They might even surpass Nintendo........nah, maybe not, but:
-GTA 4 with exclusive content in the 1st quarter of 2008.
-Ninja Gaiden 2, Alan Wake, Banjoo, Perfect Dark 2, Lost Odyssey, Fable 2, Splinter Cell: Conviction, Too Human, Halo Wars all scheduled for 2008.
-A possible 2nd price drop later on it 2008.
-A X360 with a built-in HD-DVD player and TIVO like features.
-Gears of War 2 rumored to be released for Xmas 2008according toEGMs mole.
Sony better bring their A game....or should I say AAA games.
Dr_Drooom
-Nothing is going to surpass Nintendo, unless they just stop making games completely. Its too affordable and too accessible.
-GTA 4 is not exclusive, quit using it as any sort of ownage. Any downloadable content will have some sort of counterpart on the PS3 anyway.
-Here is the problem with that list of games: Half of them are new IPs. New IPs cannot be used as any sort of ownage because the PS3 and the Wii have new IPs coming out as well. You can argue which IPs look better back and forth all day, all you are doing is arguing about screenshots, trailers, and gameplay vids. No matter how good a game looks, it can still flop in both scores and sales (look at Lair, HS, Blue Dragon, Two Worlds, etc.).
-NG2: will probably be a great game
-Alan Wake: Why do you think this game is coming out in 08? You know it has no release date, right? You know there hasn't been any sort of update for it in over a year, right? No new screenshots, videos, notes, nothing.
-PDZ 2: whether or not you think the original PDZ on 360 was good or not, everyone knows that its sequel will have to do some amazing things to separate it from the flood of FPS games coming to consoles, especially on the 360. And again, where is there any sort of evidence that this game is coming out in 08?
-Fable 2: I hope its amazing
-Splinter Cell Conviction: This game will be completely overshadowed by MGS4, especially if it releases at around the same time (and they are both slated for Q1 release at the moment). It will probably sell decently, but expect most of its sales to come from fans of the series who already own a 360. Not to many people are going to choose this and a 360 over MGS4 and the PS3.
-Halo Wars: Its a CONSOLE RTS. I'll say that again CONSOLE RTS. These traditionally do not work. This game will have to do something to convince people that its not simply a Command & Conquer Clone set in the Halo Universe. Again, it will probably sell decently, but that will be because of Halo fans who already own a 360.
-I don't see the premium 360 selling for anything less than 300 dollars anytime soon. I don't have anything to base this off of, its just an opinion. But selling the 360 for 200 or 250 dollars, this early? Thats madness, especially when you consider how many consumers have yet to buy a next-gen console (more on that later).
-360 with built in HD-DVD. Don't forget one thing: games will still not be made using the HD-DVD and the benefits that go with it. Since the HD-DVD is not the standard format for the 360 (and won't become it), its use will be limited to what it is now. And why anyone would want to put an HD-DVD drive, and the components that go with it, inside a console that already has heating issues, is beyond me.
I think you mentioned Xbox Live updates and new features in a later post. If you honestly think improved online service will make a difference, I remind you that the PS3 is getting Home next year...for free. Personally, I think Home is nothing special, but since you brought up the online, I'll bring up Home.
Now then, back to the issue of consumers who have not bought a next-gen console yet.
1. Last gen there were between 160 and 200 consoles sold, between the xbox, the ps2, and the gamecube. 200 is a pretty high estimate, but you get the point, its a significant number regardless.
2. The gaming industry is growing. This is understood and accepted as fact.
3. So far this gen, there have been somewhere between 30 and 40 million next-gen consoles sold (wii, ps3, 360). Compare that to consoles sold last-gen and you have a difference of at least 120 million. That means that at least 120 million more consoles will be sold this generation.
The distribution of how many sales go to each console is dependent on several things (price, game selection, features, etc.). This is why nobody can already claim that at this point in time that one console has already won this gen.
Also don't forget the number of PS2 owners. For the most part, I'm guessing the consumers who bought that system were satisfied with it. I'm also guessing that the two main reasons why they haven't moved on to the ps3 is because of 1) the price and 2) the games. Both of those issues should be non-existent next year. Factor this in with the combined support of blu-ray, free online, and non-faulty hardware and you have quite a nice little product.
Since you felt the need to list games, I will do the same. This is where the PS3 succeeds in the upcoming year(s). Again, we can argue in circles conerning new IPs all day. However, the PS3 has the edge when it comes to having their standby franchises releasing installments next year. The names get mentioned a lot:
MGS4
GT5
FFXIII - 09? Who knows
SOCOM: CONFRONTATION or SOCOM 4
TEKKEN 6
In most cases, those games are the most popular ones in their respective genres, for the past gen or two anyway. Those are games that people buy systems for. The 360 does not have comparable games to counter those next year. Yes, yes it has NG2, Fable 2, SC:C, and Banjo 3. But those games are not on the same level or in the same genre.
When it comes to fighting the 360 has DoA. And its getting a port of the rushed VF5 (what the developers of that game have been doing since the near perfect VF4 in 2002 is beyond me). In fact, the multi-plat Soul Calibur will probably be better than either of those games. Meanwhile, PS3 is getting Tekken 6. The developers screwed up Tekken 4, but have since figured out 3D and returned to form with Tekken 5. The fact that they are bringing back pretty much every fighter in the history of the series (No Dr. Bosco, but 40 playable characters) doesn't hurt either.
"Stealth" games? MGS4 screams next-gen. Read about this game and it just gets more impressive. Conviction looks like another installment in the series. SC already made its debut this gen and it was nothing special. Its a good thing the developers took a year off to work on the game (normally only take a year between releases), however putting it up against MGS4 is not smart.
Racing games? PGR4 released with a whimper. Forza has come and gone. How people are still comparing either of those games to the next GT is beyond me. I'm not talking about GT online demo or GT Prologue, I'm talking about Gran Turismo 5. As usual, PD is doing unprecedented things with the series. 900 cars? The deal with Top Gear? GTFO.
Socom? This series was extremely successful last gen (it was the most popular online game for the PS2). And that was with the PS2's crappy internet adapter and online service. PS2 owners are still playing SOCOM 2 online. This game will thrive on the PS3 with its free, and integrated, online.
FFXIII. SE could crap in a box, label it Final Fantasy, and it would sell. MS better keep trying when it comes to countering this game. Blue Dragon? Back to the drawing board. The last one sold over 3.5 million copies, despite the fact that it released at the end of the PS2's lifespan. Oh, and the developers also radically changed the familar battle system that was the staple of the franchise as well.
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