[QUOTE="coolbeans90"][QUOTE="UT_Wrestler"]I'm almost positive now that Obama will be a one-term president and a republican will be in the whitehouse in 2 years. You guys better hope that a more moderate candidate like Huckabee gets the nomination, because it's looking like a real hardcore conservative like Rick Perry is going to end up winning the nomination.UT_Wrestler
A year ago I also thought that it was very possible that Obama would be a one-term president. However, since then Obama's popularity slide seems to have normalized. Furthermore, I am quite skeptical as to the capability of the Republican Party to put forth a candidate which can win the election. I'm all but certain that Obama will win in 2012.
The republican party won big in the mid-term elections, so I don't see why anyone would find that implausible to happen in the big election in 2 years. I'm just hoping they nominate someone without moderate views. You sir, need to learn your history (and your political science, Senators and Congressmen aren't elected under the same scheme as the President, comparing the success of these electoral campaigns against each other isn't really accurate).Almost every two term President in the twentieth century had their party lose ground in mid term elections in their first term.
Clinton was re-elected in 1996, despite mid term trouncing for the Democrats in 1994.
Reagan was re-elected in 1984, despite the Republicans losing seats in the House and Senate in 1982.
Nixon unsurprisingly lost seats in the House in the 1970 midterms, despite being re-elected (though succeeded by Ford) in 1972.
Eisenhower's Republican Party got smashed in the 1954 mid terms in the House and the Senate, even after his election in 1952.
Truman again saw the Democrats lose ground in 1946, despite being a two termer.
FDR was actually the most recent of the past century President to see gains in the House and the Senate for his Party in his first term mid term elections. So saying Obama won't win in 2012 because the Democrats lost seats in 2010 is a terrible point, history has proven at the very least, mid term setbacks don't seem to matter for a party's Presidential candidate in the later general election.
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