Predict where Nintendo Switch's sales will be at the end of 2017

Going with 8 million. I think we'll see momentum in its first year and as we enter the holidays we'll see a strong line-up of games that include big hits as well as big marketing pushes and positive word-of-mouth.

@charizard1605: it really depends I've heard Nintendo upped production from 8 million units to 16 million units for the years end.

I said in another thread Wii U sales were abysmal less than 15 million. So Mario Kart is around the corner and that game is going to move systems again. There will be lots of people that haven't played it. Then you have E3 and Splatoon after that there is nothing for 6 months. From July to December I'm not aware of anything that's relevant dropping on the Switch. Now if Nintendo fixes that and has announcements at E3 and we see a 3rd party game drop in that time period and maybe some more WiiU ports like Mario Maker in that same time period Switch will do just fine. Then have VC or some news about it, and show off Mario Odessey heavy in November before Black Friday and Switch has a great year. I'll say 12 Million units in that scenario.

If Nintendo keeps it dry and people are thirsty for 6 months and nothing exciting is happening between July and December. I'll be in 8-9 mill range could be even less depending how word of mouth is and how satisfied Switch owners are, but if they are salty and have nothing to play the perception of WiiU 2 will start kicking in

I think the Switch is still in the period where Nintendo was celebrating the 3DS launch (and the Wii U launch for that matter) still. Without a ready supply at retail and no indication of the quantity of resupply shipments, I don't think there's any indication of whether the demand is continuing or abating. That's why I'm looking back at history. Maybe we'll get another glimpse when Mario Kart releases if Best Buy really is holding back systems or that release, or at the very least when NPD's April sales gets released. Until then, it's just too fuzzy and hard to get a clear picture of how it's doing. All we really know is how well the Wii U did at $300 (and $350) and how well the 3DS did at $250.

I'm not trying to be negative, it's just a lack of real, current information forcing me to look back at historical events that happen to not be so promising. I'd love for the Switch to be a runaway success, since I've already bought into the system, there's just not a whole lot of real info suggesting such optimism.

IMO it depends on the amount of units they have available and what they have to show at E3.

I'm with you on this as well. Best Buy is already holding some Switches until this Friday for the launch of Mario Kart 8 Deluxe. So far, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe is projected to be selling all May until ARMS in June, and Splatoon 2 in July. Nintendo has their Summer already set. Now e3 2017 will show off this Fall/Winter's lineup to February 2018. My prediction is Fire Emblem Warriors either September or October, Super Mario Odyssey in November or December, and Xenoblade Chronicles 2 between January or February. That should keep momentum for the Switch steady for 1st party games.

@FireEmblem_Man: Mario before Black Friday, Xenoblade for Dec or delayed till Feb most likely.

One billion.

This is an extreme number and I think we are going to find you're prediction is wrong.

But... what if? ?

Assuming we do holidays first for our predictions, the Nov+Dec combo would likely be 4 million if it really reaches a good audience and brings the console and handheld audience together. Also assuming Nitnendo ships things on time.

That would mean between now and then it would have to sell 2.6 million

that would mean an average of 430k from now till October 2017. Which would include May, June, July, and August, which are horribly slow months. So Not sure. it could be close to 9. But I think over 7, assuming the holidays are as strong as i wrote above.

I'll be a little more conservative and say less than a billion.

Turn that 9 upside down and you'll be closer.

13. I don't want to get to crazy here but Snake Pass might bring it up to 15.

7-8 million. More if they market it properly from September to December. Getting black Friday sales along with holiday sales is going to be imperative to this year's success. Getting it back in stock is also mighty important.

i don't think so... it didn't much for ps4.

especially in japan.

9 million sounds about right...

10 billion

9 million. They're producing 16 million for the fiscal year and I suspect they'll want most of that stock to be ready for the holidays.

8-10

They'll knock out the first 10 mil pretty quick with most of the 12 mil Wii U pwners replacing that failure but after that sales will drop off big time especially when Mighty Scorpio hits the street. :P

I don't doubt the Switch will sell a lotta units. But they really have to up the production.

Lets remember what happened to Nintendo Classic.

I keep asking who these mythical buyers are that would be torn between a Scorpio and a Switch, but it's like trying to positively identify unicorns, I guess.

Calling the 10's of millions of Casual gamers out in the wild Unicorns is a real head scratcher but hey, if it woks for you, go with it. lol :P

8 million

Switch will outsell Xbone+Scorpio future lifetime sales by the end of this year.

But will not come close to PS4, because SDC. Now, Then, Forever.

Yes, because casual gamers are the target audience for the Scorpio. How silly!

We almost there fam. Only 10 million more to go.

8million -1

because I'm not buying one :P

Silly you are if you think casuals won't be buying a low cost Beastly console like Mighty Scorpio especially when they compare the price of it compared to Bait & Switch and noticing the minimal price difference compared to Mighty Scorpio and thinking just wow, that Scorpio is offering supah duper Bang for the Buck!!!

Now thinking PSBore and X1 launch buyers were not casual is not only very silly but rather ignorant to boot.. Grats. lol :P

@SecretPolice: Are you a republican?

Around 5 million

@techhog89:

More importantly I'm an Ameri...Can. lol :P

MAGA baby, drain that Swamp!!!

@SecretPolice: Yeah, I could tell from the way that you use dumb pun names for everything.

The Nintendo Switch just needs to outsell the Xbox and it good in Coolyfett's eyes.

@techhog89:

Yeah, I could tell right off that you're a snowflake when asking me dumb questions about my politics on a gaming site. lol :P

@SecretPolice: Sorry, I only asked out of curiosity because you're a living stereotype.

@techhog89:

No, no, no, I'm sorry if my postings on a gaming forum made you feel the need to scurry off to a safe space. :P

@SecretPolice: lol.

Anyway, drop it.

@techhog89:

Great, hope you learned something and now consider it Dropped. :)