bit, then you will probably start seeing these doubling of ram needs.
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frost_mourne13

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#6 frost_mourne13
Member since 2006 • 1615 Posts
And then we'll look back and say "HAHA, I remember when I bought that Corsair XMS2 Dominators for 300 dollars."
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#7 Mr-Boszak
Member since 2006 • 135 Posts
Just had a little discussion with a friend of mine, and we were talking about RAM in computers. Will the amount of RAM continue to double every couple of years like it has been for a while now? 1-2 GB is the standard right now, and 512mb was the standard like two years ago. By standard, I mean for the average home user, and not hardcore gamers (the amount of ram preinstalled in computers from the manufacturer).

At this rate, will we see 4GB of ram in 2008, 8GB in 2010, 16GB in 2012, etc.? Seems like a huge overkill to me, that we might have 16GB of ram installed in standard computers sold in 2012.

I mean, 512 to 1GB is only a 512 increase. 1GB to 2GB is a 1GB increase, 2GB to 4GB is a 2GB increase, etc. We're exponentially increasing here, and it was in my opinion that we just won't be seeing this trend continue. At this rate, we'll have 64GB ram computers in 2016, a mere 10 years from now. If you compare computers from 1996 to 2006, you're probably looking at 128mb vs. 1gb ram. That's only 10 times as much. While if we compare 2006 to 2016, that's nearly 32x as much.

Insight please?


*edit*

I think my point is: will we start to see smaller increments, like 2GB to 3GB? Something that has never happened before (pre-installed in computers).
RuutuTootoo
it will, if at all, because of windows vista.
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bluealien2

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#8 bluealien2
Member since 2006 • 930 Posts
And then we'll look back and say "HAHA, I remember when I bought that Corsair XMS2 Dominators for 300 dollars."frost_mourne13


Yeah, and we'll be tossing them to the side as if they are junk. Along with the 8800's and core 2 extremes lol...
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frost_mourne13

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#9 frost_mourne13
Member since 2006 • 1615 Posts
Yeah, "Sorry 8800GTX, I know you were the best card last month, but that was last month, and I think I like the r600 more, so sorry, I'm going to have to sell you for 5 bucks to a hobo..."
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aft_lizard01

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#10 aft_lizard01
Member since 2005 • 2132 Posts
I remember when I bought a 30Mb hard drive and 8mb of ram for 1200 dollars back in the day. Went well with my nice 386 processor.
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#11 frost_mourne13
Member since 2006 • 1615 Posts
pretty highend eh?
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bluealien2

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#12 bluealien2
Member since 2006 • 930 Posts
I remember when I bought a 30Mb hard drive and 8mb of ram for 1200 dollars back in the day. Went well with my nice 386 processor.aft_lizard01


Sweet system man ^.^ lol..... I remember when my old celeron 533MHz, 128MB RAM, and integrated GFX was new haha... But god, a 386, those things are really old. I actually just found a 4MB stick of RAM in my friends basement. Oh yeah, I saw one of those 386's, we have one on display in my school, because I'm in the electronics trade thing...(trade school)... We also have a 380KB HD, it measures like 9 inches long, and 4-5 inches wide, and about 4 inches in height, just goes to show how fast technology speeds along...
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aft_lizard01

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#13 aft_lizard01
Member since 2005 • 2132 Posts
[QUOTE="aft_lizard01"]I remember when I bought a 30Mb hard drive and 8mb of ram for 1200 dollars back in the day. Went well with my nice 386 processor.bluealien2


Sweet system man ^.^ lol..... I remember when my old celeron 533MHz, 128MB RAM, and integrated GFX was new haha... But god, a 386, those things are really old. I actually just found a 4MB stick of RAM in my friends basement. Oh yeah, I saw one of those 386's, we have one on display in my school, because I'm in the electronics trade thing...(trade school)... We also have a 380KB HD, it measures like 9 inches long, and 4-5 inches wide, and about 4 inches in height, just goes to show how fast technology speeds along...

THe funny thing is my dad bought the computer used and it only had a 6 gb hdd and onboard sound and video, which back then almost everypc had integrated graphics. It came with windows 3.11 and then windows 95 came out and I didnt have the minimums to run it, so I bought the larger drive and memory and installed 95 on it, which took about 5 hours or so to do. I was about the only guy around that had 95 running fairly decent on my 386.
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Paradeus

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#14 Paradeus
Member since 2003 • 25 Posts
Just had a little discussion with a friend of mine, and we were talking about RAM in computers. Will the amount of RAM continue to double every couple of years like it has been for a while now? 1-2 GB is the standard right now, and 512mb was the standard like two years ago. By standard, I mean for the average home user, and not hardcore gamers (the amount of ram preinstalled in computers from the manufacturer).

At this rate, will we see 4GB of ram in 2008, 8GB in 2010, 16GB in 2012, etc.? Seems like a huge overkill to me, that we might have 16GB of ram installed in standard computers sold in 2012.

I mean, 512 to 1GB is only a 512 increase. 1GB to 2GB is a 1GB increase, 2GB to 4GB is a 2GB increase, etc. We're exponentially increasing here, and it was in my opinion that we just won't be seeing this trend continue. At this rate, we'll have 64GB ram computers in 2016, a mere 10 years from now. If you compare computers from 1996 to 2006, you're probably looking at 128mb vs. 1gb ram. That's only 10 times as much. While if we compare 2006 to 2016, that's nearly 32x as much.

Insight please?


*edit*

I think my point is: will we start to see smaller increments, like 2GB to 3GB? Something that has never happened before (pre-installed in computers).
RuutuTootoo
Well, it's doubtful that the new standard will increase too quickly - don't expect a jump to more than 2gb soon. Ram manufacturers are having a difficult time producing 2gb DDR2 dimms.