Are we seeing the END of the Republican Party?

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Maniacc1

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#1 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts

Disturbing news if you're a fan of the GOP. A recent Gallup poll reveals Republican support among demographic groups has declined in all areas but regular church goers since 2001. Since 2001, where party affiliation in America was bascially split 50% Democrat, 50% Republican, we now see registration at 53% Democrat, 39% Republican.

So what's the problem you ask? At least the Repubs have the frequent church goers right? Not so fast. Another recent Gallup Poll reveals a -4% change in regular church goers from 1992- 2008. So, are we basically seeing the last days of the Reublican Party? Or will beliefs switch again?

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-TheSecondSign-

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#2 -TheSecondSign-
Member since 2007 • 9303 Posts

I don't believe every poll I read about. And to put it simply: No.

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Omni-Slash

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#3 Omni-Slash
Member since 2003 • 54450 Posts
no....remember when they were saying it was the end of the democratic party just 8 short years ago?......it's all cyclical....
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XD4NTESINF3RNOX

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#4 XD4NTESINF3RNOX
Member since 2008 • 7438 Posts
why is it that we lose we one election and it's the end of the republican party how does this make sense
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bededog

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#5 bededog
Member since 2005 • 8579 Posts
No, the Republican party isn't going to go away. It will most likely change it's official position on some issues to be more moderate, but it isn't going away.
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Maniacc1

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#6 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts
why is it that we lose we one election and it's the end of the republican party how does this make sense XD4NTESINF3RNOX
The logic behind the end of the party doesn't come from the loss of an election, it comes from the fact that all demographic groups but one have no longer identified themselves as members of the Republican Party.
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Saturos3091

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#7 Saturos3091
Member since 2005 • 14937 Posts

It's cyclical. The party really seems to be split right now over certain decisions.

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Maniacc1

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#8 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts
No, the Republican party isn't going to go away. It will most likely change it's official position on some issues to be more moderate, but it isn't going away. bededog
I agree with this. I think their ideas will have to change to remain competitive.
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nocoolnamejim

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#9 nocoolnamejim
Member since 2003 • 15136 Posts
The end of the Republican Party? Probably not. A long time in the political minority? Yes, I think that's very likely. A lot will depend on where we are in 2012. If Obama's more or less stabilized the economy and ended the wars in Iraq/Afghanistan, then I think it will be at least a decade before Republicans regain their status as a national party again. (Of course something could happen TOMORROW to change all that, so take that prediction with a grain of salt.)
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nocoolnamejim

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#10 nocoolnamejim
Member since 2003 • 15136 Posts
why is it that we lose we one election and it's the end of the republican party how does this make sense XD4NTESINF3RNOX
Well, to be fair, you haven't just lost the last two elections. You've been thoroughly pounded. Add onto that the very real fact that people identifying their party as Republican in the U.S. is at it's lowest point in decades, and I don't think that the TC's question is completely loony. A bit overstated, but not outside the realm of possibility. There IS a chance that the Republican Party could dissolve into two parties: A VERY far-right party and a more center-right party that tries to moderate its views to become more attractive to a wider cross-section of the U.S.
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Spicy-McHaggis

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#11 Spicy-McHaggis
Member since 2008 • 902 Posts
Nah, who else is going to be pro-gun? :P I think it will really depend on how well, or how poorly Mr. President does his job. Personally, now I know I am gonna get attacked, but I think that Obama has just made me want to be more right wing, seeing as he is just doing the opposite of what I would of liked to vote for. Just opinions :)
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alexbaricco

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#12 alexbaricco
Member since 2008 • 350 Posts

The GOP is in a phase of regression at the moment, but in time people will feel the need to blame a lot of their problems on the present administration and the easiest way to do that is to vote for thei rivals. That, or there'll be more vote rigging.

In any case, the US political system has thrived on a marked polarity for ages, and despite the fluctuations in fortune of the respective parties neither will face permanent decline anytime soon.

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LJS9502_basic

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#13 LJS9502_basic
Member since 2003 • 180002 Posts

I highly doubt that....

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-Sun_Tzu-

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#14 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts
No. They haven't been making things easy on themselves, and they are going through a bit of an identity crisis, but they will eventually figure things out.
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alexbaricco

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#15 alexbaricco
Member since 2008 • 350 Posts

Nah, who else is going to be pro-gun? :P I think it will really depend on how well, or how poorly Mr. President does his job. Personally, now I know I am gonna get attacked, but I think that Obama has just made me want to be more right wing, seeing as he is just doing the opposite of what I would of liked to vote for. Just opinions :)Spicy-McHaggis

You may yet fall for Barack. Check out all the sabre rattling over in Afghanistan. There will be blood and tears, if that's what floats your boat.

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BlueBirdTS

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#17 BlueBirdTS
Member since 2005 • 6403 Posts

This sounds like PC gaming. People have been calling for the death of PC gaming for years, and yet...

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BlueBirdTS

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#18 BlueBirdTS
Member since 2005 • 6403 Posts

[QUOTE="alexbaricco"]

The GOP is in a phase of regression at the moment, but in time people will feel the need to blame a lot of their problems on the present administration and the easiest way to do that is to vote for thei rivals. That, or there'll be more vote rigging.

In any case, the US political system has thrived on a marked polarity for ages, and despite the fluctuations in fortune of the respective parties neither will face permanent decline anytime soon.

Spicy-McHaggis


I agree, and not to be "radical", but more optimisitc, in an incredibly negative sense, the US, to me, is looking like Germany in the 30's.

Depression, looking for someone to blame, so Hitler blames the Jews (Obama blames the Republicans (just stick with me here)), and I am thinking/waiting for the rest to happen :?

:lol: This is a pretty bad case of Godwin's law right here.

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Spicy-McHaggis

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#19 Spicy-McHaggis
Member since 2008 • 902 Posts

[QUOTE="Spicy-McHaggis"]Nah, who else is going to be pro-gun? :P I think it will really depend on how well, or how poorly Mr. President does his job. Personally, now I know I am gonna get attacked, but I think that Obama has just made me want to be more right wing, seeing as he is just doing the opposite of what I would of liked to vote for. Just opinions :)alexbaricco

You may yet fall for Barack. Check out all the sabre rattling over in Afghanistan. There will be blood and tears, if that's what floats your boat.

Blood and tears dont float my boat brother, but the progression of good and the decline of bad, the saving of lives, and the killing of terrorism, that'll float my boat high and mighty :)
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-Sun_Tzu-

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#20 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts

[QUOTE="alexbaricco"]

The GOP is in a phase of regression at the moment, but in time people will feel the need to blame a lot of their problems on the present administration and the easiest way to do that is to vote for thei rivals. That, or there'll be more vote rigging.

In any case, the US political system has thrived on a marked polarity for ages, and despite the fluctuations in fortune of the respective parties neither will face permanent decline anytime soon.

Spicy-McHaggis


I agree, and not to be "radical", but more optimisitc, in an incredibly negative sense, the US, to me, is looking like Germany in the 30's.

Depression, looking for someone to blame, so Hitler blames the Jews (Obama blames the Republicans (just stick with me here)), and I am thinking/waiting for the rest to happen :?

Or...the U.S. is looking like the U.S. in the 30's - you know - when the Democrats blamed the Republicans. Doesn't that sound familiar?

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InterpolWilco

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#21 InterpolWilco
Member since 2005 • 2487 Posts
The Republicans screw up, the Democrats come in and screw it up more, Republicans come in and screw it up even further, etc, etc, etc. Why on earth is this country so hung up on a two party system?
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Spicy-McHaggis

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#22 Spicy-McHaggis
Member since 2008 • 902 Posts

[QUOTE="Spicy-McHaggis"]

[QUOTE="alexbaricco"]

The GOP is in a phase of regression at the moment, but in time people will feel the need to blame a lot of their problems on the present administration and the easiest way to do that is to vote for thei rivals. That, or there'll be more vote rigging.

In any case, the US political system has thrived on a marked polarity for ages, and despite the fluctuations in fortune of the respective parties neither will face permanent decline anytime soon.

BlueBirdTS


I agree, and not to be "radical", but more optimisitc, in an incredibly negative sense, the US, to me, is looking like Germany in the 30's.

Depression, looking for someone to blame, so Hitler blames the Jews (Obama blames the Republicans (just stick with me here)), and I am thinking/waiting for the rest to happen :?

:lol: This is a pretty bad case of Godwin's law right here.

It adds up, does it not?

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Omni-Slash

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#23 Omni-Slash
Member since 2003 • 54450 Posts
depression of the 30's?...jesus people open a history book.....our depression would have to get significantly worse for us to even get close to Germany's standings......sheesh...
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BlueBirdTS

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#24 BlueBirdTS
Member since 2005 • 6403 Posts

It adds up, does it not?

Spicy-McHaggis

I suppose so.

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joao_22990

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#25 joao_22990
Member since 2007 • 2230 Posts
I still don't understand how America can stand a two party system.
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TirOrn

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#26 TirOrn
Member since 2005 • 1828 Posts

A split in the Republican Party would be fine and dandy. I think the reason the GOP is going through such a difficult phase is the lure of a more moderate political environment from the Independent and Democratic parties. Obviously, the Dems are still leaning to the left. Those who are die-hard in one or more topics, abortion, gay marriage, etc. would stick with the Repubs, and probably wander to the far right if such a party presented itself through this divide. It would surely weaken the party for a while...but who doesn't like communist/socialist America? ;)

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Spicy-McHaggis

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#27 Spicy-McHaggis
Member since 2008 • 902 Posts

[QUOTE="Spicy-McHaggis"]

[QUOTE="alexbaricco"]

The GOP is in a phase of regression at the moment, but in time people will feel the need to blame a lot of their problems on the present administration and the easiest way to do that is to vote for thei rivals. That, or there'll be more vote rigging.

In any case, the US political system has thrived on a marked polarity for ages, and despite the fluctuations in fortune of the respective parties neither will face permanent decline anytime soon.

-Sun_Tzu-


I agree, and not to be "radical", but more optimisitc, in an incredibly negative sense, the US, to me, is looking like Germany in the 30's.

Depression, looking for someone to blame, so Hitler blames the Jews (Obama blames the Republicans (just stick with me here)), and I am thinking/waiting for the rest to happen :?

Or...the U.S. is looking like the U.S. in the 30's - you know - when the Democrats blamed the Republicans. Doesn't that sound familiar?

But I am a Republican, I have to be cynical about this situation :) But it's looking pretty correct in my opinion.

And since Hitler was a nut job, and Obama has a pretty shady past as well(though not as bad....yet), I'd so say that.......

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axia_777

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#28 axia_777
Member since 2006 • 756 Posts

Hopefuly not. A healthy opposition is always a good thing in the American political system. It keeps all sides a little more honest and accoutable. No competition is always bad for the people.


And since Hitler was a nut job, and Obama has a pretty shady past as well(though not as bad....yet), I'd so say that.......

Spicy-McHaggis

Did you just compare Obama and Hitler in a slight yet direct way? Obama was shady? How? Never mind, you will just most likely spew some Fox News created BS....

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BlueBirdTS

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#29 BlueBirdTS
Member since 2005 • 6403 Posts

I still don't understand how America can stand a two party system. joao_22990

I don't particularly like the system either, but it's better than having a bunch of fractured political factions.

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-Sun_Tzu-

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#30 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts

A split in the Republican Party would be fine and dandy. I think the reason the GOP is going through such a difficult phase is the lure of a more moderate political environment from the Independent and Democratic parties. Obviously, the Dems are still leaning to the left. Those who are die-hard in one or more topics, abortion, gay marriage, etc. would stick with the Repubs, and probably wander to the far right if such a party presented itself through this divide. It would surely weaken the party for a while...but who doesn't like communist/socialist America? ;)

TirOrn
A far right party would simply not survive in American politics, at least on the national scale.
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#31 Mr_Manikin52
Member since 2004 • 12300 Posts

no....remember when they were saying it was the end of the democratic party just 8 short years ago?......it's all cyclical....Omni-Slash

The End? Silly people!

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-Sun_Tzu-

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#32 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts

[QUOTE="-Sun_Tzu-"]

[QUOTE="Spicy-McHaggis"]


I agree, and not to be "radical", but more optimisitc, in an incredibly negative sense, the US, to me, is looking like Germany in the 30's.

Depression, looking for someone to blame, so Hitler blames the Jews (Obama blames the Republicans (just stick with me here)), and I am thinking/waiting for the rest to happen :?

Spicy-McHaggis

Or...the U.S. is looking like the U.S. in the 30's - you know - when the Democrats blamed the Republicans. Doesn't that sound familiar?

But I am a Republican, I have to be cynical about this situation :) But it's looking pretty correct in my opinion.

And since Hitler was a nut job, and Obama has a pretty shady past as well(though not as bad....yet), I'd so say that.......

...It's not looking correct at all. What about Reagan who played the blame game on Carter? Are you going to compare Reagan to Hitler?

Your whole argument is "He blamed someone, just like Hitler!"

What's next, "Abraham Lincoln had facial hair, just like Hitler!"

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12345678ew

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#33 12345678ew
Member since 2008 • 2353 Posts
why is it that we lose we one election and it's the end of the republican party how does this make sense XD4NTESINF3RNOX
i know....
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Crusher89

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#34 Crusher89
Member since 2007 • 480 Posts

if they don't go more to the center i think so. but they probably will go more to the center so i doubt it

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joao_22990

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#35 joao_22990
Member since 2007 • 2230 Posts

[QUOTE="joao_22990"]I still don't understand how America can stand a two party system. BlueBirdTS

I don't particularly like the system either, but it's better than having a bunch of fractured political factions.

Well the more opinions and stands the better, no? How can a country progress with only two colliding ideals? You need more!
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-Sun_Tzu-

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#36 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts
[QUOTE="BlueBirdTS"]

[QUOTE="joao_22990"]I still don't understand how America can stand a two party system. joao_22990

I don't particularly like the system either, but it's better than having a bunch of fractured political factions.

Well the more opinions and stands the better, no? How can a country progress with only two colliding ideals? You need more!

Well, first of all, the two parties don't really represent "two colliding ideals". And the American system of government was designed to progress methodically, not suddenly.
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joao_22990

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#37 joao_22990
Member since 2007 • 2230 Posts
Well, first of all, the two parties don't really represent "two colliding ideals". And the American system of government was designed to progress methodically, not suddenly. -Sun_Tzu-
Well, i meant that basically 90% of your political power can fall within two basic ideologies, and that, while not a wrong method, isn't really the best. You should enable as many opinions and as many visions to have place, and evaluate them all. Also, sorry, but could you explain the "progress methodically" a bit better? Isn't that what every government wants? It would be highly reckless to act in any other way. How would it stand in the way of a system with more that two parties??
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Maniacc1

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#38 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts
So I think we can all agree there is a probable chance this is the end of the current Republican Party, and that if changes are not made it can't be good news for them.
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XD4NTESINF3RNOX

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#39 XD4NTESINF3RNOX
Member since 2008 • 7438 Posts
So I think we can all agree there is a probable chance this is the end of the current Republican Party, and that if changes are not made it can't be good news for them. Maniacc1
wow the democrats finally won an election how many years have the republicans been in power..so I don't think you should get all high and mighty about it
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#40 -Sun_Tzu-
Member since 2007 • 17384 Posts

[QUOTE="-Sun_Tzu-"]Well, first of all, the two parties don't really represent "two colliding ideals". And the American system of government was designed to progress methodically, not suddenly. joao_22990
Well, i meant that basically 90% of your political power can fall within two basic ideologies, and that, while not a wrong method, isn't really the better. You should enable as many opinions and as many visions to have place, and evaluate them all. Also, sorry, but could you explain the "progress methodically" a bit better? Isn't that what every government wants? It would be highly reckless to act in any other way. How would it stand in the way of a system with more that two parties??

But still, the Democratic and Republican parties are both moderate parties. I wouldn't call the Democratic party "liberal" and I wouldn't call the Republican party "conservative", although the two parties do have members of those ideologies, respectively.

Now, if you were to compare the political parties of the U.S. with those of Europe, you will find some pretty striking differences. The two major parties in the U.S. are not parties based on a specific ideology, unlike many major parties in Europe, and they are extremely decentralized, thanks to the work of James Madison, compared to their European counterparts. Thus, progress in America is extremely slow and methodical, even compared to other successful nations, because even though that diversity of thought is still there, there isn't an equivalent diversity of power. A very radical party in America would flounder almost instantaneously in the U.S., and would most likely not acquire any sustainable power, whereas a radical party in Europe has a betteropportunity to gain lasting power in the government

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peaceful_anger

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#41 peaceful_anger
Member since 2007 • 2568 Posts

Oh please people!!!!!!!!

The political pendulum constantly swings back and forth, and right now it just happens to be in the Democrat's corner.

Basically if this economy doesn't recover, or the public thinks Obama has screwed up, Reps will make inroads in 2012. If the public remains happy with Obama's performance, then the Reps will continue to bleed seats in Congress. Either way, the Republicans will eventually come back into power. Now it's just a question of whether it will be a slow recovery or fast recovery, and that kinda depends on the Dems.

I mean the Dems control the House, Senate (most likely going to have a fillibuster proof majority), and the White House. Right now they have a bigger majority than Bush ever had, and they are going to have to stand on their own two feet and not blame everything on Bush. And I have a feeling Bush being gone is like the training wheels coming off for the Democratic Party.

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Maniacc1

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#42 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts
[QUOTE="Maniacc1"]So I think we can all agree there is a probable chance this is the end of the current Republican Party, and that if changes are not made it can't be good news for them. XD4NTESINF3RNOX
wow the democrats finally won an election how many years have the republicans been in power..so I don't think you should get all high and mighty about it

Huh? Depending on when you start counting, it's been mostly even the past couple presidents. I'll start at FDR (D), then Harry Truman (D), then Dwight D. Eisenhower (R), John F. Kennedy (D), Lyndon Johnson (D), Richard Nixon (R), Gerald Ford (R), Jimmy Carter (D), Ronald Reagan (R), George H.W. Bush (R), Bill Clinton (D), George W. Bush (R), Barack Obama (D). That's 7 Democrats and 6 Republicans. Pretty even if you ask me. And I don't even know where the high and mighty came from :P
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MotherSuperior

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#43 MotherSuperior
Member since 2003 • 3745 Posts
Republican party isn't going anywhere, sorry. I do hope the Libertarian party gains a foothold in the game of politics.
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XD4NTESINF3RNOX

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#44 XD4NTESINF3RNOX
Member since 2008 • 7438 Posts
[QUOTE="XD4NTESINF3RNOX"][QUOTE="Maniacc1"]So I think we can all agree there is a probable chance this is the end of the current Republican Party, and that if changes are not made it can't be good news for them. Maniacc1
wow the democrats finally won an election how many years have the republicans been in power..so I don't think you should get all high and mighty about it

Huh? Depending on when you start counting, it's been mostly even the past couple presidents. I'll start at FDR (D), then Harry Truman (D), then Dwight D. Eisenhower (R), John F. Kennedy (D), Lyndon Johnson (D), Richard Nixon (R), Gerald Ford (R), Jimmy Carter (D), Ronald Reagan (R), George H.W. Bush (R), Bill Clinton (D), George W. Bush (R), Barack Obama (D). That's 7 Democrats and 6 Republicans. Pretty even if you ask me. And I don't even know where the high and mighty came from :P

lol leave me alone :cry: i was only counting recent years :cry: i'm to lazy to go count them all :(
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joao_22990

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#45 joao_22990
Member since 2007 • 2230 Posts

But still, the Democratic and Republican parties are both moderate parties. I wouldn't call the Democratic party "liberal" and I wouldn't call the Republican party "conservative", although the two parties do have members of those ideologies, respectively.

Now, if you were to compare the political parties of the U.S. with those of Europe, you will find some pretty striking differences. The two major parties in the U.S. are not parties based on a specific ideology, unlike many major parties in Europe, and they are extremely decentralized, thanks to the work of James Madison, compared to their European counterparts. Thus, progress in America is extremely slow and methodical, even compared to other successful nations, because even though that diversity of thought is still there, there isn't an equivalent diversity of power. A very radical party in America would flounder almost instantaneously in the U.S., and would most likely not acquire any sustainable power, whereas a radical party in Europe has a betteropportunity to gain lasting power in the government

-Sun_Tzu-
Awesome, awesome. thanks for the insight.
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TheZ3nMan

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#46 TheZ3nMan
Member since 2007 • 2658 Posts
I wouldn't mind the end of the party system entirely.
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Maniacc1

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#47 Maniacc1
Member since 2006 • 5354 Posts
[QUOTE="XD4NTESINF3RNOX"][QUOTE="Maniacc1"][QUOTE="XD4NTESINF3RNOX"] wow the democrats finally won an election how many years have the republicans been in power..so I don't think you should get all high and mighty about it

Huh? Depending on when you start counting, it's been mostly even the past couple presidents. I'll start at FDR (D), then Harry Truman (D), then Dwight D. Eisenhower (R), John F. Kennedy (D), Lyndon Johnson (D), Richard Nixon (R), Gerald Ford (R), Jimmy Carter (D), Ronald Reagan (R), George H.W. Bush (R), Bill Clinton (D), George W. Bush (R), Barack Obama (D). That's 7 Democrats and 6 Republicans. Pretty even if you ask me. And I don't even know where the high and mighty came from :P

lol leave me alone :cry: i was only counting recent years :cry: i'm to lazy to go count them all :(

:P No worries
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peaceful_anger

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#48 peaceful_anger
Member since 2007 • 2568 Posts

[QUOTE="XD4NTESINF3RNOX"][QUOTE="Maniacc1"]So I think we can all agree there is a probable chance this is the end of the current Republican Party, and that if changes are not made it can't be good news for them. Maniacc1
wow the democrats finally won an election how many years have the republicans been in power..so I don't think you should get all high and mighty about it

Huh? Depending on when you start counting, it's been mostly even the past couple presidents. I'll start at FDR (D), then Harry Truman (D), then Dwight D. Eisenhower (R), John F. Kennedy (D), Lyndon Johnson (D), Richard Nixon (R), Gerald Ford (R), Jimmy Carter (D), Ronald Reagan (R), George H.W. Bush (R), Bill Clinton (D), George W. Bush (R), Barack Obama (D). That's 7 Democrats and 6 Republicans. Pretty even if you ask me. And I don't even know where the high and mighty came from :P

Yes but after Nixon and Ford, people basically said the Rep party was dead in the water. You then had Carter come into the Presidency with one of the hightest approval ratings in history, and if I'm correct (need to check), he had a higher approval rating at his 100 day mark than Obama did. But look what happened. In 4 years, he was booted out, and Reagan took the reins, and then going on to win every state except Minesota in the 1984 election. Was the Dem party dead then??? NO..just like the Rep party isn't dead now.

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btaylor2404

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#49 btaylor2404
Member since 2003 • 11353 Posts
I agree mostly with nocoolnamejim here, if Obama does ok between now and 2012 it will be a generation before the GOP is back in power, much like the 1964 election. But that could change quickly. The main problem I see with the GOP is leadership and vision. Are they going to be a fiscally conserative and socially moderate party that very much has a place in US politics, or a fringe party hard right on one of those issues.
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XD4NTESINF3RNOX

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#50 XD4NTESINF3RNOX
Member since 2008 • 7438 Posts
what does the GOP do? see how politically involved I am :lol: