Source: Digitimes
"Nvidia originally scheduled to launch Fermi in November 2009, but was delayed until CES in January 2010 due to defects, according to market rumors. However, the company recently notified graphics card makers that the official launch will now be in March 2010, the sources noted."
The source of this information is yet to be determined and the reliability of such can not be accounted for.
The probability is around 40-50% I would say.
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