How does 54% of 5,000 readers = 54% of all the 24 million XBox 360s?

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Blue-Sky

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#1 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

5,000 Game Informer subscribers answered a few questions.

That means the source of this information came from fanboys who subcribe to the magazine!

Owners of each system summed up the 5,000, so the actual amount of 360 owners is less.

How many of them do you think actually own Xbox's 360s?

How do you know if they had a launch or a recent model?

There was no timeframe in any of the questions, If someone had an RROD in 2005, how does that equal to the failure rates now?

Do you people actually believe that there is more RRODs in the current batch of 360s?

How is this even remotely accurate? Theres no logic involved to believe so.

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Stevo_the_gamer

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#2 Stevo_the_gamer  Moderator
Member since 2004 • 50081 Posts
You mean 30 million? Yeah, nevertheless, it doesn't make sense.
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Hanass

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#3 Hanass
Member since 2008 • 2204 Posts

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

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shoryuken_

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#5 shoryuken_
Member since 2009 • 3420 Posts

I agree, the figure was very exaggerated. I think they did it to get more people to read it. Of course, IGN felt kind of left out and felt the need to plaster a summary of the article all over their front page. :roll:

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qxp

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#6 qxp
Member since 2009 • 46 Posts

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Hanass
15 % is a pretty big difference if you ask me
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EndorphinMaster

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#7 EndorphinMaster
Member since 2009 • 2118 Posts

Cows apparently think so. They also want to believe that all of the 5000 people actually own a 360.

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Stevo_the_gamer

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#8 Stevo_the_gamer  Moderator
Member since 2004 • 50081 Posts

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Hanass
When has Microsoft *ever* given out official numbers?
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Twig978

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#9 Twig978
Member since 2009 • 557 Posts
If it's 39% by Microsoft then I think that 45% is plausible.
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gago-gago

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#10 gago-gago
Member since 2009 • 12138 Posts

The answer is easy, System Wars spin.

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KG86

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#11 KG86
Member since 2007 • 6021 Posts

It's a large enough sample pool, it's how statistics work.

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Blue-Sky

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#12 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Hanass

Hmm didn't see anything come up in google. Mind finding it for me?

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Hanass

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#13 Hanass
Member since 2008 • 2204 Posts

[QUOTE="Hanass"]

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Blue-Sky

Hmm didn't see anything come up in google. Mind finding it for me?

Ok Microsoft reports 5%, which is obviously a lie (I smell damage control), but retailers often report >30%.

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navyguy21

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#14 navyguy21
Member since 2003 • 17915 Posts

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Hanass

Its not that high, the last statement has it around 16%

On topic - logic escapes fanboys in system wars. Information has to go through a fanboy filter first lol, it goes

Bad news-----------> fanboy filter---------------> field of roses

and

Inaccurate information----------->fanboy filter-----------> big news/ammo to bash opposing console/fanboys

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Wasdie

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#15 Wasdie  Moderator
Member since 2003 • 53622 Posts

Have you ever learned how random surveys work?

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JohnM1983

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#16 JohnM1983
Member since 2009 • 483 Posts

Its called percentages and statistics.
5000 surveys for 30 million people is acceptable.

I'd suggest reading up on percentages and statistics...

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Deiuos

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#17 Deiuos
Member since 2005 • 1402 Posts

Here's step one of finding your answer, rather than asking people who more than likely won't have a mathematical clue on how to properly answer your question.

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saruman354

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#18 saruman354
Member since 2004 • 10776 Posts

Polls are actually proven, legitimate ways to conduct research and gather information. Depending on how the poll was conducted, it could be pretty much spot on. Was there a margin of error listed any where?

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The__Havoc

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#19 The__Havoc
Member since 2009 • 2350 Posts

Have you ever learned how random surveys work?

Wasdie

No, could you explain?

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Hanass

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#20 Hanass
Member since 2008 • 2204 Posts

[QUOTE="Hanass"]

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

navyguy21

Its not that high, the last statement has it around 16%

I made a mistake, the 39% was from retailers, which honestly are much more credible than MS.

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Stevo_the_gamer

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#21 Stevo_the_gamer  Moderator
Member since 2004 • 50081 Posts

[QUOTE="Hanass"]

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

navyguy21

Its not that high, the last statement has it around 16%

That's not an official statement, that's a percentage taken from a pool of Xbox 360 owners. The only official statement declaring a percentage from Microsoft themselves is the "failure rates were no higher than an industry average of between 3% and 5%" statement.
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Hanass

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#22 Hanass
Member since 2008 • 2204 Posts

[QUOTE="navyguy21"]

[QUOTE="Hanass"]

The official report from Microsoft is around 39% if I remember correctly, so it's not that far away.

Stevo_the_gamer

Its not that high, the last statement has it around 16%

That's not an official statement, that's a percentage taken from a pool of Xbox 360 owners. The only official statement declaring a percentage from Microsoft themselves is the "failure rates were no higher than an industry average of between 3% and 5%" statement.

I don't even think that blind Xbox 360 fanboys would believe that.

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cainetao11

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#23 cainetao11
Member since 2006 • 38063 Posts
It will be with the 360 until the next gen starts. It will never live it down. Cows need this. There is no excuse for a company that dominated the last 2 gens to blow their hold the way Sony did. It is one of the biggest blunders in business history. So they need to hold the black eye (red if you will) that the 360 has over it forever. That survey holds little weight as there is no time frame given for purchase, RROD, return, nothing. It's all relative and that is shown to be vague so that it can be interpreted in many different ways. It sells mags this way.
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Stevo_the_gamer

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#24 Stevo_the_gamer  Moderator
Member since 2004 • 50081 Posts

I don't even think that blind Xbox 360 fanboys would believe that.Hanass
That statement was given shortly after launch; and ever since then, there has been no official statements regarding failure rates from Microsoft. Every percentage you see or find is purely speculation.

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The_Game21x

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#25 The_Game21x
Member since 2005 • 26440 Posts

What I don't understand is why people are taking this poll so seriously and treating it as if it is undeniable fact.

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navyguy21

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#26 navyguy21
Member since 2003 • 17915 Posts

[QUOTE="Hanass"]I don't even think that blind Xbox 360 fanboys would believe that.Stevo_the_gamer

That statement was given shortly after launch; and ever since then, there has been no official statements regarding failure rates from Microsoft. Every percentage you see or find is purely speculation.

i agree with that. These sony fanboys are really starting to get on my nerves with this crap
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Foxhound_spy

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#27 Foxhound_spy
Member since 2007 • 658 Posts
Spin it many times you want lems but 360 is the worst console ever made yet the biggest failure in gaming history ............. But thanks to MS marketing department peoples still buy 360 without knowing how faulty that console is .............
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DumbDubya

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#28 DumbDubya
Member since 2009 • 668 Posts

I'm on my 4th Xbox in 8 months, so I'm sure that figure is correct. However the majority of failures came from the previous motherboard. Today's Xbox's are said to be a lot more reliable. Maybe not a 100% fool proof, but better.

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Sands-0f-Time

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#29 Sands-0f-Time
Member since 2009 • 180 Posts

Spin it many times you want lems but 360 is the worst console ever made yet the biggest failure in gaming history ............. But thanks to MS marketing department peoples still buy 360 without knowing how faulty that console is .............Foxhound_spy
^ this....no doubt the piece of plastic is no good.

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The_Game21x

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#30 The_Game21x
Member since 2005 • 26440 Posts

Spin it many times you want lems but 360 is the worst console ever made yet the biggest failure in gaming history ............. But thanks to MS marketing department peoples still buy 360 without knowing how faulty that console is .............Foxhound_spy

I find it funny that the 360 can be "the worst console ever made" and "the biggest failure in gaming history" and still be solidly in second place right now and, not only that, but the only console to show any growth in 2009.

That must be some damn fine marketing MS is doing.

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MizFitAwesome

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#31 MizFitAwesome
Member since 2009 • 2745 Posts

[QUOTE="Stevo_the_gamer"]

[QUOTE="Hanass"]I don't even think that blind Xbox 360 fanboys would believe that.navyguy21

That statement was given shortly after launch; and ever since then, there has been no official statements regarding failure rates from Microsoft. Every percentage you see or find is purely speculation.

i agree with that. These sony fanboys are really starting to get on my nerves with this crap

It's the nature of fanboyism itself. I now RROD exists (I had mine sent in last year) Yet it seems to be one of the most exaggerated subjects I have ever seen. I was trying to explain to someone yesterday that for every 1 legi case of someone being stung multiple times, there are almost 20 - 25 fanboy made up stories. Every cow still owns launch PS2's, yet knows every 360 owner on their 5th or 6th 360.

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Blue-Sky

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#32 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

Its called percentages and statistics.
5000 surveys for 30 million people is acceptable.

I'd suggest reading up on percentages and statistics...

JohnM1983

The Game Informer questions were too vague and with no specified timeframe. One of the questions were, Did you have a friend that have an RROD. My answer to that would be yes, back in 2006. But in now way would that equate to the failure rates in 2009, thus making the argument, "RROD is rising" invalid.

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KingsMessenger

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#33 KingsMessenger
Member since 2009 • 2574 Posts

Its called percentages and statistics.
5000 surveys for 30 million people is acceptable.

I'd suggest reading up on percentages and statistics...

JohnM1983
And I suggest you read up on market demographics. Game Informer readers are far more likely to use their Xbox 360's extensively and have very likely had them for a very long time. They are hardcore gamers(more hardcore than just your average gamer at least). More time = higher likelihood of having a RROD. Not only that, but the survey wasn't asking about RROD in the past couple months, but in the entire time you have owned an Xbox 360. Meaning if you have ever had a RROD since the 360 came out. Again, larger time span = greater likelihood of hardware problems. The demographic for Game Informer is a higher activity demographic and will thus demonstrate a higher concentration of hardware problems.
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MizFitAwesome

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#34 MizFitAwesome
Member since 2009 • 2745 Posts

Spin it many times you want lems but 360 is the worst console ever made yet the biggest failure in gaming history ............. But thanks to MS marketing department peoples still buy 360 without knowing how faulty that console is .............Foxhound_spy

You mean the one in 3rd place after 2 gens of dominence that you cows have to compare the sales of to MS's 1st gen hardware?

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The_Game21x

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#35 The_Game21x
Member since 2005 • 26440 Posts

[QUOTE="JohnM1983"]

Its called percentages and statistics.
5000 surveys for 30 million people is acceptable.

I'd suggest reading up on percentages and statistics...

KingsMessenger

And I suggest you read up on market demographics. Game Informer readers are far more likely to use their Xbox 360's extensively and have very likely had them for a very long time. They are hardcore gamers(more hardcore than just your average gamer at least). More time = higher likelihood of having a RROD. The demographic for Game Informer is a higher activity demographic and will thus demonstrate a higher concentration of hardware problems.

Which is exactly why this poll shouldn't be taken out of context.

It may be representative of the hardcore gaming community but it's highly unlikely that it is representative of the entirety of the Xbox 360's userbase.

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JohnM1983

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#36 JohnM1983
Member since 2009 • 483 Posts

[QUOTE="JohnM1983"]

Its called percentages and statistics.
5000 surveys for 30 million people is acceptable.

I'd suggest reading up on percentages and statistics...

Blue-Sky

The Game Informer questions were too vague and with no specified timeframe. One of the questions were, Did you have a friend that have an RROD. My answer to that would be yes, back in 2006. But in now way would that equate to the failure rates in 2009, thus making the argument, "RROD is rising" invalid.

Not denying there could be problems with the survey.
Just explaining that a sample size of 5000 is adequate for a population of up to 30,000,000 which was one of the issues the TC had a problem with.

But theres no denying that there are problems with the 360 and the RROD. No matter what way you look at it.

I'm surprised there is no official % from Microsoft considering all the law suits.

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navstar29

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#37 navstar29
Member since 2004 • 4036 Posts

5,000 Game Informer subscribers answered a few questions.

That means the source of this information came from fanboys who subcribe to the magazine!

Owners of each system summed up the 5,000, so the actual amount of 360 owners is less.

How many of them do you think actually own Xbox's 360s?

How do you know if they had a launch or a recent model?

There was no timeframe in any of the questions, If someone had an RROD in 2005, how does that equal to the failure rates now?

Do you people actually believe that there is more RRODs in the current batch of 360s?

How is this even remotely accurate? Theres no logic involved to believe so.

Blue-Sky
So i guess all those approval rating polls are nonsense or what about all those numbers that Nielson reports for TV viewing or even NPD sales for that matter, those are all smaller portions of a whole, enlarged to give you a general consensus of what is happening with those respective subjects without polling every human involved with that subject.

Albeit I don't believe this 54%, that seems way too high. But its probably in the overstated general ballpark range. That's what polls are for for giving you a general idea.
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the_real_VIP

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#38 the_real_VIP
Member since 2006 • 3318 Posts

As in mathematics, there's the usual 3% margin error. How many here actually learned Statistics at school? Even though some would claim that only lemmings answered to the poll, there's still a larger number that are not lemmings and according to research that's where that 3% margin error falls in. If any dooesn't believe in a poll, please look at all and any kind of polls taken in general and compare it with the final results that were found and see how many of them were totally wrong or too off.

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PBSnipes

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#39 PBSnipes
Member since 2007 • 14621 Posts

Polls are actually proven, legitimate ways to conduct research and gather information. Depending on how the poll was conducted, it could be pretty much spot on. Was there a margin of error listed any where?

saruman354

Do you really think GI would go through the trouble of carrying out a formal survey? The best we can hope for is they asked readers to send in their answers rather than just slapping a poll on their website.

Which leads to why this poll is absolutely ridiculous -- sample bias. Those that feel strongly about an issue are more likely to answer a poll (ie few people will go to go out of your way to point out "everything is normal!"), which in this case means those most likely to reply to the survey are those who have had major 360 problems and/or fanboys and/or MS/Sony/Nintendo trying to skew the numbers. This is particularly evident in the Wii and PS3 figures, which are significantly higher than the commonly accepted 3-5% failure rate for consumer electronics.

There are also questions regarding the demographic -- GI's readership is obviously going to have an exaggerated percentage of hardcore gamers (meaning their consoles used more than average), and considering that GI is not only a magazine, but one that is owned by EB/Gamestop, we can also assume that the readership's IQ is significantly lower than average (joking, but seriously, gaming print media? Go back to the 1990s. Say hi to Jurassic Park and Tupac for me.).

So based on all that, the best guess we have is the 360 has a ~16% failure rate (based on this). Significantly higher than the 3-5% average for consumer electronics, but not as bad as all these stupid rumours and polls.

Cliffs Notes version: The poll is BS.

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KingsMessenger

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#40 KingsMessenger
Member since 2009 • 2574 Posts
[QUOTE="navstar29"] So i guess all those approval rating polls are nonsense or what about all those numbers that Nielson reports for TV viewing or even NPD sales for that matter, those are all smaller portions of a whole, enlarged to give you a general consensus of what is happening with those respective subjects without polling every human involved with that subject.

Albeit I don't believe this 54%, that seems way too high. But its probably in the overstated general ballpark range. That's what polls are for for giving you a general idea.

I think 54% is extremely accurate given the demographic for Game Informer.... Hardcore gamers that have had the 360 since launch and probably play it at least 3 times a week for several hours? Hardly surprising that the hardware fails. There are problems with it to begin with, and give it that much opportunity to happen, and it is bound to happen at some point.
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navyguy21

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#41 navyguy21
Member since 2003 • 17915 Posts

As in mathematics, there's the usual 3% margin error. How many here actually learned Statistics at school? Even though some would claim that only lemmings answered to the poll, there's still a larger number that are not lemmings and according to research that's where that 3% margin error falls in. If any dooesn't believe in a poll, please look at all and any kind of polls taken in general and compare it with the final results that were found and see how many of them were totally wrong or too off.

the_real_VIP
The problem here is the KINDS of questions that were asked. You cant ask "have you ever had RROD" and determine the CURRENT failure rate because some of those were 05-07, and wouldnt reflect on 08-09 no?? Also, asking "have you had a friend with RROD" fails because what if 4 people all have the same friend?? that alone goes outside of the 3% margin of error. Im not excusing RROD at all, im just saying lets be realistic here, the gameinformer poll is not, and was not, done in the way that professional polls are done, as there were no control questions or anything that eliminates the gray area.
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saruman354

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#42 saruman354
Member since 2004 • 10776 Posts

I just read the IGN story on the poll. I mean, it's no Gallup poll, but it seems pretty sound. I thought it was a poll based just on 360, but it was all consoles. And for all of those saying that Sony and Nintendo fanboys could have easily schewed the results, well, the same could be said about Microsoft fanboys doing that to the PS3's numbers. It's not a good argument. I sense no bias either. Sure, the failure rate number was pretty high, but they did note that less than 4% of respondants said they would NOT buy another 360 because of past failures

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The__Havoc

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#43 The__Havoc
Member since 2009 • 2350 Posts

As in mathematics, there's the usual 3% margin error. How many here actually learned Statistics at school? Even though some would claim that only lemmings answered to the poll, there's still a larger number that are not lemmings and according to research that's where that 3% margin error falls in. If any dooesn't believe in a poll, please look at all and any kind of polls taken in general and compare it with the final results that were found and see how many of them were totally wrong or too off.

the_real_VIP

So you're going to say that polling 5,000 people = 30,000,000 people with a margin of error of 3% ?

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Blue-Sky

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#44 Blue-Sky
Member since 2005 • 10381 Posts

[QUOTE="Blue-Sky"]

5,000 Game Informer subscribers answered a few questions.

That means the source of this information came from fanboys who subcribe to the magazine!

Owners of each system summed up the 5,000, so the actual amount of 360 owners is less.

How many of them do you think actually own Xbox's 360s?

How do you know if they had a launch or a recent model?

There was no timeframe in any of the questions, If someone had an RROD in 2005, how does that equal to the failure rates now?

Do you people actually believe that there is more RRODs in the current batch of 360s?

How is this even remotely accurate? Theres no logic involved to believe so.

navstar29

So i guess all those approval rating polls are nonsense or what about all those numbers that Nielson reports for TV viewing or even NPD sales for that matter, those are all smaller portions of a whole, enlarged to give you a general consensus of what is happening with those respective subjects without polling every human involved with that subject.

Albeit I don't believe this 54%, that seems way too high. But its probably in the overstated general ballpark range. That's what polls are for for giving you a general idea.

You quoted my post. But did you read it? In now way am I saying that Polls can't work. I am saying that there is inconsistences with THIS survey. Look at a presidential polls. They are taken frequently and with specific time periods and always compared to previous polls.

This GI survey has NO timeframes, no comparison to any past data, but somehow makes the claim that theres a rising percentage? How is that logically possible? Had they simply add the year "2009" to each of their questions, would of boosted their accuracy substantially.

Look at the difference between:

Do you have a friend that had an RROD

Do you have a friend that had an RROD in 2009.

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KingsMessenger

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#45 KingsMessenger
Member since 2009 • 2574 Posts

I just read the IGN story on the poll. I mean, it's no Gallup poll, but it seems pretty sound. I thought it was a poll based just on 360, but it was all consoles. And for all of those saying that Sony and Nintendo fanboys could have easily schewed the results, well, the same could be said about Microsoft fanboys doing that to the PS3's numbers. It's not a good argument. I sense no bias either. Sure, the failure rate number was pretty high, but they did note that less than 4% of respondants said they would NOT buy another 360 because of past failures

saruman354
As I said above, the numbers are probably extremely accurate for Game Informer's demographic. And would probably be accurate for this particular forum, as well as NeoGaf and IGN because all of those places share a similar demographic(hardcore gamers). But for the general populace? It is way off.
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#46 MizFitAwesome
Member since 2009 • 2745 Posts

I',m beginning to beleive that some of you people should seriously think about taking up stand up comedy for a living if you want to cling to the idea that this poll is sound in any way shape or form...

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MizFitAwesome

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#47 MizFitAwesome
Member since 2009 • 2745 Posts

Come on we all know polls work. Back in 2004, the polls showed that John Kerry was going to win the US Presidential election and he did win.....WAI A SECOND...

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PBSnipes

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#48 PBSnipes
Member since 2007 • 14621 Posts

Come on we all know polls work. Back in 2004, the polls showed that John Kerry was going to win the US Presidential election and he did win.....WAI A SECOND...

MizFitAwesome

Exactly, informal polls never lie. Case in point:

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the_real_VIP

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#49 the_real_VIP
Member since 2006 • 3318 Posts

[QUOTE="the_real_VIP"]

As in mathematics, there's the usual 3% margin error. How many here actually learned Statistics at school? Even though some would claim that only lemmings answered to the poll, there's still a larger number that are not lemmings and according to research that's where that 3% margin error falls in. If any dooesn't believe in a poll, please look at all and any kind of polls taken in general and compare it with the final results that were found and see how many of them were totally wrong or too off.

The__Havoc

So you're going to say that polling 5,000 people = 30,000,000 people with a margin of error of 3% ?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

2004 presidential poll:

1013 polled out of a population of 300 million

Margin of error: +/- 3 to 4% interval of change

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#50 navyguy21
Member since 2003 • 17915 Posts

[QUOTE="The__Havoc"]

[QUOTE="the_real_VIP"]

As in mathematics, there's the usual 3% margin error. How many here actually learned Statistics at school? Even though some would claim that only lemmings answered to the poll, there's still a larger number that are not lemmings and according to research that's where that 3% margin error falls in. If any dooesn't believe in a poll, please look at all and any kind of polls taken in general and compare it with the final results that were found and see how many of them were totally wrong or too off.

the_real_VIP

So you're going to say that polling 5,000 people = 30,000,000 people with a margin of error of 3% ?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Margin_of_error

2004 presidential poll:

1013 polled out of a population of 300 million

Margin of error: +/- 3 to 4% interval of change

but there are certain questions that you ask, and a way to ask them to get within that margin of error, this poll had none of those.