Presidential Primaries continue tomorrow with the New Hampshire primary.
According to Nate Silver's 538 website this is how the races are shaping up:

New Hampshire has been feeling the Bern with Sanders holding a commanding lead over his rival and contest favorite Hillary Rodham Clinton. Victory in New Hampshire is a forgone conclusion and Hillary is just fighting to close the margin of loss. Right after NH will be the lowest point in the campaign so far for HRC: Bernie will win by a comfortable margin, possibly by double digits, he will have momentum and will get to raise money out of the win. The news coverage will be intense with "Is this 08' all over again?" and "Is Hillaryland panicking?" themes. The next context after NH is 11 days away, that's a long time. The Establishment will only become more desperate, the attack on Sanders by Clinton surrogates will only become stronger.

On the Republican side Texas' Senator Ted Cruz is coming out of a win on the Iowa Caucuses but you wouldn't know it by how Marco Rubio has been covered in the press after a strong 3rd place finish in Iowa. The so called "Marcomentum" may not last after last night's bad debate exchange with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. All 3 governors are fighting for their (presidential) lives in NH, they need a strong showing (meaning a 4th place finish) to resist calls from The Establishment to drop out and endorse one of the remaining candidates (most likely Rubio). I think after NH we'll see at least one of the governors drop out (Christie/Kasich/Bush) plus Carly Fiorina's run is about to end too. Professional bullshitter Donald Trump has a comfortable lead in NH and is expected to win.
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
'Murican democracy is in session OT. So who you got in New Hampshire? Hillary "Oh My God I'm Losing Again" Clinton or Socialist Bernie? Did Christie stopped the Marcomentum or will Rubio finish a strong 2nd? Can Cruz the Weasel pickup Rand Paul's "libertarian" constituency in moderate NH or is any resistance futile against The Greatest Show on Earth Donald Trump?
Log in to comment