Just my opinion based on what I have seen happen before. Flame away if you wish.
It is unknown how many people will purchase it, but one thing seems to be sure is that over 50% will probably be people who already have the 360. This means there will be a surplus of used 360's out there. I will probably mean that new 360 premium sales and core sales may go down slightly until Mass Effect and some of the bigger titles come out. But it also means that the cheap games may benefit from better pricing on the used systems. Even though I never buy them I see many people (usually casuals) that do because of their price. Also 360 is starting to get more and more of the bargain games with it's platinum hits.
I have witnessed many people pick up an old PS2 for cheap when the slim version came out.
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