Most people agree the next generation will begin late next year or the beginning of the year after.
This asumes the beginning of the next gen will be marked by the release of the next Sony or Microsoft console and not the Wii U. According to earlky insider info it appears that the Wii U is going to take the awkward position of 'better than current gen but worse that next gen'. Assuming it is released first, this will make it temporarily the strongest console and give Nintendo some early glory, but will no doubt be quickly dwarfed by the next Sony and Microsoft console.
Its more than likely that Microsoft will release their next console before Sony. It appears the Japanese company is more than content to stick by their (completely antiquated) PS3 based on the fact its potential 'has not been unlocked yet' whereas Microsoft seems to be beating the next gen drum a lot louder.
In my opinion, Sony is playing a dangerous game. How much more can be flogged out of an ancient Nvidia 7800 graphics card (even with assistence of the equally ancient cell technology) and given a half decent launch line up, will the next Microsoft offering completely murder any attempt the PS3 makes to hang onto the gaming community?
Again, in my opinion I believe the next Xbox will probably launch with something along the following spec: 6 core IBM CPU at 3.2Ghz (new generation - i.e. not same architecture as current IBM processor), 2Gb RAM, 1Gb Video RAM, graphics performance along the line of the AMD 6870 (optimised and reworked with EDRAM to fit a 1080p image).
I believe the PS4 will release with the same Cell technology but wth more SPUs and more effecient archtecture. At this point ist hard to say whether they will plump for an 'off the shelf' Nvidia card as before. I assume not as it seems that was a last-minute choice due to issues with running graphics off the cell. Hopefully they will run with an optimised Nvidia card. Probably in the same league as a 560Ti or possibly 570.
With this in mind I do believe the Xbox will probably edge ahead once again. It will be very cost-inefficient for Sony to offload the cell now as so many developers have built up staff intelligance and resources around it. We could quite conceivably end up in the same position we are in now.
I do feel that Sony will have a chance to claim the graphics throne but it is all down to RAM. Whoever has the most will probably prevail.
What are your thoughts on this?
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