So here we go again, after a couple of months without major scandal Formula 1 returns to it's favourite past time of dragging its name through the mud. This time it's Renault who stand accused of race fixing at last years inaugural Singapore grand prix by telling there driver NelsonPiquet Jr. to crash, which resulted in a safety car that allowed his team mate Alonso jump from 15th on the grid in to a race winning position.
I first head about this story on Sunday night whilst looking for some race review's for spa so I could relive the joy of Ferrari's first win this season and since then my mind has not stopped thinking about the possible implications this could have if it is proved to be the case.
The first one that jumped to mind would be the effect on last year's championship and after a bit of work I produced a championship table based on Alonso being disqualified.
Official results
- Lewis Hamilton (McLaren, 98 pts.)
- Felipe Massa (Ferrari, 97 pts.)
- Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari, 75 pts.)
- Robert Kubica (BMW, 75 pts.)
- Fernando Alonso (Renault, 61 pts.)
- Nick Heidfeld (BMW, 60 pts.)
- Heikki Kovalainen (McLaren, 53 pts.)
- Sebastian Vettel (Toro Rosso, 35 pts.)
- Jarno Trulli (Toyota, 31 pts.)
- Timo Glock (Toyota, 25 pts.)
- Mark Webber (Red Bull, 21 pts.)
- Nelson Piquet Jnr. (Renault, 19 pts.)
- Nico Rosberg (Williams, 17 pts.)
- Rubens Barrichello (Honda, 11 pts.)
- Kazuki Nakajima (Williams, 9 pts.)
- David Coulthard (Red Bull, 8 pts.)
- Sebastien Bourdais (Toro Rosso, 4 pts.)
- Jenson Button (Honda, 3 pts.)
Results if Alonso was DQ
- Lewis Hamilton (McLaren, 100 pts.) (+ 2 points)
- Felipe Massa (Ferrari, 97 pts.)
- Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari, 75 pts.)
- Robert Kubica (BMW, 75 pts.)
- Nick Heidfeld (BMW, 61pts.) ( + 1 point)
- Heikki Kovalainen (McLaren, 53 pts.)
- Fernando Alonso (Renault, 51 pts.) v2 ( - 10 points)
- Sebastian Vettel (Toro Rosso, 36pts.) ( + 1 point)
- Jarno Trulli (Toyota, 31 pts.)
- Timo Glock (Toyota, 21pts.) ( + 1 point)
- Mark Webber (Red Bull, 21 pts.)
- Nico Rosberg (Williams, 19 pts.) ^1 (+ 2 points)
- Nelson Piquet Jnr. (Renault, 19 pts.) v1
- Rubens Barrichello (Honda, 11 pts.)
- Kazuki Nakajima (Williams, 9 pts.) ( + 1 point)
- David Coulthard (Red Bull, 9pts.) ( + 1 point)
- Sebastien Bourdais (Toro Rosso, 4 pts.)
- Jenson Button (Honda, 3 pts.) ( + 1 point)
On the face of it very little has changed but then members of the F1pu started to discuss what effect the safety car had on the race and we realised that without it Massa would never have had that horrendous pit stop that caused him to drop from 1st to last. So had Piquet not crashed who knows how the last few races of 2008 would have played out and whether Hamilton would have become Championship?
Then on Monday an interview with Bernie Ecclestone was one of the first to voice the possibility that this incident could signal the end of Renault's involvement in F1. Given that match fixing has ruined the reputation and Career of individuals in other sports it is a very real possibility that a Manufacture who relies on it's reputation to sell cars may take such a step and although the company recently signed a concord agreement to keep it in the sport until 2012 they may decide it would be easier to go through all the effort required for a pull out rather than risk further scandal. Bernie also speculated that if found guilty they could face a penalty even greater than the $100millon fine issued to McLaren during spy-gate
If Renault is found guilty, even if it is only in the eyes of the fans and not the sports governing body, then it would be a great loss for the sport as a whole. Firstly the fact that the result of the 2008 championship will be, in the eyes of some, tainted and it would be a tragic end to one of the most exciting championship in recent year.
Secondly the possible loss of another manufacture, and perhaps even more importantly engine provider, will probably put off other manufactures from joining the sport, as well as making the remaining ones question there participation
But as I mentioned at I the title every cloud has a silver lining and even if this one only applies to me and a handful of others I'm still going to share it with you. The fact is this story, true or not, could have disastrous effects on Alonso's supposed move to Ferrari. A move that for the past year I have been trying to deny will ever happen.
The reason why is that I am a massive Ferrari fan but I cannot stand Fernando Alonso and I am willing to look long and hard for any excuse to stop the two combining, which is what I am desperately doing with this latest scandal.
The general consensus before this news story broke was that Massa would occupy one seat at Ferrari next year and after paying off Raikkonen and replace him with Alonso. The belief I am holding on to is that a combination of the Fin's upwards turn in performance (culminating in a win in spa) and yet another black mark on Alonso's reputation may makeFerrari think again.
The way I see it is that Alonso attracts scandal, it is widely documented that Alonso provided some of the most damning evidence when McLaren were investigated during the spy scandal, and now he has managed to get himself involved in what could potentially be an even bigger scandal which he is going to struggle to deny any involvement in given that it was him who benefitted from it.
Even if he does move to Ferrari any evidence that he may have cost Massa the championship last year may ultimately cause friction within the team and if he thought McLaren had it in for him in 2007 then he would be in even more trouble at Ferrari who adore the little Brazilian, possibly even more than McLaren support Hamilton.
What effect this incident could have on the driver's relationship is difficult to predict. Massa seems set to return to the cockpit at the beginning of 2010 and having a new team mate, who supposedly cost you your first world championship, may result in tension between the two as well as an even greater effort from the Brazilin to prove himself top dog.
Of course it is still early days and so who knows what could be the outcome of this latest scandal, but if Alonso isn't driving for Ferrari next season because of it at least someone will be happy.
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