This is not a typical recession.
The housing market is bankrupt. Oil Prices are still inflated (with Winter coming up BTW). Consumer spending is WAY down and this Christmas might be the worst ever in retail. We're still stuck in a war in two countries. Investment banks are obsolete. Food prices are inflated. The US dollar is extremely weak. The government is about to print $700 billion in new bills.
This is big time trouble.
Netherscourge
I see what you are saying,
But I disagree. Based on a few of the supply/demand analysis that has been published it seems the cost of oil is more market inflated then it is demand inflated (IE commodities trading), coupled with the fact that it is traded in US dollars and as you noted the US dollar had been weak. Supply has increased over demand when you compare year to year 2007 to 2008 and the cost of oil has fallen to sub $100 a barrel in trading today, some economists who had predicted a 100 barrel of oil by christmas are no speculating we could find oil around 70-80 nearly half of its 2008 high.
The housing market in some areas are very hard hit, but its not as widespread as many would seem to think. While the market as a whole has decreased the biggest and hardest hit areas are normally homes in blue collar working class areas, and the "second" or "vacation" home markets. Once you pull those out of the equation you certainly have a decrease in homes pricing but the reality is you have had a real estate market that has done nothing but climb for 18 years, sooner or later it was going to have to level out.
The US dollar has seen much improvment over earlier in the year when compared to the Canadian Dollar, Euro, and Japanese Yen and its hardly at its "low" at this point even with the market situation.
The concept that the "Investment Bank is Obsolete" is also one I disagree with, we have seen banks who managed their assets buying up their competitors for weeks now, its fairly clear that there is strength in the sector otherwise no one would be going near some of these assets rather then diving in and grabbing them at the first oppertunity.
From a broad picture it seems a lot worse then it actually is, and historically I don't see this being much worse (in a worst case) then the economic slowdown the US economy saw in the late 1980's, it was simply targeted in different economic sectors.
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