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PS4/Xbox One Sales to Reach 50-51 Million Units By End of 2015, EA Exec Predicts

"Clearly, consoles have sold faster than everyone expected."

120 Comments

The PlayStation 4 and Xbox One combined userbase is on pace to reach about 50-51 million units worldwide by the end of the calendar year. That's according to Electronic Arts CFO Blake Jorgensen, who gave his take on the current console landscape during the UBS Global Technology Conference this week.

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"Clearly, consoles have sold faster than everyone expected," he said. "We're ahead of the previous cycle in terms of the pace. We're on track to see, industry-wide, about 50-51 million units by calendar year end. And typically, most of the consoles are sold in the last quarter of the year because a lot of it is around gift-giving."

With more than 29.4 million units shipped worldwide, the PS4 is the global sales leader, though the console was outsold by the Xbox One in the US during October 2015. For its part, Microsoft does not plan to announce Xbox One console shipment numbers going forward.

What may help the PS4 and Xbox One sell especially well this holiday are console-software bundles, Jorgensen said. Microsoft has more than a dozen Xbox One bundles available, featuring games like Fallout 4, Rise of the Tomb Raider, and Halo 5: Guardians, while Sony has the Uncharted: Nathan Drake Collection and Star Wars Battlefront PS4 bundles, among others. These bundles are sold for $350, the going rate for a standard system, which means, "from a consumer perspective, it's a great buy," Jorgensen said.

Jorgensen was also asked if the PS4 and Xbox One may see price cuts in 2016, but he didn't have anything to share on that front. However, the executive said future console sales growth may be led by even more game-bundling and interest in consoles with more storage space.

"I think software makers are just now starting to truly harness the power [of PS4 and Xbox One]"-- Jorgensen

He also stressed that the current-generation console cycle still has plenty of room to grow and is nowhere near the peak. By comparison, the PS3 and Xbox 360 alone combined for more than 160 million global console sales. This doesn't count the Wii's 100 million-plus sales.

Also during his presentation, Jorgensen said PS4 and Xbox One games this holiday are more attractive than ever, as developers are now leveraging more power out of each box than ever before.

"The power of the new consoles is fantastic," he said. "I think software makers are just now starting to truly harness the power. The first year, you had people testing and pushing, but now I think you're starting to see, particuarly this fall and winter, a lot really exciting pieces of software in the industry that are taking the processing power of the console."

Jorgensen also shared some insights into EA's business performance. He said attach rate (how many games are sold with new systems) for current-generation consoles is roughly in line with the previous generation. The major difference, however, is DLC and add-on content sales for EA games has jumped by a major margin over titles for previous-generation systems.

He also said EA full-game downloads made up 20 percent of all PS4 and Xbox One game sales during the company's most recent quarter, which compares to a peak percentage of 5 percent for last-gen systems. He added that EA expects the PS4 and Xbox One full-game download percentage to rise to 40 percent over the next 3-4 years.

In addition, Jorgensen shared that margins for EA digital games are almost 2X the margins for physical games, though he stressed that EA continues to maintain healthy relationships with physical retailers like GameStop, Walmart, and Target.

For more on Jorgensen's presentation, check out the stories below.



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ishsgames

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it pisses me of that last gen games are still being developed. I understand there are still plenty of people left with X360/ps3 but developing for those greatly pulls back every other modern console. I actually don't see how it helps developers economically anymore.....

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faseli

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@ishsgames: Because people buy them.

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normanislost

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@ishsgames: "i actually don't see how it helps developers economically anymore"

Erm how about an install base of 170 million consoles? (360s and PS3s)

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simonbelmont2

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@ishsgames: Devs make money from releasing a game cross-platform, especially if they have efficient development strategies.

Hardly any games get made for last gen nowadays though, ergo I don't see what you are getting upset about. Most current games only come out for current gen systems. Last gen systems aren't holding back current gen ones.

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RicanV

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RicanV  Moderator

Saw PS4 (and the image), saw 50 million, saw EA and thought this would be a comments section horror show.

Turns out he said combined with X1. They should have a PS4/X1 combo image.

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TristanPR77

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@RicanV: Well, to be fair the PS4 is the one driving the big sales of the 2 so is ok to be there alone.

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normanislost

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Edited By normanislost

@RicanV: Eddie....

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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Nice, thats almost what the Wii sold in 3 years.

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adsparky

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@mesome713: And like 5 times what the Wii U have sold in the same time lapse.

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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@adsparky: But Wii U sold over 10 million, so that would be false. Also Wii U has far greater competition then Wii had. Weve been attacked by Phones, Tablets, and PCs etc. But we will be ok, thats how tech goes, you win some you lose some.

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adsparky

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@mesome713: To be correct it will be somewhat near 4.7 times, but rounded it will be 5, so it ain't false just inaccurate but close to the "truth".

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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@adsparky: I give you its close, you can keep them Justin Biebers, ill enjoy my Jack White.

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adsparky

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Edited By adsparky

@mesome713: If a console can be considered a Justin Bieber it would be the Wii, loved and consumed by practically every demographic group, until his assholish attitude and lack of variety made him lose most of their casual fans.

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Otterbee

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@mesome713: You're trying to say that Wii U is competing with mobile gaming? Do you realize how ridiculous that assertion/comparison is? I'm not sure if you're knocking the Wii U tech specs, or propping up the phone/tablet specifications. Either way, it's an apples to oranges comparison.

Wii U just sucked all the way around and has been a major disappointment for Nintendo in terms of sales expectations. Trying to justify that any other way is just ignorant.

I speak as a Wii U owner, and I love the system...but 6 to 8 months it just sits idle until that one good game comes out that I'm actually interested in. Xenoblade Chronicles X will get me to turn my system on for only the third or fourth time this year. Two of those times were simply to make sure that I had the latest firmware installed.

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deactivated-58ce94803a170

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@otterbee: Its not that hard to understand mate, Wii U lost its casuals to phones, tablets, and PCs. That sucks you cant find game though mate, Wii U has some epic high quality ones. I suggest a PC to better suit your tastes.

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OldDadGamer

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OldDadGamer  Moderator

Pull up your seats, kiddies and let OldDad tell you of the olden times, the times when they thought console gaming was dead....it was long, long ago way back in......wait.....that was only 2012....

Well...how about that time with the Game Cube? There was that time.....

And then the Atari crash.....

History. It keeps repeating.

With that in mind, let's all mark our calendars for, oh, about 2018 or so when everyone starts saying mobile/google/social/MOBAs/sand castles/whatever are going to be the death of console gaming. Then let's mark our calendars for 2020 when the sales numbers for the PS5 and Xbox2 prove all the "experts" wrong.

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normanislost

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@olddadgamer: the Atari crash has never been repeated

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OldDadGamer

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OldDadGamer  Moderator

@normanislost: That was my point. Every time "console gaming is dead" it isn't.

People thought Pong was a fad, for heaven's sake.

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MrFreehuggs

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@olddadgamer: I believe right now, Apple TV is the greatest threat to console gaming. Also, everyone is obviously switching to PC gaming because it's far more accessible to the average consumer.

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Rolento25

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Edited By Rolento25

@MrFreehuggs: Apple TV.... this is a joke... right?

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MrFreehuggs

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@rolento25: Yes it is a joke, but there are morons that are predicting it

http://fortune.com/2015/09/15/microsoft-sony-apple-gaming/

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cvantu

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@MrFreehuggs: been reading those crock gaming journalists? Neither of those are happening. Please tell me you're mocking those predictions from so called industry experts.

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MrFreehuggs

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@cvantu: yes

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