[QUOTE="Tylendal"]The success of a system snowballs. The more sales it gets, the more devs are drawn to it, so the more games it gets, which means it gets more sales, which means it gets more devs, which means it gets more games, which means it gets more sales, which means it gets more devs, which means it gets more games, which means it gets more sales, which means it gets more devs, which means it gets more games, which means it succeeds.dubvisions
This is correct, in theory. But look at the Wii and Xbox 1. Xbox 1 had less sales than PS2 and it was actually the better console. Wii is selling far beyond any competition but devs are still all about 360/PS3 and are making games Wii couldn;t handle.
So, I'm not sure if your theory holds strongly.
It's held strongly in every previous generation. The business of consoles is one of software platforms that are internally homogenous yet incompatible with competing platforms. So momentum is literally everything - and momentum that one platform attains becomes inertia for the others.
By the time Xbox or GameCube launched, PS2 had achieved unstoppable momentum. You say that "Xbox 1 had less sales than PS2 and it was actually the better console." You may have liked it better, and it may have been more powerful, but the rule of momentum held strongly for the Xbox. It was never anywhere near as popular or successful as the PS2.
To say that "devs are still all about 360/PS3" is to ignore current events. It is true that many high-profile projects were planned and initiated before the Wii demonstrated its greater momentum - and these projects aren't going anywhere - but the pace of new game announcements favors Wii.
The rule of momentum will hold strongly for the Wii, as well. This isn't a slight edge it's got - it's a brutal kicking. If you combine the regions we have timely data for (NA and Japan) Wii is outselling Xbox 360 and PS3 combined and doubled. It's on pace to take something on the order of 60% market share over the generation and unless something happens to change the trends this year, it certainly will.
Log in to comment