Assuming VITA isn't canned, How long before it's profitable?

This is NOT a sony bashing thread, this is for discussing the Vita MOVING FORWARD, not mistakes Sony may have made in the past:


Sony stated at E3 2011 that they hoped to make the Vita profitable in "Three Years". This was widely agreed to mean covering R&D, and initial losses on hardware, (not just beginning to sell the hardware at a profit).

• For FY2011, Sony sold 1.8m Vita's, the projected number was thought to be around 2.4m.
• For FY2012 , Sony slashed it's projected Vita sales from 16m to 12m.

Now, we have a sales shortfall of 4.6 million units, or 25%. Is it still possible for sony to make that back by E3 2014?

Assuming decreased economies of scale, a lower sales projections, and a lack of Killer Ap's (COD Vita doesn't look set to stimulate the market), could Sony be looking at another 3-4 years before profitability?

The only people that can tell you how long it will be before its profitable is Sony themselves but of course system wars is full of profesional business analysts so someone is going to BS you an answer.

I wish my Keyboard had an infinity symbol.

3 months

3 to 5 years depending on the future market situation for the handheld.