Kinect Overtakes Move in Motion Controller Sales, Says Pachter

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bigboss5ak

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#1 bigboss5ak
Member since 2007 • 2962 Posts
http://www.industrygamers.com/news/kinect-overtakes-move-in-motion-controller-sales-says-pachter/ November is shaping up to be a good month for the gaming industry as triple-A title releases have been incredibly numerous these past couple of weeks. Add the motion controller race to the picture, and things look rather good for both Sony and Microsoft. Still though, analyst Michael Patcher now says that Microsoft might be a bit happier, as the Kinect appears to have gained the lead in sales.With the release of Call of Duty: Black Ops, Assassin?s Creed: Brotherhood, Need for Speed: Hot Pursuitand other titles, the industry is showing signs of growth as core and casual gamers embrace another holiday season filled with several great games. What adds to this experience is the accessories race between the Move and the Kinect, and though Sony had a six-week lead over the Kinect, sales indicate that Kinect is already on top of its rival.Pachter cites consumer hesitation in the purchase of bundles that include the Move, saying that the $299 price point needs to be dropped in order to ?accomplish its goals of profitability, solid console sales and Move penetration.?Though we?ve confirmed the Move has sold 4.1 million units, there is strong evidence that the Kinect is looking to have ?an installed base of 8 million by year-end,? says Pachter. ?Depending on pricing, we could see an installed base that approaches 20-25 million by year-end 2011.?Still though, ?the two devices will be around $500-800 million in 2011, or around 2.5-4$ of industry sales next year.
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dommeus

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#2 dommeus
Member since 2004 • 9433 Posts

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

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Androvinus

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#3 Androvinus
Member since 2008 • 5796 Posts
people still listen to what this guy says ?
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themyth01

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#4 themyth01
Member since 2003 • 13924 Posts

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

dommeus
8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined).
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Chutebox

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#5 Chutebox
Member since 2007 • 51602 Posts

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

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FIipMode

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#6 FIipMode
Member since 2009 • 10850 Posts
Heh, so Move will keep it's lead on Kinect then.
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MFDOOM1983

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#7 MFDOOM1983
Member since 2010 • 8465 Posts
[QUOTE="dommeus"] 8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined). themyth01
What's 8 million more motion controlled devices when wii is currently at 75 million.
[QUOTE="dommeus"]

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

themyth01
8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined).

"there is strong evidence that the Kinect is looking to have "an installed base of 8 million by year-end," says Pachter. " I think it's just kinect.
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dommeus

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#8 dommeus
Member since 2004 • 9433 Posts
[QUOTE="dommeus"]

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

themyth01
8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined).

"Though we?ve confirmed the Move has sold 4.1 million units, there is strong evidence that the Kinect is looking to have ?an installed base of 8 million by year-end" Doesn't that mean Kinect specifically?
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super600

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#9 super600  Moderator
Member since 2007 • 33160 Posts

A 8 million install base for Kinect at the end of the year won't happen and I hope nintendo destroys microsoft this holiday season to show that microsoft has no chance to beat Nintendo.

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dommeus

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#10 dommeus
Member since 2004 • 9433 Posts
[QUOTE="MFDOOM1983"][QUOTE="themyth01"][QUOTE="dommeus"] What's 8 million more motion controlled devices when wii is currently at 75 million.
[QUOTE="dommeus"]

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

themyth01
8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined).

"there is strong evidence that the Kinect is looking to have "an installed base of 8 million by year-end," says Pachter. " I think it's just kinect.

Honestly, I'm never going to get a Wii so they can waggle their wrists until the cows come home. But I own a 360, and the success of Kinect will dictate Microsofts direction in the forseeable future.
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Filthybastrd

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#11 Filthybastrd
Member since 2009 • 7124 Posts

Did Pachter just kill Kinect? Only time will tell...

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bigboss5ak

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#12 bigboss5ak
Member since 2007 • 2962 Posts

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

Chutebox
Those were shipped numbers he may be referring to direct sales which does support his claim. Either way by years end kinect will most likely pass that shipped figure of move.
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themyth01

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#13 themyth01
Member since 2003 • 13924 Posts

[QUOTE="themyth01"][QUOTE="dommeus"] What's 8 million more motion controlled devices when wii is currently at 75 million.[QUOTE="themyth01"][QUOTE="dommeus"]

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

MFDOOM1983

8 million motion tech by christmas (move + kinect combined).

"there is strong evidence that the Kinect is looking to have "an installed base of 8 million by year-end," says Pachter. " I think it's just kinect.

Well I stand corrected then, my bad.

Ah I found why I thought it was combined, apparently either GS is wrong or the other site is wrong, this is what GS has:
"By year's end, Pachter thinks that the Kinect and Move combined installed base will be 8 million units."

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funsohng

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#14 funsohng
Member since 2005 • 29976 Posts
isn't Pachter to game industry like what Pele is to World Cup predictions?
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Fizzman

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#15 Fizzman
Member since 2003 • 9895 Posts

[QUOTE="Chutebox"]

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

bigboss5ak

Those were shipped numbers he may be referring to direct sales which does support his claim. Either way by years end kinect will most likely pass that shipped figure of move.

That seems very likely.

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Chutebox

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#16 Chutebox
Member since 2007 • 51602 Posts
[QUOTE="Chutebox"]

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

bigboss5ak
Those were shipped numbers he may be referring to direct sales which does support his claim. Either way by years end kinect will most likely pass that shipped figure of move.

It doesn't support his claim because we don't know sold to consumer numbers, as much as some claim we do.
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Chris_Williams

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#17 Chris_Williams
Member since 2009 • 14882 Posts

i don't understand why you guys post things in here thats already on the front page, as the main headline, really? anyway thats cool for kinect and when you have oprah and justin bieber and a 500 million dollar campaign i would hope it sells well.

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Mario1331

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#18 Mario1331
Member since 2005 • 8929 Posts

i didnt know their were only two companies that are in the motion controls race

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Fizzman

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#19 Fizzman
Member since 2003 • 9895 Posts

[QUOTE="bigboss5ak"][QUOTE="Chutebox"]

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

Chutebox

Those were shipped numbers he may be referring to direct sales which does support his claim. Either way by years end kinect will most likely pass that shipped figure of move.

It doesn't support his claim because we don't know sold to consumer numbers, as much as some claim we do.

Microsoft specifically reported sold to consumers. Sony is the only one not reporting that figure.

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DrinkDuff

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#20 DrinkDuff
Member since 2004 • 6762 Posts

8 million? Not a chance in hell.

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Ragnarok1051

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#21 Ragnarok1051
Member since 2007 • 20238 Posts

LOL @ Pachter.

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Fuhgeddabouditt

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#22 Fuhgeddabouditt
Member since 2010 • 5468 Posts
Pachter, hes no Octopus.
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Giancar

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#23 Giancar
Member since 2006 • 19160 Posts
Pachter, hes no Octopus.Fuhgeddabouditt
lol, Paul owned back then Patcher pretty hard :(
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m25105

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#24 m25105
Member since 2010 • 3135 Posts

people still listen to what this guy says ?Androvinus

Pretty much this.

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super600

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#25 super600  Moderator
Member since 2007 • 33160 Posts

Patcher will never beat Paul the octopus.

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Quick-Time

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#26 Quick-Time
Member since 2007 • 610 Posts
I don't like motion control in games. I must be the minority.:(
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nervmeister

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#27 nervmeister
Member since 2005 • 15377 Posts

Pachter's crystal ball is crappy even by System Wars standards. In fact, it's not even a crystal ball. It's his dead grandma's skull.

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_SWAG_

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#29 _SWAG_
Member since 2009 • 2674 Posts

patcher is always wrong always. the kinect will never ever ever ever outsell the move. the move had a headstart its cheaper plus its hardcore and the only one with core games imho

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nervmeister

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#30 nervmeister
Member since 2005 • 15377 Posts

[QUOTE="Chutebox"]

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

KevinnButlerNPK

Sony fanboy dillusion is factual evidence now....

Okay. So 2.5 million is somehow a greater number than 4.1 million? I guess Bizarro would agree. :roll:

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gago-gago

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#31 gago-gago
Member since 2009 • 12138 Posts

It eventually will, so Patcher might be right about that, not sure about the specific numbers though.

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hexashadow13

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#32 hexashadow13
Member since 2010 • 5157 Posts
Who listens to this guy?
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Giancar

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#33 Giancar
Member since 2006 • 19160 Posts
I don't like motion control in games. I must be the minority.:(Quick-Time
nah, you are the majority this it's not a fight over games, it's a fight over who is correct and who isn't damn SW, this is soooo wrong :?
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KevinnButlerNPK

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#34 KevinnButlerNPK
Member since 2010 • 1145 Posts

[QUOTE="KevinnButlerNPK"][QUOTE="Chutebox"]

Yet the factual evidence says otherwise. Guess I'll believe Pachter!

nervmeister

Sony fanboy dillusion is factual evidence now....

Okay. So 2.5 million is somehow a greater number than 4.1 million? I guess Bizarro would agree. :roll:

4.1 million in 70 days over 2,5 million in 25 days. Logic says otherwise.. 58.5 > 100?
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edo-tensei

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#35 edo-tensei
Member since 2007 • 4581 Posts

I think the industry is a pathetic stage right now with " copy your gimmick for many prices" deals going on. Can we get back to making games sony, ms.

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Giancar

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#36 Giancar
Member since 2006 • 19160 Posts
[QUOTE="nervmeister"]

[QUOTE="KevinnButlerNPK"] Sony fanboy dillusion is factual evidence now....KevinnButlerNPK

Okay. So 2.5 million is somehow a greater number than 4.1 million? I guess Bizarro would agree. :roll:

4.1 million in 70 days over 2,5 million in 25 days. Logic says otherwise.. 58.5 > 100?

by the very same analogy PS3 sales > 360 sales
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deactivated-5f9e3c6a83e51

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#37 deactivated-5f9e3c6a83e51
Member since 2004 • 57548 Posts

Has Pachter ever been right? LOL.

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ktseymour

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#38 ktseymour
Member since 2005 • 1000 Posts

Here Is an Interesting article about Patcher

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205212669269561485377169522720

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#39 205212669269561485377169522720
Member since 2005 • 14458 Posts

I always thought Pacther was chill but at this point, he's just milking his profession. If that even makes any sense.:lol:

He's an analysist and he forecasts. Sometimes they are right and sometimes they aren't, but it's his job. However with that show of his on GT, I just think that he's trying to be more than just that and it's pretty odd imo.:P

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vaderhater

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#40 vaderhater
Member since 2003 • 3972 Posts

Ok so

Sony Shipped 4.1 million of Move related items including extra wands.Sold to homes???

MS shipped ??? but has Sold 2.5 million Kinects to homes.

Move launched first so Cows feel that Kinect cannot be ahead because the PS3 shipped after the 360 and is still behind. (cow sour grapes)

Reminder: the Wii was last to launch out of all three and is ahead. These things can and do happen despite cow disbelief.

Done with this.

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Chutebox

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#41 Chutebox
Member since 2007 • 51602 Posts

Ok so

Sony Shipped 4.1 million of Move related items including extra wands.Sold to homes???

MS shipped ??? but has Sold 2.5 million Kinects to homes.

Move launched first so Cows feel that Kinect cannot be ahead because the PS3 shipped after the 360 and is still behind. (cow sour grapes)

Reminder: the Wii was last to launch out of all three and is ahead. These things can and do happen despite cow disbelief.

Done with this.

vaderhater
Any proof that Move is behind? Any proof that the wands are extra? I've said from the get to, it's too hard to track Move sales because of these reasons so why do people even bother? Hell, why bother with sales for either!?
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blackace

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#42 blackace
Member since 2002 • 23576 Posts

8 million Kinects by Christmas?! Please God no...

dommeus
I don't think it'll be that many. I think Patcher was talking about combined sales of Kinect and Move. I think Kinect could sell over 5 million by the end of the year though.
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johnlennon28

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#43 johnlennon28
Member since 2008 • 2158 Posts
gamespot just loves to add fuel to the fire in SW
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vaderhater

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#44 vaderhater
Member since 2003 • 3972 Posts

[QUOTE="vaderhater"]

Ok so

Sony Shipped 4.1 million of Move related items including extra wands.Sold to homes???

MS shipped ??? but has Sold 2.5 million Kinects to homes.

Move launched first so Cows feel that Kinect cannot be ahead because the PS3 shipped after the 360 and is still behind. (cow sour grapes)

Reminder: the Wii was last to launch out of all three and is ahead. These things can and do happen despite cow disbelief.

Done with this.

Chutebox

Any proof that Move is behind? Any proof that the wands are extra? I've said from the get to, it's too hard to track Move sales because of these reasons so why do people even bother? Hell, why bother with sales for either!?

Ok now I am done with this. http://n4g.com/news/656263/move-and-kinect-consumer-sell-through-update

"Move & Kinect Consumer Sell Through Update

There are 2.5 million unique Kinect customers and 1.6 million unique Move customers......"
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Chutebox

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#45 Chutebox
Member since 2007 • 51602 Posts

[QUOTE="Chutebox"][QUOTE="vaderhater"]

Ok so

Sony Shipped 4.1 million of Move related items including extra wands.Sold to homes???

MS shipped ??? but has Sold 2.5 million Kinects to homes.

Move launched first so Cows feel that Kinect cannot be ahead because the PS3 shipped after the 360 and is still behind. (cow sour grapes)

Reminder: the Wii was last to launch out of all three and is ahead. These things can and do happen despite cow disbelief.

Done with this.

vaderhater

Any proof that Move is behind? Any proof that the wands are extra? I've said from the get to, it's too hard to track Move sales because of these reasons so why do people even bother? Hell, why bother with sales for either!?

Ok now I am done with this. http://n4g.com/news/656263/move-and-kinect-consumer-sell-through-update

"Move & Kinect Consumer Sell Through Update

There are 2.5 million unique Kinect customers and 1.6 million unique Move customers......"

Did you even read your source or the content in it?
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vaderhater

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#46 vaderhater
Member since 2003 • 3972 Posts

[QUOTE="vaderhater"]

[QUOTE="Chutebox"] Any proof that Move is behind? Any proof that the wands are extra? I've said from the get to, it's too hard to track Move sales because of these reasons so why do people even bother? Hell, why bother with sales for either!?Chutebox

Ok now I am done with this. http://n4g.com/news/656263/move-and-kinect-consumer-sell-through-update

"Move & Kinect Consumer Sell Through Update

There are 2.5 million unique Kinect customers and 1.6 million unique Move customers......"

Did you even read your source or the content in it?

You asked and I gave.

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KevinnButlerNPK

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#47 KevinnButlerNPK
Member since 2010 • 1145 Posts
[QUOTE="vaderhater"]

[QUOTE="Chutebox"] Any proof that Move is behind? Any proof that the wands are extra? I've said from the get to, it's too hard to track Move sales because of these reasons so why do people even bother? Hell, why bother with sales for either!?Chutebox

Ok now I am done with this. http://n4g.com/news/656263/move-and-kinect-consumer-sell-through-update

"Move & Kinect Consumer Sell Through Update

There are 2.5 million unique Kinect customers and 1.6 million unique Move customers......"

Did you even read your source or the content in it?

Oh ok, so when videogamechartz says Sony is ahead, it's the total truth. Did you scroll down and see where a couple hours before, Pachter said Kinect passed Move? Once again he's only reliable when providing good info.
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CanYouDiglt

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#48 CanYouDiglt
Member since 2009 • 8500 Posts

Well since Sony will only say they have sold 4.1 million to stores and even then that is not just the camera but the number includes controllers and everything. So for example 1 camera and 2 controllers adds 3 to Sony's number even though only one person would actually use that. I feel if Microsoft to did already pass Sony's sold to customers then in a couple weeks they will. Hell MS sold 2.5 million to customers in just 25 days. That is over 1/2 what Sony was only able to sell to stores so just imagine how many MS has sold to stores also.

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OreoMilkshake

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#49 OreoMilkshake
Member since 2009 • 12833 Posts
I'd rather listen to VGchartz than Pachter. :P
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-Renegade

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#50 -Renegade
Member since 2007 • 8340 Posts
Who really cares about motion control sales? :?