Analysts predict 63 Mil X1 lifetime sales, 20 million X1X by 2022

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NeonicTrash

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#1  Edited By NeonicTrash
Member since 2010 • 549 Posts

http://www.express.co.uk/entertainment/gaming/823433/Xbox-One-X-price-update-pre-order-delay-PS4-Pro-price-drop

DFC Intelligence predict that by the end of 2021 the Xbox One X will have sold 17 million units, and by 2022 it will have sold over 20 million units.

They predict that the total lifetime sales for the Xbox One will be 63 million units worldwide.

While that is a healthy number, that would be 20 million units down on the Xbox 360’s total lifetime sales.

The 20 million X1X sales by 2022 seems like a pretty good number. I think MS would be pleased with that level of sales considering the price point and their current stance of no exclusive X1X software that requires the hardware purchase.

But I think they may be lowballing it a bit with the 63 million lifetime X1 sales. With a 499 launch price 100 higher than PS4, bundled with Kinect at first, and the bad press of E3 2013, in about 4 years they've already managed half that. And since last year, they've got the superior base model in the S, which goes on sale all the time for 250 or less, bundled with games, and MS continues to add features and selling points to buying an Xbox such as Xbox game pass.

It seems very possible, even likely, they will do better these next 4 years than the first 4 of X1. You have to take into account continual price drops for both the S and X. S dropping down to 200, and the X dropping to 399 or less over the next 1-2 years, and 4k TVs further increasing in proliferation, and both are affordable gaming consoles with 4k blu ray movie support as opposed to people buying standalone 4k players that just play movies. I feel like they could break 70 million lifetime X1 sales.

Even if these analysts end up being about right, considering MS's missteps this gen, to end up within about 20 million units of 360 sales is still a great number for them. That would be an NES type number, and one Nintendo would love to have themselves for the Switch.

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KBFloYd

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#2 KBFloYd
Member since 2009 • 22714 Posts

lol but no one knows any numbers!

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deactivated-6092a2d005fba

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#4 deactivated-6092a2d005fba
Member since 2015 • 22663 Posts

Maybe I should see if DFC can predict when i'll win the lottery, since they can see into the future.

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Daniel_Su123

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#5 Daniel_Su123
Member since 2015 • 1103 Posts

I expect them to keep the Xbox One name for future consoles. It makes no sense to get rid of it TBH. I also expect that BC and FC for XB1X to be a standard for the next Xbox and XB1S/OG to be EOL.

But this will continue to add to the Xbox One user base overall.

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nethernova

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#6 nethernova
Member since 2008 • 5721 Posts

I really don't get the point of that kind of analysts. Is it a paid job?

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mowgly1

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#7 mowgly1
Member since 2017 • 2994 Posts

Lol! Not gonna happen!

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TrumpTowerLR

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#8 TrumpTowerLR
Member since 2017 • 114 Posts

The Xbox One was the biggest flop in the history of gaming consoles, I cannot believe Microsoft is bothering to release an updated version of it. What was the saying? You can't polish a turd.

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babyjoker1221

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#9  Edited By babyjoker1221
Member since 2015 • 1313 Posts

Gen 8 console leader XBX is gonna crush the competition. No crystal ball needed to predict that.

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deactivated-5a30e101a977c

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#10 deactivated-5a30e101a977c
Member since 2006 • 5970 Posts

I think that's a decent estimation, don't see them reaching 80mil

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sirk1264

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#11  Edited By sirk1264
Member since 2003 • 6242 Posts

63 million total X1s is a pretty good number. 22 million X1Xs is probably a good estimate as well considering the 500 dollar price tag. My original X1 is still going strong but might buy the X1X since I have a 4K tv.

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Zero_epyon

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#12 Zero_epyon
Member since 2004 • 20498 Posts

I think those X1X numbers are a bit optimistic. Otherwise ~60 combined seems plausible if prices drop.

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Primorandomguy

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#13 Primorandomguy
Member since 2014 • 3368 Posts

Unfortunately, we'll probably never know for sure.

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APiranhaAteMyVa

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#14 APiranhaAteMyVa
Member since 2011 • 4160 Posts

PS4 Pro the only professional console will sell more than XBX,

Considering 2:1 sales at least PS4 will be 100+ million easy.

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shellcase86

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#15 shellcase86
Member since 2012 • 6890 Posts

@Zero_epyon said:

I think those X1X numbers are a bit optimistic. Otherwise ~60 combined seems plausible if prices drop.

Agreed. People overestimate the general consumer's willingness to spend more when they have the option to spend less.

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No_bo_dy_83

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#16  Edited By No_bo_dy_83
Member since 2017 • 142 Posts

Any info about how many people buy the Xbox play anywhere games on Windows 10?

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caryslan2

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#17 caryslan2
Member since 2005 • 2486 Posts

@trumptowerlr said:

The Xbox One was the biggest flop in the history of gaming consoles, I cannot believe Microsoft is bothering to release an updated version of it. What was the saying? You can't polish a turd.

So, its a bigger flop then the 3D0, Sega CD, Atari Jaguar, CD-I, Virtual Boy, Wii U, Vita, 32X, and Saturn?

Because that's a loaded statement and other systems have done worse than the Xbox One. Not saying it will break any sales records, but its done better than the Wii U and Vita this generation.

And there are many systems that have done far worse and flopped many times harder than the Xbox One.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#18 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

60 million LTD for Xbox One, I can see. 20 million for Xbox One X seems highly optimistic, on the other hand.

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PinkAnimal

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#20 PinkAnimal
Member since 2017 • 2380 Posts

Lame console, doesn't deserve such sales. A gaming company that doesn't even try with games

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deactivated-5a30e101a977c

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#21 deactivated-5a30e101a977c
Member since 2006 • 5970 Posts

@charizard1605: indeed, that would mean that the OneX would outsell the Ones from now, and Microsoft isn't even expecting that

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CanYouDiglt

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#22 CanYouDiglt
Member since 2009 • 8500 Posts

@kuu2 said:

I will be one of the 20mill.

I will be one also. Looking forward to playing on the most powerful console.

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#24 Blackout55
Member since 2017 • 43 Posts

@pinkanimal said:

Lame console, doesn't deserve such sales. A gaming company that doesn't even try with games

Your a lame and very salty lmao.

XBox is a solid gaming system, you cant afford one so you talk shit about it, very lame.

Missing out on a great system.

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CanYouDiglt

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#25  Edited By CanYouDiglt
Member since 2009 • 8500 Posts

@pinkanimal said:

Lame console, doesn't deserve such sales. A gaming company that doesn't even try with games

Salty moo moo cow. Plenty of Xbox games already this year and also ones shown at E3. You are just salty Sony showed the same E3 2 years in a row and the PS4 will be far weaker then the Xbox. Hey the Xbox games may not look good to you cause they are games that have actual gameplay unlike Last Days or Spider Man, enjoy hitting one button to move the movie forward..