The following is my interpretation of what will happen regaurding Manny Ramirez's free agency. Feel free to post your own thoughts.
Manny is looking for a 6 year deal at $150 million, though it's not expected that any team will jump at such a risky and expensive offer. 3 to 4 years, maybe even 5 year deals may be offered but 6 is pretty unlikely for the kind of money he's asking. My prediction? The Yankees are going to sign him no matter what. They're missing two massive ingredients that made the late 90's championships a possibility; great starting pitching and clutch hitting. Manny is the jumpstart the Yankees need to get one half of the equation down.
When Manny got to LA the Dodgers were barely a .500 team in the worst division in baseball, despite being guided by Joe Torre. Fast foward two months and the Dodgers take the NL west and make a magnificent run to the NLCS, in complete thanks to Manny Ramirez. Call it a crazy idea but Manny Ramirez just makes lineups better. Period. It happened in Boston, it happened in Los Angeles. Imagine what he could do for the Yankees lineup. Imagine a post season tandem with a playoff awoken A-rod followed by the naturally clutch Manny. And people thought Ortiz and Manny were scary... Now I'm not saying Manny is the definitive cure to A-rod's post-season clutch woes, but the point is with Manny Ramirez the Yankees can finally (at the absoloute least) get out of the first round of the playoffs. Whoever pays for Manny isn't just paying for Manny Ramirez, they're paying to make their entire lineup better. That's why it's worth dealing with his ego.
If there are really solid offers from other teams then the Yankees will up their offer and he'll sign with them for 5 years at about $125 million with a club option for 2014 worth about $28 million which would be a $3 million raise from his $25 million a year average. This makes it so that he has to earn that sixth year and keep him motivated because if he does he gets a raise. No one will gaurentee him 6 years. If he goes asking for anything more than that $28 million then he can go screw himself because there's no other team in baseball that can afford that besides the Yankees so at that point he's cornered. I expect him to last no longer than 6 years with the Yankees anyway.
If there aren't real offers for him the Yankees will get away with a 4 year deal worth $100 million and maybe a club option at the same rate for 2013 if it was neccesary to keep him happy.
I personally believe Manny will be able to hit at this level until maybe 41 with ease. It's really more of a question of how much is the Yankees are willing to deal with his ridiculous antics and wether he's going to stay healthy. Production declination isn't a factor. Manny is the best hitter baseball has seen in at least the past 50 years.
Now you can argue that the Mets are just as desperate (if not more than the Yankees), and you could say the Dodgers need Manny and will only regress without him, but the fact of the Matter is that the Yankees are the ones with $88 million to throw around this offseason.
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