If my calculatons are correct.. PS3 will take over 360 WW by Dec this year

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Kennysolidsnake

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#1 Kennysolidsnake
Member since 2009 • 1068 Posts

Well ive been doing some reasearch. The last Media Create hardware sales for the first week in Jan has PS3 selling 68,000 consoles and the 360 only selling 4,000 consoles. So the PS3 is outselling the 360 by 240,000 consoles in Japan... In EU and PAL the PS3 is outselling the 360 by approx 300k consoles a month and here in the US a average of 65,000 consoles.

So to add that up you get 556,000 the PS3 is outselling the 360 by Worldwide on a monthly basis. So 556,000 X 11 months is 6,116,000 units over the 360, right now the 360 has a 5.6 million lead, so by Dec 2010 if my calculations are correct the PS3 will have oficially overtaken the 360 and be ahead by 516,000 consoles..

Again keep in mind im using hard numbers to back up my case. Now ofcourse i realize some months maybe higher or lower than others, but keep in mind this is a average i calculated.

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zarshack

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#2 zarshack
Member since 2009 • 9936 Posts

so you're gonna be a PS3 fanboy again by december?

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chikenfriedrice

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#3 chikenfriedrice
Member since 2006 • 13561 Posts

cool but what do you get out of it?

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Kennysolidsnake

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#4 Kennysolidsnake
Member since 2009 • 1068 Posts

so you're gonna be a PS3 fanboy again by december?

zarshack
Ive always been a PS3 fanboy, not denying that.. be it a PS3 fanboy that does also own a 360 and actually enjoys the 360 quite a bit, my heart always will be with PS though.
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Kennysolidsnake

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#5 Kennysolidsnake
Member since 2009 • 1068 Posts

cool but what do you get out of it?

chikenfriedrice
Well i dont mean to sound smug but frankly what i get out of it is the great feeling of being right and me along with other PS3 fans being vindicated and proven right that PS3 will eventually catch 360 as we have been saying for the last few years.
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zarshack

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#6 zarshack
Member since 2009 • 9936 Posts

[QUOTE="zarshack"]

so you're gonna be a PS3 fanboy again by december?

Kennysolidsnake

Ive always been a PS3 fanboy, not denying that.. be it a PS3 fanboy that does also own a 360 and actually enjoys the 360 quite a bit, my heart always will be with PS though.

I thought you switched to a 360 fanboy after the november NPD came out :S

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MonsieurX

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#7 MonsieurX
Member since 2008 • 39858 Posts
[QUOTE="zarshack"]

so you're gonna be a PS3 fanboy again by december?

Kennysolidsnake
Ive always been a PS3 fanboy, not denying that.. be it a PS3 fanboy that does also own a 360 and actually enjoys the 360 quite a bit, my heart always will be with PS though.

Lies.You've been a 360 fanboy when PS3 sold bad during november
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Espada12

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#8 Espada12
Member since 2008 • 23247 Posts

US a average of 65,000 consoles.

I thought the 360 outsold the PS3 for october and november.

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chikenfriedrice

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#9 chikenfriedrice
Member since 2006 • 13561 Posts

[QUOTE="chikenfriedrice"]

cool but what do you get out of it?

Kennysolidsnake

Well i dont mean to sound smug but frankly what i get out of it is the great feeling of being right and me along with other PS3 fans being vindicated and proven right that PS3 will eventually catch 360 as we have been saying for the last few years.

hey whatever makes u feel good can't knock it

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cainetao11

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#10 cainetao11
Member since 2006 • 38053 Posts
[QUOTE="zarshack"]

so you're gonna be a PS3 fanboy again by december?

Kennysolidsnake
Ive always been a PS3 fanboy, not denying that.. be it a PS3 fanboy that does also own a 360 and actually enjoys the 360 quite a bit, my heart always will be with PS though.

well.......
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micky4889

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#11 micky4889
Member since 2006 • 2668 Posts
Your calculations doesn't take into account the bump a console gets from games, and price drops.
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Kennysolidsnake

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#12 Kennysolidsnake
Member since 2009 • 1068 Posts

US a average of 65,000 consoles.

I thought the 360 outsold the PS3 for october and november.

Espada12
No it outsold the 360 in October by 90k cosoles i believe, Nov was the only month the 360 outsold the PS3 after the slim price cut
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johnnyblazed88

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#13 johnnyblazed88
Member since 2008 • 4240 Posts

PS3 still is a failure

360 took alot of its ground it gained with ps2

and Wii took its top spot

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EXLINK

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#14 EXLINK
Member since 2003 • 5719 Posts
There are too many variables that can affect the amount of console sales and sales usually are not consistent.
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darthogre

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#15 darthogre
Member since 2006 • 5082 Posts
Worldwide it's possible but who really cares at this point. It's pretty sad that Sony has to be hoping that by the end of the current gen they can take the 2nd spot lol. A far cry from what they were last gen. To me MS did one hell of a job stealing Sony's thunder this gen. Before any of you Wii fanboys jump in here claiming how wonderful Nintendo did.....yeah they have done well, but not for anyone wanting them to improve from last gen. Nintendo has increased their bank accout but has done NOTHING to increase their software library. Tell me what the difference is between this gen and last for Nintendo? Nintendo has the same 1st party title releases and HORRID 3rd party releases......what has changed aside from them selling consoles to more kids and Grandpa/Grandma.......the software they offer remains basically the same. On the other hand MS has increased it's hardware sales while increasing it's software library when compared to last gen. It has stolen all those exclusives and made them multiplats. To me the winner of this gen is MS and X360.
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LEGEND_C4A

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#16 LEGEND_C4A
Member since 2003 • 3186 Posts

Kennysolidsnake, may I ask your age? :question::D

just curiosity, not trying to start anything.

if not, I respectfully understand.

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skinny_man_69

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#17 skinny_man_69
Member since 2005 • 5147 Posts
There are too many variables that can affect the amount of console sales and sales usually are not consistent.EXLINK
This. No calculations you make can account for unannounced price drops, sudden sales spikes brought on by games and other factors of that nature. This is all speculative, but I am sure you will go wherever the sales are. Who needs games anyways :P
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Jamisonia

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#18 Jamisonia
Member since 2009 • 896 Posts

Kennysolidsnake, you're crazy man, just crazy.

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mythrol

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#19 mythrol
Member since 2005 • 5237 Posts

Well ive been doing some reasearch. The last Media Create hardware sales for the first week in Jan has PS3 selling 68,000 consoles and the 360 only selling 4,000 consoles. So the PS3 is outselling the 360 by 240,000 consoles in Japan... In EU and PAL the PS3 is outselling the 360 by approx 300k consoles a month and here in the US a average of 65,000 consoles.

So to add that up you get 556,000 the PS3 is outselling the 360 by Worldwide on a monthly basis. So 556,000 X 11 months is 6,116,000 units over the 360, right now the 360 has a 5.6 million lead, so by Dec 2010 if my calculations are correct the PS3 will have oficially overtaken the 360 and be ahead by 516,000 consoles..

Again keep in mind im using hard numbers to back up my case. Now ofcourse i realize some months maybe higher or lower than others, but keep in mind this is a average i calculated.

Kennysolidsnake
This entire theory is based off of one GIANT assumption: That Microsoft is going to sit back and do NOTHING. I can 100% GUARANTEE that the PS3 will not have caught up by Dec 2010. To think that Microsoft is going to see it's lead deplete continually by half a MILLION per month and sit back and allow it to happen is completely asinine. Microsoft has Halo Reach and Natal this year and saying as they really didn't do a price cut to counter the PS3's big drop (only offering bigger HDD's for the same price) I'm sure Microsoft could at any time do a price drop if they needed to. I'm not saying the PS3 NEVER catches up to the 360, but in no way will it surpass the 360 by Dec 2010 like you're saying. I will take ANY bet on this issue.
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gamecubepad

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#20 gamecubepad
Member since 2003 • 7214 Posts

Cows have been wrong about the PS3 since 2005. What's the difference this time around?

Also, can Sony really afford another price drop in 2010? If not, they won't come within 1 million units of the 360 in US sales.

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carlisledavid79

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#21 carlisledavid79
Member since 2006 • 10522 Posts

cool but what do you get out of it?

chikenfriedrice
Not the stock he bought anyway
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deactivated-61010a1ed19f4

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#22 deactivated-61010a1ed19f4
Member since 2007 • 3235 Posts
I think you cowculations are off. Everyone said this last year, but theres still at least a 7-8 million gap ? about the same as last year.
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LP4EVA2005

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#23 LP4EVA2005
Member since 2004 • 8585 Posts
well i hope your right
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deactivated-61010a1ed19f4

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#24 deactivated-61010a1ed19f4
Member since 2007 • 3235 Posts

And also, where are you getting these numbers from ?

During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EU

not only that, but the 360 beat the ps3 for 10 months of 2009 according to npd numbers.

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farnham

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#25 farnham
Member since 2003 • 21147 Posts

and when does the PS3 outsell the wii..?

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Ontain

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#26 Ontain
Member since 2005 • 25501 Posts
i thought the ps3 only outsold the 360 by 50k in the US last month? or are you referring only to the sales right after price drop?
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mythrol

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#27 mythrol
Member since 2005 • 5237 Posts
And also, where are you getting these numbers from ? During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EUscottiescott238
Can you hook me up with a link to this? I'm not doubting you, I just haven't seen anything on the issue and all cows are saying the PS3 is far outselling the 360 there. A link that says the opposite would be great.
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racing1750

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#28 racing1750
Member since 2010 • 14567 Posts
I don't see the excitement of the PS3 taking 2nd place, maybe it's because sales don't matter to me.. games do!
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#29 coasterguy65
Member since 2005 • 7133 Posts

I think you cowculations are off. Everyone said this last year, but theres still at least a 7-8 million gap ? about the same as last year.scottiescott238

Man that is awesome...I can't believe it never occured to me....cowculations...that's what they are.....great stuff... :D You get post of the day in my opinion..

Take something that has happend for one month in one region...factor that the exact same thing will happen for the other 11 months of the year over all the regions...cowculations....hmmmm

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deactivated-61010a1ed19f4

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#30 deactivated-61010a1ed19f4
Member since 2007 • 3235 Posts

[QUOTE="scottiescott238"]And also, where are you getting these numbers from ?During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EUmythrol
Can you hook me up with a link to this? I'm not doubting you, I just haven't seen anything on the issue and all cows are saying the PS3 is far outselling the 360 there. A link that says the opposite would be great.

You know what, I have no link, I work in a games shop, and we probably sold about 50 / 50 over december.

But when places like argos are selling arcades with forza 3, lips and scene it for 100 quid.

and when game were doing an elite with forza 3 and modern warfare 2 for free.its no suprise

Sony had no bundles or deals, the most I seen was with one free game. I had to plead with people to buy the uncharted 2 bundle, as they didnt know what it was,ps3 owners in the uk only buy cod and fifa.

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moose_knuckler

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#31 moose_knuckler
Member since 2007 • 5722 Posts
That 556,000 you just pulled out was for the month of December. Wait until next month's charts and you'll it's evening drastically from that so no PS3 will not be beating 360 by this December.
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h575309

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#32 h575309
Member since 2005 • 8551 Posts

I think TC is on to something here. I mean MAG comes out in only a few days, and everyone and their mother will be getting a PS3 for that game, so in actuality the PS3 could catch up to the 360 this month **crosses fingers**

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VoodooHak

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#33 VoodooHak
Member since 2002 • 15989 Posts

Sources for EU numbers please.

Also, based on 2009, hasn't the 360 been outselling the PS3?

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deactivated-5dd711115e664

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#34 deactivated-5dd711115e664
Member since 2005 • 8956 Posts

This entire theory is based off of one GIANT assumption: That Microsoft is going to sit back and do NOTHING. I can 100% GUARANTEE that the PS3 will not have caught up by Dec 2010. To think that Microsoft is going to see it's lead deplete continually by half a MILLION per month and sit back and allow it to happen is completely asinine. Microsoft has Halo Reach and Natal this year and saying as they really didn't do a price cut to counter the PS3's big drop (only offering bigger HDD's for the same price) I'm sure Microsoft could at any time do a price drop if they needed to. I'm not saying the PS3 NEVER catches up to the 360, but in no way will it surpass the 360 by Dec 2010 like you're saying. I will take ANY bet on this issue.mythrol

I would counter by saying your defense of MS is based on one giant assumption: That there is anything more that MS can do.

Keep in mind that they launched a year earlier than the PS3, and $200 cheaper. Despite having a larger game library right now, and a sku even cheaper than the Wii...they STILL have not been able to increase their total lead beyond what they sold during that first year with ZERO competition. Price drops and exclusives have kept them ahead, but it has never helped them catch up. Hell, even when PS3 had their first official price drop last year, they were STILL more money than the 360 and managed to outsell it for roughly half the year.

Meanwhile, Sony has caught up in basic price, has released some great exclusive titles, and is supposedly outselling the 360 in Japan, EU (not just UK which 360 wins). Further, this December, the biggest month for consoles, the PS3 beat the 360 for the first time. the PS3 had its best month yet while the 360 saw a sharp decline...even INCLUDING the basic sku that is like $199. This seems to say that interest in the 360 is holding steady at best, and possibly starting to decilne at worst. Meanwhile, interest in the PS3 seems to be increasing as Sony's saleshave risen world wide this past year.

So what does that say? What more can MS possibly do other than more of the same, which hasn't really HELPED them do anything other than tread water?

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micky4889

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#35 micky4889
Member since 2006 • 2668 Posts

[QUOTE="mythrol"][QUOTE="scottiescott238"]And also, where are you getting these numbers from ?During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EUscottiescott238

Can you hook me up with a link to this? I'm not doubting you, I just haven't seen anything on the issue and all cows are saying the PS3 is far outselling the 360 there. A link that says the opposite would be great.

You know what, I have no link, I work in a games shop, and we probably sold about 50 / 50 over december.

But when places like argos are selling arcades with forza 3, lips and scene it for 100 quid.

and when game were doing an elite with forza 3 and modern warfare 2 for free.its no suprise

Sony had no bundles or deals, the most I seen was with one free game. I had to plead with people to buy the uncharted 2 bundle, as they didnt know what it was,ps3 owners in the uk only buy cod and fifa.

Let me get this straight, you said and i quote "During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EU"

When asked for a link, you say you have none, and your basis for the above assumptionis that you work at a single outlet in the UK (A place we already knew the 360 was outselling the PS3) and therefore the trends that happen at your shop dictates what is happening in the rest of the UK, along with the 49 other countries that make up the EU?

Ok then.....

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Boomshaffted

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#36 Boomshaffted
Member since 2009 • 721 Posts
Didn't the 360 outsell the PS3 just last month according to NDP? If so, why are you assuming a 65k lead in the US based on a sample size of one when there are many more items which, if I'm not mistaken, have the 360 getting a net gain on the PS3 over the course of the entire year? And what's more, where are your European numbers coming from?
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deactivated-61010a1ed19f4

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#37 deactivated-61010a1ed19f4
Member since 2007 • 3235 Posts

I said, they were selling about the same at my shop. But what do you think is going to sell more £100 arcade with forza 3, lips and scene it or a 250 quid ps3 with one game bundled ?

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Tripleseed

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#38 Tripleseed
Member since 2009 • 411 Posts

Worldwide it's possible but who really cares at this point. It's pretty sad that Sony has to be hoping that by the end of the current gen they can take the 2nd spot lol. A far cry from what they were last gen. To me MS did one hell of a job stealing Sony's thunder this gen. Before any of you Wii fanboys jump in here claiming how wonderful Nintendo did.....yeah they have done well, but not for anyone wanting them to improve from last gen. Nintendo has increased their bank accout but has done NOTHING to increase their software library. Tell me what the difference is between this gen and last for Nintendo? Nintendo has the same 1st party title releases and HORRID 3rd party releases......what has changed aside from them selling consoles to more kids and Grandpa/Grandma.......the software they offer remains basically the same. On the other hand MS has increased it's hardware sales while increasing it's software library when compared to last gen. It has stolen all those exclusives and made them multiplats. To me the winner of this gen is MS and X360. darthogre

What this guy said...Arguing over who wins 2nd place seems kind of pointless, doesn't it? It is kind of sad that some people actually care though.

I think TC is on to something here. I mean MAG comes out in only a few days, and everyone and their mother will be getting a PS3 for that game, so in actuality the PS3 could catch up to the 360 this month **crosses fingers**h575309

Haha, I'm sorry, but are you being modest? I simply cannot tell. Maybe you should try the beta. It really is not anything special.

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carlisledavid79

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#39 carlisledavid79
Member since 2006 • 10522 Posts

I said, they were selling about the same at my shop. But what do you think is going to sell more £100 arcade with forza 3, lips and scene it or a 250 quid ps3 with one game bundled ?

scottiescott238
The Arcade is not £100
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micky4889

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#40 micky4889
Member since 2006 • 2668 Posts

I said, they were selling about the same at my shop. But what do you think is going to sell more £100 arcade with forza 3, lips and scene it or a 250 quid ps3 with one game bundled ?

scottiescott238

Well going by Chart track and GFK, the PS3 is about even or past the 360 in Europe. And since the 360 came out nearly a year and a half before the PS3, it's pretty easy to see who has been outselling who.

So i guess the "250 quid ps3 with one game bundled"

Link 1, Link 2.

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OhSnapitz

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#41 OhSnapitz
Member since 2002 • 19282 Posts

[QUOTE="scottiescott238"]

[QUOTE="mythrol"] Can you hook me up with a link to this? I'm not doubting you, I just haven't seen anything on the issue and all cows are saying the PS3 is far outselling the 360 there. A link that says the opposite would be great.micky4889

You know what, I have no link, I work in a games shop, and we probably sold about 50 / 50 over december.

But when places like argos are selling arcades with forza 3, lips and scene it for 100 quid.

and when game were doing an elite with forza 3 and modern warfare 2 for free.its no suprise

Sony had no bundles or deals, the most I seen was with one free game. I had to plead with people to buy the uncharted 2 bundle, as they didnt know what it was,ps3 owners in the uk only buy cod and fifa.

Let me get this straight, you said and i quote "During december the 360 smashed the ps3 in terms of sales in EU"

When asked for a link, you say you have none, and your basis for the above assumptionis that you work at a single outlet in the UK (A place we already knew the 360 was outselling the PS3) and therefore the trends that happen at your shop dictates what is happening in the rest of the UK, along with the 49 other countries that make up the EU?

Ok then.....

And yet you don't seem to have a problem with the TC pulling EU/PAL region numbers out of his rear end.. :|:lol:
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jakarai

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#42 jakarai
Member since 2008 • 4289 Posts
I doubt it. Microsoft is going to drop Xbox 360s price again within the next 6 months in Europe and then again before the holidays in USA. PS3 will close the lead though but it won't overtake Xbox 360 this year. I think 2011 is when that will happen or it may not even be until 2012.
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Tessellation

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#43 Tessellation
Member since 2009 • 9297 Posts
System wars is full of comedians these days..
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deactivated-61010a1ed19f4

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#44 deactivated-61010a1ed19f4
Member since 2007 • 3235 Posts
[QUOTE="carlisledavid79"][QUOTE="scottiescott238"]

I said, they were selling about the same at my shop. But what do you think is going to sell more £100 arcade with forza 3, lips and scene it or a 250 quid ps3 with one game bundled ?

The Arcade is not £100

It was for a week in december at argos
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Dark_man123

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#46 Dark_man123
Member since 2005 • 4012 Posts

Worldwide it's possible but who really cares at this point. It's pretty sad that Sony has to be hoping that by the end of the current gen they can take the 2nd spot lol. A far cry from what they were last gen. To me MS did one hell of a job stealing Sony's thunder this gen. Before any of you Wii fanboys jump in here claiming how wonderful Nintendo did.....yeah they have done well, but not for anyone wanting them to improve from last gen. Nintendo has increased their bank accout but has done NOTHING to increase their software library. Tell me what the difference is between this gen and last for Nintendo? Nintendo has the same 1st party title releases and HORRID 3rd party releases......what has changed aside from them selling consoles to more kids and Grandpa/Grandma.......the software they offer remains basically the same. On the other hand MS has increased it's hardware sales while increasing it's software library when compared to last gen. It has stolen all those exclusives and made them multiplats. To me the winner of this gen is MS and X360. darthogre

Iagree with this poster, all theconsoles are winners in their own right but microsoft gain a lot of momentum this gen compare to their original console.

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shaggygrosser

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#47 shaggygrosser
Member since 2003 • 5871 Posts
that's some fuzzy math.
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dsmccracken

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#48 dsmccracken
Member since 2003 • 7307 Posts
TC, for your "calculations" to be correct, one must assume that nothing occurs (game releases, price drops, etc.) to alter the landscape, that the conditions that fostered the numbers you averaged remain static permanently. That is impossible.
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MassMayham57_

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#49 MassMayham57_
Member since 2009 • 465 Posts

Congratz? :roll:

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#50 reggy72
Member since 2008 • 145 Posts

[QUOTE="scottiescott238"]

I said, they were selling about the same at my shop. But what do you think is going to sell more £100 arcade with forza 3, lips and scene it or a 250 quid ps3 with one game bundled ?

micky4889

Well going by Chart track and GFK, the PS3 is about even or past the 360 in Europe. And since the 360 came out nearly a year and a half before the PS3, it's pretty easy to see who has been outselling who.

So i guess the "250 quid ps3 with one game bundled"

Link 1, Link 2.

I think your going by sony's PAL region figures which also included Austrialia/New Zealand and large parts of Asia, whereas Microsofts PALfigures are pretty much based on western Europe