I'm beating a dead horse...Is Vgchartz reliable at all for console sales?

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AvIdGaMeR444

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#1 AvIdGaMeR444
Member since 2004 • 7031 Posts
I know, I know. This topic has been beaten to death. But, now that I have the console sales in my sig, I noticed that Wii took a huge jump recently. Xbox 360 was beating it like 8 days ago, but now Wii all of a sudden is that far ahead of 360? I know that vgchartz just estimates a lot of the time, then re-adjusts the numbers when the actual numbers come in. But even for just an estimation, it seems like they are overestimating Wii numbers some. Also, Vgchartz didn't put Xbox 360 over 10 million sales until like 4 months AFTER Microsoft said 10 million were sold...
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nintendofreak_2

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#2 nintendofreak_2
Member since 2005 • 25896 Posts
No, VGchartz is not reliable for console sales.
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the-very-best

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#3 the-very-best
Member since 2006 • 14486 Posts
I don't think it's accurate, but I wouldn't say they're completely off from the real numbers.
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Prid3r

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#4 Prid3r
Member since 2004 • 8643 Posts
VGchart is a joke . NPD ftw .
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flying_welshman

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#5 flying_welshman
Member since 2004 • 188 Posts
No that would be 70 k not 700.
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AvIdGaMeR444

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#6 AvIdGaMeR444
Member since 2004 • 7031 Posts

No that would be 70 k not 700. flying_welshman

my bad.

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kingpoopa84

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#7 kingpoopa84
Member since 2006 • 547 Posts
NO! You lose! Good day sir! :P
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HoldThePhone

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#8 HoldThePhone
Member since 2007 • 3364 Posts
they are good esitmates.
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CaseyWegner

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#9 CaseyWegner
Member since 2002 • 70153 Posts
the recent npd results should have put the final nail in this coffin.
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AvIdGaMeR444

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#10 AvIdGaMeR444
Member since 2004 • 7031 Posts

NO! You lose! Good day sir! :Pkingpoopa84

"The snozzberries taste like snozzberries".

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Zenkuso

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#11 Zenkuso
Member since 2006 • 4090 Posts
About as credible as bush saying he thinks zombies will destroy the earth ^_^
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Homesrfan

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#12 Homesrfan
Member since 2006 • 5192 Posts

the recent npd results should have put the final nail in this coffin.CaseyWegner

That's true. VGChartz isn't reliable at all.

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GundamGuy0

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#13 GundamGuy0
Member since 2003 • 10970 Posts

the recent npd results should have put the final nail in this coffin.CaseyWegner

The Wii sold about 700k world wide last month...

400k of which were in the US... I mean it beat the DS...

I don't know why people still don't believe it.

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Guyzea

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#14 Guyzea
Member since 2005 • 1276 Posts

VGchartz

 AvIdGaMeR444

Indeed you are.

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Gangans

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#15 Gangans
Member since 2007 • 1273 Posts

When the wii has 50 million and the xbox360 is on 20 million, fanboys will still deny it, and call vg charts off by 30 million.

Vg charts uses npd results to calculate it's scores. Thats why its so slow to update, they have to wait every months for the npd results.

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jimm895

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#16 jimm895
Member since 2007 • 7703 Posts
The best thing to do is take all the charts and compare them to the NASDAQ numbers (the numbers that investors pay attention to). Because the HASDAQ numbers showed the PS3 at over 5 million a while back, where the charts are showing a lower number most of the time.
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yodariquo

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#17 yodariquo
Member since 2005 • 6631 Posts

When the wii has 50 million and the xbox360 is on 20 million, fanboys will still deny it, and call vg charts off by 30 million.

Vg charts uses npd results to calculate it's scores. Thats why its so slow to update, they have to wait every months for the npd results.

Gangans
Actually, it uses data it retrieves from sample retailers, then extrapolates. They then later adjust for numbers released by other groups with more accurate numbers, although I'm not 100% sure whether they adjust to NPD numbers as NPD actually does the exact same thing (takes numbers from retailers and extrapolates, only assumedly on a much larger scale). I'd say at best it's within 3% at worst as far off as 10% at a given point.
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Eponique

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#18 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts
Wii sells one million a month, getting way too ahead of the 360 shouldn't be shocking
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Hangman550

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#19 Hangman550
Member since 2007 • 178 Posts
I believe VGcharts is run out of some kids basement (literally)... I forget where I saw this info... but sales don't really interest me anyways...
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Eponique

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#20 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts

The best thing to do is take all the charts and compare them to the NASDAQ numbers (the numbers that investors pay attention to). Because the HASDAQ numbers showed the PS3 at over 5 million a while back, where the charts are showing a lower number most of the time.jimm895

Actually, investors only have to care about numbers shipped, because that's where the money's at.

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XenogearsMaster

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#21 XenogearsMaster
Member since 2007 • 3175 Posts

I say it's reliable.

I mean NPD isn't exactly accurate either.

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XanicXenomancy

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#22 XanicXenomancy
Member since 2007 • 25 Posts

I say it's reliable.

I mean NPD isn't exactly accurate either.

XenogearsMaster

NPD is based on real sales data. VG charts simply make numbers out of thin air. Theres a reason its banned on NeoGAF.

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GunSmith1_basic

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#23 GunSmith1_basic
Member since 2002 • 10548 Posts

So what does NPD say the sales are????

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XenogearsMaster

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#24 XenogearsMaster
Member since 2007 • 3175 Posts
[QUOTE="XenogearsMaster"]

I say it's reliable.

I mean NPD isn't exactly accurate either.

XanicXenomancy

NPD is based on real sales data. VG charts simply make numbers out of thin air. Theres a reason its banned on NeoGAF.

How does NPD get their numbers exactly?

I heard they only track 60% of the American market.

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Mad_Rhetoric

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#25 Mad_Rhetoric
Member since 2005 • 3642 Posts
VG charts is always off....by alot when it comes to games and console sales
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Zhengi

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#26 Zhengi
Member since 2006 • 8479 Posts

Here's a comparison of how VGChartz did for last month's numbers:

VgChartz Link

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amtentori

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#27 amtentori
Member since 2003 • 1911 Posts

[QUOTE="kingpoopa84"]NO! You lose! Good day sir! :PAvIdGaMeR444

"The snozzberries taste like snozzberries".

i think they adjust their estimates after npd comes out... so it is a good source for estimates and total sales but not a good source for estimated monthly sales before npd...

am i right?

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PBSnipes

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#28 PBSnipes
Member since 2007 • 14621 Posts
The only accurate numbers are those released by the manufacturers themselves because they have to give accurate numbers, otherwise people go to jail. NPD only tracks a percentage of the NA market, and I've heard they don't use Wal-Marts numbers, so they're going to be way off. And because VG charts is an estimate that heavily relys on NPD numbers, it will be way off as well.
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Goten_king

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#29 Goten_king
Member since 2004 • 4327 Posts
No, but its the closest we have until the companies release official sales.
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Eponique

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#30 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts

Here's a comparison of how VGChartz did for last month's numbers:

VgChartz Link

Zhengi

Damn they were so close with those PS3 numbers! Undertracking the 360 and Wii numbers though.

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Acemaster27

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#31 Acemaster27
Member since 2004 • 4482 Posts
According to system wars, it was a reliable site until projected the Wii would catching up with the 360 sooner rather than later.
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Lilac_Benjie

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#32 Lilac_Benjie
Member since 2006 • 12287 Posts
VG Chartz is accurate in that they update their numbers in retrospective.
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Legend_O_Dragon

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#33 Legend_O_Dragon
Member since 2004 • 7029 Posts

[QUOTE="kingpoopa84"]NO! You lose! Good day sir! :PAvIdGaMeR444

"The snozzberries taste like snozzberries".

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-D3MO-

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#34 -D3MO-
Member since 2007 • 2622 Posts

nope...its not reliable, but its a good estimator.

Much better than Nexgenwars

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LuvGaming

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#35 LuvGaming
Member since 2007 • 1290 Posts

Not to be rude but get over it. The Wii is now the best selling "next-gen" console. Even if the Wii was still behind the 360 in sales, it'll pass it up sooner or later. There's no stopping the Xbox with the motion controller.

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marc5477

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#36 marc5477
Member since 2005 • 388 Posts
I have yet to see a shred of real evidence to support any claim that VGcharts is off aside from "NPD said so." Ive heard every argument that NPD is more accurate but still havent seen any shred of proof that they really are any more accurate themselves. At the very least VGCarts is consistent and gives us weekly updates while NPD only does it once a month and has children running the show (as seen from the letter sent to VGCharts by some irrate manager who insulted them for not matching their numbers which is actually very alarming if youre into conspiracy theories). Long story short, NPD and VGCharts are the best sources for numbers since they both use real scientific methods to collect data however both are equally likely to be off. They are a much better source for data than the companies themselves who will never tell us the real truth when they are failing hard.
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marc5477

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#37 marc5477
Member since 2005 • 388 Posts
The only accurate numbers are those released by the manufacturers themselves because they have to give accurate numbers, otherwise people go to jail. NPD only tracks a percentage of the NA market, and I've heard they don't use Wal-Marts numbers, so they're going to be way off. And because VG charts is an estimate that heavily relys on NPD numbers, it will be way off as well.PBSnipes


Ooh my missinformed friend. No one will go to jail if you spin the numbers differently. For example, I can say the PS is outselling the Wii worldwide and you couldnt touch me. Why? Because it is. The combined totals for the PS2, PS3 & PSP are outselling the Wii. All companies pull crap like that all the time which is how we end up with all these outrageous claims. Heres another. HD is dead since BR is outselling it 2 to 1. Since both combined only make up 1% of the market how could either be dead when there is still 99% of the market left?

Disinformation, not telling the whole truth, & cooking the books is a very common practice in business and no one goes to jail for it because they will just claim ignorance or error if they are ever caught.
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bobbo

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#38 bobbo
Member since 2002 • 370 Posts

nope...its not reliable, but its a good estimator.

Much better than Nexgenwars

-D3MO-

Best there is for sales numbers right now. They have improved massively since the start, and after the beta period was over they have beenexellent and are still getting better.

For those that still doubt them, follow them for a month or so and you will find that they are more than good enough.

Remember that they get numbers from all regions, not just North America (NPD)

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Tactis

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#39 Tactis
Member since 2006 • 1568 Posts

the recent npd results should have put the final nail in this coffin.CaseyWegner

qft, they get closer than other websites but overall they still can be off by a lot(like last month when the said ps3 outsold 360) thats why we cant really trust their Europe sales numbers.

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#40 Ragashahs
Member since 2005 • 8785 Posts
I don't think it's accurate, but I wouldn't say they're completely off from the real numbers.the-very-best
thats becuase these "real" number you speak of don't exist. companies report shippied not sold and NPD and VGcharts take educated guesses