It'll be a great season, but the real competition will be between the Packers and the Vikings. The Bears window is almost closed. They will be better served to start Kyle Orton than Rex Grossman. Physically, Grossman is the best in the North, he has the best set of tools but has never really learned how to use them consistently, that's the boon of being a product of Spurrier, no matter who you were in Gainesville, you aren't going to be that guy in the NFL. Anybody remember Danny Wuerffel's career? Of course not, but he won a national title and a Heisman. Spurrier QB's don't get it done in the NFL. Anyway that is why I believe that with a defense that has lost a lot of spark, no running game and a hit and miss QB the Bears will compete with the Lion's for third place.
The Lion's also look ready to have another bad season. Losing Kevin Jones and Shaun Rogers is going to hurt more than Matt Millen thinks. Also I am of the opinion that Mike Martz was the primary reason that the Lions were in the early playoff discussions a year ago. Now their talking about a balanced attack but who the hell do they expect to get them yards on the ground, Tatum Bell? Give me a break. Kevin Smith could be something, but I doubt it will be so soon. I am done wishing this team well until they get rid of Matt Millen who has to be using blackmail to maintain his position.
The Vikings seem to be looking to be the Celtics of the NFL this year. They have certainly gone out and made some moves. Adding Jared Allen to their line is going to make them a monster defensively, it was the best move that they could have made. There should be several games when they will need only seventeen points or less to get a win. But of course there will be several others when teams manage to hang a few points on them and I have to wonder if Tavaris won't just blow it every time he is called upon to close up a deficit. You can only count on even the greatest running back so many times and then it falls to the team leader. Bernard Berrian will be incredibly valuable but only time will tell if Tavaris is going to get the ball out to him when it really matters.
Finally my prediction for division champs, the Greenbay Packers. Obviously the loss of Brett Favre is a kick in the teeth, but I believe in Aaron Rodgers and think he will be plenty effective running the same short passing game that Favre ran last year. If the worst should happen and Rodgers is terrible, I think that Brian Brohm would jump on the oppurtunity to be the succesor of Brett Favre, he is every bit as ready to play as Matt Ryan. As for other losses, Corey Williams will hurt, especially because Justin Harrell can't stay healthy and Thompson was counting on him to take on a bigger role. They'll miss Bubba Franks blocking, but he was no longer a big time receiving threat. The addition of Brandon Chillar will hopefully help to propel A.J. Hawk to be the gamebreaker he was at Ohio State, he's been solid and occasionally makes some big plays, but the Packers need him to be the force he was in college. I am looking for Atari Bigby to have a breakout year, he showed all kinds of star potential last year. Ryan Grant could push upwards of 1500 yards and take pressure off the passing game.
So here it is.
Packers 11-5
Vikings 10-6
Bears 7-9
Lions 4-12
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