Face it the PS3 can't win

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jrhawk42

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#1 jrhawk42
Member since 2003 • 12764 Posts

Honestly, there's no way the ps3 is going to win the console wars this gen it's pretty much impossible.

Why?

The console wars will pretty much be decided by consumers sometime between 07-08 being that a large majority of gamers will buy their console either this year or next.

Most customers will not pay over $300 for a console, and many won't pay over $200 no matter how good of "deal" it is. AT least 75% of a systems sales are going to happen after it drop below this price.

The ps3 can't drop to $300 before 09 without taking a loss and taking a loss durring your peak selling period is pretty dumb, and finiancially worse than losing this gen.

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Ibacai

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#2 Ibacai
Member since 2006 • 14459 Posts
You think that there will be a total of 60 million current gen consoles sold by the end of 08? Well even if that does happen do we know which console will hold the majority of those sold? Really, put down the crystal ball. We don't know how this gen will play out.
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Willy105

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#3 Willy105
Member since 2005 • 26209 Posts
The PS3 won't win. But does it have to die?
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dream431ca

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#4 dream431ca
Member since 2003 • 10165 Posts
Your crystal ball is cracked...get it fixed before you get embarrassed. :)
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Lilac_Benjie

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#5 Lilac_Benjie
Member since 2006 • 12287 Posts
I think it will come in second place, around 60~ units sold. Compared to 30~ for Xbox360 and 100+ for Nintendo Wii.
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FusionApex

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#6 FusionApex
Member since 2006 • 1151 Posts
Every gamer knows no console will die, 3rd place, but not death.
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Sgt_Hale

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#7 Sgt_Hale
Member since 2007 • 2257 Posts

What are you on?! MOST gamers don't even purchase their systems until 2-3 yrs after the release. The PS3 definitely has the most positive buzz surrounding it right now. It's going to do well this holiday season & will likely completely own the 08 holiday season after receiving another price drop or two... At $400 the systems are sold out right now... so when they hit $300, you can forget about it! It's a system that is known for creative games... as long as that image lasts, there's alway a chance it'll win. We won't know for another 2-3 yrs though so just relax & game.

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supermanfarr

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#8 supermanfarr
Member since 2006 • 888 Posts
It will be fine, I never really wanted one till the price drop also I m sick of the wii360. Just look at the games coming soon the 360 sucks Ive had gears for almost a year now and nothing else. Yea I know there were other games rainbow6, fear, crackdown, I didnt care for any of those games. So gears is all Its had and lemmings like to talk about games. Yes the 360 is a good system ,but games are lacking "Good games" I am buying the ps3 tomarrow and am looking forward to playing restance, and sigma. Im so sick off gears online its crazy. Dont belive me gamertag" SuperMan5518"
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Natural_Mystic

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#10 Natural_Mystic
Member since 2003 • 4117 Posts
The TC is right, Sony is doomed, they should just give up and go home.
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Lazy_Boy88

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#11 Lazy_Boy88
Member since 2003 • 7418 Posts
Or you should face it that the Wii can never ever dominate. Even if it "wins" in sales there will be a strong #2 and that's most certainly going to be PS3. PS3 sales will grow and grow as games come out and prices come down. Even with Wii at 100 million PS3 will get 50 million minimum. Plus it will probably be around a lot longer than the Wii after the Wii "wins". 360 will probably get to around 20 million and just stall out. Without Japan and unless something huge changes 360 is going no where.
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bulb_or_parrot

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#12 bulb_or_parrot
Member since 2007 • 73 Posts
*looks at watch* kinda early to call that one! PS2 sold 110 million units, the Xbox 360 has sold 11.6, and the Wii has sold 10. The race is *barely* started. Even if it was just PS2 owners buying consoles this generation, with 5 million PS3s sold it looks like 85 million PS2s still need to be upgraded to something - and Sony still has a shot to decide what that something might be.

Will the PS3 win at $500 / $600? Heck no, I can't afford that AND cheeseburgers! But then, maybe they'll be able to price drop. I mean, the competition hasn't, y'know? It's not like they've got a lot of pressure from anything other than the Wii, which we have no proof will continue to sell for seven years th way the PS2 did.
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gamenux

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#13 gamenux
Member since 2006 • 5308 Posts

"....and many won't pay over $200 no matter how good of "deal" it is."

Isn't the Wii and 360 also more than $200. Talk about self ownage. :)

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espoac

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#14 espoac
Member since 2005 • 4346 Posts

It's way too early to rule out any system from taking first place. But I really hope Wii doesn't, why? Because I like pretty graphics:D

I really don't want Sony or Microsoft to follow Nintendo's example.

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granadavictor

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#15 granadavictor
Member since 2005 • 126 Posts

Honestly, there's no way the ps3 is going to win the console wars this gen it's pretty much impossible.

Why?

The console wars will pretty much be decided by consumers sometime between 07-08 being that a large majority of gamers will buy their console either this year or next.

Most customers will not pay over $300 for a console, and many won't pay over $200 no matter how good of "deal" it is. AT least 75% of a systems sales are going to happen after it drop below this price.

The ps3 can't drop to $300 before 09 without taking a loss and taking a loss durring your peak selling period is pretty dumb, and finiancially worse than losing this gen.

jrhawk42

All i have to say is :lol: @U

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Game13a13y

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#16 Game13a13y
Member since 2004 • 2860 Posts

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

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Spartan070

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#17 Spartan070
Member since 2004 • 16497 Posts

You think that there will be a total of 60 million current gen consoles sold by the end of 08? Well even if that does happen do we know which console will hold the majority of those sold? Really, put down the crystal ball. We don't know how this gen will play out.Ibacai

It's called speculation and it makes for great conversation.:|

Message Boards FTW:|

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bulb_or_parrot

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#18 bulb_or_parrot
Member since 2007 • 73 Posts

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

Game13a13y


The Xbox 360 was in extremely short supply at that time, and it's irrelevant because the PS3 needs to continue to outsell the Xbox 360, both in hardware and software, by a large margin to catch-up at this point. I'm not saying that 'cuz I have a problem with the PS3, it's basically cheeseburgers with me, but because that's the reality.

No one cares that you started the race after the starting gun was fired, but if you want to win, you'd better be running a lot faster than the competition, and Sony hasn't started doing that yet.
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Ibacai

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#19 Ibacai
Member since 2006 • 14459 Posts

[QUOTE="Ibacai"]You think that there will be a total of 60 million current gen consoles sold by the end of 08? Well even if that does happen do we know which console will hold the majority of those sold? Really, put down the crystal ball. We don't know how this gen will play out.Spartan070

It's called speculation and it makes for great conversation.:|

Message Boards FTW:|

Speculation is great. Playing speculation off as fact is not.
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Ado-odA

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#20 Ado-odA
Member since 2007 • 98 Posts

Ummm....PS3 will outsell the 360 by generations end...the Wii will either sell over 100 million or will die in 2008...even if the wii sells 100 million, all major franchises will still be on the PS3/360 due to Wii's hardware limitations.

Either way PS3 will turn out ok...maybe not PS2 great, but close.

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jrhawk42

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#21 jrhawk42
Member since 2003 • 12764 Posts

Every gamer knows no console will die, 3rd place, but not death.FusionApex

Where did I say death? reading skills are really lacking in system wars tons of posters are assuming I said stuff I didn't then responding with a "oh you're wrong, and I'm right because I posted it" type logic.

I came up with 3 very good reason why the ps3 can't win, and I have failed to see even one bad reason it can win.

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goblaa

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#22 goblaa
Member since 2006 • 19304 Posts

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

Game13a13y

Yes, that's why the PS3 sales are so sad.

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mgsbethatgame

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#23 mgsbethatgame
Member since 2007 • 1384 Posts

I think it will come in second place, around 60~ units sold. Compared to 30~ for Xbox360 and 100+ for Nintendo Wii.Lilac_Benjie

dude u are genuis just like the good old days nintendo and sony. 360 u dont belong

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mgsbethatgame

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#24 mgsbethatgame
Member since 2007 • 1384 Posts
[QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

bulb_or_parrot



The Xbox 360 was in extremely short supply at that time, and it's irrelevant because the PS3 needs to continue to outsell the Xbox 360, both in hardware and software, by a large margin to catch-up at this point. I'm not saying that 'cuz I have a problem with the PS3, it's basically cheeseburgers with me, but because that's the reality.

No one cares that you started the race after the starting gun was fired, but if you want to win, you'd better be running a lot faster than the competition, and Sony hasn't started doing that yet.

360 in short supply lol u mean the wii tell me u mixed that up on a fluke

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ff7isnumbaone

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#25 ff7isnumbaone
Member since 2005 • 5352 Posts

The TC is right, Sony is doomed, they should just give up and go home.Natural_Mystic

PS3!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!OWNSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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7fold

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#26 7fold
Member since 2003 • 282 Posts
I own a 360, but it doesnt took a fortune teller to look into a crystal ball to see that the Wii is going to kick everyones but in sales this generation. I dont mind this at all, My first console was a nintendo, but I would be upset if they dumbed down graphics after this generation because of it.
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mastarifla

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#27 mastarifla
Member since 2005 • 2448 Posts

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

Game13a13y
I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)
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mr_w25

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#29 mr_w25
Member since 2005 • 781 Posts
i dont think it will win. but i dont think that is an awesome console with great games headin its way and its too bad alot of people wont be able to play these because of the price tag
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MorisUkunRasik

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#30 MorisUkunRasik
Member since 2006 • 1511 Posts
[QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

mastarifla

I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)

I will bring japan into this because its relevant you can't not count a large region because the 360 is doing horrible there

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NobuoMusicMaker

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#31 NobuoMusicMaker
Member since 2005 • 6628 Posts

I think it will come in second place, around 60~ units sold. Compared to 30~ for Xbox360 and 100+ for Nintendo Wii.Lilac_Benjie

100+ for the Wii in a year and a few months. Riiiiight :roll:

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mastarifla

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#32 mastarifla
Member since 2005 • 2448 Posts
[QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

MorisUkunRasik

I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)

I will bring japan into this because its relevant you can't not count a large region because the 360 is doing horrible there

Ok you brought it upon yourself ;) Japan Total Console Sales(current year) Wii- 2,030,031 PS3- 505,622 Xbox360 - 120,953 http://www.the-magicbox.com/topten.htm told'ja wii was destroying both of them... Sony had an established empire in Japan and to see it crumble only 400k above what Microsoft has to offer is horrible. Microsoft never had an established empire in Japan so it's not as bad.
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MorisUkunRasik

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#33 MorisUkunRasik
Member since 2006 • 1511 Posts
[QUOTE="MorisUkunRasik"][QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

mastarifla

I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)

I will bring japan into this because its relevant you can't not count a large region because the 360 is doing horrible there

Ok you brought it upon yourself ;) Japan Total Console Sales(current year) Wii- 2,030,031 PS3- 505,622 Xbox360 - 120,953 http://www.the-magicbox.com/topten.htm told'ja wii was destroying both of them... Sony had an established empire in Japan and to see it crumble only 400k above what Microsoft has to offer is horrible. Microsoft never had an established empire in Japan so it's not as bad.

saying MS doing bad in Japan is ok because its always done bad is not a good excuse and considering the 360 was out a full year before the PS3 was released having 5 times the sells in the region in about 8 months is impressive.

and I've gone on record saying the wii will destroy both the 360 and PS3 in sells, but the PS3 will definetly outsell the 360

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bigmouthkid

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#34 bigmouthkid
Member since 2006 • 3425 Posts
Why do most of you guys care anyway about which console is gonna win the war? Now I can understand if some of you guys work for the gaming companies but for those who don't what do you care for anyway? It's not like it's a real war with people shooting at each other.
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zero_snake99

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#35 zero_snake99
Member since 2004 • 3478 Posts
Idk whether to laugh or to cry. PS3 isn't doomed. I know you said "I didnt mean death" or w/e...but EVEN THOUGH 360 has a stronger (and more developed) fanbase, and Wii has its consoles sold like mad, doesn't mean PS3 is going to lose. Last I checked 2/3 ratio of my friends with a 360 aren't satisfied with their 360 and are really hoping that Halo 3 / Mass Effect, and other big name games will keep their 360 in use. I have 2 of those friends with an HD DVD and no longer use it at all because they have to rent their HD DVD's online and not from their local Blockbuster. Wii is fun at times, but has no games with decent replay value. After 30 mins of Wii Sports, "wii" just go online with the browser and watch people fall and hit their nuts on Youtube, then not touch the Wii for another week and a half. Honestly, Sony's efforts are promising, with the amount of servicies and features they are giving (for FREE) make up (no doubt in my mind) for the fact that they have a hefty price tag. None of my friends have had to send in their PS3's for hardware malfunctions, they have only had firmware bugs in which get patched within a week of their bug reports.

I can continue on with this list, but you DEFINITELY CANNOT judge who is going to win or lose yet.
It's like trying to call who will win an endurance race between 3 Africans (it was not meant to be racial, it is statisticlly proven that Africans have a high tolerance level on their muscle tissues, so be sure to read before you flag me as "innapropriate")
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mastarifla

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#36 mastarifla
Member since 2005 • 2448 Posts
[QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="MorisUkunRasik"][QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

MorisUkunRasik

I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)

I will bring japan into this because its relevant you can't not count a large region because the 360 is doing horrible there

Ok you brought it upon yourself ;) Japan Total Console Sales(current year) Wii- 2,030,031 PS3- 505,622 Xbox360 - 120,953 http://www.the-magicbox.com/topten.htm told'ja wii was destroying both of them... Sony had an established empire in Japan and to see it crumble only 400k above what Microsoft has to offer is horrible. Microsoft never had an established empire in Japan so it's not as bad.

saying MS doing bad in Japan is ok because its always done bad is not a good excuse and considering the 360 was out a full year before the PS3 was released having 5 times the sells in the region in about 8 months is impressive.

and I've gone on record saying the wii will destroy both the 360 and PS3 in sells, but the PS3 will definetly outsell the 360

I said the current years sales... so its only 120k this year, if you want total for the 360... your looking at about 450k consoles sold. So the 5x argument is kinda off. It is a good excuse because Sony was market leader in Japan in both era's of the Playstation (1&2) And for them to go to second place to Nintendo by such a huge margin, it IS a big upset (if you look at it that way)
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MorisUkunRasik

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#37 MorisUkunRasik
Member since 2006 • 1511 Posts
[QUOTE="MorisUkunRasik"][QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="MorisUkunRasik"][QUOTE="mastarifla"][QUOTE="Game13a13y"]

sorry to break your bubble, but PS 3 is selling almost about the same as Xbox 360 during its first 6 months of launch. and i'm not pulling this out of my a$$ :wink:

mastarifla

I'm sure thats false... I have never seen the 360 sell less than 150k for 3 months straight in the US. (Don't bring Japan into this, mainly because Nintendo is destroying both consoles there)

I will bring japan into this because its relevant you can't not count a large region because the 360 is doing horrible there

Ok you brought it upon yourself ;) Japan Total Console Sales(current year) Wii- 2,030,031 PS3- 505,622 Xbox360 - 120,953 http://www.the-magicbox.com/topten.htm told'ja wii was destroying both of them... Sony had an established empire in Japan and to see it crumble only 400k above what Microsoft has to offer is horrible. Microsoft never had an established empire in Japan so it's not as bad.

saying MS doing bad in Japan is ok because its always done bad is not a good excuse and considering the 360 was out a full year before the PS3 was released having 5 times the sells in the region in about 8 months is impressive.

and I've gone on record saying the wii will destroy both the 360 and PS3 in sells, but the PS3 will definetly outsell the 360

I said the current years sales... so its only 120k this year, if you want total for the 360... your looking at about 450k consoles sold. So the 5x argument is kinda off. It is a good excuse because Sony was market leader in Japan in both era's of the Playstation (1&2) And for them to go to second place to Nintendo by such a huge margin, it IS a big upset (if you look at it that way)

lets not spin it, if sony is going to lose japan is irrelevant to how bad the xbox did or how bad the 360 is doing

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mastarifla

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#38 mastarifla
Member since 2005 • 2448 Posts
The numbers given was for the current year, it even said it on the article... theres no spin on the numbers. To "Win" in Japan is to have the most consoles sold, therefore each console being sold is relevant to the problem. So, even if the 360 is doing terrible it is taking away potential PS3 customers in Japan. That didn't matter in the last 2 previous gens mainly because the install base was HUGE for Sony. It started to matter this gen because of what Nintendo has been able to do (Taken PS2 owners to next gen on the Wii bandwagon).
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mastarifla

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#40 mastarifla
Member since 2005 • 2448 Posts
[QUOTE="gamenux"]

"....and many won't pay over $200 no matter how good of "deal" it is."

Isn't the Wii and 360 also more than $200. Talk about self ownage. :)

AncientDozer

I wasn't going to say anything but you just "owned yourself" and I can't help but comment on that. First of all, you missed the guy's mention of price drops which is the whole point of him saying most people won't pay over $200. Because, you know, they wait for that to happen before buying. Secondly, he also said "many" as opposed to "most" which referred to the $300 price marker which the Wii IS below and the 360 semi-matches. Before price drops.

And what cracks me up about some of the counter posts is that you guys accuse the topic-maker of "looking into a crystal ball" (a failed attempt at wit and humor, I might add) when all of you guys keep saying "oh, look to the future in 2008 and beyond". Isn't reasonable to assume that you guys are also looking into that "crystal ball"? The PS3 lineup isn't infallible. What if, god forbid, Metal Gear fails? What if Killzone 2 can't deliver? What if Final Fantasy continues its alleged 'decline'?

What if the 360 lineup does excessively well? Or the same with the Wii. While the PS3 fails to live up to expectation? I don't know how the PS3 will win with its continued bad PR. The weak "price drop", loss of rumble, hypocrisy. They're STILL reeling from giant enemy crab and ridge racer. The whole black and white PSP debacle was pretty bad, too. And then that stupid church thing.

Okay, so we don't know the future. I don't know the PS3 will fail and I don't know its rivals will continue to surpass it. . but trends do tend to leave hints that allow for intelligent guesses. That's all I'm saying.

I hereby bestow upon you the Logic Ball! oh wait... you already have one :)
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#41 PapaGlide
Member since 2007 • 994 Posts
I think the Wii will start to slow down and people will understand they could be playing games with pretty graphics without looking like a total ediot. I own both the 360 and Ps3, my little brother who is 9 had a nintendo wii and sold it, The Ps3 will win in the future b/c Blu Ray is the future dont believe m My local stores are getting rid of the Hd Dvds and making blu ray dvds. Games on the Blu Ray discs are clearer also. But I could care less if they win cause the 360 is pretty sweet too cause of Halo 3, Rumble, and the online is more suited for playing with my friends than a ps3 but anyone of the consoles can win but its too early to tell now.
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#42 Korrigan777
Member since 2007 • 763 Posts

man some of you sheep are living in a dream.

what do you think will happen when the 360 gets a price cut, and the ps3 gets a proper price cut at christmas (this is most definitely going to happen, Reeves pretty much confirmed it)

when the ps3's RRP is $500 in Pal regions which is £249 (this is me assuming they don't whip outbring the rumoured 40 gig for £199 and completely devour europe) sales are going to explode.

i'llgo on record,quote this if you like the wii will lose this gen. American consumers are too hooked on halo and 360's hardcore library, if there's a price cut well use your imagination. Mgs and FF exclusive, alongside sony's HUGE a$$ library of first party (GT5)exclusives and acquisition ofpromising third party exclusives from renowned game makers(2 sega exclusives from shenmue creator) are the reason i think sony is going to easily take over by late 08 in terms of demand.

in addition to this in an interview Reeves basically said there's around 6-7 first party sony exclusives that are as promising as killzone coming out within the next 18 months. some of these COULD flop but thevolume of game development from sony themeslves is putting the competitors to shame. I don't want MS topull out of the console war cause that'd be negative in the long run for gamers.but they themselves need to do more then hope mgs4 jumps ship.

Sony's library of games last gen appealed to the japanese the europeans and NA.Their line-up now is set to follow their prior performance. Some deluded Lemmings think this holiday season will determine the victor of the console wars. No if microsoft do a price cut and release as many promising titles as sony in 08 and the subsequent years then they'll have a chance. Price cuts alone don't keep a system selling you need games.

Sales sony will return to the top spot by 09 if things continue the way they are and the price cuts happen around fall this year.

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mwa

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#43 mwa
Member since 2003 • 2639 Posts
well i thought PS3 had a chance with the price cut but the price cut for the 60GB version will last only until those units are sold out, then they're going back to $600 for the priciest model, so yeah, price point is still going to weigh down their sales
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Korrigan777

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#44 Korrigan777
Member since 2007 • 763 Posts

well i thought PS3 had a chance with the price cut but the price cut for the 60GB version will last only until those units are sold out, then they're going back to $600 for the priciest model, so yeah, price point is still going to weigh down their salesmwa


Mostly analysts are saying that when the 60 gig goes out of stock the 80 gig (which is cheaper to make) will go to $500.

sony NEED a $500 priced system out there. Couple this with strongs hints of a proper price cut around decemberish in PAL regions.

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Neal_Gore

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#46 Neal_Gore
Member since 2007 • 416 Posts
The PS3 is this gens Gamecube
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#47 piemister
Member since 2006 • 604 Posts

*ROFL

5 hours later *still on floor laffing

3 weeks later *stil laffing at the fanboy

WAIT A SEC hes like the 360 version of chad warden.