[QUOTE="Darkman2007"][QUOTE="SaudiFury"]
Having been to Egypt, the strangers i talked to about the peace with Israel. Nobody wanted to break it, but some felt it would break up because it was 'inevitable'. For whatever that is worth. This seems to be the same sentiment based on the Arab Spring protests in Egypt and even at least based on what the Youth led part of the Muslim Brotherhood has been saying (not the old guard, their official stance still stands.).
About normalizing relations, i would refer to the Saudi peace plan which was stated for normalizing relations with a peace treaty between Israel and Palestine. Brought up in 2005, rebrought up in 2007, and apparently is still on the table and offered according to dialog written between King Abdullah and US state department diplomats from wikileaks documents. Arab governments who are American allies seem to have come to this same conclusion. despite the chagrin of some Palestinian groups, and apparent Israeli encouraged but ignored response.
The great impediment for turning a cold peace into a warm one is still the occupation. Quite literally on a daily basis it's whatever injustice, or percieved injustice being done on the Palestinians in the occupied territories, whatever new weaponry system Israel has, whatever the latest bombing and the inevitble chaotic bloody scenes that come afterward are constantly brought online on Arab television. Yes some of it is exaggerations, sometimes it's racist even (i'd say speaking for myself at least). but a lot of it is the same news story being told by Western, and even Israeli media.
From my part of the world, i may hear something racist once in a while, but 90% of the time it's something to do with the occupation. So from my experience the occupation is the key to solving the relation problem. The racism bit will still be there, but one cannot overcome all problems overnight, and everyone is a little bit racist due to their own personal ethnocentrism. As hard as we may try, we will still come off as such to someone somewhere at sometime based on what we may say at the moment. Most racist commentary i've heard in Saudi is surprisingly about other Muslims, the 'lowly' Asians like Filipino's, Indonesians, Indians, or how much better they are then say Egyptians, Palestinians or Iraqi's. some comments i'd say are definently racist, others i'd say it's just ethnic/regional/patriotic/sectarian favoritism.
A dream of mine is to be able to travel throughout the Middle East - Israel included - by road, with little to no troubles. As a Saudi, i can't travel to Israel or Iraq (yet), and i expect to run into trouble if i wanted to go to Syria or Iran. Personally would like to see Palestine the cities of some of my friends like Ramallah, Bethlehem and Nablis. see Jeruslaem (divided physically or administratively or not), the cities of Ber' Sheva, Tel Aviv and Haifa of Israel.
But i'm not going anywhere until a peace and stability is established beforehand.
SaudiFury
I really don't see what the Egyptians are worried about, Its not in Israel's interest to break up the peace treaty,Egypt has the Sinai, not sure where they get that from. Im well aware of the peace initiative put forward by Saudia , and yes I will agree the terms in there are rather favourable (though the "just solution for the refugees" will have to be discussed as to what this solution actually is), but are you honestly telling me it wont lead to another cold peace? I don't expect every Arab to suddenly like me, but a treaty is a treaty, and I personally don't see an issue for most Arab states to dislike Israel besides the Palestinian issue, in particular the Gulf states and North Africa Also , Iran is not a part of this initiative, what is your opinion of how to solve the Iranian problem?. besides the nuclear issue, they are obviously trying to become a regional power. Now I personally could not care less what they do in Iraq, that is an internal Arab/Muslim problem , but when they try to encroach ony Israel's sphere of influence (which sounds selfish perhaps, but the Levant is Israel's sphere of influence due to simple facts on the ground), we get worried, and understandably so, what could be done about them?when the blood stops spilling (peace treaty) and young men get tired of fighting their grandfather's war.yeah the warm peace will come.
Vast majority of 20 something Arabs i've dealt with in the Middle East have this sort of mindset, and is evident from the Arab Spring and the online Arab activism (cause you know... your likely to disappear for a while/forever in some of these countries if you actually protest.).
Iran isn't part of the Arab League, which was where the Saudi's have pushed their initiative. About what to do about Iran, no easy answers. But as evident from wikileaks documents there is a quid-pro-quo agreement between Israel-USA-Arab states when it comes to Iran. Arab states apparently want the US to do the work for them, Gulf states would have a real hard time actually destroying all of Iran's securities (not to mention risk to the largest oil supply line in the world). Israel itself would have a hard time (as evident again from internal wikileaks between Israeli defense and the US state department). the US does not want to get tied down into a third major war. and there is currently no casus bellum for war, there is just a lot of bellicose saber rattling.
Yes Iran has a history of supporting terrorism, Israel also has a history of unilateral airstrikes (Iraq in the 1980's one of them). So both sides have their valid worries. So no easy answers in this.
As for Syria. I believe if the Alawi rulers of Syria are overthrown and the 80% Sunni Arabs take over Syria (and inevitably they would through elections or by sheer likelihood of who could take over). That will cut off Hezbollah, and will break up whatever special arrangements Syria has with Iran. If you don't know, the Alawi are a sect within the Shiite Islam, so they have a lot more in common with Iran. That would leave Iranian influence cut off from the Levant area.
Only two countries in the Levant that would be 'competing' (economic, cultural, military, etc) would be Israel and Syria, and Syria is woefully behind in many regards. I mention Syria, as it's the only one with the size, resources and population that could compete on the same scale.
As far as Iraq, this bothers the hell out of the Gulf states, especially Saudi. as evident not only by wikileaks, but by diplomatic measures both by Gulf states and Iraqis. Iraq's prime minister spends more time flying to consult with Tehran, then he seems to bother with his fellow Arab neighbors.
Obviously the Gulf states would want the US to destroy Iran's nuclear plants. Im sure they would be quite happy if Israel did it, its not impossible ,and given the current US administration , id say the chance of the US doing anything is slim, Also I wonder, what are the Arabs more concerned or afraid of, Israel and its nuclear weapons, or Iran if it gets nuclear weapons?
the real question is retaliation , you know Israel destroyed an alleged nuclear site in Syria, and Syria did nothing, because if they declared war, they would lose. Iran doesnt have to face the Israeli army, and it will just be a question of launching their missiles into Israel (though if they attack Tel Aviv, the sky will fall for them),. thats our concern, and the US is holding Israel back while talks go on (lets be honest, Ahmadinajad is making a joke of any talks).
yes, I know full well of Assad's Alawi sect (I used to live in Israel , I kind of had to learn those things), though its not the only case in the Middle East of a minority rulling over a majority. But the question is wheter a real democracy will emerge, or will it be another Iran situation.
whatever the Arabs do , I would recommend them not to follow Israel's democracy to the letter, Israel is actually a bit too democratic (if that makes any sense, I could explain)
Again Iraq is considerd an internal Arab affair, though you would have to guess since Iraq is a majority Shia state, they would have to court Iran out of public opinion alone. though Iran has too much influence in Iraq (Ive been reading alot of places in Iraq use the Iranian currency as a secondary currency)
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