Is the PS Vita a confirmed failure in Japan without Monster Hunter?

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FFKi11er

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#51 FFKi11er
Member since 2005 • 820 Posts
I think Sony is going after a different market this time with the vita. Sony now has an opportunity to give an console experience to an handheld market and on top of that bring what they did on the go back home or to there friends house via cloud save through the psn. Not only that what if my friend wanted to play a quick game of tekken vs street fighter when he was at work and I was home this will open up so many opertunitys for gamers to connect with each other with out being restricted to there home console and if you where what's stoping you from playing with someone on a vita. Japan loves there handheld and here social networking and as of now the vita seems like a win win for them. All we can do is wait and see. Also keep in mind if nintendo wasn't feeling the heat from Sony they would of never tried to secure MH, drop the price, and start adding attachments.
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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#52 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

[QUOTE="charizard1605"][QUOTE="r12qi"]

also having 300.000 seller of firts three month is good for a system more over we will have MGS&ZOE collection, FFx so far. pretty sure we will have better annoucement after vita is released just like 3DS :P

r12qi

Yes, I am holding out for more announcements around January myself :) However, again, MGS and ZOE collections, along with FFX HD, are all games that are PORTS, and can be played on the PS3. There would be no incentive to get them on the Vita. I am hoping for the announcement of an original game from Sony sometime soon. Maybe they should try to make their own Pokemon/Smash Bros killer, exclusive to the Vita, moreover.

fun fact MH originally a port :P

in japan handheld version tend to have better sell than console counter part. both of them will have nice +100.000 sales. i am predicting that ZOE MGSwill be first 5 month which make it Vita easily grab-ed 1-2 m sales. rumored that ffx will remake usng ff13 engine which give them solid 500.000 sales.

also no need paniking about psp loss franchise. miku which annouced for 3ds also rumored to have another one for vita

http://andriasang.com/comyfp/

also considering third party tend to have better relationship with sony. i am sure they will cover it

I know, it was supposed to be a low budget port, and then it exploded :P I honestly think that ZoE and MGS collections might sell 200,000-300,000 on the Vita, but both won't come anywhere near crossing a million. Especially since even Peace Walker, an original MGS game exclusive to the PSP, could not cross the million line. The FFX remake might sell quite a bit. 500,000 sales seems like a right estimate there. And the thing with Miku is, yes it's getting a Vita game... however, I am wondering, will the Vita have exclusive system selling franchises? I hope it does, I am counting on Sony to spin one out soon. As for third party relations, Iwata might have started money hatting developers and publishers- he hinted back in July that he would do it if it is necessary.
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r12qi

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#53 r12qi
Member since 2010 • 1018 Posts

[QUOTE="r12qi"]

[QUOTE="charizard1605"] Yes, I am holding out for more announcements around January myself :) However, again, MGS and ZOE collections, along with FFX HD, are all games that are PORTS, and can be played on the PS3. There would be no incentive to get them on the Vita. I am hoping for the announcement of an original game from Sony sometime soon. Maybe they should try to make their own Pokemon/Smash Bros killer, exclusive to the Vita, moreover.charizard1605

fun fact MH originally a port :P

in japan handheld version tend to have better sell than console counter part. both of them will have nice +100.000 sales. i am predicting that ZOE MGSwill be first 5 month which make it Vita easily grab-ed 1-2 m sales. rumored that ffx will remake usng ff13 engine which give them solid 500.000 sales.

also no need paniking about psp loss franchise. miku which annouced for 3ds also rumored to have another one for vita

http://andriasang.com/comyfp/

also considering third party tend to have better relationship with sony. i am sure they will cover it

I know, it was supposed to be a low budget port, and then it exploded :P I honestly think that ZoE and MGS collections might sell 200,000-300,000 on the Vita, but both won't come anywhere near crossing a million. Especially since even Peace Walker, an original MGS game exclusive to the PSP, could not cross the million line. The FFX remake might sell quite a bit. 500,000 sales seems like a right estimate there. And the thing with Miku is, yes it's getting a Vita game... however, I am wondering, will the Vita have exclusive system selling franchises? I hope it does, I am counting on Sony to spin one out soon. As for third party relations, Iwata might have started money hatting developers and publishers- he hinted back in July that he would do it if it is necessary.

and those are in 1 year(except maybe for ffx) and we are not talking about non annouced game (IIRC it seem one of gaf acidentally leaked that Lost planet and RE is coming to vita) . you see the future is not so dark :D

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#54 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

[QUOTE="charizard1605"][QUOTE="r12qi"]

fun fact MH originally a port :P

in japan handheld version tend to have better sell than console counter part. both of them will have nice +100.000 sales. i am predicting that ZOE MGSwill be first 5 month which make it Vita easily grab-ed 1-2 m sales. rumored that ffx will remake usng ff13 engine which give them solid 500.000 sales.

also no need paniking about psp loss franchise. miku which annouced for 3ds also rumored to have another one for vita

http://andriasang.com/comyfp/

also considering third party tend to have better relationship with sony. i am sure they will cover it

r12qi

I know, it was supposed to be a low budget port, and then it exploded :P I honestly think that ZoE and MGS collections might sell 200,000-300,000 on the Vita, but both won't come anywhere near crossing a million. Especially since even Peace Walker, an original MGS game exclusive to the PSP, could not cross the million line. The FFX remake might sell quite a bit. 500,000 sales seems like a right estimate there. And the thing with Miku is, yes it's getting a Vita game... however, I am wondering, will the Vita have exclusive system selling franchises? I hope it does, I am counting on Sony to spin one out soon. As for third party relations, Iwata might have started money hatting developers and publishers- he hinted back in July that he would do it if it is necessary.

and those are in 1 year(except maybe for ffx) and we are not talking about non annouced game (IIRC it seem one of gaf acidentally leaked that Lost planet and RE is coming to vita) . you see the future is not so dark :D

Yeah, it's not dark. It's just, it's not as bright as it would have been had MH been exclusive to 3DS. As of right now, the upcoming lineup for the 3DS beats the PS Vita's upcoming lineup squarely. To be fair to the Vita though, the 3DS has been out in the market for nearly a year now, and the Vita is only just releasing in its first market. Hopefully, it will get better ORIGINAL games (not Lost Planet and the like!) soon enough.
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shinrabanshou

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#55 shinrabanshou
Member since 2009 • 8458 Posts

That was basically what I thought as well. I wonder if the Vita can find a new system selling IP, and if it does, when it will show up. I also wonder if it will be first party or third party. For Sony's sake, I would hope it is first party, that will give them one assured system seller every generation, like Nintendo and Pokemon.charizard1605
Sony's western first party are largely historically been focused on the PS3, although with Shuhei Yoshida there may be a shift. I think Media Molecule are working on a Vita game.

Meanwhile, SCEJ tends to bring out smaller niche titles like Patapon.

See, historically, handhelds have had their big name franchises independent from console franchises Dragon Quest and Mario being the only exceptions). The PS Vita needs a new handheld exclusive system selling franchise, like Pokemon or Monster Hunter, only made by Sony so that exclusivity can NEVER be lost.

charizard1605

I don't think there's any delineation between franchises being only for handheld or for both handheld and home console in terms of system seller status or pushing bigger numbers. Final Fantasy, Metal Gear, Kingdom Hearts and other big brands will push software and hardware. Animal Crossing is one of the best selling games on the NDS.

You forgot another exception - the topic of this thread.

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phantomblade220

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#56 phantomblade220
Member since 2010 • 958 Posts

Off topic but @charizard...did the guy in your sig actually mean that or was just joking?

And on topic; I think the Vita is going to sell really well inJapan at first for sure. Its the new piece of tech and hardcore PSP fans will pick up a Vita day 1. But after the first couple months, things are up in the air. Square is bound to make a Final Fantasy/Kingdom Hearts title for the Vita. An MGS will be made for the Vita. But while they all sold really well on PSP, none of them had the same impact as Monster Hunter.

Which makes me wonder how Lord of Apocalyse will do. I know Lord of Arcana was a terrible game, but its what people in Japan love right? If Square learned from their mistakes, make a much better game, and market it right, it might be a million seller. And also God Eater is still a Playstation handheld exclusive. Thats pretty big in Japan to.

Also whenever you look at these Japan weekly sales charts the top 20 is filled with PSP titles. So while the 3DS is the best selling hardware recently, software still belongs to the PSP. All those games will eventually get sequels on Vita to I'm supposing. So that should help to.

Basically the Vita will do well for a while solely because how popular the PSP is. It def will not fail. But at the same time, Nintendo swooping up MH makes it highly unlikely that the Vita will overtake the 3DS in sales.

Those white 3DS's are going to sell like crazy....

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LegatoSkyheart

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#57 LegatoSkyheart
Member since 2009 • 29733 Posts

Those Collector's Editions....they make me want to import.

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Enforcedspot

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#58 Enforcedspot
Member since 2010 • 2915 Posts
sorry that i'm going off topic here: but man i really want that monster hunter 3G 3DS bundle. looks awesome
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campzor

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#59 campzor
Member since 2004 • 34932 Posts
psps sold in japan - monster hunters sold in japan = ??? You tell me if the answer is a good number or not and there you go
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#60 Crystal-Rush
Member since 2005 • 2274 Posts

Not to mention the 3DS is also getting monster hunter 4 (entirely new sequel). So the 3ds gets 2 monster hunter games in a market where the Japanese go nuts for games like these. I think it's safe to presume the Vita is doomed before it even started, though that could change depending on what games the Vita gets.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#61 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts
[QUOTE="campzor"]psps sold in japan - monster hunters sold in japan = ??? You tell me if the answer is a good number or not and there you go

7 million roughly would be the answer. Not very impressive now, is it?

Off topic but @charizard...did the guy in your sig actually mean that or was just joking?

phantomblade220
The sad part is that he was probably being serious.

Sony's western first party are largely historically been focused on the PS3, although with Shuhei Yoshida there may be a shift. I think Media Molecule are working on a Vita game.

Meanwhile, SCEJ tends to bring out smaller niche titles like Patapon.

I don't think there's any delineation between franchises being only for handheld or for both handheld and home console in terms of system seller status or pushing bigger numbers. Final Fantasy, Metal Gear, Kingdom Hearts and other big brands will push software and hardware. Animal Crossing is one of the best selling games on the NDS.

You forgot another exception - the topic of this thread.

shinrabanshou
There isn't, except let's see. How many people would buy a handheld for God of War? Gran Turismo? Killzone? And how many would buy a handheld for Monster Hunter? Pokemon? Dragon Quest? As for Monster Hunter, it may have started as a console franchise, but it only found success on the handhelds- even once Monster Hunter mania had fully hit, Monster Hunter Tri on the Wii never sold quite as much, and in fact failed to meet Capcom's projections. What I am trying to say is that most of the times, a franchise either sells well on a handheld or on a console- you won't buy a console for Professor Layton or Pokemon, and you won't buy a handheld for Gran Turismo. Very few franchises- Dragon Quest, Final Fantasy, and quite a few Nintendo franchises- are able to straddle the divide between handheld and console.
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shinrabanshou

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#62 shinrabanshou
Member since 2009 • 8458 Posts

There isn't, except let's see. How many people would buy a handheld for God of War? Gran Turismo? Killzone? And how many would buy a handheld for Monster Hunter? Pokemon? Dragon Quest? As for Monster Hunter, it may have started as a console franchise, but it only found success on the handhelds- even once Monster Hunter mania had fully hit, Monster Hunter Tri on the Wii never sold quite as much, and in fact failed to meet Capcom's projections. What I am trying to say is that most of the times, a franchise either sells well on a handheld or on a console- you won't buy a console for Professor Layton or Pokemon, and you won't buy a handheld for Gran Turismo. Very few franchises- Dragon Quest, Final Fantasy, and quite a few Nintendo franchises- are able to straddle the divide between handheld and console.charizard1605
Of your three listed examples two of them didn't originate on handhelds, did they? Although they found success there.

I thought your point was that a console IP can't migrate onto a handheld and become a system seller, but I may have misunderstood.

(I generally don't buy a console for any one game, myself.)

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jadjei

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#63 jadjei
Member since 2011 • 379 Posts

[QUOTE="charizard1605"]There isn't, except let's see. How many people would buy a handheld for God of War? Gran Turismo? Killzone? And how many would buy a handheld for Monster Hunter? Pokemon? Dragon Quest? As for Monster Hunter, it may have started as a console franchise, but it only found success on the handhelds- even once Monster Hunter mania had fully hit, Monster Hunter Tri on the Wii never sold quite as much, and in fact failed to meet Capcom's projections. What I am trying to say is that most of the times, a franchise either sells well on a handheld or on a console- you won't buy a console for Professor Layton or Pokemon, and you won't buy a handheld for Gran Turismo. Very few franchises- Dragon Quest, Final Fantasy, and quite a few Nintendo franchises- are able to straddle the divide between handheld and console.shinrabanshou

Of your three listed examples two of them didn't originate on handhelds, did they? Although they found success there.

I thought your point was that a console IP can't migrate onto a handheld and become a system seller, but I may have misunderstood.

(I generally don't buy a console for any one game, myself.)

Pokemon started on the Gameboy.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#64 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

[QUOTE="charizard1605"]There isn't, except let's see. How many people would buy a handheld for God of War? Gran Turismo? Killzone? And how many would buy a handheld for Monster Hunter? Pokemon? Dragon Quest? As for Monster Hunter, it may have started as a console franchise, but it only found success on the handhelds- even once Monster Hunter mania had fully hit, Monster Hunter Tri on the Wii never sold quite as much, and in fact failed to meet Capcom's projections. What I am trying to say is that most of the times, a franchise either sells well on a handheld or on a console- you won't buy a console for Professor Layton or Pokemon, and you won't buy a handheld for Gran Turismo. Very few franchises- Dragon Quest, Final Fantasy, and quite a few Nintendo franchises- are able to straddle the divide between handheld and console.shinrabanshou

Of your three listed examples two of them didn't originate on handhelds, did they? Although they found success there.

I thought your point was that a console IP can't migrate onto a handheld and become a system seller, but I may have misunderstood.

(I generally don't buy a console for any one game, myself.)

No no, that is not what I was saying at all. What I meant was, generally, a franchise that sells consoles does not necessarily sell handhelds and vice versa. There are exceptions- Dragon Quest and Monster Hunter, as you pointed out. But, for instance, a franchise like Grand Theft Auto or Killzone will not be able to sell handhelds on the whole. There can be straddlers, there have been many. But those are the exceptions rather than the rule, that's all I'm saying.
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stizz-

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#65 stizz-
Member since 2011 • 728 Posts

Hmm. I can kind of see where you're coming from, but saying that no MonHun == dead Vita is a bit of a stretch. Was MonHun the only good game on PSP? Of course not. The PSP has had many, many games top the Media Create's charts. That's what will drive Vita. It doesn't need just one single game that pushes a ton of units on it's own--it has a lot of games that will sell well and will drive sales.

I understand that the system-selling game has always been Nintendo's business strategy, but Sony's strategy has always been getting tons of games out, hoping that one will be a homerun. quick--what game was THE system-seller for PS1? PS2? PS3? What are the top 5 games for those systems that made you want them? It's typically pretty pronounced with Nintendo's systems (you'll hear the same role call of excellent 1st party games), but with PS1, PS2, and PS3 (or even PSP outside of the MonHun craze) you'd get many different answers. Sony's games don't really have the impact to sell games on thier own. it's always a combined effort of the library. Vita is launching with 26 games day one, with about 100 games scheduled in it's "launch window" (whatever that is supposed to mean). Only the most jaded gamers will look at a list of games that long and will say "meh, there's NOTHING I like. FAIL SYSTEM!"

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DJChuy

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#66 DJChuy
Member since 2010 • 1851 Posts

It's a huge blow to the PSVita, that's for sure since Monster Hunter was, arguably, the PSP's biggest system seller in Japan. Sony needs to step it up since the Vita doesn't really have any system seller (imo) because a lot of the Vita's big games are also available on different systems (FFX on PS3, MGS collection on PS3, etc). I own a PS3, and I have no intentions on getting a Vita because its big games are also coming on a system I own. Sony should secure an exclusive FF game or something along that line.

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finalfantasy94

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#67 finalfantasy94
Member since 2004 • 27442 Posts

Meh there will be one eventually.

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deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20

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#68 deactivated-5d6bb9cb2ee20
Member since 2006 • 82724 Posts

Meh there will be one eventually.

finalfantasy94
I've already addressed this question in the OP.
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digimonkey12

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#69 digimonkey12
Member since 2009 • 1851 Posts

I dunno about OP but just looking at that "thing" makes me think of failure.

Sollet

This.

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ShadowDeathX

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#70 ShadowDeathX
Member since 2006 • 11699 Posts
The 3DS with that OPTIONAL attachment, is still smaller than the PS Vita.
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digimonkey12

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#71 digimonkey12
Member since 2009 • 1851 Posts

The 3DS with that OPTIONAL attachment, is still smaller than the PS Vita.ShadowDeathX
Who´s talking about size ?

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ShadowDeathX

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#72 ShadowDeathX
Member since 2006 • 11699 Posts

[QUOTE="ShadowDeathX"]The 3DS with that OPTIONAL attachment, is still smaller than the PS Vita.digimonkey12

Who´s talking about size ?

I was just mentioning it. >.>
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#73 Zurrur
Member since 2009 • 1701 Posts

That analog stick attachment is so much fail, it uses AA batteries like Game Boy LOL

Nintendo is so behind in technology

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r12qi

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#74 r12qi
Member since 2010 • 1018 Posts

[QUOTE="digimonkey12"]

[QUOTE="ShadowDeathX"]The 3DS with that OPTIONAL attachment, is still smaller than the PS Vita.ShadowDeathX

Who´s talking about size ?

I was just mentioning it. >.>

but isit thinner ;)

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ultraking

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#75 ultraking
Member since 2004 • 6904 Posts
If you think MH will always be a 3ds exclusive , your very wrong
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#76 Nintendo_Ownes7
Member since 2005 • 30973 Posts

[QUOTE="ShadowDeathX"][QUOTE="digimonkey12"] Who´s talking about size ?

r12qi

I was just mentioning it. >.>

but isit thinner ;)

I don't think it is thinner because it also adds two triggers and a right shoulder button since it covers up the 3DSs right shoulder button.

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el3m2tigre

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#77 el3m2tigre
Member since 2007 • 4232 Posts

Yea but PSVita has Po...oh wait, nevermind....

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bobcheeseball

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#78 bobcheeseball
Member since 2007 • 9315 Posts
Not confirmed, but they better pull out something to draw people. It needs to have a killer app like MH/Pokemon/Mario Kart
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deactivated-61cc564148ef4

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#79 deactivated-61cc564148ef4
Member since 2007 • 10909 Posts

I'm not sure. Many publications and even *** devs say that Japanese don't have a wide taste in games like the US and Europe so I suppose it might not do too well in Japan

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irbaboon2999

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#80 irbaboon2999
Member since 2011 • 25 Posts
The thread title is the stupidest thing I've ever heard.
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bobcheeseball

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#81 bobcheeseball
Member since 2007 • 9315 Posts
The thread title is the stupidest thing I've ever heard.irbaboon2999
I'm not sure, this post is also in contention.
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zeldisco2009

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#82 zeldisco2009
Member since 2009 • 554 Posts

Vita will be a failure in comparison to how well the PSP sold in Japan.Japan was the only region with a chance for Sony. In the rest of the world Vita is a likely failure with zero chance even before it has launched.Vita will possibly still find a niche market(at best) and end up selling maximum 25 million units in the next 5 years in contrast to the mainstream success of 3DS,which will sell minimum 100 million units in the next 5 years.

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SakusEnvoy

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#83 SakusEnvoy
Member since 2009 • 4764 Posts

Vita will be a failure in comparison to how well the PSP sold in Japan.Japan was the only region with a chance for Sony. In the rest of the world Vita is a likely failure with zero chance even before it has launched.Vita will possibly still find a niche market(at best) and end up selling maximum 25 million units in the next 5 years in contrast to the mainstream success of 3DS,which will sell minimum 100 million units in the next 5 years.

zeldisco2009

100 million, really? Good to know, I own one. But my gut feeling tells me that the handheld market in the West is drying up pretty quickly.

Let's see how the 3DS does in the next NPD, it may well be sub-200k. It has struggled so far every month except March (launch) and August (massive price cut). Android/iOS software revenue, as a share of all portable gaming revenue, will probably pass 50% this year.

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#84 exiledsnake
Member since 2005 • 1906 Posts
[QUOTE="finalfantasy94"]

Meh there will be one eventually.

charizard1605
I've already addressed this question in the OP.

No, you didn't really address it properly. You implied that MH is a franchise that normally stays exclusive, which it does not. Add to the fact that the PSP had the Portable/Freedom range of the series instead of the main one. Then you said people who would buy the MH3G probably wont buy the next iteration on PSV which is most probably untrue since Monster Hunter Freedom/Freedom 2/Freedom Unite all got released in the space of three years and they sold millions each. All that being said, its a good early blow by Nintendo to Sony and PSV will suffer for it, but definitely not confirmed failure.
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#85 nintendoboy16
Member since 2007 • 42224 Posts

[QUOTE="charizard1605"]

[QUOTE="Sollet"]

I dunno about OP but just looking at that "thing" makes me think of failure.

MFDOOM1983

I hope you realize that it is an optional add on, and is not necessary to play any game at all.

That's like saying kb/m is optional for a pc fps. 3d 3rd person games play infinitely better with two analog sticks.

They don't compare AT ALL. :| Keyboard and Mouse are REQUIRED, the second stick is not.

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vashkey

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#86 vashkey
Member since 2005 • 33781 Posts
The PSP didn't launch with Monster Hunter in Japan and it didn't flop. The PS vita will eventually get it's Monster Hunter. I mean, theres even one on the 360, why wouldn't they make one for the vita?
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Mario1331

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#87 Mario1331
Member since 2005 • 8929 Posts

If you think MH will always be a 3ds exclusive , your very wrongultraking

so far it is

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ultraking

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#88 ultraking
Member since 2004 • 6904 Posts

[QUOTE="ultraking"]If you think MH will always be a 3ds exclusive , your very wrongMario1331

so far it is

very true but its only a matter of time