How long do you expect this gaming generation to last?

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electrosoul

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#1 electrosoul
Member since 2009 • 88 Posts

I expect it will last two more years

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Cronik959

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#2 Cronik959
Member since 2009 • 262 Posts

PC doesn't have a limit.

Until MS and Sony decide to make new consoles.

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Lto_thaG

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#3 Lto_thaG
Member since 2006 • 22611 Posts

PC doesn't have a limit.

Until MS and Sony decide to make new consoles.

Cronik959
And nintendo,no?
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iano-87

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#4 iano-87
Member since 2010 • 685 Posts

havn't a clue pal. could be another five years.

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Shirokishi_

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#5 Shirokishi_
Member since 2009 • 11206 Posts

Until next March.

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Wesrcks13

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#6 Wesrcks13
Member since 2009 • 1226 Posts

For Nintendo 2012

For Microsoft 2014

For Sony 2015

Tbh, that's how I think it's going to happen

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vashkey

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#7 vashkey
Member since 2005 • 33781 Posts
At the very least two more years. Probably more considering the economy and how expensive it is to make games on the current set of consoles.
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istreakforfood

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#8 istreakforfood
Member since 2004 • 7781 Posts

I think it will last longer than expected due to the poor economy atm.

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Cronik959

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#9 Cronik959
Member since 2009 • 262 Posts

[QUOTE="Cronik959"]

PC doesn't have a limit.

Until MS and Sony decide to make new consoles.

Lto_thaG

And nintendo,no?

Oh well yeah, I never even cared for Nintendo.

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Vinegar_Strokes

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#10 Vinegar_Strokes
Member since 2010 • 3401 Posts

another 4 or 5 years.

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Loco_Live

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#11 Loco_Live
Member since 2010 • 3147 Posts

▲ Five more years sounds like a fair bet. ▲

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IcyToasters

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#12 IcyToasters
Member since 2007 • 12476 Posts

What is this five year business O___o
The Playstation 1/Nintendo 64 were released ~1995, with the PS2/Gamecube/Xbox being released ~2000, then the current generation in ~2005

Why would they be around double the amount of time this time? :?

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amaneuvering

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#13 amaneuvering
Member since 2009 • 4815 Posts

I expect it will last two more years

electrosoul
In terms of the home consoles I think a few more years at least.
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dontshackzmii

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#14 dontshackzmii
Member since 2009 • 6026 Posts

i am guessing 2013 at the latest . To tell the turth the ps3 and 360 have been maxed out for a while now . What i worry about next gen is that games will be so expensive to make we wont see graphics improve much . Also i think we will see even less exclusives on all systems .

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04dcarraher

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#15 04dcarraher
Member since 2004 • 23858 Posts
2012 earliest, most likely 2014-2015. Right now console's gpu's are 12x slower then Pc gpu's like the GTX 480. Imagine by 2012 it will be as much as 16x , and if they last until 2015 about 25x slower at least.
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jakarai

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#16 jakarai
Member since 2008 • 4289 Posts
I am going to say at least 3 years so 2013 at the earliest for new consoles unless Microsoft decides it wants to loose even more money by releasing in 2012.
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savebattery

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#17 savebattery
Member since 2009 • 3626 Posts
2012 is when the new consoles will be released. 2013 at the latest. My reasoning: 1. Piracy is now a major concern on all three consoles. New hardware will slow that down significantly. 2. Consoles are showing their age now more than ever relative to PC gaming. 3. A lot of the tech in these consoles (USB 2.0, SATA II, Bluetooth 2.0, Wireless G, 10/100 ethernet, DVD, 5400 RPM HDD, etc) is becoming obsolete.
4. Many developers have stated that it is difficult to launch a new IP this late into a console generation. 5. Xbox 360 is about to wrap up its fifth year, and PS3 and Wii are about to wrap up their fourth, Most consoles are replaced within 3-5 years. 2012 will make seven and six years respectively.
6. The new handhelds are nearly upon us already. Those generally precede new consoles by 1-2 years.
7. The Wii, while still getting great games, has lost its one technical advantage (motion controls). 8. Kinect obviously isn't going to be as advanced as once thought. 9. Microsoft is almost completely out of first/second party franchises. Like I said, a new console launch is the perfect time for a new IP. 10. Wii's online system is archaic. Nobody will want to be beaten to market by too much, so when one system drops you can expect the other two to drop within a year or so.
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farnham

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#18 farnham
Member since 2003 • 21147 Posts

[QUOTE="Cronik959"]

PC doesn't have a limit.

Until MS and Sony decide to make new consoles.

Lto_thaG

And nintendo,no?

Nintendo is not a factor

i am guessing 2013 at the latest . To tell the turth the ps3 and 360 have been maxed out for a while now . What i worry about next gen is that games will be so expensive to make we wont see graphics improve much . Also i think we will see even less exclusives on all systems .

dontshackzmii

well the wii successor will get as many exclusives as always as that is nintendos strategy (concentrating on first party )

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savebattery

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#19 savebattery
Member since 2009 • 3626 Posts

For Nintendo 2012

For Microsoft 2014

For Sony 2015

Tbh, that's how I think it's going to happen

Wesrcks13
With how rampant piracy is on Xbox 360 and now Playstation 3, there's no way they're squeezing 4-5 more years out of PS3 or 360. I mean, the consoles themselves may last that long, but they'll both be replaced well before then. All the signs are there. This generation is coming to a close.
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slvrraven9

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#20 slvrraven9
Member since 2004 • 9278 Posts

I expect it will last two more years

electrosoul
then you dont understand a thing about economy or developement costs, do you...
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ProjectNatalFan

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#21 ProjectNatalFan
Member since 2010 • 2471 Posts

i see it lasting 3 more years and then things will be announced.

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VendettaRed07

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#22 VendettaRed07
Member since 2007 • 14012 Posts

Next year for nintendo.

And whenever Sony/MS realize this Kinect and Move BS isnt going to work.

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savebattery

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#23 savebattery
Member since 2009 • 3626 Posts
[QUOTE="electrosoul"]

I expect it will last two more years

slvrraven9
then you dont understand a thing about economy or developement costs, do you...

New consoles have been released in recessions before. Take a read. From 2000-2003, many parts of the world went through recessions of varying lengths and intensities. And last I checked, that time period is when PS2, GBA, Gamecube, and Xbox hit the US and Europe.
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VendettaRed07

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#24 VendettaRed07
Member since 2007 • 14012 Posts

[QUOTE="electrosoul"]

I expect it will last two more years

slvrraven9

then you dont understand a thing about economy or developement costs, do you...

you dont understand the gaming industry.. If anyone honestly thinks that this generation is going to last 4 or 5 more years thats absolutely crazy. They will NOT be able to keep developers and gamers interest in these consoles for that long. Heck japan doesnt even care about these systems anymore at ALL.. Maybe launching a new system well be able to get some good eastern support again

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kyacat

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#25 kyacat
Member since 2003 • 4408 Posts
We probably hear about new three console from Sony and Microsoft Nintendo in middle of 2011 0r 2012
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iano-87

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#26 iano-87
Member since 2010 • 685 Posts

[QUOTE="electrosoul"]

I expect it will last two more years

slvrraven9

then you dont understand a thing about economy or developement costs, do you...

bit harsh man dont you think? You might aswell enlighten him then...

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santoron

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#27 santoron
Member since 2006 • 8584 Posts

you dont understand the gaming industry.. If anyone honestly thinks that this generation is going to last 4 or 5 more years thats absolutely crazy. They will NOT be able to keep developers and gamers interest in these consoles for that long. Heck japan doesnt even care about these systems anymore at ALL.. Maybe launching a new system well be able to get some good eastern support again

VendettaRed07

Third party developers and publishers have been the one screaming the loudest that they Need this gen to last longer than usual to recoup dev costs. :| I certainly don't foresee Sony or MS launching a new gen without the 3rd party houses in support. I agree 4-5 years sounds like a long time, but it's not impossible.

FWIW, my earliest guess would be new hardware announcements in 2012 and launches in 2013.

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topgunmv

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#28 topgunmv
Member since 2003 • 10880 Posts

[QUOTE="VendettaRed07"]

you dont understand the gaming industry.. If anyone honestly thinks that this generation is going to last 4 or 5 more years thats absolutely crazy. They will NOT be able to keep developers and gamers interest in these consoles for that long. Heck japan doesnt even care about these systems anymore at ALL.. Maybe launching a new system well be able to get some good eastern support again

santoron

Third party developers and publishers have been the one screaming the loudest that they Need this gen to last longer than usual to recoup dev costs. :| I certainly don't foresee Sony or MS launching a new gen without the 3rd party houses in support. I agree 4-5 years sounds like a long time, but it's not impossible.

FWIW, my earliest guess would be new hardware announcements in 2012 and launches in 2013.

Fer serious. Not to mention looking at it from a strictly profitability standpoint, there's no reason to launch any earlier than that.

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VendettaRed07

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#29 VendettaRed07
Member since 2007 • 14012 Posts

[QUOTE="VendettaRed07"]

you dont understand the gaming industry.. If anyone honestly thinks that this generation is going to last 4 or 5 more years thats absolutely crazy. They will NOT be able to keep developers and gamers interest in these consoles for that long. Heck japan doesnt even care about these systems anymore at ALL.. Maybe launching a new system well be able to get some good eastern support again

santoron

Third party developers and publishers have been the one screaming the loudest that they Need this gen to last longer than usual to recoup dev costs. :| I certainly don't foresee Sony or MS launching a new gen without the 3rd party houses in support. I agree 4-5 years sounds like a long time, but it's not impossible.

FWIW, my earliest guess would be new hardware announcements in 2012 and launches in 2013.

2012 and 2013 seem alot more reasonable but I think that 2015 is just not going to happen

A new gen. would be good for third parties. Its like impossible to get anything new of the ground this late into the generation and the genres that are popular now are pretty much what is going to remain dominant till the end. A new console generation is needed so new tech can open up the doors for new gameplay types and different genres can get some room to breathe because games this gen are getting more and more derivative/stagnant. The big sellers are just the same things over and over year to year and when devs. try to experiement they are met with poor sales

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johny300

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#30 johny300
Member since 2010 • 12496 Posts
2015 would be the choice
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#31 Gue1
Member since 2004 • 12171 Posts

2013

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#32 savagetwinkie
Member since 2008 • 7981 Posts
[QUOTE="VendettaRed07"]

[QUOTE="slvrraven9"][QUOTE="electrosoul"]

I expect it will last two more years

then you dont understand a thing about economy or developement costs, do you...

you dont understand the gaming industry.. If anyone honestly thinks that this generation is going to last 4 or 5 more years thats absolutely crazy. They will NOT be able to keep developers and gamers interest in these consoles for that long. Heck japan doesnt even care about these systems anymore at ALL.. Maybe launching a new system well be able to get some good eastern support again

I don't think developers want to see this gen gone at all, same with a lot of people, I could see 2/3 years before we start seeing specs on new systems, another couple of years before they are released.
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#33 madsnakehhh
Member since 2007 • 18368 Posts

I say 2012 until we have the first announcement and maybe will officially start in 2013, honestly, that's fine, i don't want to buy new consoles anytime soon.

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applefan1991

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#34 applefan1991  Moderator
Member since 2009 • 3397 Posts
I feel like they will be leaked late 2011 as far as rumors. Confirmed 2012 E3 and released end of 2013. However, following Sony's cycle. ps1 - 1995 psOne - 1998 ps2-2000 psTwo-2003 ps3-2006 psThree-2009 ps4-2012 psFour-2015 Maybeh there is a pattern idk
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#35 mariokart64fan
Member since 2003 • 20828 Posts

why is 3rd poster leaving out nintendo

but any way

i think 3ds starts the next gen

mark my words

give wii and 360 another 1-1 and a half years ,thats right dont cry when kenict becomes low in use

at least i hope!

i know i definatelly want a new xbox

because the one out now is faulty! scratches disc-scratche one on me last night by the way and no way am i dealin with that one any more

uh uh tell some 1 who cares ,,

from this point on i wil buy ps3 and wii games if their good enough dead rising 2 bein an exception -i might as well finish the collection for 360 on that title

but ya i think this gen is in the books come february there cant be much change in sales position !
nintendo has a very wide gap ! and they can sell less wiis then compeition from this point forward and still come out victorious ,

the battle is right behind them , 2nd and 3rd is the ones to watch

cause no oneseven close to nintendo atm

one price drop would probably seal the deal even more tight for wii

not to mention this yrs line up

so yes put that in your books because its gonna happen

the sales look like this

console

1 wii

2 ?

3?

handheld

1 ds

2 psp once 3ds is out this gen of handhelds is irrelevent as far as counting sales for psp i stop counting psp or the compeitors once the gen /new handheld is out! so ps2 won last gen even without the added sales figures

wii would win regardless

heres the pattern for consoles

-nes 87 usa

- snes 91-usa

n64-96 -

gc 2001

wii 2006-thats nintendos pattern

so wii 2 should be

2011-2012 early 2013 -wii games will continue to come out til 2014 my prediction

ps1-95

ps2 2000

ps3-2006-til demand stops for it

ps4- 2012 same as wii 2 , sony will come out with one next to nintendo they almost always did

microsoft is to new for me to pick a pattern and they havent followed one

cause if you look 360 would have been discontinued next yr if they did

xbox 2001

360-2005

so im gonna guess 2012 -2013 with that said next gen lauches will probably be the closest ever

besides the gap 3ds is putting on them

handhelds were always wierd

nintendo

-gb-90-98

gbc-97-2002

gba-2001-2006

ds 2004-why short lifespans between launches i dont know

3ds-2011 making ds the longest running handheld besides gb

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chicagodon

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#36 chicagodon
Member since 2008 • 909 Posts

nintendo 2012

ms 2013

sony 2015

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Blade8Aus

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#37 Blade8Aus
Member since 2006 • 1819 Posts

I feel like they will be leaked late 2011 as far as rumors. Confirmed 2012 E3 and released end of 2013. However, following Sony's cycle. ps1 - 1995 psOne - 1998 ps2-2000 psTwo-2003 ps3-2006 psThree-2009 ps4-2012 psFour-2015 Maybeh there is a pattern idkWadeFan

You might be on to something there... It seems like a logical decision for managment. The PS4 could hit the competition by surprise, retain some compatability with the PS3 and Sony could potentially support both consoles. The new console's controller could be primarily Move if they wanted as well.

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Vinegar_Strokes

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#38 Vinegar_Strokes
Member since 2010 • 3401 Posts
[QUOTE="Wesrcks13"]

For Nintendo 2012

For Microsoft 2014

For Sony 2015

Tbh, that's how I think it's going to happen

savebattery
With how rampant piracy is on Xbox 360 and now Playstation 3, there's no way they're squeezing 4-5 more years out of PS3 or 360. I mean, the consoles themselves may last that long, but they'll both be replaced well before then. All the signs are there. This generation is coming to a close.

what signs.
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imprezawrx500

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#39 imprezawrx500
Member since 2004 • 19187 Posts
I could see another 5 years easy. ms and sony have seen what nintendo have done with low power machine and are in no hurry to throw millions away again.
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imprezawrx500

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#40 imprezawrx500
Member since 2004 • 19187 Posts
I could see another 5 years easy. ms and sony have seen what nintendo have done with low power machine and are in no hurry to throw millions away again.
[QUOTE="Wesrcks13"]

For Nintendo 2012

For Microsoft 2014

For Sony 2015

Tbh, that's how I think it's going to happen

savebattery
With how rampant piracy is on Xbox 360 and now Playstation 3, there's no way they're squeezing 4-5 more years out of PS3 or 360. I mean, the consoles themselves may last that long, but they'll both be replaced well before then. All the signs are there. This generation is coming to a close.

except piracy costs ms/sony far less than making a new console. It's the devs that get hit hard by piracy and you can never stop it for long. x360 was cracked within a year of release.
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#41 Wii4Fun
Member since 2008 • 1472 Posts

[QUOTE="Lto_thaG"][QUOTE="Cronik959"] And nintendo,no?farnham

Nintendo is not a factor

That's right, Nintendo is in a league of it's own. You can't touch Ninty.

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Vambran

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#42 Vambran
Member since 2005 • 1921 Posts

Hand Helds are just starting to move to next gen now. I would say 2-3 years tops.

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#43 loadedboon
Member since 2004 • 1986 Posts

I expect it will last two more years

electrosoul

I expect it to last till it's over

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#44 dovberg
Member since 2009 • 3348 Posts

IDK when I look closely at Nintendo all the signs of a new console are there. All this 2015 business that people want to say isn't going to happen unless you're talking about psp2 3000 or something. BTW next gen starts THIS fiscal year in JP. I wouldn't be shocked if E3 2011 reveals PSP 2 and The next gen Nintendo console. Nintendo hasn't really used so much 3rd party support this gen and it wouldn't hurt them so bad to move forward because lately Wii has slowed down sales largely for some time now. New systems don't ALWAYS have to be very expensive, if the new N console did a little less than the best in graphics to keep prices down it could pay off again. I'm not talking about staying a gen behind in graphics but something not top of the line either. Actually console graphics kings with the exception of the debatable graphics superiority of the SNES(because of the Sega add ons) have always lost the console wars(as far back as I can remember,since nes)

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themyth01

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#45 themyth01
Member since 2003 • 13924 Posts

I expect it will last two more years

electrosoul
Two more years sounds right.