@Stevo_the_gamer: Current evidence points to it not affecting the factors you are arguing about. If that holds true, it is simply a drain on society, easily a net negative.
And that's before we address your argument directly above : "The deciding factor is actually the commission of a public offense; the conscious decision made to victimize another or society. ;)"
and point out that this is well before a verdict or even a trial. The cash bail system ensnares a lot of innocent people, causing them to lose their bond fees, their freedom, their jobs, and their economic livelihoods.
I wouldn't place stock in short term analysis during extraordinary times with less arrests, less filings/VOPs, decriminalization, etc. This will be something years in the making to analyze and I look forward to seeing better reflective analysis/literature reviews.
You won't lose the bail amount if you show for court, but the bond fee is just that, a fee; it's not a security deposit, merely the cost of a service from a private company. The same brush then can be applied for any custodial arrest upon probable cause before any trial or verdict.
Do you support custodial arrests? Or should it be reserved for extraordinary cases (specific felonies) with the rest being cite and release on scene? Even for those specific felonies, should they be afforded bail/bond opportunity even *before* a bail hearing/preliminary hearing? In California, it was a case by case basis because bail schedules were also determined also by criminal history and propensity for re-offense. COVID changed a lot though.
I stated all of your first points earlier myself: The data is light, the data is early, and certainly more information is warranted. I simply added that the early data looks promising - promising enough to warrant gathering it and seeing if the harm caused by bail is worth whatever, if any, gains we get from it. Don't you agree with that?
What does supporting custodial arrests have to do with paying to get out of jail once one occurs? Either they should have reason to keep you there, or they shouldn't. And that's the stance the law in the OP takes as well. Your argument above looks, to me, like a big strawman attempt.
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