Kimishima hopes to ship 20 million Switches next FY (April 2018-March 2019)! How much do your expect?

I reckon >25 million is possible, if they play their cards right.

I thought you wanted me to post this?

You got all upset from me saying that you should, so I changed my mind. I'll just let you have the next MC instead.

Also paging @emgesp because this prediction coming true would mean over 35 million sold by March 2019.

If they can produce the units, 20 million is very doable.

They will not sell 20 million, that's an asinine projection.

@charizard1605: with games like pokemon they can do it.

Ill buy a switch as soon as my wallet recovers from the holiday season.

Im really looking forward to pokemon and metroid prime

You're right, they will sell more!

I think 10.1 to 15 million is more realistic.

I wouldn't be stunned if they shipped that many. I would be if they sold through that shipment total.

Eh, I wouldn't say asinine. There are a lot of ways they could make it happen easily; it's just a matter of them being willing to have a significant price cut ($250 with it hitting $200 on Black Friday) in the second year combined with Pokemon and Animal Crossing launches. That would certainly ensure that they'd come close at least.

LOL, keep trying

Give an example where a console stopped selling after 10 months.

I'll say about 15-20 million being conservative with Pokemon being on the system. Even more so if you count for Holiday sales of 2018 with Summer sales, Black Friday, and Christmas.

I have my doubts Nintendo would even make 20 million Switches in a year. As Nintendo are historically known for not producing enough of their products to meet actual market demand. And they will not want to be stuck with a massive inventory of Switches, or any item they make.

< 5

I've voted 5-10 million......... Their biggest hitters (Zelda, Mario Kart and Mario) are already out so a side from a few games next year (and some with no launch dates) what is there coming out in the next 12 months that's going to shift 20 million units?

Pokemon? Nope..... Animal Crossing? Nope....

Nintendo should of released Zelda, Mario Kart and Animal Crossing this year and then Pokemon and Mario in 2018, that would of got them the sales numbers they're hoping for.

Drip fed the games at a steady release pace instead of releasing their 2 biggest franchises in the first year.

@scatteh316: lol you still think that Pokemon and and Animal Crossing are smaller than Zelda and Mario.

Damn the rate that the switch is moving, it's going to past the Almighty XB1 a record time of 2 years and half. Poor lems they just can't seem to catch a break

I say 30 million, sky is the limit!

@iandizion713: you came back to me

Called facts my friend..... you only have to look at the sales numbers of Zelda and Mario to see that 20 million shipped/sold next year just won't happen with Pokemon and Animal Crossing.

And Animal Crossing is way smaller then Zelda and Mario........ it has it's fan base but to say it's as big is laughable.

Okay, who unbanned this loser?

Pokemon titles sell above 10 million each generations, they're an important franchise to Nintendo, not to mention that the Pokemon Franchise is much bigger than Star Wars.

Show me a single console Pokemon game that's sold over 10 million on an install based as small as Switches.....

In fact it looks like sales across all platforms have slowed down compared to 10+ years ago with sales from releases over the last few years being piss poor compared to previous releases.

http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/Pok%C3%A9mon

I'm talking about the main pokemon games, not spin-offs! The main series sells better than spin-offs

Now show me the sales of the main games released over the last 2-3 years compared to sales numbers 10+ years ago.

They're MASSIVELY lower these days.

If Switch is indeed getting Pokemon next year I 100% see this happening.

One really good Pokémon game, and they will sell as many as they can make.

@scatteh316: massively lower is still 17 million. 17 million is still 7 million more than you’re saying it won’t sell.

Pokemon is ABSOLUTELY Nintendo’s largest franchise sales wise . To say any different would be a lie. Look at Pokemon Go.

Who is Kimishima?

The Current President and CEO of Nintendo

Tell kimishima to ship exclusives after exclusives constantly, every single year of Switch life cycle or sales wont matter in the end for gamers ala Wii.

Go home, you're drunk. How is a <2 million drop from DP "massive?" FYI, that site put the remakes as part of their originals' generation, which is incorrect; if you're using that as your proof of a sharp decline for Pokemon you don't know what you're talking about.

Also, Wild World and New Leaf have each sold more than every Zelda so far and even BotW won't outsell them by much.

Don't forget that Animal Crossing: Pocket Camp is Nintendo's fastest popular Mobile game on smartphones both iOS and Android over Super Mario Run and Fire Emblem Heroes.

They will show the new Pokemon at E3 even though it's not clear it will release in 2018. The rush on Switch will be absolutely frantic.

Pokemon doesn't do E3, and won't announce a main game unless it's launching in the same year.

@techhog89: I can see Nintendo making an exception. It will be an ambitious title.

I don't believe that shitty rumor. Also, it's not Nintendo's decision to make.

> 25million ...go big or go home..Go Switchy Go!!

Nintendo's strategy now is to aim conservative in speeches, and then over-deliver.

There will likely be some price cut some time in 2018 (probably the fall, early holiday season). If that comes, it will surpass 25 million total shipped for that fiscal year. Forbes actually forecasted 25-30 million. Of course, Nintendo will probably aim at 20 million, but will have the option to increase or decrease production based on demand.

That seems high, but bear in mind that they said the high end of their expectation for the Switch this fiscal year was 10 million. It will finish with around 14 million

Also bear in mind that Nintendo's demand is still in a saturated state. That means if they were better supplied this FY and today, their sales would be 20 million-ish for the FY. Next FY they will have all the supply capability they will want.

As for software, atm it looks like Pokemon and maybe Metroid. A bit weak, sure, but I think this list will grow. There will be better 3rd party investment in the 2018 FY than this one. There's probably a lot of unannounced software. Now is not the time to hype that.

They will have the virtual console, which will be popular. Also, I think we may a continued wave of enhanced WiiU ports. Probably Mario Maker, maybe Star Fox (which could use some enhancing imo). Also, likely some more ports of ps4 games.

Imo it would be smart for Nintendo to make a 2D mario, and to make it original (ie not in the New Super Mario Bros series). That would be a bigger deal in the market than Odyssey, and would rival BotW, all while requiring less investment

@joebones5000:

Pokemon Switch will be an unstoppable juggernaut.

I can't wait to see the cows and lems in damage control mode when Pokemon Switch is released.

God lordy, how many times has Switch exceeded expectations? This is insane.

They're actually on-track to beat that 14 million forecast. 14.5-15 million seems more likely, which mean nearly 18 million total shipped in the first 13 months; Wii U has shipped 13.56 million total, and GameCube ended with a bit under 22 million shipped total. Meeting the 20 million forecast would mean that they'd pass even N64 in under 2 years.

Idk if that's totally out of the question but those are some ambitious numbers. it's pretty obvious that they are very confident in their 2018 line up. the january direct could be a juicy one

5 million nintendo Don't have big line up next year

Release Pokemon, a new Smash Bros., Metroid Prime 4, and a casual IP and that will move a ton of product.

LESS than 5 Million.

Like 2-3 Million total for every year until they cancel it after 4 years and then stop making consoles.

Animal Crossing? Maybe. Pokemon? He thinks that is smaller than Zelda and Mario?