How much will GT5 Sell?

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Ultizer

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#1 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

well many lems seem to think sony doesnt have a high selling exclusive game, well we had GTA:SA on PS2 (timed exclusive) sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone.

they seem to think Halo is the highest selling franchise of all time and is worth more then any sony franchise.....

anyway how much will GT5 sell?

GT1, over 10mil

GT2, Over 9mil

GT3, 14.89mil

GT4, over 10mil

GT5 demo aka "prologue" nearly 5mil (it had no hype or marketing at all) its hard to find aswell (retail) i never see it in any stores in Australia

Halo CE, 6mil

Halo 2, 8mil

Halo 3, 11mil

keep in mind PS2 & PS1 had huge piracy issues, and halo 1 & 2 were the only good exclusive games on xbox (probly the only exclusive aswell, well there is that conkers remake)

Edit: forgot to put in GT5 prologue

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Z0MBIES

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#2 Z0MBIES
Member since 2005 • 2246 Posts
Over its lifetime, probably in the 8-9 million region due to competition and smaller user base.
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Silverbond

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#3 Silverbond
Member since 2008 • 16130 Posts

Were the shots at lemmings really necessary?

GT5 is going to sell a lot and that's all I know for sure.

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Crimsader

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#4 Crimsader
Member since 2008 • 11672 Posts
I have the feeling that it will sell below 5Mil...
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GojiMaster

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#5 GojiMaster
Member since 2009 • 451 Posts

I am not sure how much this game will actually sell. Gran Turismo Prologue sold about 3.6 million according to Vgchartz. The racing genre doesn't seem as popular this generation as last generation. There is also a lot of competition with games such as Forza. Even the Need for Speed series has lost a lot of momentum this generation.

The PS3 doesn't have a single game yet that has sold 5 million. I think we may be a little too optimistic in predicting that GT5 will sell 8-9 million like its predecessors.

I think GT5 may end up in the 5-7 million category. I honestly don't know that many hardcore racing gamers anymore. It seems everyone has moved on to FPS and the occasional good RPG.

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finalstar2007

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#6 finalstar2007
Member since 2008 • 27952 Posts

Probably 6 to 8 Million

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Floppy_Jim

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#7 Floppy_Jim
Member since 2007 • 25933 Posts
More than 10 million, couldn't guess an exact number.
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tonitorsi

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#8 tonitorsi
Member since 2006 • 8692 Posts

I have the feeling that it will sell below 5Mil...Crimsader

The DEMO sold 5 million lol

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caughtjoo

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#9 caughtjoo
Member since 2009 • 975 Posts
Feeling 6-7m
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planbfreak4eva

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#10 planbfreak4eva
Member since 2006 • 2856 Posts

I am not sure how much this game will actually sell. Gran Turismo Prologue sold about 3.6 million according to Vgchartz. The racing genre doesn't seem as popular this generation as last generation. There is also a lot of competition with games such as Forza. Even the Need for Speed series has lost a lot of momentum this generation.

The PS3 doesn't have a single game yet that has sold 5 million. I think we may be a little too optimistic in predicting that GT5 will sell 8-9 million like its predecessors.

I think GT5 may end up in the 5-7 million category. I honestly don't know that many hardcore racing gamers anymore. It seems everyone has moved on to FPS and the occasional good RPG.

GojiMaster
mgs4 sold 5 million...gt5 will probs sell 6 million within 1 year
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NVIDIATI

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#11 NVIDIATI
Member since 2010 • 8463 Posts

[QUOTE="Crimsader"]I have the feeling that it will sell below 5Mil...tonitorsi

The DEMO sold 5 million lol

That 40 dollar demo with a couple tracks and a bunch of cars...I can see the full game selling a lot.
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WoeJustWoe

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#12 WoeJustWoe
Member since 2010 • 81 Posts
7 million, at most.
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WoeJustWoe

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#13 WoeJustWoe
Member since 2010 • 81 Posts
I do not except it to sell at a faster pace than Halo, either, even though the PS3 userbase now is a lot greater than the Xbox 360 userbase during the Halo launch. Halo 3 nearly came close to selling through 5 million in its opening week, and only 11 million+ Xbox 360 systems had been sold worldwide then. I don't expect GT5 to do such things, though...
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Joel_Pichardo

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#14 Joel_Pichardo
Member since 2007 • 320 Posts

Some of my friends are buying it just because it has 1000+ cars, so if the gameplay is improvedover the past games i'd say it wil certainly pass the 5 million mark.

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stereointegrity

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#15 stereointegrity
Member since 2007 • 12151 Posts
if they market it like GT3 and GT4 this game could pull off 8 million no problem
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TheDogout

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#16 TheDogout
Member since 2010 • 807 Posts

Forza has made 2 games during GT5's development time.

For all we know they could just release forza 4 at the same time of GT5.

Which would devastate GT5 in terms of sales.

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reyad-u

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#17 reyad-u
Member since 2006 • 6960 Posts
I can imagine this game selling over 10 million over its lifetime, assuming that GT6 doesn't come out two years after.
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anotherone10

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#18 anotherone10
Member since 2008 • 1559 Posts

GT4 sold 3+ mil in one day, and to this day has sold 10+ mil.

I think GT5 will surpass both those figures. Its going to be an amazing game, can't wait :D

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caseypayne69

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#20 caseypayne69
Member since 2002 • 5396 Posts

well many lems seem to think sony doesnt have a high selling exclusive game, well we had GTA:SA on PS2 (timed exclusive) sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone.

they seem to think Halo is the highest selling franchise of all time and is worth more then any sony franchise.....

anyway how much will GT5 sell?

GT1, over 10mil

GT2, Over 9mil

GT3, 14.89mil

GT4, over 10mil

GT5 demo aka "prologue" nearly 5mil (it had no hype or marketing at all) its hard to find aswell (retail) i never see it in any stores in Australia

Halo CE, 6mil

Halo 2, 8mil

Halo 3, 11mil

keep in mind PS2 & PS1 had huge piracy issues, and halo 1 & 2 were the only good exclusive games on xbox (probly the only exclusive aswell, well there is that conkers remake)

Edit: forgot to put in GT5 prologue

Ultizer

And you're not even including sales of all the Prologues and single copies they sell to car companies.

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FIipMode

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#21 FIipMode
Member since 2009 • 10850 Posts
Most likely 10 million like all the other GT's
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Ultizer

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#22 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

I do not except it to sell at a faster pace than Halo, either, even though the PS3 userbase now is a lot greater than the Xbox 360 userbase during the Halo launch. Halo 3 nearly came close to selling through 5 million in its opening week, and only 11 million+ Xbox 360 systems had been sold worldwide then. I don't expect GT5 to do such things, though...WoeJustWoe

well there is a diffrence to how FAST and how MUCH they sell all up

MW2 is the fastest selling game of all time

its sold 16mil worldwide on 2 consoles

GTA:SA sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone

Pokemon games are another example of how FAST and how MUCH, pokemon games have sold... well pokemon is the 2nd highest selling franchise of all time and puts Halos sales to shame, and Pokemon games have never sold more then 2mil in its first week. (correct me if ya want im not that sure)

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WoeJustWoe

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#23 WoeJustWoe
Member since 2010 • 81 Posts

[QUOTE="WoeJustWoe"]I do not except it to sell at a faster pace than Halo, either, even though the PS3 userbase now is a lot greater than the Xbox 360 userbase during the Halo launch. Halo 3 nearly came close to selling through 5 million in its opening week, and only 11 million+ Xbox 360 systems had been sold worldwide then. I don't expect GT5 to do such things, though...Ultizer

well there is a diffrence to how FAST and how MUCH they sell all up

MW2 is the fastest selling game of all time

its sold 16mil worldwide on 2 consoles

GTA:SA sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone

Pokemon games are another example of how FAST and how MUCH, pokemon games have sold... well pokemon is the 2nd highest selling franchise of all time and puts Halos sales to shame, and Pokemon games have never sold more then 2mil in its first week. (correct me if ya want im not that sure)

MW2 will most likely hit 20 million when it's done, so...
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Y2Jfan23

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#24 Y2Jfan23
Member since 2009 • 898 Posts
5-6 million
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Ultizer

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#25 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultizer"]

well many lems seem to think sony doesnt have a high selling exclusive game, well we had GTA:SA on PS2 (timed exclusive) sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone.

they seem to think Halo is the highest selling franchise of all time and is worth more then any sony franchise.....

anyway how much will GT5 sell?

GT1, over 10mil

GT2, Over 9mil

GT3, 14.89mil

GT4, over 10mil

GT5 demo aka "prologue" nearly 5mil (it had no hype or marketing at all) its hard to find aswell (retail) i never see it in any stores in Australia

Halo CE, 6mil

Halo 2, 8mil

Halo 3, 11mil

keep in mind PS2 & PS1 had huge piracy issues, and halo 1 & 2 were the only good exclusive games on xbox (probly the only exclusive aswell, well there is that conkers remake)

Edit: forgot to put in GT5 prologue

caseypayne69

And you're not even including sales of all the Prologues and single copies they sell to car companies.

good point, remember PS2's video game market was saturated with sooooooooooooo many games, and massive piracy didnt help sales did they?

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Ultizer

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#26 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultizer"]

[QUOTE="WoeJustWoe"]I do not except it to sell at a faster pace than Halo, either, even though the PS3 userbase now is a lot greater than the Xbox 360 userbase during the Halo launch. Halo 3 nearly came close to selling through 5 million in its opening week, and only 11 million+ Xbox 360 systems had been sold worldwide then. I don't expect GT5 to do such things, though...WoeJustWoe

well there is a diffrence to how FAST and how MUCH they sell all up

MW2 is the fastest selling game of all time

its sold 16mil worldwide on 2 consoles

GTA:SA sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone

Pokemon games are another example of how FAST and how MUCH, pokemon games have sold... well pokemon is the 2nd highest selling franchise of all time and puts Halos sales to shame, and Pokemon games have never sold more then 2mil in its first week. (correct me if ya want im not that sure)

MW2 will most likely hit 20 million when it's done, so...

thats on 2 consoles

GTA:SA made those numbers on 1 console

plus MW2 is a terrible game, GTA sa was pretty damngood.

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WoeJustWoe

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#27 WoeJustWoe
Member since 2010 • 81 Posts

[QUOTE="WoeJustWoe"][QUOTE="Ultizer"]

well there is a diffrence to how FAST and how MUCH they sell all up

MW2 is the fastest selling game of all time

its sold 16mil worldwide on 2 consoles

GTA:SA sold 19mil copies on PS2 alone

Pokemon games are another example of how FAST and how MUCH, pokemon games have sold... well pokemon is the 2nd highest selling franchise of all time and puts Halos sales to shame, and Pokemon games have never sold more then 2mil in its first week. (correct me if ya want im not that sure)

Ultizer

MW2 will most likely hit 20 million when it's done, so...

thats on 2 consoles

GTA:SA made those numbers on 1 console

plus MW2 is a terrible game, GTA sa was pretty damngood.

GTA: SA is on a 150 million+ console, MW2 is not. Stop the trolling.
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Bikouchu35

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#28 Bikouchu35
Member since 2009 • 8344 Posts

With Gran Turismo Fives release we no longer have the need to drive a real car since GT5 is set @ a higher resolution than real life @ 1080p 3D!!! *sarcasm. I say 6-8mil at best, the lower overall ps3 owner will most definently hamper the potential sales it had with the previous installments.

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Ultizer

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#29 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

[QUOTE="Ultizer"]

[QUOTE="WoeJustWoe"] MW2 will most likely hit 20 million when it's done, so...WoeJustWoe

thats on 2 consoles

GTA:SA made those numbers on 1 console

plus MW2 is a terrible game, GTA sa was pretty damngood.

GTA: SA is on a 150 million+ console, MW2 is not. Stop the trolling.

im not trolling

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erglesmergle

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#30 erglesmergle
Member since 2009 • 1769 Posts

The question is how much more will GT5 be delayed.

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razgriz_101

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#31 razgriz_101
Member since 2007 • 16875 Posts

in the region of 10 million its a named brand and the end product sells fact.Its like Sony's Mario or halo in a sense no matter what IT will always sell.

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Nintendo_Man

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#32 Nintendo_Man
Member since 2003 • 19733 Posts

I have always said 10m, it should be the highest selling PS3 game.

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djsifer01

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#33 djsifer01
Member since 2005 • 7238 Posts
8-10 million easy.
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Ultizer

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#34 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

in the region of 10 million its a named brand and the end product sells fact.Its like Sony's Mario or halo in a sense no matter what IT will always sell.

razgriz_101

halo wars was a flop, even killzone 2 sold more

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kidsmelly

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#35 kidsmelly
Member since 2009 • 5692 Posts

Don't care how much it sells. All I know is I'm going to buy it and hopefully worth the wait.

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razgriz_101

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#37 razgriz_101
Member since 2007 • 16875 Posts

[QUOTE="razgriz_101"]

in the region of 10 million its a named brand and the end product sells fact.Its like Sony's Mario or halo in a sense no matter what IT will always sell.

Ultizer

halo wars was a flop, even killzone 2 sold more

im not really a person to keep up with sales of games tbh.So i dont know and going by this board it was shunned royally for its depature from tried and tested gameplay.I dunno why MS wanted Ensemble to work on it anyway, would have been better to see an AoE4....but no.......

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Kashiwaba

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#38 Kashiwaba
Member since 2005 • 8059 Posts

With Gran Turismo Fives release we no longer have the need to drive a real car since GT5 is set @ a higher resolution than real life @ 1080p 3D!!! *sarcasm. I say 6-8mil at best, the lower overall ps3 owner will most definently hamper the potential sales it had with the previous installments.

Bikouchu35

People said the same about GOW3 but yet according to early reports its selling better than the previous ones on a smaller install base PS2 had a lot of piracy its like PSP.

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HerzogJan

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#39 HerzogJan
Member since 2006 • 424 Posts

Over its lifetime, probably in the 8-9 million region due to competition and smaller user base.Z0MBIES

Smaller userbase compared to what? The highest selling GT is GT3 which launched in the second year of the PS2 with a significant smaller userbase than GT5 launching this year. What competition, do you mean Forza 3, which barely sold 2.3 million? Saleswise, there is only one definite racing simulator and that is GT and has always been.

To answer the question GT5 will sell like GT3. New generation, new hardware, a significant leap in innovation. It will sell 15 million.

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Ultizer

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#40 Ultizer
Member since 2010 • 1037 Posts

[QUOTE="Z0MBIES"]Over its lifetime, probably in the 8-9 million region due to competition and smaller user base.HerzogJan

Smaller userbase compared to what? The highest selling GT is GT3 which launched in the second year of the PS2 with a significant smaller userbase than GT5 launching this year. What competition, do you mean Forza 3, which barely sold 2.3 million? Saleswise, there is only one definite racing simulator and that is GT and has always been.

To answer the question GT5 will sell like GT3. New generation, new hardware, a significant leap in innovation. It will sell 15 million.

why do cows hate forza? its a damn good racing game, its better then need for speed thats for sure.

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HerzogJan

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#41 HerzogJan
Member since 2006 • 424 Posts

[QUOTE="HerzogJan"]

[QUOTE="Z0MBIES"]Over its lifetime, probably in the 8-9 million region due to competition and smaller user base.Ultizer

Smaller userbase compared to what? The highest selling GT is GT3 which launched in the second year of the PS2 with a significant smaller userbase than GT5 launching this year. What competition, do you mean Forza 3, which barely sold 2.3 million? Saleswise, there is only one definite racing simulator and that is GT and has always been.

To answer the question GT5 will sell like GT3. New generation, new hardware, a significant leap in innovation. It will sell 15 million.

why do cows hate forza? its a damn good racing game, its better then need for speed thats for sure.

Forza 3 is a damn good game... What has that to do with a sales thread?

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Swift_Boss_A

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#42 Swift_Boss_A
Member since 2007 • 14579 Posts
Over 9000! :D Seriously though I expect GT5 to have the same impact as GT3.
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SilverChimera

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#43 SilverChimera
Member since 2009 • 9256 Posts
Okay, you could have done without the Halo and Xbox bashing :|
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#44 HerzogJan
Member since 2006 • 424 Posts

I have the feeling that it will sell below 5Mil...Crimsader

Why? A tinkling in your belly?

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HerzogJan

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#45 HerzogJan
Member since 2006 • 424 Posts

Okay, you could have done without the Halo and Xbox bashing :|SilverChimera

Probably the incentive to make this thread in the first place is the denial of lemmings to see the commercial potential of GT5.

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PBSnipes

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#46 PBSnipes
Member since 2007 • 14621 Posts

I'll say 7 million, with the main reasons for the lower-than-average sales being strong competition from Forza, GRID/DIRT and NFS; the smaller PS3 install base relative to the PS1 and PS2; and I think the franchise has lost a bit of its cachet between the delays and GT: PSP.

That said if PD truly delivers on their promises, the game could easily clear 11 million.

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sam_nintendo

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#47 sam_nintendo
Member since 2005 • 2066 Posts

It will sell over 10 million in time, the question is how long that will take.

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HerzogJan

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#48 HerzogJan
Member since 2006 • 424 Posts

I'll say 7 million, with the main reasons for the lower-than-average sales being strong competition from Forza, GRID/DIRT and NFS; the smaller PS3 install base relative to the PS1 and PS2; and I think the franchise has lost a bit of its cachet between the delays and GT: PSP.

That said if PD truly delivers on their promises, the game could easily clear 11 million.

PBSnipes

PS2 sold similar to the PS3 in its first year, in the second year GT3 launched with a smaller userbase than the PS3 has now. Then you now what happened....

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#49 PBSnipes
Member since 2007 • 14621 Posts

PS2 sold similar to the PS3 in its first year, in the second year GT3 launched with a smaller userbase than the PS3 has now. Then you now what happened....

HerzogJan

http://imgs.xkcd.com/comics/correlation.png.

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navstar29

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#50 navstar29
Member since 2004 • 4036 Posts
Over its lifetime probably more than 10 mil. If the demo could sell 4 million, I'll be stunned if GT5 doesn't at least double that.