How close are you following this financial crisis?

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edgewalker16

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#1 edgewalker16
Member since 2005 • 2286 Posts

http://finance.yahoo.com/banking-budgeting/article/105785/Worst-Crisis-Since-1930s-With-No-End-Yet-in-Sight

This is an excellent article (on Yahoo) about this constant, downward spiraling situation. We're all going to be affected by it and it's likely that my kids will end up dealing with some of this in the form of social security and other such taxes. Forget about whose fault it is because, honestly, that doesn't matter anymore. What does matter is how the hell we're going to fix this...

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Bigboss232

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#2 Bigboss232
Member since 2006 • 4997 Posts
its only going to get worse where is the end of this. I follow it closely it will affect me eventually.
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loco145

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#3 loco145
Member since 2006 • 12226 Posts
Enough to make pofit from it.
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Fuzzy_Bear123

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#4 Fuzzy_Bear123
Member since 2007 • 638 Posts
I'm starting to pay more and more attention to it, its getting really ugly.
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Toriko42

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#5 Toriko42
Member since 2006 • 27562 Posts
It's gonna get worse, I would not be surprised if America entered a depression
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Thanatos_990

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#6 Thanatos_990
Member since 2008 • 188 Posts
I told ppl back in 2003 Bush government spending on top of greedy overpriced corprations would bring us into a great depress
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Zenkuso

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#7 Zenkuso
Member since 2006 • 4090 Posts
I live in a multi-diverse economy, I'm concerned about the event but not to worried as those else where that depend heavly on other markets or one set american market.
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Xeros606

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#8 Xeros606
Member since 2007 • 11126 Posts
i dont know much about it, but its not that i dont care.
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antiredcap

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#9 antiredcap
Member since 2007 • 1757 Posts
My whole life is a financial crisis!
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Elann2008

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#10 Elann2008
Member since 2007 • 33028 Posts

It's gonna get worse, I would not be surprised if America entered a depressionToriko42

We pretty much are in recession, whether we want to believe it or not. People have to start opening their eyes. They can be in denial all they went but it's happening. Just because the President won't admit it, doesnt mean it isnt. I deal with people's finances at work, first-hand and I've never seen anything like this, ever.

Bank of America just bought Merryl Lynch. ML is trying to survive so they merge. AIG is barely afloat and close to bankruptcy so they were forced to tap into their resources. Washington Mutual took a huge hit and they're barely surviving. Fanny Mae and Indy Mac already took the plunge but they were saved by the government. And you guys heard about our mortgage crisis. Countrywide took a HUGE hit. Debt is rising, savings is at an all-time low. And it's NOT getting better. Statistics show it getting worse and worse. It's a clear of sign of habitual spending. People aren't saving near enough and they spend more than they make. I work in the financial services industry so I know all this. I dont expect the average person to know so they'll probably sit here and argue with me all day and act like they know what's going on. But Americans are suffering, it's a fact.

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MrGeezer

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#11 MrGeezer
Member since 2002 • 59765 Posts

All I need to know is this...what do I need to do to profit from this situation?

I don't have a good job, and I don't make much money. But let's just hypothetically suppose that I saved up a tiny bit of money over the last year. What stocks do I need to buy right now, and how much money do I need to invest in order to ensure a good profit?

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Elann2008

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#12 Elann2008
Member since 2007 • 33028 Posts

All I need to know is this...what do I need to do to profit from this situation?

I don't have a good job, and I don't make much money. But let's just hypothetically suppose that I saved up a tiny bit of money over the last year. What stocks do I need to buy right now, and how much money do I need to invest in order to ensure a good profit?

MrGeezer

What people dont know is that this is the best time to "buy." It's the best time to buy homes, to buy stocks, while it's dirt cheap. The problem is, people that want to do that don't have money. And the rich people are capitalizing.

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MrGeezer

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#13 MrGeezer
Member since 2002 • 59765 Posts
[QUOTE="MrGeezer"]

All I need to know is this...what do I need to do to profit from this situation?

I don't have a good job, and I don't make much money. But let's just hypothetically suppose that I saved up a tiny bit of money over the last year. What stocks do I need to buy right now, and how much money do I need to invest in order to ensure a good profit?

Elann2008

What people dont know is that this is the best time to "buy." It's the best time to buy homes, to buy stocks, while it's dirt cheap. The problem is, people that want to do that don't have money. And the rich people are capitalizing.

I absolutely know that now is the time to buy. I'm not rich though, and I don't have anywhere near enough money to buy a house. However, I suppose I could probably afford to buy some shares in the stock market, so that's what I'm asking.

I'm not telling you guys how much money I have, or how much I make.

But let me give you a wide range. At miniumum, suppose I have $200 that I can afford to get rid of? How do I take advantage of the poor economy and turn that $200 into a profit? Also, suppose I have $10,000 that I can afford to lose. How can I take advantage of the poor economy and turn that $10,000 into a decent profit?

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laughingman42

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#14 laughingman42
Member since 2007 • 8730 Posts

Enough to make pofit from it.loco145

I wish I had money to spare.

Oh and to the guy that two days ago told me that investing in gold would be a bad idea look at its price today! Static assets value always rise in times of crisis.

my girlfriends parents have been able to take a hueg advantage of this. Yesterday they bought a lake front propperty under 100k that should have been about 200k.

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Shad0ki11

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#15 Shad0ki11
Member since 2006 • 12576 Posts
Well, i know about it from what I've heard on NPR. I'm not actively researching it, but I get the general idea about what is going on.
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laughingman42

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#16 laughingman42
Member since 2007 • 8730 Posts

Well, i know about it from what I've heard on NPR. I'm not actively researching it, but I get the general idea about what is going on.Shad0ki11

Did you listen today? I feel like I am on the wrong end of socialism.

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SpaceMoose

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#17 SpaceMoose
Member since 2004 • 10789 Posts

This has nothing to do with insane deficit spending by the federal government with, as Ron Paul worded it, what is effectively "counterfeit" money.

Well, Saddam bin Laden al-Zarqawi or whatever that guy's name was must be laughing his ass off.
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dth_dlr

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#18 dth_dlr
Member since 2006 • 7517 Posts
since i'm studying economics at uni its my job to know about it, so i've been following it very closely
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laughingman42

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#19 laughingman42
Member since 2007 • 8730 Posts

since i'm studying economics at uni its my job to know about it, so i've been following it very closelydth_dlr

So as an expert (at least compared to everyone else on OT) what do you think is going to happen in the next few weeks?

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Shad0ki11

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#20 Shad0ki11
Member since 2006 • 12576 Posts

[QUOTE="Shad0ki11"]Well, i know about it from what I've heard on NPR. I'm not actively researching it, but I get the general idea about what is going on.laughingman42

Did you listen today? I feel like I am on the wrong end of socialism.

I actually listened to a playlist on my Ipod on the way home today (or yesterday rather because it's past 12am here lol). I'll have to catch up tomorrow(today).

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stupiddk

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#21 stupiddk
Member since 2003 • 2377 Posts

Those that have filed for bankruptcy or gone under:

IndyMac

Fannie Mae

Freddie Mac

Lehman Brothers

Bear Stearns

many more but they are smaller

Those soon to be out of business:

Countrywide got bought by Bank of America

Merril Lynch bought by Bank of America effectively making them the strongest bank, investment, mortgage company in the world

Washington Mutual may be bought by Wells Fargo

Charles Schwab in talks with Wachovia

AIG got saved by the government with that 85 billion dollar loan, but follow this one closely.

Heres the deal. Because of the housing bubble burst, their are too many bad morgages defaulting and people losing their homes. Banks then have to declare these homes on their books and this causes them to lose money. Investment firms like Lehman and Merril invested significantly in bonds and funds related too these risky loans. They too had to declare losses. AIG is an insurer who insured these bad loans and when they went default they had to pay out billions. All these companies that have failed basically did risky business and failed and now we the taxpayers have to bail them out. Lucky us.

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wslacker2

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#22 wslacker2
Member since 2007 • 1192 Posts
[QUOTE="SpaceMoose"]

This has nothing to do with insane deficit spending by the federal government with, as Ron Paul worded it, what is effectively "counterfeit" money.

Well, Saddam bin Laden al-Zarqawi or whatever that guy's name was must be laughing his ass off.[/QUOTE]

Believe it or not, his country's/regime's well-being and econmoy is effected by the U.S's and the rest of the world's economy. How? One word: oil.

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dth_dlr

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#23 dth_dlr
Member since 2006 • 7517 Posts

[QUOTE="dth_dlr"]since i'm studying economics at uni its my job to know about it, so i've been following it very closelylaughingman42

So as an expert (at least compared to everyone else on OT) what do you think is going to happen in the next few weeks?

i think its going to be more long term than that, i expect many more banks (and other businesses) to file for bankruptcy over the next 12-18 months before we start to see anything more positive. unemployment is likely to rise and the Fed is going to have to issue some big loans to keep key banks a float. but, its going to be nowhere near as bad as previous recessions (or even the great depression) because, fortunately, we have learnt from them, but its still gonna be another 3-4 years of mild depression before we see some small economic growth
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Xeros606

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#24 Xeros606
Member since 2007 • 11126 Posts

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

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KBFTodd

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#25 KBFTodd
Member since 2006 • 342 Posts
Damn....I just started following this yeserday, cuz I have 2 WaMu accounts..........
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Hoobinator

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#26 Hoobinator
Member since 2006 • 6899 Posts

One of the reasons why I'be barely posted is because for the past 4 days in particular I've been reading and posting in news media sites on the crisis. I've been following the economic downturn for a while now, commenting on national debt rates, borrowing ludricrous sums of money, debt society etc, and was saying for a good while it will all come back to bite people on their asses. The financial collapse you're witnessing is all a part of that, part of the same faltering system. The crisis is systemic.

If it all collapses you can't say you and the governments weren't warned. The collapse everyone is witnessing is unparalled except for the crash of 1929 and the Great Depression.

I also saw that the guys on GS hardly posted on anything to do with the financial turmoil. No threads on Fannie and Freddie Mac nationalisations, or the slowly increasing nationalisation of the financial system. No posts on AIG buy outs or Lehman Brothers collapse. This is the stuff you need to get clued up about.

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terrytubbs

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#27 terrytubbs
Member since 2008 • 56 Posts
USA is heading for a 30s Depression soon .. :(
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cool_baller

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#28 cool_baller
Member since 2003 • 12493 Posts

I guess now is a good time for me to invest. :)

I plan on starting my Roth IRA soon, within the next few weeks. And I was looking for a good mutual fund.(probably doing both through Fidelity) I wanted to put my savings in a money market account, instead of a regular savings account; but the minimum monthly balance is 5,000 and I don't have that much.

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Hoobinator

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#29 Hoobinator
Member since 2006 • 6899 Posts
[QUOTE="SpaceMoose"]

This has nothing to do with insane deficit spending by the federal government with, as Ron Paul worded it, what is effectively "counterfeit" money.

Well, Saddam bin Laden al-Zarqawi or whatever that guy's name was must be laughing his ass off.

wslacker2

Believe it or not, his country's/regime's well-being and econmoy is effected by the U.S's and the rest of the world's economy. How? One word: oil.

Oil is a commodity, which is why it's increasing in price, it's the reason why the Arabian Gulf markets have been largely unaffected, same goes for the Chinese markets, they're insulated somewhat from the crisis.

When it all collapses it will affect some nations more than others. Demand for say Gold, oil, gas, timber, iron ore etc, real commodities will still exist. Demand for fiat currency and debt in terms of bonds and treasury debt won't.

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Hoobinator

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#30 Hoobinator
Member since 2006 • 6899 Posts

I guess now is a good time for me to invest. :)

cool_baller

Are you being ironic.:| Now is the time when you should NOT be investing. Seriously for your own good, keep the cash and wait for 6-12 months at the least to see what happens. If you invest in a company that is affected by failing banks and financial institutions then you're going to lose out. And no the government won't bail you out like the big banks.

The only reason why people are saying it's a good time to buy now is simply because they expect the markets to rebound within a year. This is very unlikely. The reason why share prices are so cheap is because they're going down the toilet. It's a bear market that is heading downward, and don't expect a bull run (upwards) anytime soon. You may well pull off a great bargain, but much more likely you'll make losses at least in the short to medium term.

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Ezgam3r

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#31 Ezgam3r
Member since 2006 • 2308 Posts

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

Xeros606
Correct. As Cenk from The Young Turks put it, "this is a reverse Robin Hood. The rich keep all the money, and when it comes time to pay the bill, they take from the poor and middle class."
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terrytubbs

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#32 terrytubbs
Member since 2008 • 56 Posts

cool_baller

Invest in property ,lol

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cool_baller

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#33 cool_baller
Member since 2003 • 12493 Posts

cool_baller

Invest in property ,lol

terrytubbs
I don't have that kind of money. I'm just saving for my retirement moslty
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Ezgam3r

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#34 Ezgam3r
Member since 2006 • 2308 Posts
[QUOTE="cool_baller"]

I guess now is a good time for me to invest. :)

Hoobinator

Are you being ironic.:| Now is the time when you should NOT be investing. Seriously for your own good, keep the cash and wait for 6-12 months at the least to see what happens. If you invest in a company that is affected by failing banks and financial institutions then you're going to lose out. And no the government won't bail you out like the big banks.

The only reason why people are saying it's a good time to buy now is simply because they expect the markets to rebound within a year. This is very unlikely. The reason why share prices are so cheap is because they're going down the toilet. It's a bear market that is heading downward, and don't expect a bull run (upwards) anytime soon. You may well pull off a great bargain, but much more likely you'll make losses at least in the short to medium term.

Exactly. There are times when the market is down when it's wise to buy stock, but that is when it's most likely going to rebound. We're in a super bear market and this crisis that's going on is not going to rebound as there's really nothing to rebound on at this point.

Unless you're really lucky, you're just going to be exchanging your cash for toilet paper.

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cool_baller

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#35 cool_baller
Member since 2003 • 12493 Posts
[QUOTE="Hoobinator"][QUOTE="cool_baller"]

I guess now is a good time for me to invest. :)

Ezgam3r

Are you being ironic.:| Now is the time when you should NOT be investing. Seriously for your own good, keep the cash and wait for 6-12 months at the least to see what happens. If you invest in a company that is affected by failing banks and financial institutions then you're going to lose out. And no the government won't bail you out like the big banks.

The only reason why people are saying it's a good time to buy now is simply because they expect the markets to rebound within a year. This is very unlikely. The reason why share prices are so cheap is because they're going down the toilet. It's a bear market that is heading downward, and don't expect a bull run (upwards) anytime soon. You may well pull off a great bargain, but much more likely you'll make losses at least in the short to medium term.

Exactly. There are times when the market is down when it's wise to buy stock, but that is when it's most likely going to rebound. We're in a super bear market and this crisis that's going on is not going to rebound as there's really nothing to rebound on at this point.

Unless you're really lucky, you're just going to be exchanging your cash for toilet paper.

It will rebound though, thats what happens; it's the business cycle. I guess this is just a bigger dip than normal(aka government not doing a good job keeping the economy in check)?
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comp_atkins

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#36 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38937 Posts

MS is in merger talks i hear... they're next to go..

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comp_atkins

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#37 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38937 Posts

One of the reasons why I'be barely posted is because for the past 4 days in particular I've been reading and posting in news media sites on the crisis. I've been following the economic downturn for a while now, commenting on national debt rates, borrowing ludricrous sums of money, debt society etc, and was saying for a good while it will all come back to bite people on their asses. The financial collapse you're witnessing is all a part of that, part of the same faltering system. The crisis is systemic.

If it all collapses you can't say you and the governments weren't warned. The collapse everyone is witnessing is unparalled except for the crash of 1929 and the Great Depression.

I also saw that the guys on GS hardly posted on anything to do with the financial turmoil. No threads on Fannie and Freddie Mac nationalisations, or the slowly increasing nationalisation of the financial system. No posts on AIG buy outs or Lehman Brothers collapse. This is the stuff you need to get clued up about.

Hoobinator

you do realize for the most part you're talking to 12-17 year olds right?

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Xeros606

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#38 Xeros606
Member since 2007 • 11126 Posts
[QUOTE="Xeros606"]

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

Ezgam3r

Correct. As Cenk from The Young Turks put it, "this is a reverse Robin Hood. The rich keep all the money, and when it comes time to pay the bill, they take from the poor and middle class."

but why does the govt have to pay for it?

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Hoobinator

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#39 Hoobinator
Member since 2006 • 6899 Posts

you do realize for the most part you're talking to 12-17 year olds right?

comp_atkins

Yeah:lol: I know most of the guys here are 15-early 20's. I was gonna call them kids but then I feared I would get moderated.:(

But still 15-20 isn't exactly a child anymore. They should be clued up about it, because we're the next generation and this will directly affect all of us.

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comp_atkins

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#40 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38937 Posts
[QUOTE="Ezgam3r"][QUOTE="Xeros606"]

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

Xeros606

Correct. As Cenk from The Young Turks put it, "this is a reverse Robin Hood. The rich keep all the money, and when it comes time to pay the bill, they take from the poor and middle class."

but why does the govt have to pay for it?

who do you think pays the gov't??

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horgen

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#41 horgen  Moderator
Member since 2006 • 127735 Posts
Like how close I really am to it. Its happening across the pond for me:P
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Ezgam3r

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#42 Ezgam3r
Member since 2006 • 2308 Posts
[QUOTE="Ezgam3r"][QUOTE="Xeros606"]

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

Xeros606

Correct. As Cenk from The Young Turks put it, "this is a reverse Robin Hood. The rich keep all the money, and when it comes time to pay the bill, they take from the poor and middle class."

but why does the govt have to pay for it?

Because it was either that or have the s*** hit the international fan. If AIG wasn't tied in with so many things that it falling would cause an economic catastrophe, they would probably let it fail. But since it would, they had to save it by loaning them enough money to buy a small country and in exchange getting 80% of it's stock, effectively making nearly all forms of insurance socialized besides health insurance.

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Tangmashi

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#43 Tangmashi
Member since 2007 • 1093 Posts

The safest thing to do would be to put your money in Bank of America. Just make sure its $100,000 or less because you're only guaranteed that much money back if the bank goes under(Not that anyone has that much money here). The reason I'd use Bank of America is because the only way that'll go under if the Federal Government goes under, and that doesn't look like it'll happen anytime soon.

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cametall

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#44 cametall
Member since 2003 • 7692 Posts

I'm an accounting major, so I'm pretty much on top of it like a fly on ****.

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cool_baller

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#45 cool_baller
Member since 2003 • 12493 Posts
I just read the Dow went up 410 points
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comp_atkins

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#46 comp_atkins
Member since 2005 • 38937 Posts

I just read the Dow went up 410 pointscool_baller

yeah. gov't is mulling over idea to basically take a lot of the bad debt away from coorporations. i think they will hold onto it until it can find buyers for it.

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Ezgam3r

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#47 Ezgam3r
Member since 2006 • 2308 Posts
I just read the Dow went up 410 pointscool_baller
It's because banks (including the Federal Reserve) around the world collectively pumped billions into the money markets in hope that it would fuel economic activity and it started a rally towards the end, leading to the 410 gain which made back most of what was lost yesterday but is still over 400 in the hole from the beginning of the week.
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InsultToInjury_

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#48 InsultToInjury_
Member since 2007 • 2219 Posts
I am watching it closley becuase it effetcs my job. I work for HBOS in Glasgow in the main office - who has been in the news the past few days with a take over with Lloyds. Who have said that 40,000 jobs within HBOS will be lost due to the take over. Its not great news at all.
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cool_baller

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#49 cool_baller
Member since 2003 • 12493 Posts
If people were to go about and trade stocks and whatnot, wouldn't that fix the stock market? The stock market is just based off expectations, is it not? So if the government secretly starts to buy stocks for higher prices, people will think the prices are rising let me buy some right now! so they do and then everythink is ok. It probably wouldn't work.
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edgewalker16

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#50 edgewalker16
Member since 2005 • 2286 Posts
[QUOTE="Xeros606"][QUOTE="Ezgam3r"][QUOTE="Xeros606"]

so if i am to understand, banks kept loaning money to people who couldnt pay them back, so they lost money, then aig (who insured these loans) lost even more money, so now the government is gonna pay for all of it, and theyre using tax dollars to do it.

am i correct or wrong? please correct me if i am, im pretty stupid when it comes to stuff like this.

comp_atkins

Correct. As Cenk from The Young Turks put it, "this is a reverse Robin Hood. The rich keep all the money, and when it comes time to pay the bill, they take from the poor and middle class."

but why does the govt have to pay for it?

who do you think pays the gov't??

There was actually an article on the same page that I found the one in my first post. I suppose if you did a search then you'd find your answer.