[QUOTE="tantalum2006"] This isn't rocket science folks. Sony put out 1 million consoles for several countries to buy and hyped the console up for about 2 years now. To not sell out on launch day means that in all those countries only 600k people really really wanted a PS3. Greater supply of PS3 over Wii or 360 be damned....it was only 1 million consoles for several countires. It implies that those other 400k are going to be sitting on the shelves an awful long time. Atleast judging from the immediate slow down of sales in Japan and North America. It may not be a colossal failure but it is at the very least disappointing for Sony.
The bottom line is they just don't have the games that will move a console at this time. They don't have the exclusives they need to have out at this time. They desperately need a couple near perfect games that haven't been available on other consoles for months.
No matter what the fanboys say the facts speak for themselves. Depending on what numbers you read despite having ample PS3 stock, the 360 is outselling the PS3 (at best the PS3 is selling the same number) and has since the PS3 launched. That is not a good sign for a new console going up against a console that has been out for a year. If 360 gets a couple of more excellent games that move consoles which looks to be the case this summer/fall it could really hurt Sony.
Now all this doesn't mean the PS3 is doomed. It does mean they probably need MGS to remain exclusive, for it to come out before the holiday season, and for it to be a great game. They probably need one or two other exclusive great games. If for whatever reason MGS starts to slip out until 2008 and Sony doesn't have that great console moving game for the holiday season it could be a complete disaster.
Until Sony gives a reason for people to buy the PS3, it is going to sit on shelves. It all about games. It's not about the bells and whistles the console has.
Gastman
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Do you think that the PS3 will be the next Dreamcast, I don't think so. Sony have so few good games from there first party line up coming and maybe I hear that a price drop is coming soon.
Probably not no because I believe they will have some very good games out by the holiday season and one of them is bound to be a console mover. But I do think they are going to lose significant market share for this generation of the console wars. I think there is a good chance they do not come out on top this time around and that isn't a good thing and not something many would have predicted a couple of years ago. I think Sony have made a couple ofo mistakes: 1) they rested on their laurels and were arrogant about it
2) I think their is a signifcant chance that with the PS3 they tried to be all things to all people...they want to be a gaming machine yet also a movie player (not to mention internet browser etc) and somehow ending up coming up "short" in both cases. No not in terms of power or capability on the games front but in terms of pricing people out of the market when there is already a strong competitor that can do similar things at a cheaper price solution that does proivde configuration options and allows people to build the system up slowly if they choose not unlike the PC market (the majority of developers have said the power of the 360 and PS3 are very comparable). On the player front, indications are the HD movie viewing experience is not going to take off for quite sometime and within a short time the PS3 will be a lower qaulity player (it's how the market is driven..like the PS2 and Xbox in the end were inferior DVD players). Given it's videophiles who are purchasing the HD movie experience now and for the foreseeable future, they will probably not be turning to the PS3.
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Just my thoughts. I don't think it will go the way of the Dreamcast. Though there is that chance if they go into the next holiday season with a lacklustre lineup of games. But the holiday season is a long ways away to suggest that at this time.
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