@jak42 said:
@GreySeal9: Obama was running against John McCain. A respected senator and veteran with an incredible POW story. Hillary is a very well known politican, running against a businessman who makes inflammatory statements with no official political experience. Hardly a comparison. She had it easier than lesser known Obama. Raised far more money than Trump. And is barely beating him in the poll; with moments of being virtually tied.
4 points is barely winning. As those polls have statistical variation and are subject to change. Which may just happen in Trump's favor this coming debate. As now Clinton has to answer for those Podestra emails, that have angered a powerful Catholic/Christian voting block.
Repeating that 4 points is barely winning doesn't make it true. As I said before (because you didn't get it the first time), Obama won by a 4 point margin in 2012 and that was considered an EC landslide. Not to mention that to tout the Washington Post poll above others would be cherrypicking. The aggregation of polls shows Hillary with a lead anywhere from 6 to 8 points (and there is a WSJ post showing Clinton up by double digits). And again, if Clinton wins by 4 points, she will dominate the EC. That is a simple matter of math (though you'll probably find a way to argue with math as well).
It's absurd to say that one election can't be compared to another. If Obama's lead was comfortable in 2008, than Hillary's similar lead is comfortable now. Yes, Clinton is a flawed candidate who is probably running weaker against Trump than a less flawed Democratic candidate would be, but it doesn't matter. As I said, Trump is more flawed and even more unpopular, which is why he is losing. This is not rocket science.
Most modern elections have been tied at "moments." If an underdog candidate can only tie the frontrunner even during her worst news cycles, that shows a problem with the underdog's support.
There's no reason to believe that the third debate will swing things up in Trump's favor. Clinton won the first two, Trump is not very good at debating, and third debates historically don't move the needle. And for all the emails that Hillary win have to answer for, Trump will have to answer for the accusations of sexual assault. To emphasize Hillary's problems without mentioning Trump's is downright laughable.
Honestly, your hate boner for Hillary combined with your lack of political knowledge is causing you to not analyze this election clearly.
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