As someone who does a ton of analysis, it is starting to seem like Sony is running away with it in NA. There are a few factors to consider, but it seems like Sony may have a strong year 1 lead.
Right now, I have a roadmap for the next 18 months and how this stuff might work out. MS probably won't become a major player in the space until their 1st hardware revision, where they will have a new APU die for manufacturing. That'll come with a $100 dollar price cut, new form factor, and a new marketting push. That'll be MS's chance. The faster their R&D can get that hardware revision and manufacturing price drop done, the faster they'll be in the running with Sony.Â
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