In the meantime, Blu Ray is expensive, turning away developers to the Wii/Xbox 360, or forcing them to cut corners. There are many small dedicated game companies, who can't afford, or are unwilling to cut corners. Blu ray is an ultimatum- sacrifice your vision of your game, or eek out profits. Developers who turn to the X360/Wii, are less likely to develop for the PS3 in the future, because even when the costs die down, they will have more experience with the console they were virtually FORCED too.
It reminds me of the N64/Ps1 situation, where the catridges forced many developers to turn to the PS1.(Catridges were more expensive for one thing). Blu ray could FORCE developers to turn away from the PS3, and when the costs die down, the DAMAGE will be done. The problems of Blu ray seem short term but could leave lasting scars. HIGHER COSTS means either less quality or less profit. Which is detrimental to many smaller developers, meaning they are much more likely to seek lower expenses in developing Wii/xbox 360 or PS2
yuna707
Well, several factors to consider... For one, 30% is an incredibly small margin to factor in for the middleman. In many technology sales, Middlemen count for up to 90% of the cost (do some reading on production costs of a $2000 laptop for kicks). I'm not saying you're wrong, but immediate fees are weighed against both short term technology advantages (Blu Ray does have a storage benefit - not worth much, I agree, but worth something, especially for marketing) and long term investment. To further explain long term investment, if at this very moment, the console that company X expects to win in the long term costs them more to develop for, then in the long term it is better to support that console rather than jump for the cheaper current medium. Sure it costs more now, but establishing a name on what they expect to be the winning console is worth more than a higher development fee in the short term.
Now, I don't expect the PS3 to win... I don't rule out the possibility, but I don't expect it. Developers have a lot of information we don't though, so who knows - maybe developing in Blu Ray is the best projected long term investment, whether we know it or not. Even though I think your point is a valid one, and many of the idiots raising token fanboy opposition to it are really just a bunch of fanboys, I still think you're missing some of the variables with your evaluation of the situation.
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