[QUOTE="snyper1982"][QUOTE="Javy03"][QUOTE="snyper1982"][QUOTE="Javy03"] [QUOTE="xbox360isgr8t"]hd dvd or blu ray what ever wins out wont be taking over the popularity of dvd for a long time or in my time frame (6-8 years). the price to own a 1080p tv and blu ray player is a lot of money right now. so in 6-8 years it will probably be more maintstream because that technology wont cost as much.Javy03
Actually the price for a 1080p TV is getting lower and lower every few months and so are Blu ray prices. YOu also dont need 1080p to enjoy Blu ray or HD DVD. And again your forgetting that DVDs launched in like 96or 98 and didnt beat VHS in rentals until three years after the launch of the PS2 so DVDs hardly took over right off the bat.
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The truth of the matter is Cable is switching to HD, TVs are switching to HD, video games are switching to HD, and its obvious movies will as well. And with Blu rays sales and support it will most likely be the victor and it will be easier because movie lovers dont have to replace their collection due to Blu ray players playing DVDs as well and upconverting them.
The fact that DVD didn't take over VHS right away should tell you something as to the time line for an HD format to usurp DVD.But DVD didnt have the HD push that HDTVs, and cable are giving it. Everyone wants an HDTV and they are becoming more and more affordable. When a person spends more money on an HDTV you DONT think they might actually want to use it. And by the time the scared people jump in it would be a minimal risk because Blu ray player upconvert DVD movies so you dont have to replace your old library. Trust me, people who start buying HDTVs will wanna use it and Blu ray will be there.
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OK, I trust you.... HDTV's are still not in a majority of homes, and the fact that DVD didn't NEED a new tv should make the rates of adoption for an HD format even slower, as ALL sets are compatible with DVD, while HD media is only compatible with HDTV's. Not everyone want and HDTV, or else it woud be in a majority of homes, which it is not. The fact that ther is a format war going on will slow adoption rates further still. It is going to be at leat 5-6 years before we start seeing any significant adoption rate of an HD format.
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HDTVs dont have to be the majority of homes, it wasnt until last year that DVD players in peoples homes beat out VHS players yet that didnt hurt Bestbuy, SUncoast and many other companies that sell DVD movies for a living. People will eventually have little choice in adopting HD since cable is switching and SDTVs are slowly phasing out. You dont get it, Blu ray and HDTVs only need to penetrate the movie watching/buying market. YOu look at video games sales and its HUGE but did you know only 40% of U.S. citizens play video games including handheld and PC. HD and HDTVs is the future and prices and adoption rates are changing fast. Before christmas HD DVD was slaughtering Blu ray and HDTVs were pretty expensive and then a huge price drop hit HDTVs and the adoption rate shot up and PS3 hit and Blu ray adoption rate shot up. Its gonna be alot closer then that for Blu ray to make significant money with HDTV prices dropping and demand for them still high.
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But both formats are only like 1% of the total movie sales. So sure blu ray is winning, but it is such a small amout of sales on the whole as to be insignificant. You obviously don't get it. Cable and broadcast are switching to digital(in fact most cable companys are already using digital), NOT HD. They are not going to alienate the MAJORITY of their customers by switching to HD, and leaving SD customers out in the cold....Â
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The fact that you don't get that people without HDTV's are never going to buy an HD format player, is rediculous. EVERYONE can use DVD, you have to have an HDTV to use an HD media player. Look how long it took DVD to become overtake VHS, and it was compatible with ALL sets. HD players are selling to a smaller market. The fact that I am having to spoon feed this to you is really sad. I agree that the HDTV market and HD player market will continue to grow, but that is not the point. The point is it will be about 5-6 years before those sale start to surpass that of DVD. Â
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