PS4 Expected time?

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Plasma-Dog

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#1 Plasma-Dog
Member since 2008 • 390 Posts

Hey when does anyone expect the PS4 to come out. Because I just got a PS3 like 4 weeks ago and I don't really want a new PS4 coming out until atleast 2011 or 2012.

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rifkib

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#2 rifkib
Member since 2006 • 92 Posts
Probably around 2013, the ps3 is just starting to come good.
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ReaperV7

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#3 ReaperV7
Member since 2008 • 6756 Posts
I think they should call it something else >__>
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#4 spidermonkey11
Member since 2007 • 1716 Posts
Tomorrow
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chimera1984

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#5 chimera1984
Member since 2006 • 2194 Posts
The ps3 was designed to have a 10 year shelf life, so if thats true, your looking around 2016 tbh, but releasitically, id knock a few years off, so probably 2012-13ish.
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Swift_Boss_A

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#6 Swift_Boss_A
Member since 2007 • 14579 Posts
I don't expect the PS4 to be released till 2013/14, the PS3 is a beast and will deliver year after year, Sony and 3rd party devs will better ultilise the power and likely innovate more on PS3 as the years go by.
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blueblur87

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#7 blueblur87
Member since 2005 • 326 Posts

I think this generation might be the longest yet, because development costs were all higher, and PS3 has had a slow start, and Sony plan for it to be a 10 year lifespan of a console.

I know (from wiki) PlayStation came out Japan in Dec 1994, North America and Europe in Sep 1995, it cost $299 on launch day, ceased production in 2006.

PS2 was announced in 1999, and launched in 2000 in Japan, but there were manufacturing problems. PS2 is still on sale today, and probably will stay in production longer than PS (2012 ? ).

PS3 was launched Nov 2006 in Japan and North America, and March 2007 in Europe, plus there were manufacturing difficulties. As it stands, PS3's sales growth rate is higher than PS2's for the same period of time (take from that whatever you want). I expect PS3 to stay alive for as long or longer than PS2, (probably be in production till at least 2018 ) because the money invested in it is a much larger amount.

PS4 will (if Sony keeps doing these kinds of increments in technology) cost even more to make, and will probably have holographic disc format, and real-time raytracing graphics hardware. If history serves as a good indicator, PS4 will be expected to come out about 5-6 years into the PS3's life, but because of the much bigger leap in technology, I think it will be more like 8-9 years. I don't think they will be 'doing a microsoft' and releasing a new console 3 years later, no way. I think developers still have a lot to learn about the Cell Broadband Engine, and all the tricks it can do before they start working on something completely different. Who knows, by then molecular computing or optical computing might be coming to the mainstream and there could be a revolutionary change in technology that makes the PS4 take even longer to come out.

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skp_16

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#8 skp_16
Member since 2005 • 3854 Posts
Hopefully 2012 but I think it would be a year after the new Xbox comes out.
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Myzz617

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#9 Myzz617
Member since 2008 • 2026 Posts

I think this generation might be the longest yet, because development costs were all higher, and PS3 has had a slow start, and Sony plan for it to be a 10 year lifespan of a console.

I know (from wiki) PlayStation came out Japan in Dec 1994, North America and Europe in Sep 1995, it cost $299 on launch day, ceased production in 2006.

PS2 was announced in 1999, and launched in 2000 in Japan, but there were manufacturing problems. PS2 is still on sale today, and probably will stay in production longer than PS (2012 ? ).

PS3 was launched Nov 2006 in Japan and North America, and March 2007 in Europe, plus there were manufacturing difficulties. As it stands, PS3's sales growth rate is higher than PS2's for the same period of time (take from that whatever you want). I expect PS3 to stay alive for as long or longer than PS2, (probably be in production till at least 2018 ) because the money invested in it is a much larger amount.

PS4 will (if Sony keeps doing these kinds of increments in technology) cost even more to make, and will probably have holographic disc format, and real-time raytracing graphics hardware. If history serves as a good indicator, PS4 will be expected to come out about 5-6 years into the PS3's life, but because of the much bigger leap in technology, I think it will be more like 8-9 years. I don't think they will be 'doing a microsoft' and releasing a new console 3 years later, no way. I think developers still have a lot to learn about the Cell Broadband Engine, and all the tricks it can do before they start working on something completely different. Who knows, by then molecular computing or optical computing might be coming to the mainstream and there could be a revolutionary change in technology that makes the PS4 take even longer to come out.

blueblur87


Too much thought. I would say 2013....but the world is supposed to end in 2012 or 2013.

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jimm895

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#10 jimm895
Member since 2007 • 7703 Posts

I think this generation might be the longest yet, because development costs were all higher, and PS3 has had a slow start, and Sony plan for it to be a 10 year lifespan of a console.

I know (from wiki) PlayStation came out Japan in Dec 1994, North America and Europe in Sep 1995, it cost $299 on launch day, ceased production in 2006.

PS2 was announced in 1999, and launched in 2000 in Japan, but there were manufacturing problems. PS2 is still on sale today, and probably will stay in production longer than PS (2012 ? ).

PS3 was launched Nov 2006 in Japan and North America, and March 2007 in Europe, plus there were manufacturing difficulties. As it stands, PS3's sales growth rate is higher than PS2's for the same period of time (take from that whatever you want). I expect PS3 to stay alive for as long or longer than PS2, (probably be in production till at least 2018 ) because the money invested in it is a much larger amount.

PS4 will (if Sony keeps doing these kinds of increments in technology) cost even more to make, and will probably have holographic disc format, and real-time raytracing graphics hardware. If history serves as a good indicator, PS4 will be expected to come out about 5-6 years into the PS3's life, but because of the much bigger leap in technology, I think it will be more like 8-9 years. I don't think they will be 'doing a microsoft' and releasing a new console 3 years later, no way. I think developers still have a lot to learn about the Cell Broadband Engine, and all the tricks it can do before they start working on something completely different. Who knows, by then molecular computing or optical computing might be coming to the mainstream and there could be a revolutionary change in technology that makes the PS4 take even longer to come out.

blueblur87

I agree with this 100%. The PS3 will be around for a long time and with the way Sony releases new consoles if and when the PS4 is released there will be some other type of media storage other than Blu-Ray.

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tidan

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#11 tidan
Member since 2003 • 369 Posts
It will most likely be around 2012 and they will keep coming out with games (just a lot less of them) till 2016. they support the console for 10 years but release a new one every 6 years or so.
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LP4EVA2005

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#12 LP4EVA2005
Member since 2004 • 8585 Posts
[QUOTE="blueblur87"]

I think this generation might be the longest yet, because development costs were all higher, and PS3 has had a slow start, and Sony plan for it to be a 10 year lifespan of a console.

I know (from wiki) PlayStation came out Japan in Dec 1994, North America and Europe in Sep 1995, it cost $299 on launch day, ceased production in 2006.

PS2 was announced in 1999, and launched in 2000 in Japan, but there were manufacturing problems. PS2 is still on sale today, and probably will stay in production longer than PS (2012 ? ).

PS3 was launched Nov 2006 in Japan and North America, and March 2007 in Europe, plus there were manufacturing difficulties. As it stands, PS3's sales growth rate is higher than PS2's for the same period of time (take from that whatever you want). I expect PS3 to stay alive for as long or longer than PS2, (probably be in production till at least 2018 ) because the money invested in it is a much larger amount.

PS4 will (if Sony keeps doing these kinds of increments in technology) cost even more to make, and will probably have holographic disc format, and real-time raytracing graphics hardware. If history serves as a good indicator, PS4 will be expected to come out about 5-6 years into the PS3's life, but because of the much bigger leap in technology, I think it will be more like 8-9 years. I don't think they will be 'doing a microsoft' and releasing a new console 3 years later, no way. I think developers still have a lot to learn about the Cell Broadband Engine, and all the tricks it can do before they start working on something completely different. Who knows, by then molecular computing or optical computing might be coming to the mainstream and there could be a revolutionary change in technology that makes the PS4 take even longer to come out.

Myzz617


Too much thought. I would say 2013....but the world is supposed to end in 2012 or 2013.

what he said^..i wouldnt put much thought into the future (life or gaming wise)...end of the world is near, but i will be doing all my ps3 gaming in my bomb shelter =)

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DeadlyZodiac

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#13 DeadlyZodiac
Member since 2007 • 1367 Posts
I expect a wave of new consoles in late 2012.
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Tacticity

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#14 Tacticity
Member since 2008 • 421 Posts
Looks like you people forgot all about this. PS4 will most likely be reaveled in 2014, when Its "PS 20 Year Anniversary".
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Swift_Boss_A

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#15 Swift_Boss_A
Member since 2007 • 14579 Posts
Looks like you people forgot all about this. PS4 will most likely be reaveled in 2014, when Its "PS 20 Year Anniversary".Tacticity
I agree, PS4 should be released on 2014 to coincide with the 20th anniversay of Playstation
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Elann2008

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#16 Elann2008
Member since 2007 • 33028 Posts
Let God of War 3 come out first then let's talk about PS4. Greedy bastards. :P
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#17 kenshinhimura16
Member since 2005 • 7009 Posts

The ps3 was designed to have a 10 year shelf life, so if thats true, your looking around 2016 tbh, but releasitically, id knock a few years off, so probably 2012-13ish.chimera1984

The PS1 laster 10 years, the PS2 will last 10 years. The 10 year thing means nothing actually. The console will be on for 7 years total, as the PS2, and during the 6-7 year we will see the new one on the market, as usual.

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CookieGoat

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#18 CookieGoat
Member since 2008 • 142 Posts
2014
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deactivated-57e5de5e137a4

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#19 deactivated-57e5de5e137a4
Member since 2004 • 12929 Posts

I think they should call it something else >__>ReaperV7

I don't think so. PS4 looks good on paper. Now PS5...just ewww.

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Ambrosia666

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#20 Ambrosia666
Member since 2005 • 59 Posts
Traditonally it's a 7 year gap isnt it???
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#21 jtemplegarage
Member since 2008 • 266 Posts
Christmas 2011 would be the absolute earliest - that would be a 5 year gap, which seems to be traditional. It'll probably be a lot longer than that, though; remember, this is the first game system Sony has ever released that's capable of updating itself. I'm thinking somewhere around 2014 or so is more likely.
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Elviathan

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#22 Elviathan
Member since 2006 • 5052 Posts
Probably 2012. Microsoft is probably going to release the Xbox 720 on 2011, so Sony has to counter that with a PS4 by 2012.
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Scianix-Black

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#24 Scianix-Black
Member since 2008 • 19297 Posts
Where's the 2016 option?
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#25 FFVIIROCKS
Member since 2007 • 1176 Posts

You would think the game industry would finally hit a point where they couldnt take it anywhere else... so there has to be a wave of consoles that will finally become the final console gen. I mean i guess until you can get every second out of a game and gameplay to look exactly like or freaking close to real life is where it will finally come to the final gen.

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Scianix-Black

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#26 Scianix-Black
Member since 2008 • 19297 Posts

You would think the game industry would finally hit a point where they couldnt take it anywhere else... so there has to be a wave of consoles that will finally become the final console gen. I mean i guess until you can get every second out of a game and gameplay to look exactly like or freaking close to real life is where it will finally come to the final gen.

FFVIIROCKS

We'll probably never see that though, because things that incredibly life-like would take insane amounts of coding.

I think graphics will just get better and better, then smaller and smaller.

Soon we'll be playing PS3 quality graphics on PSP sized screens.

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FFVIIROCKS

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#27 FFVIIROCKS
Member since 2007 • 1176 Posts
[QUOTE="FFVIIROCKS"]

You would think the game industry would finally hit a point where they couldnt take it anywhere else... so there has to be a wave of consoles that will finally become the final console gen. I mean i guess until you can get every second out of a game and gameplay to look exactly like or freaking close to real life is where it will finally come to the final gen.

Scianix-Black

We'll probably never see that though, because things that incredibly life-like would take insane amounts of coding.

I think graphics will just get better and better, then smaller and smaller.

Soon we'll be playing PS3 quality graphics on PSP sized screens.

True true...Yeah ive taken some programming classes and let me tell ya... I have so much respect to those in the game industry that program for games. Programming is insane and simple tasks for me were hard. Imagine creating a life like game....thousands upon thousands upon thousands of code...

Remarkable, understanding what it takes to make a game...makes you apprecieate it so much more.

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#28 Hiyoal
Member since 2008 • 33 Posts

I think this generation might be the longest yet, because development costs were all higher, and PS3 has had a slow start, and Sony plan for it to be a 10 year lifespan of a console.

I know (from wiki) PlayStation came out Japan in Dec 1994, North America and Europe in Sep 1995, it cost $299 on launch day, ceased production in 2006.

PS2 was announced in 1999, and launched in 2000 in Japan, but there were manufacturing problems. PS2 is still on sale today, and probably will stay in production longer than PS (2012 ? ).

PS3 was launched Nov 2006 in Japan and North America, and March 2007 in Europe, plus there were manufacturing difficulties. As it stands, PS3's sales growth rate is higher than PS2's for the same period of time (take from that whatever you want). I expect PS3 to stay alive for as long or longer than PS2, (probably be in production till at least 2018 ) because the money invested in it is a much larger amount.

PS4 will (if Sony keeps doing these kinds of increments in technology) cost even more to make, and will probably have holographic disc format, and real-time raytracing graphics hardware. If history serves as a good indicator, PS4 will be expected to come out about 5-6 years into the PS3's life, but because of the much bigger leap in technology, I think it will be more like 8-9 years. I don't think they will be 'doing a microsoft' and releasing a new console 3 years later, no way. I think developers still have a lot to learn about the Cell Broadband Engine, and all the tricks it can do before they start working on something completely different. Who knows, by then molecular computing or optical computing might be coming to the mainstream and there could be a revolutionary change in technology that makes the PS4 take even longer to come out.

blueblur87

I agree with all the statements here. PS3 has amazing capabilities. It is not a system which is based on what it has in it, most of the parts can be upgraded and it supports external hardware. The PS3's update system for its OS and for games also makes its life more durable and creates a nearly infinite supply of ideas and coding which can be implimented. I think that the use of updates to the PS3's software using the internet will increase its life span as new revolutionary coding ideas and techniques which increase as time goes on will keep the PS3 up to date with the times.

I hope this makes sense :o

And whats this end of the world thing? Wtf?!

Hiyoal :D

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campzor

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#29 campzor
Member since 2004 • 34932 Posts
Probably around 2013, the ps3 is just starting to come good.rifkib
ye prob this... by the way buddy franklins a gun... but the kangas r still number 1 :p
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#30 jojo198
Member since 2005 • 1924 Posts
this poll is crap! in 2020 would be good! cause below that it would be a crappy systems with crappy game anyway!!
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29121994

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#31 29121994
Member since 2008 • 1166 Posts

apparently the devs of crysis are creating a new game based on what the ps4 is gonna be able to do according to moors law that proscessing power doubles every 18 months

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#32 Floppy_Jim
Member since 2007 • 25933 Posts
Why are so many people voting 2013? Do you really expect Sony to do something that stupid? It would be suicidal, launching 2-3 years after the competition. No later than 2011.
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deactivated-58319077a6477

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#33 deactivated-58319077a6477
Member since 2007 • 4954 Posts

Where's the 2016 option?Scianix-Black

That is because Sony will not wait that long to release their next console, Sony said they will support the PS3 for 10 years just like the PS1 once was & the PS2 right now still being suppoted by Sony.

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#34 metalgear-solid
Member since 2004 • 7001 Posts
The PS3 has really started to shine this year. And it's an upwards trend. No way a PS4 (or whatever it will be called) will be released before 2013.
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#35 HarshGamer
Member since 2008 • 2822 Posts

I think they should call it something else >__>ReaperV7

True, but what?

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#36 Macolele
Member since 2006 • 534 Posts
Graphic is importain for game today. So it must come out soon. And an other reason that is M$ lauch next gen very soon. I think it should be 2012.