[QUOTE="SUD123456"][QUOTE="The_Crucible"] Yeah. You see how those graphs go up as well as down? I thought so. PS3 with its high price and low quantity of titles has had a slow year. Big surprise. What else you gonna blow us away with, Brittany Spears has gotten fat?
Listen, a little something called $399 is in PS3's near future. Show me a graph after that happens.
The_Crucible
I will show you a graph. It will look ugly. Sorry, but that's the reality. There are some inescapable facts that separate the PS2 from the PS3....which do not bode well for Sony this time. Like:
1. Sony had a 20 million to none lead on both nintendo and MS last generation
2. PS 2 launched at $299
3. 80%+ of PS2 sales were are $199 or less
4. Sony dropped the PS2 to $199 shortly after both nintendo and MS launched.....when they had 25-30 million sales vs a few million for the competitors, and when they had a large and rapidly growing game library vs very little.
In other words...PS2 had excellent market conditions to be adopted by the masses and the mainstream console.
This time...ugghhh....not so much :)
Why does history have to repeat itself? Why do things have to be the same this gen as last for the consoles to line up? Answer: They don't.
Everyone talks about Sony like this is their 8th console or something. Its their friggin' third. And its MS' second. Showing me what happened last gen holds no water for this one. Tell me, has 360 sold as well as PS2 did last gen within the same time? Answer: No.
The situtaions are all different this go-around.
History is not going to repeat itself, meaning that the PS3 will not be as succuessful as the PS2.
While circumstances change, certain principles of economics remain. You need a price point accessible to the masses. Sony does not have that and they launched late....meaning they will always be behind both Wii and 360 in reaching a mass market price point.
And you need a public perception of industry leadership...which they have squandered. Having ceded time and price point to 360 and price point to Wii, there only hope to repeat PS2 was to launch with an impressive game library and recover on value. Which didn't happen. So now they have lost public perception as well.
And they are being crushed in sales by Wii, and barely neck and neck with 360. They have two competitors who combined have something like a 22 million to 6 million lead, with price, and momentum on their side. PS3 isn't doomed to outright failure, but this will be written up for years to come as a complete meltdown and exactly what not to do in protecting your brand.
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