Over/Under PSVita 1st month sales (U.S. only)

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todd2r

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#1 todd2r
Member since 2009 • 2615 Posts
What do you think folks? Over 500,000 first month or less?
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Eponique

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#2 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts

Probably 200,000. 300,000 max.

But I said the same for the JP launch, and it ended up doing 330k. Hmm... I still stand by my original prediction :P

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#3 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts
About 280,000 units, I think. It'll be on sale for just two weeks in the slowest month of the year, so I think that even those numbers, as low as they might seem, will be highly impressive.
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babycakin

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#4 babycakin
Member since 2012 • 1597 Posts

I say...above..but barely

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Nike_Air

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#5 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts

Why set the mark so high ? We're talking about a $249+ handheld in a midFebruary release by a doomed company. Over unders are supposed to set right on the realistic line.

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Eponique

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#6 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts

Does the general public even know the Vita exists? Almost everyone knew about the "3D DS" and everytime I walked into BestBuy there'd be plenty of people crowding around the demo units. In contrast, people don't even know what the Vita is, they'd think it was a vitamin supplement.

This system is only 12 days from launch to top it all off!

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eboyishere

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#7 eboyishere
Member since 2011 • 12681 Posts

The only ads i see are on ESPN

it will barely break 100k

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Doolz2024

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#8 Doolz2024
Member since 2007 • 9623 Posts
No way it will sell over 500,000 here in the first month. Heck, I don't think it'll break 250,000.
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DISSESHOWEDO

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#9 DISSESHOWEDO
Member since 2010 • 1775 Posts

Over 500K !!!

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CajunShooter

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#10 CajunShooter
Member since 2006 • 5276 Posts
It will sell over 500,000 in its first month.
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sonic_spark

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#11 sonic_spark
Member since 2003 • 6196 Posts

Under 500,000 (half a million).

We can't base the sales solely on Japan, the US and Canada are entirely different markets.

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Kingpin0114

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#12 Kingpin0114
Member since 2008 • 2607 Posts

Way under. Marketing from Sony has been terrible.

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Nike_Air

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#13 Nike_Air
Member since 2006 • 19737 Posts

No way it will sell over 500,000 here in the first month. Heck, I don't think it'll break 250,000.Doolz2024
250k probably would have been a good place to set the over / under at , maybe a little less than that.

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AmazonTreeBoa

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#14 AmazonTreeBoa
Member since 2011 • 16745 Posts

Does the general public even know the Vita exists? Almost everyone knew about the "3D DS" and everytime I walked into BestBuy there'd be plenty of people crowding around the demo units. In contrast, people don't even know what the Vita is, they'd think it was a vitamin supplement.

This system is only 12 days from launch to top it all off!

Eponique
I have been seeing a whole bunch of Taco Bell commercials promoting the Vita. Talking about somebody winning a Vita every 15 minutes.
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GTSaiyanjin2

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#15 GTSaiyanjin2
Member since 2005 • 6018 Posts

I little under 1 million I think. Around 800k I think.

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SW__Troll

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#16 SW__Troll
Member since 2011 • 1687 Posts

If I went out into the middle of the busiest street corner in my city of 250,000 people, and yelled out:

"HAVE YOU GUYS HEARD ABOUT THE PLAYSTATION VITA!?!?!?!?!"

nobody would say yes

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todd2r

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#17 todd2r
Member since 2009 • 2615 Posts

I little under 1 million I think. Around 800k I think.

GTSaiyanjin2
There's some confidence in Sony. I like it.
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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#18 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

I little under 1 million I think. Around 800k I think.

GTSaiyanjin2
It will sell over 500,000 in its first month.CajunShooter

Over 500K !!!

DISSESHOWEDO
Are you all high? The 3DS had like three times the marketing and awareness (even though mot of it positioned the system as yet another DS revision), and it sold, what, 400,000 units? The PS Vita has nothing. It's the successor to a system that has been dead in the territory for three years, it has no brand awareness, people don't even know it exists, and it's releasing in the worst, slowest month of the year for game sales. Tell me why the Vita will sell so much again?
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Grawse

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#19 Grawse
Member since 2010 • 4342 Posts

The only ads i see are on ESPN

eboyishere

Ahh, ESPN. That alone made my trip worth it. In Canada all we get is garbage hockey talk. It was NHL All Star weekend and not a second of hockey talk. I might have to move to the US lol.

OT: My prediction, 300k :shock:

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Diviniuz

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#20 Diviniuz
Member since 2009 • 6460 Posts
Sony's ad campaigns blow. Under 500,000
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mysticstryk

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#21 mysticstryk
Member since 2008 • 1709 Posts

I would have said under before, because sony seemed adamant not to market it at all. But now almost every gamestop and best buy in the U.S. have demo units. People were fawning over the one at my gamestop and interest has skyrocketed.

It may do over 500,000. Though even if it didn't, I don't think it would be a sign of a bad launch, just a launch in the middle of Febuary. Seriously, what a horrible time to launch a $250 handheld.

lol at all the sony doomsayers. You all remind me of the crazy people on crack that stand on the sidewalks in the city with signs reading "Repent, the end is nigh!"

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BrunoBRS

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#22 BrunoBRS
Member since 2005 • 74156 Posts
voting for over 500k is dellusional
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Riverwolf007

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#23 Riverwolf007
Member since 2005 • 26023 Posts

i have no clue but i do wish them good luck with this thing.

competition is important and i hope sony stays financially healthy enough to keep ms and N looking back over their shoulders and worrying.

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verbtex

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#24 verbtex  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 9196 Posts

Does this first month end on the 28th of February....or the 22nd of March?

Because my answer might change depending on the answer.

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MercenaryMafia

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#25 MercenaryMafia
Member since 2011 • 2917 Posts

No higher than 500k

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GTSaiyanjin2

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#26 GTSaiyanjin2
Member since 2005 • 6018 Posts

Does this first month end on the 28th of February....or the 22nd of March?

Because my answer might change depending on the answer.

verbtex

I would like a replay to this as well.... If its just for this month I dont see it getting past 300k

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layton2012

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#27 layton2012
Member since 2011 • 3489 Posts
Over 500k but barely. Though I may be being too nice, I'm not that good at judging future sales.
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ForzaGearsFace

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#28 ForzaGearsFace
Member since 2011 • 3724 Posts

250k

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helwa1988

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#29 helwa1988
Member since 2007 • 2157 Posts
12 max (jk) i think they will sell a solid 100,000
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Phoenix534

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#30 Phoenix534
Member since 2008 • 17774 Posts

I'm going to say barely even half that. If it sells over 300k in the first 30 days, I'll be genuinely astonished.

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zeldisco2009

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#31 zeldisco2009
Member since 2009 • 554 Posts

in the secound week it will drop below 50 k no matter how much it sells in the first week.

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SuperFlakeman

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#32 SuperFlakeman
Member since 2011 • 7411 Posts

I would say Sony's products sell well the first week independent of how it will do in the future, no matter what the price is.

Just the fact that PS3 had more preorders than Wii on amazon with a price difference of $350 blows my mind.

They have a weird fanbase of people in their 20s and 30s who stand in line day one no matter what.

So I think it will do 'well' but the first month sales will be misleading and drop significantly next month instead of slowly decreasing, so it's not before we see the March numbers we'll have a clear picture of how it will do in the upcoming months.

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SuperFlakeman

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#33 SuperFlakeman
Member since 2011 • 7411 Posts

Does this first month end on the 28th of February....or the 22nd of March?

Because my answer might change depending on the answer.

verbtex

Should be NPD february, so from launch to end of 28th.

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The_Pacific

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#34 The_Pacific
Member since 2011 • 1804 Posts
It'll be a flop just like the psp. I'm going for 250k at the most
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Eponique

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#35 Eponique
Member since 2007 • 17918 Posts

Does this first month end on the 28th of February....or the 22nd of March?

Because my answer might change depending on the answer.

verbtex
I think February NPD ends at February 26. So 4 days of sales. The 3DS sold 396,000 in the same time frame.
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BibiMaghoo

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#36 BibiMaghoo
Member since 2009 • 4018 Posts
If we are talking four weeks on sale, then I think it can do it. If we are just talking the half of February, then no, it wont.
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rilpas

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#37 rilpas
Member since 2012 • 8161 Posts
probably over
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el3m2tigre

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#38 el3m2tigre
Member since 2007 • 4232 Posts

240,00 untis.

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osan0

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#39 osan0
Member since 2004 • 18256 Posts
oh it should tick over 500,000 in its first month. the first week sales will probably be very strong (getting pretty close to 500,000). even if it does collapse in sales after that it should still creep over 500,000. if it doesnt then sony will seriously have to consider either a price drop or a bundle. like japan however i suspect the 3G version will be DOA.
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apocalypsehorse

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#40 apocalypsehorse
Member since 2010 • 417 Posts

between 900k - 1mil by CHRISTMAS

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yosat

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#41 yosat
Member since 2004 • 166 Posts

neither over nor under but quite the contrary

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nintendofreak_2

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#42 nintendofreak_2
Member since 2005 • 25896 Posts

I find it hard to believe that it won't get over 500k in a launch month.

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LovePotionNo9

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#43 LovePotionNo9
Member since 2010 • 4751 Posts
Two million easily
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nintendofreak_2

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#44 nintendofreak_2
Member since 2005 • 25896 Posts

lol at all the sony doomsayers. You all remind me of the crazy people on crack that stand on the sidewalks in the city with signs reading "Repent, the end is nigh!"

mysticstryk

Oh how quickly people forget everything that was said about the 3DS and Nintendo.

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Kaszilla

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#45 Kaszilla
Member since 2011 • 1841 Posts
Two million easilyLovePotionNo9
I know your kidding. I say 100,000-250,000 first week then dropping substantially over the weeks.
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fueled-system

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#46 fueled-system
Member since 2008 • 6529 Posts

It is going to be a bad 1st month I predict 200k-300k

No advertising, many hesitant with post launch support, no real selling point

This handheld I will make a bold prediction will be Sony's last major handheld

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TheGrudge13

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#47 TheGrudge13
Member since 2009 • 1198 Posts

my crystal ball tells me it's 153,498 :cry: :P

but really i think in USA alone it's gonna be less than 500,000

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verbtex

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#48 verbtex  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 9196 Posts

[QUOTE="verbtex"]

Does this first month end on the 28th of February....or the 22nd of March?

Because my answer might change depending on the answer.

Eponique

I think February NPD ends at February 26. So 4 days of sales. The 3DS sold 396,000 in the same time frame.

If that's really the case, it won't sell over 500,000 no way. :/.

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dontshackzmii

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#49 dontshackzmii
Member since 2009 • 6026 Posts

hope it flops like 3ds so we can get a fast price drop

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AdmiralBison

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#50 AdmiralBison
Member since 2008 • 3970 Posts
Are there pre-order number stats?