This is so ironic.
MS fanboys were touting the technical superiority of the XB1 over the PS2 (which was noticeable unlike the PS3 so far where multi-platform games look marginally better on the 360) last gen. Clearly we saw that technical superiority doesn't mean you'll be the #1 system. LOL, but now everyone is so sure that the PS3 will win because its more powerful. I'm just curious... WHAT IS THAT BASED OFF OF? In terms of the history of the console video game market, what is that based off of? The "success" of the 3DO, Jaguar,Gamecube, X-Box? Power has no bearing on success in this market, Its games.
The idea that Sony will magically get back all of its exclusives is crazy. On the PS2, it only got these exclusives because it was the #1 selling system by leaps and bounds. That is not the case this time around. You can goto any sales chart and see that this is not the case. Grand Theft Auto was a major system seller. Last time, XB owners didn't get that game until PS2 owners had it for over a year. Thats not the case now. Sony is losing alot of its exclusives for proven franchises. It will never get those back if its trailing in systems sold.
Its funny how everyone is saying 2008. As if MS and Ninendo aren't going to release any games in 2008. Most of these highly anticipated multi-platform games will be dropping then. If these titles come out and continue to look better on the 360 or look the same on both, thats not going to be an edge to Sony. With more total 360s out there the most units sold will likely goto the 360. Not to mention that every 3rd party has been saying that they should not have overlooked the Wii and has now devoted major resources to making games for it.
Its not possible right now for Sony to return to its PS2 dominance. The PS3 has sold less than half the total units of the Wii and 360, andits been out the same amount of time as the Wii.To combat that, you would need two things to happen:
- A massive and sustained increase in PS3 sales. And by sustained it has to be more than just November, when they did a mammoth price drop. If sales only pick up in November and drop back to normal in Dec and Jan, thats not a trend, its a sales spike. And by massive, I mean its trailing the closest competition by 7.4M(total 360 - total PS3)*.You'll need a a crazyratio to overcome that.
- Also, you'll need a massive sustained decrease in Wii sales worldwide and in 360 sales for EU and NA. I'm not counting Japan becauseitssales are only 3.7% (0.49M/13.19M)*of its total sales. They aren't a factor in the 360s current position and likely will only bea3.7% factor in its future.
- All numbers from www.vgchartz.com
If these things can happen from Q4 2007 - Q1 2008, no one can deny that Sony is going to return to #1. There will be a clear cut trend. Elsewise, you can only say that Sony is doing better. If some one can post how many worlwide sales there are per month for the 3 consoles (VGchartz only list weekly and I don't feel like adding up for multiple months to get an average), we can come up with better estimations for an equation to see how long it would take PS3 sales to equal everyone else. With those number you could come up with better "even if sales increased/dropped to " numbers. But heres the equation if anyone is bored or just wants to see for themselves. I encourage you to make the Wii/360 sales far lower and PS3 sales far above average just so you can see that even under horrible (and unrealistic) wii/360 sales and amazing (and unrealistic) PS3 sales, the system has a LONG way to go before it even catches up to the competition.
Current Total PS3 Sales + (Assumed Sales per month * X Months) = Current Total Wii/360 Sales + (Assumes sales per month * X Months). Then solve for X
games lineup this generation, with 7 out of the top 10 rated games through the end of October according to Metacritic, the world-wide authority in entertainment reviews. 
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