[QUOTE="-TheSecondSign-"]
[QUOTE="Overwatch88"]
Its a pretty crappy thing to do to spread more human cancer onto other pure planets
D_Battery
No it isn't. Humanity isn't a cancer. Its more like Athlete's Foot for Earth. We don't do any actual, serious, long term damage. The Earth can recover from everything we've done to it in a time frame so miniscule in comparison to the amount of time it's already had its more like mild footrot.
Well, why not think in terms of humanity then? What do you think will happen if we maintain the same population growth we've had over the last century into the next one? Not to mention that the global economic structure necessitates constant expansion. Being as hesitant towards changing habits as we are even at the individual level, a crash at the global level is hard to imagine as avoidable –and that'll certainly put-off space exploration for quite some time. Perhaps Hawking is worrying that if we don't start exploring now, we might not have the opportunity to for a long while after. I wonder when he'll get started on the Encyclopedia Galactica... (Nerdy Asimov reference.)
Foundation FTW.
And yes, that's exactly the situation as I see it. The way that things are going now is not sustainable in the long term. There will be a global collapse, probably sooner than later. It's happened many times before in human history, just not on a GLOBAL level.
It's not a matter of humans not being around in 100 years. It's about the idea that if we wait too long to do the most that we can with our scientific progress, that we'll have squandered the opportunity. Civilization will collapse. We won't be dead, but we'll likely have taken such a step backwards that space travel is impossible.
The thing is, for people today it is easy to see the global civilization as progressing gradually (or rapidly) forever. In that point of view, space travel isn't really urgent. Since if we don't make it to the stars in 200 years, surely things will be better in a couple thousand years. But that's wrong. Civilation isn't a linear progression, there are peaks and troughs. Right now, we're probably on one of the peaks, and the way things are going now is unsustainable. We can't stay where we are forever, we're going to slide off that peak and fall into one of the troughs. And if we want to travel to the stars, it's gotta happen while we're on one of the peaks. Once we wait long enough for society to fall apart, we've missed our chance.
The problem here is that we aren't anywhere CLOSE to being able to colonise other worlds, even though we ARE on top of the highest peak of human achievement. We've gone higher than we ever had before, and we're still not CLOSE to leaving this world. And the clock is ticking. I see society collapsing long before we manage to get to where travelling the stars is feasible. We haven't progressed far enough to be able to accomplish that any time soon, and the way that things are set up now is unsustainable enough that we're going to fall before we manage to get much higher.
Basically, I say that we're ****ed.
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