If it would have come out last year, it would have had a chance, but this year, no way. It wont be nominated for the main awards. It WILL get nominations (and probably wins) for Supporting actor (Heath Ledger is a lock-in, no other performance this year comes close), for cinematography, editing, sound editing and mixing, and also costume design, maybe makeup. If its lucky it could get a screenplay nomination, but its doubtful. For best director and best picture, theres no way, movies like Frost/Nixon, Doubt, Slumdog Millionaire, ext completely overshadow it.
Besides, look at the Golden Globes, 10 best movie nominations and they didnt include The Dark Knight. The Dark Knight only got 1 golden globe nomination (best supporting actor). Even Tropic Thunder got more nominations.
I really think the movie deserves nominations for best picture though, and especially Christopher Nolan deserves a best director nomination, but it probably wont happen.
(BTW, to that guy who asked about who chooses the winners, well, isnt it obvious? The Academy chooses the winners. Not film critics like Roger Ebert. The Academy consists of hundreds of people, actors, directors, and people involved in hollywood, and they all vote choosing the winners.)
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