[QUOTE="mythrol"]This entire theory is based off of one GIANT assumption: That Microsoft is going to sit back and do NOTHING. I can 100% GUARANTEE that the PS3 will not have caught up by Dec 2010. To think that Microsoft is going to see it's lead deplete continually by half a MILLION per month and sit back and allow it to happen is completely asinine. Microsoft has Halo Reach and Natal this year and saying as they really didn't do a price cut to counter the PS3's big drop (only offering bigger HDD's for the same price) I'm sure Microsoft could at any time do a price drop if they needed to. I'm not saying the PS3 NEVER catches up to the 360, but in no way will it surpass the 360 by Dec 2010 like you're saying. I will take ANY bet on this issue.ZIMdoom
I would counter by saying your defense of MS is based on one giant assumption: That there is anything more that MS can do.
Keep in mind that they launched a year earlier than the PS3, and $200 cheaper. Despite having a larger game library right now, and a sku even cheaper than the Wii...they STILL have not been able to increase their total lead beyond what they sold during that first year with ZERO competition. Price drops and exclusives have kept them ahead, but it has never helped them catch up. Hell, even when PS3 had their first official price drop last year, they were STILL more money than the 360 and managed to outsell it for roughly half the year.
Meanwhile, Sony has caught up in basic price, has released some great exclusive titles, and is supposedly outselling the 360 in Japan, EU (not just UK which 360 wins). Further, this December, the biggest month for consoles, the PS3 beat the 360 for the first time. the PS3 had its best month yet while the 360 saw a sharp decline...even INCLUDING the basic sku that is like $199. This seems to say that interest in the 360 is holding steady at best, and possibly starting to decilne at worst. Meanwhile, interest in the PS3 seems to be increasing as Sony's saleshave risen world wide this past year.
So what does that say? What more can MS possibly do other than more of the same, which hasn't really HELPED them do anything other than tread water?
I've already addressed this in my first post. Microsoft has Halo Reach releasing this year + Natal which will attract an ENTIRELY NEW AUDIENCE (not more of the same like you suggest) and they still haven't had a price cut to counter the PS3's price drop. Also you're completely wrong about "more of the same" not having an effect on sales. It was only after Sony did not one, but TWO price cuts that they were finally able to outsell the 360 in NA. By your logic after the first price cut didn't put them ahead of Microsoft they should of just given up. Which is just asinine. I promise you if Microsoft were to start selling the elite for $199 there'd be a huge spike in sales. As I've stated, I'll take ANY bet that Sony won't surpass Microsoft BY December 2010. You know the saying: Put up, or shut up.
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