Make a Prediction: PS3's sales by year's end

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SkyCastleDan

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#1 SkyCastleDan
Member since 2006 • 2015 Posts
I'll go with 9.1 million. It will sell 3 million units by the end of march and with MGS4 and Lair coming this summer, we should see the system around 6-7 million by fall and sell around 2 million units to close out the year.
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#2 Radiozo
Member since 2006 • 2413 Posts
5 million.
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#3 Kosai_Avonej
Member since 2003 • 854 Posts
I'll go with 9.1 million. It will sell 3 million units by the end of march and with MGS4 and Lair coming this summer, we should see the system around 6-7 million by fall and sell around 2 million units to close out the year.SkyCastleDan
I'm unsure what but I thought more about in the 6 to 8 million region.
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SkyCastleDan

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#4 SkyCastleDan
Member since 2006 • 2015 Posts

5 million.Radiozo

 ...............Hopefully not.

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#5 mjf249
Member since 2004 • 3000 Posts
You'll see more PS3s in homes than Xbox 360s(I meant comparing both a year of the two systems). I'd expect around 10-12 million by the end of the year(Japan will give the edge to the PS3 since the X360 is lagging horribly in JP), sometimes this whole 'sales figures' are overblown, because the PS3 is still on track to have 10-12 mill in a year which isn't bad at all.
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#6 Charlie2688
Member since 2005 • 1364 Posts

I would calculate from 6 million to 7 million not counting miracle system sellers

And remember Christmas might give us all a BIG surprise :)

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lazzordude

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#7 lazzordude
Member since 2003 • 6685 Posts
7-8mil
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#8 Lucifer007
Member since 2006 • 1132 Posts
8 million
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ajefferism

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#9 ajefferism
Member since 2006 • 2006 Posts
id say 9-10 million there will be some good games available by the end of this year...
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#10 yanks1112
Member since 2005 • 867 Posts

"100 Billion Dollars"

Oh wait, sales, ummmmmm 2? No wait, 9 million!!

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#11 Modbetto
Member since 2006 • 775 Posts
8mln by oct...
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#12 Acenso
Member since 2006 • 2355 Posts

6million. Barely selling 100k a month in Japan even with Gundam Musou. Would be extremely lucky to even sell 2million there this year.

America. After the depressing Feb sales. Definitly not looking very strong either  Again. Looks like another 2million.

And Europe's response in mix. Some places it is doing okay. Other places it is the black plague. My guess is another 2million. 

 

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#13 nlp200
Member since 2006 • 45 Posts
I love this. Now all consoles are offically launched worldwide it's now down to playing the games and seeing what surprises await. : ) Should be a good year. I predict between 8-9 Million.
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Nike_Air

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#14 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts

8- 9 million worldwide SOLD is a fair estimate.

 

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crashintome202

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#15 crashintome202
Member since 2004 • 466 Posts
worldwide? i'd say around 7-9 million
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#16 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts

6million. Barely selling 100k a month in Japan even with Gundam Musou. Would be extremely lucky to even sell 2million there this year.

America. After the depressing Feb sales. Definitly not looking very strong either Again. Looks like another 2million.

And Europe's response in mix. Some places it is doing okay. Other places it is the black plague. My guess is another 2million.

 

Acenso

Your averages for the entire year based on what is selling now does not make a lot of sense when you forget about the November/December sales.

 

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#17 M_Fresh
Member since 2006 • 382 Posts
9-10 Million...
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#18 Acenso
Member since 2006 • 2355 Posts
[QUOTE="Acenso"]

6million. Barely selling 100k a month in Japan even with Gundam Musou. Would be extremely lucky to even sell 2million there this year.

America. After the depressing Feb sales. Definitly not looking very strong either Again. Looks like another 2million.

And Europe's response in mix. Some places it is doing okay. Other places it is the black plague. My guess is another 2million.

 

Nike_Air

Your averages for the entire year based on what is selling now does not make a lot of sense when you forget about the November/December sales.

 

 

Too bad I did^^

If I stated the average...That would be about 1.2million for Japan. 100k per month times 12.

And the average for NA has been fluxing...Such as about 200k down to 130k. So the average would be about 1.5ish^^

I even gave them both the benefit of the doubt...Hugely in Japan.

 

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#19 Frozen_In_Ice
Member since 2006 • 83 Posts
Unfortunetly PS3's future looks bleek:(... 5 million with no price drop     7 million with $100 doallar price drop.
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#20 longhorn7
Member since 2007 • 4637 Posts
[QUOTE="Nike_Air"][QUOTE="Acenso"]

6million. Barely selling 100k a month in Japan even with Gundam Musou. Would be extremely lucky to even sell 2million there this year.

America. After the depressing Feb sales. Definitly not looking very strong either Again. Looks like another 2million.

And Europe's response in mix. Some places it is doing okay. Other places it is the black plague. My guess is another 2million.

Acenso

Your averages for the entire year based on what is selling now does not make a lot of sense when you forget about the November/December sales.

Too bad I did^^

If I stated the average...That would be about 1.2million for Japan. 100k per month times 12.

And the average for NA has been fluxing...Such as about 200k down to 130k. So the average would be about 1.5ish^^

I even gave them both the benefit of the doubt...Hugely in Japan.

wait and werent you the guy that on the off topic board had that wierd post about the alamo being between a few thousand texans in an unarmed fortress agains a hundred unarmed mexicans???
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#21 longhorn7
Member since 2007 • 4637 Posts
oh and i say about 8 or 9 mil with mgs4 and killzone 2 and lair etc still set to come out this year
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#22 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts
[QUOTE="Nike_Air"][QUOTE="Acenso"]

6million. Barely selling 100k a month in Japan even with Gundam Musou. Would be extremely lucky to even sell 2million there this year.

America. After the depressing Feb sales. Definitly not looking very strong either Again. Looks like another 2million.

And Europe's response in mix. Some places it is doing okay. Other places it is the black plague. My guess is another 2million.

 

Acenso

Your averages for the entire year based on what is selling now does not make a lot of sense when you forget about the November/December sales.

 

 

Too bad I did^^

If I stated the average...That would be about 1.2million for Japan. 100k per month times 12.

And the average for NA has been fluxing...Such as about 200k down to 130k. So the average would be about 1.5ish^^

I even gave them both the benefit of the doubt...Hugely in Japan.

 

Are you forgetting about what sold in Japan and the United States already ? I think he wants a total.

 

 

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Zerostatic0

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#23 Zerostatic0
Member since 2005 • 4263 Posts
By the end of the year I predict it'll all look like this: Nintendo Wii = 14 million

Xbox 360 = 14 million

PS3 = 8 million
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#24 jayo17ie
Member since 2007 • 244 Posts

Im gonna be honest and ill say that i think theyll sell about 6-8 million , i think that theyll do very good around christmas and the launch in europe today is helping a lot.

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#25 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts
By the end of the year I predict it'll all look like this: Nintendo Wii = 14 million

 

Xbox 360 = 14 million

 

PS3 = 8 millionZerostatic0

Seems a bit low for the 360. They are at what , about 10 million now and consider what the holidays will bring them worldwide. Also this new model 360 is one to watch out for with all of the potential trade-in sales.

 

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#26 -DirtySanchez-
Member since 2003 • 32760 Posts
well lets see its almost at 2 million now, only 9 months to go, summer usually not taht good of a time to be a gamer, so we really only have x-mas, 5 million at the most
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#27 jyoung312
Member since 2003 • 4971 Posts
Given that Sony's first party heavy hitters like Lair, Killzone 2, Warhawk, and Heavenly Sword haven't seen the light of day, plus third party games including exclusives (as of now) FF13 and MGS4 plus plenty of other multiplatform games (DMC4, Assassin's Creed, RE5, GTA4) are all likely to appear later this year than I suspect that sales will really start going up after the European lunch. I suspect there to be 8-10 million PS3 sold. It will be really close come this time next year especially after 360 sales die down from Halo3 (the only real system moving game for 360).
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#28 LosDaddie
Member since 2006 • 10318 Posts

Price cut: 9million max

No Price Cut: 8 million max

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#29 Zerostatic0
Member since 2005 • 4263 Posts
[QUOTE="Zerostatic0"]By the end of the year I predict it'll all look like this: Nintendo Wii = 14 million

Xbox 360 = 14 million

PS3 = 8 millionNike_Air

Seems a bit low for the 360. They are at what , about 10 million now and consider what the holidays will bring them worldwide. Also this new model 360 is one to watch out for with all of the potential trade-in sales.

Well personally I think when all is said and done the 360 will finish 3rd, but you're probably right, it might be a little on the low end, particularly because it'll have 3 burst of sales, the updated 360 launch, Halo 3, and the Holiday season. Maybe I'll bump that up to 15 million, but besides sales hikes, I think the 360 will start to slow down. The Wii will continue selling strong and I think will be the big winner next holiday season. The PS3 imo will continue to sell slowly and will start to speed up around the holidays, as it becomes more and more clear that Blu-Ray is becoming the next dominant media format.
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#30 FFVII_Madness55
Member since 2005 • 5504 Posts

10-12 million for PS3

14.5-15.5 million for Xbox 360

13-14 million of Wii.

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#31 ultima-flare
Member since 2003 • 2259 Posts
somewhere between 8-10 mil
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#32 cjnwo4life
Member since 2007 • 1587 Posts
7.5 million by dec 07.
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#33 cjnwo4life
Member since 2007 • 1587 Posts
[QUOTE="Nike_Air"][QUOTE="Zerostatic0"]By the end of the year I predict it'll all look like this: Nintendo Wii = 14 million

 

Xbox 360 = 14 million

 

PS3 = 8 millionZerostatic0

Seems a bit low for the 360. They are at what , about 10 million now and consider what the holidays will bring them worldwide. Also this new model 360 is one to watch out for with all of the potential trade-in sales.

 

Well personally I think when all is said and done the 360 will finish 3rd, but you're probably right, it might be a little on the low end, particularly because it'll have 3 burst of sales, the updated 360 launch, Halo 3, and the Holiday season. Maybe I'll bump that up to 15 million, but besides sales hikes, I think the 360 will start to slow down. The Wii will continue selling strong and I think will be the big winner next holiday season. The PS3 imo will continue to sell slowly and will start to speed up around the holidays, as it becomes more and more clear that Blu-Ray is becoming the next dominant media format.

 

It'll slow until the price drops to $299 for the premium and $200 for the core. Then it becomes a whole new ball game.

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#34 04JETTA
Member since 2005 • 5769 Posts
9-10 million range
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#35 2beers_in_hand
Member since 2007 • 2950 Posts
I would say 4 to 5 million buy Summer. Holiday season all bets are off thats when some of the heavy hitters come into play.
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#36 gmsnpr
Member since 2004 • 4242 Posts
I think that if the PS3 breaks 6 million sold worldwide by year's end, I'll be favorably impressed.
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#37 crashintome202
Member since 2004 • 466 Posts
i think a price drop would do wonders for ps3 especially at holiday time. even if the 60 gb ends up being $550 it'll help alot
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#38 Not-A-Stalker
Member since 2006 • 5165 Posts
Well lets see. By Thanksgiving, I say we've got about 5.5 million sold worldwide. Now, the 360 was selling like crap until Gears of War. Lets assume MGS4 comes out around the same time in November. MGS4 *should* boost the PS3 sales by a longshot, just as Gears of War did. Lets say MGS4 gets great reviews, a standout commercial and good media (Just as Gears of War had) and I think MGS4 should move an extra... 2 million consoles. That sound fair? But lets keep in mind that MGS4 isn't the PS3's only good looking game. There are some promising looking games due out for Q4 or Q1 2008, so lets throw in an extra 2.5 million consoles. So I think by December 31st, the PS3 should have sold about 10 million consoles. How's that sound?
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#39 grognard
Member since 2002 • 778 Posts
I'd guess around 7 million worldwide by year's end.
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#40 deactivated-6075a5c511e8b
Member since 2005 • 7222 Posts

                                                     My Predictions

 Xbox 360: 16-17 million

 Wii: 14-15 million

PS3: 10-14 million

For the PS3 it all depends on if $ony can make a few huge announecements and have 5-10 AAA games.

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#41 cripset87
Member since 2004 • 315 Posts
If they really can drop $100 dollars off the price I say 10-11 million, if it's still the same 8-9 million.
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#42 KSD22
Member since 2007 • 416 Posts
With White Knight and heavenly Sword maybe 7 million.
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#43 imapieceofwood
Member since 2006 • 1855 Posts

10 million.

14 million if there is a price drop somewhere throughout  this year

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#44 deactivated-6075a5c511e8b
Member since 2005 • 7222 Posts
BUMP.
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#45 GsSanAndreas
Member since 2004 • 3075 Posts
10 million
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#46 JordanKid
Member since 2005 • 1231 Posts
6-7 million excluding system sellers